Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Survivor Pool Week 13 Review | 2025 Strategy, Picks & Lessons Learned
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All systems going clear, We left on what is going on? Everyone?
- 0:42Speaker 1: This is sheets and welcome to week one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven, twelve, thirteen,
- 0:49Speaker 1: fourteen for real of the Survivor Pool experience. We're going
- 0:54Speaker 1: to be just doing a recap of week thirteen and
- 0:59Speaker 1: give you kind of a preview of how content is
- 1:02Speaker 1: going to look as we get down to the end here,
- 1:06Speaker 1: because I talked about this really really early on, even
- 1:08Speaker 1: before week one, and I want to emphasize what that's
- 1:12Speaker 1: going to look like from from here on in. So again,
- 1:15Speaker 1: if you're not a premium member, I certainly advise you
- 1:17Speaker 1: to sign up for it. As we are getting down
- 1:20Speaker 1: to the end of the Survivor Pool season, A lot
- 1:23Speaker 1: of the lessons are going to have to do with
- 1:25Speaker 1: short stack play and and things like that and really
- 1:27Speaker 1: personalized looks but still open for you, and just kind
- 1:33Speaker 1: of give you a preview. If you thought that this
- 1:35Speaker 1: was taxing on your brain, wait wait till you get
- 1:38Speaker 1: to the NCAA bracket Pool of Survivor stuff. That that
- 1:42Speaker 1: is like a whole other level of a brain of
- 1:46Speaker 1: brain melt. Okay, which we'll get to. That's it's definitely.
- 1:50Speaker 1: One of my favorite things to do is the is
- 1:53Speaker 1: NCAA March Madness Survivor, But that's down the road. But
- 1:57Speaker 1: with your subscription, I think you do get access to
- 1:59Speaker 1: that as well. So uh yeah. In any case, as
- 2:04Speaker 1: I mentioned before, as we get down into these middle
- 2:08Speaker 1: to end weeks, who you are supposed to play is
- 2:13Speaker 1: pretty much determined in some degree by who you've taken. Okay,
- 2:17Speaker 1: there's very few kind of like smash plays that are
- 2:21Speaker 1: winner take, you know, that are one size fits all.
- 2:25Speaker 1: That's why I'm really trying to, you know, to emphasize
- 2:28Speaker 1: when people ask me, oh, who do you like this week?
- 2:30Speaker 1: And this? This, this, I say, it depends who you
- 2:32Speaker 1: have left, how many people are in the pool, what
- 2:35Speaker 1: the you know and who they have left and things
- 2:38Speaker 1: like that. So the idea is that during the course
- 2:41Speaker 1: of the season, to teach you guys how to analyze
- 2:43Speaker 1: these things for yourselves so that you can tailor it
- 2:46Speaker 1: to your specific pool. Now we have, you know, we
- 2:50Speaker 1: have taken under our wing the Adam Warhane and the
- 2:56Speaker 1: the Adam Warhane and and the and the and the
- 2:59Speaker 1: Hoops entries which have been really really good to track
- 3:03Speaker 1: to help you know, help them, but help everybody else,
- 3:05Speaker 1: like kind of learn how to manage this stuff. And
- 3:09Speaker 1: you know, uh, it's gonna be fun. I really really
- 3:13Speaker 1: think that both of these dudes, there's Adam in the chat,
- 3:16Speaker 1: both these guys have set themselves up with a path.
- 3:20Speaker 1: I mean that you they really can get this done,
- 3:24Speaker 1: and you've got to kind of stay on the ball
- 3:25Speaker 1: and don't screw up. And obviously it's going to be
- 3:28Speaker 1: left to the you know, the football gods and great degree.
- 3:31Speaker 1: But you got some stuff, guys. I mean really, we'll
- 3:34Speaker 1: talk about it tomorrow. I'm telling you, I couldn't even wait.
- 3:36Speaker 1: Like Sunday night, I was already analyzing both of your
- 3:39Speaker 1: guys stuff for the for the coming weeks, and uh,
- 3:42Speaker 1: you know, I think you'll appreciate my my thoughts on
- 3:45Speaker 1: how you're supposed to look at your entries. So I
- 3:50Speaker 1: guess you know last week what happened so the the
- 3:55Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Ravens both lost on Thanksgiving. That
- 4:00Speaker 1: I mean, if you've heard through the grapevine, caused total
- 4:03Speaker 1: destruction to the huge circle pool that has like eighteen million.
- 4:07Speaker 1: For first it's out in Vegas, just because the way
- 4:09Speaker 1: the structure of that pool is everybody had to take
- 4:12Speaker 1: somebody on Thanksgiving, so were the two biggest favorites that
- 4:16Speaker 1: everybody'd been saving. Both went down. It was a freaking
- 4:19Speaker 1: colossal train wreck. I mean that pool went from nine
- 4:22Speaker 1: hundred down to forty five in like one day. So
- 4:26Speaker 1: good for the people that dodged all those bullets. Yeah,
- 4:30Speaker 1: and then on Sunday the big knockout was the Rams.
- 4:37Speaker 1: So if you're unfortunate to have to have taken Eagles,
- 4:40Speaker 1: Rams or Ravens, then it certainly hurts you, you know,
- 4:44Speaker 1: but again, all you could do is put yourselves in
- 4:47Speaker 1: the right position to win and get yourself the most
- 4:49Speaker 1: ev Speaking of which, we're going to continue to use
- 4:53Speaker 1: this tool, but as we get down to this portion
- 4:58Speaker 1: like these default know pick percentages are not going to
- 5:01Speaker 1: be particularly relevant. You know, well, they'll be relevant to
- 5:04Speaker 1: some pools, but you know, there everybody's pool is different
- 5:09Speaker 1: at this point, so we're gonna have to be really
- 5:11Speaker 1: really careful about saying what these guys are going to
- 5:14Speaker 1: be on. Like Cleveland at twelve percent could be twelve
- 5:17Speaker 1: percent owned in single pick pools, but in doubles they
- 5:19Speaker 1: might be more. Tampa at fifty two percent might that
- 5:23Speaker 1: might be right in single picks, but in doubles they
- 5:25Speaker 1: might be eighty, you know what I mean. So so
- 5:28Speaker 1: we'll have to we'll have to really talk about that.
- 5:30Speaker 1: But this but this tool is going to be very
- 5:32Speaker 1: it's very important to me when I use it to
- 5:35Speaker 1: customize my short stack evs. And we'll talk about that.
- 5:41Speaker 1: Just to kind of give you a summary of what
- 5:43Speaker 1: happened in our pools. So this was the well, we'll
- 5:46Speaker 1: get back to these in a second. Let's do the
- 5:48Speaker 1: high stakes pools. The bad news was in this five
- 5:50Speaker 1: K that both Title and I were in. We both
- 5:53Speaker 1: went down here. Title made a very aggressive play here
- 5:58Speaker 1: he had the rams available, but in an attempt to
- 6:02Speaker 1: save the rams for seventeen I imagine, which was very very sharp,
- 6:07Speaker 1: he took up. He took a pretty calculated risk and
- 6:11Speaker 1: went down to Philly. I actually suggested on the on
- 6:17Speaker 1: the the the on the stream last week that he
- 6:22Speaker 1: could have taken in a very aggressive stance to play
- 6:24Speaker 1: Miami to save the rams. So he did not exactly this,
- 6:30Speaker 1: but like something a little different. I don't know if
- 6:32Speaker 1: I would have burned a team likes Philly that I
- 6:34Speaker 1: could have used in fifteen or sixteen for that purpose,
- 6:37Speaker 1: but I'm sure he had, you know. The reasoning was,
- 6:40Speaker 1: was was sound enough that you wanted to save the
- 6:42Speaker 1: Rams for when really nobody was gonna have I, on
- 6:46Speaker 1: the other hand, I actually went with the Rams and
- 6:48Speaker 1: I went down too, So that's just kind of the
- 6:50Speaker 1: way it is. And then our old friend Galen Hall,
- 6:53Speaker 1: which we I haven't decided whether I want to talk
- 6:56Speaker 1: about him or not, he got He went down with
- 7:00Speaker 1: Philly in this one as well, So unfortunately that's down
- 7:04Speaker 1: to fourteen now without us in it. The other big
- 7:07Speaker 1: high stakes one that I'm in is actually this one.
- 7:09Speaker 1: I went with the Chargers because my idea, and I'll
- 7:13Speaker 1: get into more of this tomorrow and whatever he start to
- 7:15Speaker 1: fill in who I might want looking forward or these possibilities.
- 7:19Speaker 1: My whole idea, as you remember me talking about last week,
- 7:22Speaker 1: was my all My leverage was it was New England,
- 7:24Speaker 1: so I wanted to make sure I got there. Now
- 7:27Speaker 1: what ended up happening was I made a mistake. I
- 7:29Speaker 1: really considered playing Miami because look at what happened with
- 7:32Speaker 1: this pool. Everybody except for one person to lac So
- 7:37Speaker 1: if Mark Grigorich he had he was getting eleven to
- 7:41Speaker 1: one odds pretty much on this On this play, after
- 7:44Speaker 1: Baltimore was was was was eliminated. Actually the rams were
- 7:48Speaker 1: still live there, so he could have won the whole
- 7:50Speaker 1: pool if the charge was lost. They didn't, but that's
- 7:53Speaker 1: that's you know. That was something I was considering to
- 7:56Speaker 1: do in Miami, but I figured it was better to
- 7:58Speaker 1: just kind of wait for my leverage in week seventeen.
- 8:01Speaker 1: So we'll talk about that the two big splash pools.
- 8:05Speaker 1: First of all, the Splash two point five million, that's
- 8:09Speaker 1: down to three hundred and thirty four and Ship at
- 8:12Speaker 1: Nation is still live. He actually did do exactly what
- 8:16Speaker 1: I suggested this time. I went with Miami in lac
- 8:20Speaker 1: and advancing. We'll talk about him tomorrow. And then in
- 8:26Speaker 1: this Ship in Nation tournament with two hundred and fifty
- 8:30Speaker 1: thousand left, both of our friends are still in this.
- 8:34Speaker 1: So first of all, Ship at Nation hoops account I
- 8:39Speaker 1: believe the same entry, yep, and he's down with that
- 8:44Speaker 1: same thing. And then our friend Adam in from the
- 8:47Speaker 1: chat here went with my I said Miami, and I
- 8:52Speaker 1: kind of left the other decision up to him. Right
- 8:54Speaker 1: about whatever you want, Philly, I would have could have
- 8:57Speaker 1: seen you trying that and lost. Have seen you try
- 9:00Speaker 1: in San Francisco and winning, and you picked you picked
- 9:05Speaker 1: a good one. You picked Jacksonville. So you are. You're
- 9:08Speaker 1: in there, and you're not as bad off as you think. Dude,
- 9:12Speaker 1: I'm telling you. We I know you feel as though
- 9:14Speaker 1: we had to play the Rams last week and it
- 9:17Speaker 1: felt kind of ugly, but we did it for portfolio
- 9:19Speaker 1: manager purposes. And I promise you that if you didn't
- 9:22Speaker 1: play LA and got through with somebody else, I would have.
- 9:24Speaker 1: I would have demanded and made you play the Rams
- 9:26Speaker 1: this in thirteen and then you'd be out. Okay, So
- 9:30Speaker 1: we are. We are live and moving on, and your
- 9:32Speaker 1: path is really not that bad. Well, we will get
- 9:36Speaker 1: to it circa I mentioned already, we talked about that.
- 9:41Speaker 1: I'm not in it, and there are some listen, there's
- 9:43Speaker 1: some other fun ones that we could talk about if
- 9:45Speaker 1: you want. Like there's this on Splash there's this triple
- 9:49Speaker 1: extra bloody pool where you have you have to pick
- 9:53Speaker 1: three you have to pick three picks per week, and
- 9:57Speaker 1: I'm in that thing. Okay. I got through three entries
- 10:02Speaker 1: in that last week, including up really cool when I
- 10:05Speaker 1: got the Jets through, and then I'm already starting to
- 10:09Speaker 1: plan out my map for the for the for the
- 10:12Speaker 1: remainder of the tournaments. Again, if you play on Splash,
- 10:14Speaker 1: you could already put the stuff in just to kind
- 10:17Speaker 1: of see what it all looks like. I guess again,
- 10:21Speaker 1: that's pretty much all all all I have. You know,
- 10:24Speaker 1: you know, well, we will talk about individual pools, we'll
- 10:28Speaker 1: talk about Adam's entries, we'll talk about Shoops entries, to
- 10:32Speaker 1: talk about my high stakes entries, and and and we'll
- 10:35Speaker 1: talk about how to play these short these short slates,
- 10:37Speaker 1: because that's what this is. It's only fourteen, fifteen sixty
- 10:40Speaker 1: seventy eighteen, only five more weeks. For some of you,
- 10:43Speaker 1: that's only five more picks. For some of you it
- 10:46Speaker 1: is ten. But that is going to do it. Good luck, everybody.
- 10:49Speaker 1: I will see you guys tomorrow.
- 11:11Speaker 2: Most has mother hand bys and still mother and.
- 11:22Speaker 3: Bass and still mother, hanns and suns, most hands.
- 11:41Speaker 4: Unst and mons and uns still and nst and still.
- 12:00Speaker 4: Let that the spike