Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / 🚨 China's SILVER PRICE MOVE 🚨 As Supplies VANISH - (Gold Price Too)
Transcript
- 0:00Have you noticed how interesting it is lately with the silver
- 0:04price? Absolutely crazy.
- 0:06Let me tell you something, if you don't like the silver price,
- 0:10just check back in 5 minutes and it can move like 25 or 30 or
- 0:14$0.40. Remember like 6 months a couple
- 0:17years ago where silver might move a nickel or a dime or maybe
- 0:21on a big day 1/4. Doesn't it feel like recently
- 0:26silver can move by 25 or $0.50 in the matter of two or three
- 0:30minutes? What is going on?
- 0:32I'll tell you what's going on. It's a big deal that you're here
- 0:35in the basement with me. Thanks for joining us today,
- 0:38basement dwellers. We're going to cover a ton about
- 0:42silver and gold. Super interesting things going
- 0:45on. Hedge funds, you know, the big
- 0:47money. The big, big, big, big money.
- 0:50They're doing something very interesting with silver and
- 0:54gold. We're going to talk about that
- 0:55and of course more. It's every day.
- 0:59Maybe that explains, Do you think maybe this explains why
- 1:03we're getting these crazy moves in the silver price, More
- 1:07unbelievable news about China and silver and gold.
- 1:13And I have two big warnings for you.
- 1:15Warning. Warning.
- 1:17OK, what about silver in particular?
- 1:19We're going to talk about that. But first, let's go over to our
- 1:24friends at Kitco and see what they have to say.
- 1:27Niels Christensen, hedge funds jumping into gold and silver
- 1:33ahead of a breakout. Interesting Niels, he says here.
- 1:39If silver's time to shine it, it is silver's time to shine as
- 1:43hedge funds protect themselves against higher inflation caused
- 1:47by broad based rising commodity prices.
- 1:49Yes, commodities are going up. The whole metal sector is going
- 1:54up, according to some commodity analysts.
- 1:57After reviewing the latest data from the Commodity Futures
- 1:59Trading Commission, silver has been attracting considerable
- 2:04attention as it benefits from persistently higher gold prices
- 2:08and renewed momentum in copper. We talked about this yesterday,
- 2:13right? Silver.
- 2:15Silver has a half brother named Gold who's at an all time high.
- 2:19Silver has another half brother named Copper on the industrial
- 2:23side that's also at an all time high, Analysts note, who've been
- 2:27watching us here in Ron's basement that Silver's role as
- 2:30an industrial and monetary metal is creating a perfect storm.
- 2:33OK, we just talked about that. The renewed buying momentum,
- 2:37there's a warning, OK, we're going to get to it here.
- 2:40The renewed buying momentum has pushed silver's net length to a
- 2:46one month high. The precious metal is net long
- 2:49by almost 40,000 contracts. That means more people are
- 2:53betting that silver's going to go up.
- 2:55More of the big money is betting that silver will go up.
- 3:00But they don't want you to know that.
- 3:01OK? During the survey period silver
- 3:04prices testing critical long term resistance at $29.00 per
- 3:08oz. Commodity analyst at TD
- 3:11Securities noted market conditions that led to the
- 3:15silver breakout had been building for a while.
- 3:18Notably, a shortage of silver in China points to rising imports
- 3:22on the horizon. Wait till you see this new
- 3:25information I have about China. Unbelievable.
- 3:28While the break north of $30 risk catalyzing substantial ETF
- 3:34buying activity, Yes, what happens when people in the West
- 3:39start actually buying silver on top of what is already going on
- 3:44That could substantially increase the risk of a oh oh
- 3:49this is TD Securities. This isn't just Kitco saying
- 3:52this sit down guys, because they're using the other S word,
- 3:57the double S word silver squeeze.
- 4:01Particularly with the renewal of the meme stock craze which
- 4:05filtered into silver markets last time around.
- 4:09Now here here's a little warning, however.
- 4:11It's not all sunshine, guys. We got.
- 4:13We got some potential trouble on the horizon.
- 4:16Some analysts also note that investors should be careful at
- 4:19current levels because silver can be extremely volatile.
- 4:25Silver has been extremely volatile as of late, right?
- 4:30I mean big moves up, big moves down.
- 4:33I mean, if you don't like the silver price, check back in 5
- 4:36minutes. If you do like the silver price,
- 4:38don't check back in 5 minutes because it is just moving.
- 4:42Have you noticed that extremely volatile, but I'll throw in the
- 4:46volatility has been occurring within an upward trending price
- 4:51environment. We like to call that a bull
- 4:53market quote. Other than how impressive the
- 4:57bullish break has been, the other thing that stands out is
- 5:00just how overbought silver is using the RSI.
- 5:04That's the relative strength indicator.
- 5:06It measures how much binds been going on.
- 5:10It's a technical thing on a daily time frame sitting at an
- 5:14eye watering. So it's very high, almost 80,
- 5:18said David Scoot. Wonder if he they they spelled
- 5:21his name wrong. Should be Scott Scoot.
- 5:23Never heard that market analyst at forex.com.
- 5:27To put that reading into context, there have only been
- 5:30four other occasions where the RSI has exceeded that level,
- 5:33dating all the way back to 2015, nine years ago.
- 5:37And on three of them it coincided with a near term peak.
- 5:43OK, All right. That's from our friend Neils
- 5:46over at Kitco. So basically guys, what they're
- 5:50telling us is 2 things. Hedge funds, What does that tell
- 5:54us? Big money, all right, is buying
- 5:57silver ahead of a breakout. But but be careful, because on a
- 6:02technical level, the silver price is overbought.
- 6:06OK, OK, big other big warning, let's let's cover this quickly,
- 6:10then we're going to get to China, 'cause that's where it
- 6:12gets even more exciting. But we do have another warning
- 6:16for you this morning because our friends at the Fed, this is from
- 6:22Zero Hedge, posted this. This is just today. the Fed,
- 6:28right? the Fed, they're a bank.
- 6:30Somebody tell them they're a darn bank.
- 6:32They're not a public relations firm, right.
- 6:35What needs public relations crisis?
- 6:37When do you hire a public relations firm when you're in
- 6:40crisis? Is the Fed in crisis?
- 6:42Because just today, look at all these speakers.
- 6:45Although Yellen's not technically part of the Fed,
- 6:48although she used to run the Fed before Jerome Jeremy Powell took
- 6:52over, Yellen's going to be talking today.
- 6:55We got Barkan from the Fed, Waller from the Fed, Williams
- 6:58from the Fed, Bostic Bar, and then Bostic again.
- 7:02I mean, my Lord, so we could, right?
- 7:05These Fed speakers have been known to cause tremors within
- 7:10the silver and gold within the precious metals prices, so be
- 7:14prepared, right? The Fed, they're they're rolling
- 7:17them out all to talk. But remember this, It's all a
- 7:20bunch of short term noise. the Fed is in crisis.
- 7:23That's why they're APR firm. That's why the value of the
- 7:28dollar, no matter how you slice it or dice it, no matter what
- 7:31noise you create. Do you like my T-shirt?
- 7:34Just say no to Unicorn fart dust.
- 7:36I'll talk about that later. But guys, it's all noise.
- 7:40No matter how you, no matter what they do, no matter what the
- 7:43Wizard of Oz is back there pushing all the buttons, the Fed
- 7:46speakers. At the end of the day, the value
- 7:49of the dollar unfortunately is going down, down, down, and the
- 7:53value, the real value of your metals will continue to go up.
- 7:59Let's go to China because this is where it gets interesting.
- 8:02We've got, we've got craziness going on.
- 8:05You know what? First, let's run out and do a
- 8:07check. This is always the the part
- 8:10where my blood pressure goes up. Let's go out to pin backs and
- 8:14check on the silver and gold price.
- 8:16OK, this is not up to up up this.
- 8:19Hold on. Here, let me refresh it to see
- 8:23what we've got. What?
- 8:26Oh my gosh. OK guys, so we have silver up
- 8:29$0.26 an ounce and no joke. If you notice that if you don't
- 8:33like the silver price, if it's down, if it's red, you know,
- 8:37give it 5 minutes, come back and this is what you get.
- 8:40Silver, $32 per oz. Man, think about this.
- 8:45If we'd we were talking six months ago, five months ago,
- 8:50what shoot, four months ago, was silver like $22.00 back then if
- 8:54we we'd known that silver was going to go up by $10 per oz.
- 8:58Unbelievable. Hey look, if you're dollar cost
- 9:03averaging and you are still buying silver and gold, do
- 9:06yourself a favor. Let's say thank you to Pendex.
- 9:09They sponsor the channel. They make videos and live
- 9:12streams possible. So if you want to get gold,
- 9:15silver, platinum, group metals, do yourself a favor.
- 9:17Check out Pendex. I work with Pendex.
- 9:20I did before they sponsored the channel.
- 9:22You'll get the best prices, the best service and great
- 9:26selection. They can help you out with IRA
- 9:28conversions as well. Let's go while we're here.
- 9:33Let's not not that. All right?
- 9:37What? What is?
- 9:41I'm speechless. What's going on right now in the
- 9:45silver market? In the gold market is
- 9:48unprecedented, guys. Never happened before during
- 9:53your lifetime. During my lifetime.
- 9:56And what's making it even more unbelievable, more crazy, more
- 10:02of a set up for prices for value for the ounces of metal that you
- 10:07own, for the value likely of precious metal mining stocks as
- 10:11well is the fact that China is taking over.
- 10:14They've got India as well. But what's going on in China?
- 10:18I've got some data here that that that is just absolutely
- 10:23unbelievable. Let's pull this one up.
- 10:26Let's make sure. Here we go.
- 10:36Let's just get our daily update from the Oriental Ghost.
- 10:39OK, this was at 3:00 in the morning.
- 10:43New high silver daytime close price on the Shanghai Gold
- 10:47Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit another new
- 10:50high silver vaults. This is this is the other.
- 10:54So we got two critical things new all time highs and again
- 10:58every day the amount of money in or I'm sorry, the amount of
- 11:01silver ounces in the in the vaults is dropping
- 11:05precipitously. Look at this.
- 11:07New High silver daytime High Silver vaults on the Shanghai
- 11:11Futures Exchange dropped and set yet another new low since 2020.
- 11:17All right, now let's see what else he has to tell us some
- 11:22insights. This is just from a day ago this
- 11:25again, the oriental ghosts have big contacts in China, he says.
- 11:30A friend who is now trading on site told me that the long money
- 11:34this time was very aggressive, which is never seen before off
- 11:41site. Physical silver sellers are
- 11:43adjusting prices upwards 2 times today.
- 11:48I think that the silver supply crisis and revaluation are
- 11:54approaching. OK, now next let's go to our
- 11:58friend John Little at Silver Academy.
- 12:00It gets even more interesting. Silver vaults in China continue
- 12:05to be drained. This is the price is very
- 12:08important guys. But what's going to drive the
- 12:11price at the end of the day? Think about it is the amount of
- 12:14supply versus the amount of demand in the market.
- 12:19And remember, we're getting crazy levels of demand from the
- 12:22East, from China, from India, and we're not even considering
- 12:26India Today. But don't worry, the 1.4 billion
- 12:31people in India who are getting richer by the day in building
- 12:35solar farms the size of small states here in the US love their
- 12:40silver. But what's going to drive this
- 12:43price, OK, the the price is important, OK.
- 12:46The value of your ounces is, is important.
- 12:49But in the long run what's really going to drive things are
- 12:52supply and demand. So when the supply of metal in
- 12:56the vault at the exchanges continues to be drained, that
- 13:01is, that is not a good thing for the exchanges, not a good thing
- 13:06for people that are wanting to buy silver either now or near
- 13:10term in the future. But for those of you and and you
- 13:13need to ask yourself this question, are you one of those
- 13:16people that already own silver? It's a very, very good thing
- 13:19because that silver you own is in demand right now.
- 13:23But guess what? What do you think's going to
- 13:26happen? As these vaults drain more and
- 13:28more and more that silver you're still holding will become even
- 13:32more in demand. Silver vaults in China continue
- 13:35to be drained, reaching 745 tons now below 24,000,000 oz.
- 13:42That's not a lot. The Shanghai stocks down 37.4%
- 13:47year to date. The rate of gold imports has
- 13:50inverse relation. Let's go down here, China paying
- 13:54$4.71 per oz premiums. Let's just read through a couple
- 13:58of his interesting points here. Western market riggers have
- 14:02forever lost control of rigging the silver market.
- 14:07Things change. History happens guys, and
- 14:10history is happening right now in the precious metals markets.
- 14:15The world is shifting. The power when it comes to the
- 14:20metals is shifting to the east, not just China.
- 14:23India did Q 1/20/24 more silver imports than the entire year of
- 14:272023. India will continue to import
- 14:31also via the United Arab Emirates in Dubai for tax
- 14:34savings. India imports coded for jewelry
- 14:38are mostly silver, zinc batteries manufactured by
- 14:41Rajesh. India continues to supply
- 14:44weapons for Russia and the transaction is paid for outside
- 14:48the US dollar. The this is China and India.
- 14:51Silver and gold jewelry stores are selling out.
- 14:54We know that in we know that in in China hundreds of thousands
- 15:01of people right within the last couple months have lined up to
- 15:04buy gold. Silver is on.
- 15:06The silver is on the brink of extinction and projected to run
- 15:11out before 2027. Look at this chart.
- 15:15Look at this chart. OK, this is silver on the LBMA,
- 15:19the London Bullion Market Association, right, Those fine
- 15:23boys over and girls also over in London versus the Shanghai,
- 15:27right? Silver on the, on the LBMA right
- 15:31at the at the close here they're showing 3150 an ounce silver in
- 15:36Shanghai, 3621 look at the gold line right there, OK that's
- 15:43that's the price of silver in China.
- 15:45Look at the white line, that's the price of silver in London.
- 15:49And when you look at the next chart here, it's even more this
- 15:53shows the premium. This means the difference
- 15:56between the higher price in in China versus the lower price,
- 16:01the fake artificial paper Unicorn fart dust silver price
- 16:06at the LBMA. And do you see right here we are
- 16:09here we're up to whatever it is, $4.50.
- 16:13But look over this is just over one year at at some point it was
- 16:19actually cheaper in in China. But look at what's happened
- 16:22lately as this massive change has occurred, where China is
- 16:28like, hey, we don't want your dollars, we don't want your
- 16:30treasuries anymore. We're going to give those back
- 16:34to you. We're going to convert.
- 16:35Just like you do when you buy silver, when you buy gold, you
- 16:39convert your paper money into real money.
- 16:44And I got a feeling the Chinese are doing just that as well.
- 16:46I'm going to take a quick sip of coffee
- 16:59and I got to remember to turn the microphone back on.
- 17:05Nothing like doing a live stream when the microphone.
- 17:09I bet some of you may may prefer that from time to time.
- 17:12But but one of the smartest guys I've been in the I've been in
- 17:16the silver and gold world for 20 years.
- 17:18One of the smartest guys I met in person.
- 17:20I had the pleasure of spending several hours, probably about 8
- 17:24hours all together with this guy.
- 17:26He brought up something and even he is seeing this.
- 17:31OK, this is, and I would highly recommend if you're on on X that
- 17:35you follow Jamie Carrasco. He's with the kind of cord, he's
- 17:39a, he's a very successful Canadian banker investment
- 17:44advisor up in Toronto, Super smart guy, great and probably
- 17:49one of the nicest guys too. He taught me so much.
- 17:51But anyway, he he put this this morning, the bid for physical
- 17:56silver is above $36 at the Shanghai Exchange and below $32
- 18:04at the futures based COMEX. Don't dismiss the importance of
- 18:10true price discovery is that the more they push the price.
- 18:14This is interesting. What do you think's going to
- 18:16happen to all the silver and Jamie's going to tell us right?
- 18:19The the importance of true price discovery is that the more they
- 18:22push the price down at the Comex and the LBMA, the greater the
- 18:29arbitrage to ship the physical E for premium.
- 18:33Meaning people are buying the metal, taking delivery in the
- 18:39West from the LBMA from the Comex.
- 18:42They're saying, hey, we know, right?
- 18:43This contract, I can actually take delivery and immediately
- 18:47then selling that on the Chinese market.
- 18:50That's how the Chinese are sucking that big sucking sound
- 18:54you hear. That constant sucking sound is
- 18:58all the silver, all the gold being sucked, Not yours, OK, not
- 19:03yours. But in general on the exchanges,
- 19:06all the silver and gold getting moved over sucked over to to the
- 19:12east. OK, what did Jamie Dimon?
- 19:14Did you hear what Jamie Dimon said?
- 19:16Jamie Dimon dropped a truth bomb about the US economy.
- 19:20Thank you, Don Howe, for the Super chat.
- 19:22Super appreciate it. Thank you, Sorcerer.
- 19:24Stan. Yes, this T-shirt came from the
- 19:29Sound Money Society. It says just say no to Unicorn
- 19:33fart dust and it says sound Money society approves this
- 19:39T-shirt. So here let me show you real
- 19:41quick. If you guys want to get some
- 19:43cool silver related clothes, here it is right here Sound
- 19:50money society.com. They've got all kinds of stuff
- 19:53all related to silver and gold hats.
- 19:57They sent me a hat. I'll show you that on another
- 19:59day and another T-shirt as well, but thank you.
- 20:03To our friend David at the Sound Money Society for sending this
- 20:06over, and I hope you guys are enjoying it.
- 20:07No Unicorn fart dust, right? We don't want that.
- 20:11But what's Jamie Dimon? What's going to happen here in
- 20:16the United States? It's happening.
- 20:19It is going to get ugly. That's my prediction.
- 20:22I could be wrong, right? Don't make any financial
- 20:25decisions based on anything that I'm saying here today.
- 20:28But it's gonna get ugly in the next six months in this country
- 20:33on many levels, economically and socially, I believe.
- 20:38And if in in November right, things don't get ugly
- 20:42economically, things don't get real ugly socially in this
- 20:45country. I will sit down here and say I
- 20:47was dead wrong. I hope I am wrong, OK.
- 20:50But I think the spring has been coiled.
- 20:53It's take it's gone longer into 2024 than we anticipated.
- 20:57Do you feel it right? Do you feel it?
- 21:00What did Jamie Dimon say? Let's hear what the CEO of JP
- 21:04Morgan Chase where is it? OK.
- 21:10Here from Zero Hedge talks about about what Jamie talks about how
- 21:16the market did yesterday. OK, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon
- 21:21offered his now ubiquitous, downbeat view of the foreseeable
- 21:26future. He says.
- 21:28Quote, I'm cautiously pessimistic.
- 21:31We have the most complicated geopolitical situation that most
- 21:36of us, most of us have seen since World War 2, right?
- 21:40We had the president of Slovakia get shot last week.
- 21:44We've had the Iranian president died in a helicopter crash.
- 21:48We've got the war in in the Middle East.
- 21:50We got the war in Europe. We got the situation with Taiwan
- 21:53and China. We've got trouble geopolitically
- 21:56everywhere, OK? We don't really know the full
- 22:01effect of QT. That's quantitative tightening.
- 22:04We don't know. the Fed doesn't know what it's doing.
- 22:06The Fed is sucking money out of the economy.
- 22:09Red Lobsters are shutting down. Restaurants are shutting down.
- 22:13Car lots are shutting down. I've got, I've got a couple
- 22:16stories we're going to read next from real people like you and me
- 22:20on the street that are now really starting to feel the full
- 22:25effects of this economy. I'm telling you guys, the
- 22:28momentum, the pendulum is swinging in favor of precious
- 22:32metals, but it's also swinging in a way that is, that is
- 22:37indicating that we are in for some tough economic times.
- 22:41Recession, right? Dare we say depression?
- 22:43We'll find out, he says. I find it mysterious that
- 22:47somehow referring to QT, it had this beneficial effect, but it's
- 22:53not going to have a negative effect when it goes away.
- 22:55I personally think, and I do agree with Jamie on this,
- 22:59inflation is a little bigger than people think and that rates
- 23:03may surprise people. Guys, here's the bottom line,
- 23:08OK, and don't let this scare you, but rates are probably it's
- 23:14it's it's so it's the whole Fed situation has become such a
- 23:19mirage, such a freak show. OK.
- 23:22We could talk about it for hours and hours, spin our heads around
- 23:25in all these different directions.
- 23:27But at the end of the day, the value, the real value of the
- 23:31dollar, how can you measure that?
- 23:33Go to the grocery store, go to the gas station.
- 23:35The real value of the dollar is going down, down, down, down.
- 23:39Inflation is not going away. OK.
- 23:43Rates could go up. OK.
- 23:45Interest rates could actually go up.
- 23:47Actually think about this, how could they not go up?
- 23:52You got so much debt, right? Consumer debt, business debt,
- 23:57corporate debt, government debt. All that debt needs a buyer.
- 24:02There aren't buyers out there. OK?
- 24:05So the only way that you can get people to buy debt if they don't
- 24:08want it is to make it more enticing.
- 24:10How do you make it more enticing?
- 24:12You make the rate that you pay on it go higher.
- 24:15OK? That kills the economy.
- 24:17So then what happens? I'm giving it all to you right
- 24:20now as simply as I can. OK, Then the Fed says, well, I
- 24:24guess we got to buy it. OK, so how does the Fed buy
- 24:28debt? How does the Fed buy debt from
- 24:31the government? It's real easy, right?
- 24:33They press a button on the computer.
- 24:35Go ahead and press one of your buttons.
- 24:37OK. Here.
- 24:37I'm going to press it. That's all.
- 24:38We haven't done this for a while.
- 24:40This is what the Fed's going to do.
- 24:41It's called monetizing the debt. I'm going to tell you what it
- 24:44does for the price of gold and silver.
- 24:46But they press Pi, Just press P, press P leave a comment, right,
- 24:53Guys, when they do that, that sends inflation even it's a
- 24:59spiral out of control situation that is going to be, it's going
- 25:04to be the 1970s all over again. Either that or it's going to be
- 25:08the Great Depression. That's really what we got.
- 25:11Either the 1930s coming at us and they don't want that because
- 25:15the wealthy will get hurt during that or we have the 1970s during
- 25:21either of those periods. People that coincidentally
- 25:23people that held silver and gold did very, very, very well.
- 25:28All right, let's go real quick. Let's talk about how Americans
- 25:31are suffering. You want to hear about how your
- 25:34fellow Americans behind the rosy economic data Americans struggle
- 25:39to make ends meet And read you quickly?
- 25:41A couple of story. Monica Womack, 59 year old
- 25:44resident from Maryland, has been feeling the pinch of rising
- 25:47cost. She's had to tighten her budget,
- 25:50especially for groceries and clothing.
- 25:53Now her shopping trips are primarily for essentials, a
- 25:57necessary adjustment in her life to manage the financial squeeze,
- 26:01she said, quote, I was thinking about purchasing or downsizing
- 26:05into another home, but because the interest rates are high, I
- 26:09put that off, she said. Many people are putting off
- 26:13major plans, but listen to this guy.
- 26:16Susan Garland from Elk Ridge, Maryland believes inflation
- 26:20remains one of the top issues facing the country.
- 26:23We're definitely feeling it. We are a two person family.
- 26:27Our grocery bill is now over $100 a week for for more than 10
- 26:33years. The Garland's grocery bills used
- 26:35to be $70.00 per week. I wonder what happened.
- 26:39Must be Bidenomics right? Yeah, before high inflation hit,
- 26:44she and her husband have to cut back on spending on everything
- 26:48from vacations to eating out at Red Lobster or anywhere else,
- 26:53right? This is what I'm telling you
- 26:55this. These are people who maybe once
- 26:58every six weeks went to the Big RO, went to Red Lobster and ate
- 27:01all those Cheddar Bay biscuits and had some Walt's favorite
- 27:04shrimp and had a great time. Now they can't do it.
- 27:08So guess what? Red Lobster shuts down.
- 27:11And the 30 or 40 people that work at Red Lobster, they don't
- 27:14have jobs anymore. And the guy that's catching
- 27:17shrimp and lobsters, guess what? They're not going to have jobs
- 27:20anymore, right? Because everything is falling
- 27:23apart and it all has to do with Red Lobster.
- 27:25I'm telling you back to the story and nothing to laugh
- 27:30about. Americans are suffering.
- 27:32Her husband, who's a plumber, Michael Garland, he's a year
- 27:37younger than me, says homeowners are also.
- 27:40This is interesting. Homeowners are also reducing
- 27:44their spending on services, which has a direct impact on his
- 27:48income. People are plumbing is not a
- 27:52luxury item, OK? If they can't afford services,
- 27:56they won't call me, which effects my job, he said.
- 27:59OK, so guys, things are are absolutely slowing down out
- 28:05there. I think that there's there's
- 28:06more and more of these stories. People are dipping into their
- 28:08retirement accounts. It's just a big, a big, big
- 28:12mess. Hey, I got AI got a report for
- 28:14you from the street from from the coin shop.
- 28:19OK, about what's going on right now, right now.
- 28:23Well, this was yesterday, but yesterday I talked with Coin
- 28:27Shop. Chris, he's telling me that
- 28:30people are buying silver like crazy.
- 28:34OK, but what's interesting, they aren't buying American Silver
- 28:38Eagles. The number of American Silver
- 28:40Eagles, right, This beautiful, wonderful coin that has is near
- 28:45and dear to all of our hearts. Gosh, I love that coin.
- 28:49It really is beautiful. Anyway, people aren't buying
- 28:52them. Why?
- 28:53Because the premiums are so high.
- 28:55The premiums are like, what, $10 now per coin?
- 28:58So people are, I want to make sure I get this right.
- 29:02People are buying things like maples, things like bars,
- 29:06rounds. And he's seeing an uptick in
- 29:09people buying junk silver, right, the 90%.
- 29:13But 1964, in earlier silver products, he did note that he's
- 29:18seeing gold. While American Silver Eagles
- 29:20aren't necessarily selling that well that Gold Eagles are
- 29:24selling, he's starting to see a pick up in people buying Gold
- 29:27Eagles as well. But the bottom line is people
- 29:30are coming into the shop and they're having robust metal
- 29:34sales. Think about what does that tell
- 29:36us? OK, and that's just one guy from
- 29:38one shop and our favorite guy from from from Ron's basement at
- 29:42a coin shop. Coin shop.
- 29:43Chris, we love him but right? And I talked to him and talked
- 29:47to him pretty much every day the last two or three years.
- 29:49He's there's days where sales are way down.
- 29:52He's seen a big pick up. What does that tell us?
- 29:56OK, let's talk about, let's cut, let's talk about, I'm gonna pull
- 29:59this up for you. Premiums, OK.
- 30:02We're gonna look at the premiums on the silver products.
- 30:05But when we get a pick up in retail investor demand, which
- 30:09we've not yet had, that could be, that could be the straw that
- 30:14broke the camel's back, right. Put that in your pipe and smoke
- 30:18it. That could be what's needed to
- 30:22really drive. We've not even had with this
- 30:26whole silver mania going on guys.
- 30:30Is is just with this exclusive club that you're a part of.
- 30:35I'm a part of, right? We've not had the general
- 30:39public. We've not had the mainstream
- 30:41media catch on yet. And there's a reason for that,
- 30:45right? They don't wanna they don't want
- 30:46people buying silver. They don't want you to own
- 30:49silver. They don't want you in silver.
- 30:52They want you in debt. They want you in credit, which
- 30:57is paper money. Unicorn fart dust.
- 31:00U.S. dollars when you're when you're when people start waking
- 31:03up. And I'm telling you, it's
- 31:05starting. But when it really happens, it's
- 31:07gonna be a massive amount of new people coming into the silver
- 31:11sector, and the market can't absorb it.
- 31:14It's a very slender, but it's the one of the parts of the
- 31:18margin that really drives the price.
- 31:21It's not that big. There's not that much physical
- 31:23metal out there available for retail investors.
- 31:27OK, It's gonna be. And then when people can't buy
- 31:30it at their local coin shop, what are they gonna do?
- 31:32They're gonna buy the ETFs, OK? Hopefully they'll buy PSLV, The
- 31:37Sprott Physical Trust, which most people that I respect say
- 31:41actually holds the metal, the real metal, right.
- 31:46But nonetheless, it's it. It's we've we've gotten where
- 31:52we've gotten with a major handicap.
- 31:56Not us. We're not handicapped.
- 31:58No. You're financially literate.
- 31:59You know what's going on. You.
- 32:01We've gotten where we've gotten, though in this market with
- 32:05nobody, with very little, with muted investor demand in the
- 32:09West. If that investor demand comes
- 32:11on, Katie bar the door. OK, buckle up, Buttercup.
- 32:15It's time to watch some feathers fly.
- 32:18It's time to put boots on the warehouse floor.
- 32:20I don't know how else to say it to you, but it's going to be a
- 32:23very, very interesting situation.
- 32:26Let's go. Let's go down here.
- 32:28Hold on here. Ante stage.
- 32:31There we go. And boom, that's not what I want
- 32:36to show you. That's not what I want to show
- 32:39you. That's not what I want to show
- 32:41you. That's the silver rainbow.
- 32:43Hold on. Oh, hey, up there.
- 32:45That's not. That's me at Six Flags on
- 32:47Saturday with my I love silver shirt on with my daughter and
- 32:51her friend. Back here, back here, back here.
- 32:54This is what I want to show you. Sorry.
- 32:59OK, we're almost to 300 thumbs up.
- 33:01I will bring the gong when we get to 300 thumbs up.
- 33:04Now guys, this is the premiums on 90% junk silver.
- 33:08OK, look at this. Premiums are still, we can say
- 33:13pretty much in the historical low range.
- 33:17OK. What does that tell us?
- 33:18That tells us one thing, retail demand is down, down, down.
- 33:23Also if you are looking to add to your stack, right, from a
- 33:27historical perspective, I mean look at the, this is the
- 33:31percentage premium. So we're, I don't know, we're at
- 33:336789 percent, it's going up and it's gonna if we get into what
- 33:39we think could be coming in the silver market, these premiums
- 33:43could easily go back to 30, right.
- 33:46And we see times when they spike up to 50.
- 33:48But what's very interesting, what's very interesting, this, I
- 33:52zoomed in. This is just like the last four
- 33:56years. OK, so look in the Gray line.
- 34:01Hold on here. OK, But yeah, the Gray line is
- 34:05spot silver, and the blue line is the premium with the 90%
- 34:10coins. Look how that wide that gap was
- 34:13and how close it is right now tells you two things.
- 34:16Now's a good time to be buying 90% if you're a person who wants
- 34:20to buy some silver. The other thing is when that gap
- 34:24widens, OK, that will be that not that means more than you're
- 34:28just paying more for your silver, that means more than
- 34:31you're just paying a higher premium.
- 34:33That means that demand has gone up as well.
- 34:37And I can foresee a day, no doubt where we're going to be.
- 34:40We're going to be talking about you and me going to your local
- 34:44coin shop and they're not being any silver available.
- 34:48Let's take a look at this right. Our favorite chart of all this
- 34:52is a chart of silver that I drew by hand going back to 1980.
- 34:56This is the Cup and handle. But there's two massive bonus
- 35:02the Cup and Handle alone is reason for silver investors to
- 35:06be crazy optimistic about $100 silver 150.
- 35:12You know, who knows higher than that, even.
- 35:15But as you see, 1980 we hit $50 silver, 2011 we had $50 silver.
- 35:21Now we're in the handle, OK, that's the cup, the 50 to 50,
- 35:25now we're in the handle. But interesting things are
- 35:29happening within the handle because within this handle and
- 35:33this is a massive long term formation that occurred in the
- 35:38longer the period of time over which it occurred the more
- 35:41powerful and predictable. By the way by the way it is
- 35:45interesting interesting for you to note we had a similar cup and
- 35:50handle type pattern in the gold market before gold broke out.
- 35:54OK and and it's they're saying it's the most perfect cup and
- 35:57handle textbook situation When the silver one breaks out again
- 36:03that it it needs to get above 50 to officially have broken out
- 36:07$50 per oz for silver. But within this handle, OK,
- 36:12where I drew that little box is Now there's two interesting
- 36:16things that happened. Number one, we broke out of a
- 36:19wedge. Remember, over like a year or
- 36:21two year period, silver bounced around between, I don't know,
- 36:24like 21 and $24.00 per oz. And it got more and more and
- 36:28more compressed. We did break out of that.
- 36:31We also have an inverse, head and shoulders.
- 36:34I forgot inverse and I spelled shoulders wrong.
- 36:37I took five points off for spelling.
- 36:39None the less we're in the process of breaking out of an
- 36:43inverse head and shoulders pattern.
- 36:45Again, these are on shorter time periods.
- 36:47These are embedded within this handle that we have on the
- 36:52silver chart. So things are looking crazy,
- 36:55interesting and very good in the silver market as well.
- 36:59And you know right the mining stocks are offering unbelievable
- 37:04value right now. I want to say thanks to 1st
- 37:06Mining Gold for sponsoring Ron's basement.
- 37:08It's a stock that I own along with Fortuna Silver, who also
- 37:12sponsors Ron's basement. I'm not giving financial advice.
- 37:16Owning physical metals is risky. Owning mining stocks is risky.
- 37:22So I'm not telling you what to do.
- 37:24I'm just telling you what I own and thanking them for sponsoring
- 37:27me here in the basement. They're both companies that I
- 37:30believe in first mining gold. You can learn more about them at
- 37:33firstmininggold.com. Fortuna silver@fortunasilver.com
- 37:40Let's move on. Silver can mute.
- 37:43So let's remember this. Let's remember something
- 37:47critical as a silver investor. And that is that silver can move
- 37:50huge and quickly. I got to ring the gong.
- 37:54Thank you, Susie. Susie's yelling at me from
- 37:56upstairs. So you know what?
- 37:57Let me ring that gong, and we're going to get back to talking
- 38:02about this foot. All right.
- 38:09There's three rings of the gong for you, right?
- 38:16Because you, the viewer, the basement welders are the most
- 38:19important part of this show. Silver can move huge and
- 38:22quickly. How can the dollar not be
- 38:26falling? OK.
- 38:27Every time you go, you're ahead of the game to the grocery
- 38:29store. You get the proof you're ahead
- 38:31of the game. Alabama, Alabama.
- 38:35What about it's exciting as a precious metals investor, and
- 38:40this is so we don't, I don't think we appreciate how
- 38:43important this is as Americans, those of you who are in America,
- 38:48we got people from all over the world, but even people from all
- 38:51over the world. This is important to the silver
- 38:53and gold community because it protects you #1 and #2.
- 39:00It will lead to higher prices for silver and gold and that is
- 39:04the growing number of states that are passing legal tender
- 39:07legislation. And wait till you hear what this
- 39:10guy said. Very, very interesting.
- 39:15Here we go from Zero Hedge again.
- 39:21Signed into law, Alabama abolishes income taxes on gold
- 39:26and silver, blah, blah, blah. Alabama Alabama Governor Kay
- 39:30Ivey last week signed a bill that removes all income taxes on
- 39:34capital gains from the sale of gold and silver, enabling the
- 39:38state to take an important step forward in reinforcing sound
- 39:41money principles. This is where it gets
- 39:44interesting. Who's Nelson?
- 39:46OK, it was championed by Senator Tim Nelson, but listen to what
- 39:50Nelson said. Well shoot, I just dropped
- 39:53Susie. Hold on I'll get her back up
- 39:55here in a second. And I need I don't have you
- 39:57turned on Susie. There you go.
- 40:02OK, Nelson said gold and silver have served as pillars these are
- 40:07these are your these. I'm not usually a big fan of
- 40:10politicians, are you? But some of these guys are
- 40:13actually really talking like sense silver and gold, pillars
- 40:17of economic stability throughout the history, throughout history,
- 40:21and are even mentioned by name in the United States
- 40:24Constitution. By eliminating taxes on
- 40:28transactions involving precious metals, we affirm our commitment
- 40:34to upholding the principles of sound money and protecting the
- 40:39savings of our constituents. How could they charge capital
- 40:45gains? And the federal government still
- 40:47does it on silver and gold. The founders of the country,
- 40:52Hamilton, right. I think these consider that they
- 40:55broke this into the US Constitution.
- 40:57How can you charge taxes on the supposed gain in value?
- 41:03Gold and silver don't don't change.
- 41:05It's the dollar that changes. Gold and silver are the money.
- 41:09It'd be like it'd be like if you know you at the end of the year
- 41:13getting charged a tax on the amount of money you have in a
- 41:16bank account in U.S. dollars because the dollar went up in
- 41:19value. Whatever, you know, it's
- 41:21absolutely crazy. It is widely known that quote
- 41:24gains realized from the sales of precious metals don't reflect
- 41:29genuine value appreciation, but rather reflect the continue.
- 41:33Here he goes. Depreciation of the US dollar.
- 41:37Despite this reality, the Internal Revenue Service takes
- 41:41the position that federal income taxes should be paid on such
- 41:45transactions, and most states find themselves taking this
- 41:49position by default. OK, let's just go through the
- 41:52states, OK? Some of the most more recent
- 41:56developments that we have and see if your state's on this
- 41:58list. Nebraska passed their own
- 42:04version of this bill earlier this year.
- 42:07Yes, Arizona, Arkansas and Utah approved similar measures in
- 42:11recent years and Iowa, Georgia, Oklahoma, Missouri and Kansas
- 42:16also considered income tax exemptions in 2024, with several
- 42:21approving the bill across multiple committees and
- 42:24chambers. Unfortunately, I can tell you it
- 42:26did not get passed in Missouri. Alabama and I will have Pat
- 42:30Holland on next week to give us an update.
- 42:32Abalama, I love Alabama. We go there every year in
- 42:35November joins Utah, Wisconsin, Nebraska.
- 42:39Kentucky has states to have enacted pro sound money
- 42:42legislation so far in 2024. But what about the Moon man?
- 42:47Alex Mooney? The Moon man reintroduced the
- 42:54Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act last week to eliminate the
- 42:59Federal Capital gains tax on all gold and silver bullion
- 43:03products. We love Alex Mooney.
- 43:05So there's an update for us in terms of what's going on right
- 43:08now is your state. Do you understand what a big
- 43:11deal that is? Right it not just from a tax
- 43:15perspective, but also from your ability to hold gold and silver
- 43:20for your state to recognize it. I think it was Utah even passed
- 43:24legislation now where they're going to put 10% or up to 10% of
- 43:30the state's reserve funds into silver and gold.
- 43:33What if every state did that? Think about it.
- 43:36OK, Think about it. It's interesting developments.
- 43:39All right, guys. What?
- 43:42Oh, well, I got more, more. Hold on.
- 43:44I want to say thank you. Somebody sent me something
- 43:47awesome in the mail yesterday. My friend David from the from
- 43:52out West. We'll leave it at that.
- 43:54This. I've never received one of these
- 43:56before. This is a first majestic, I
- 44:01guess you'd say silver round. And man, I want to get a see if
- 44:05I can get a good shot for you guys.
- 44:07It is absolutely beautiful. Now I'm not getting too good of
- 44:12a shot. It's a very silver.
- 44:13So hard to focus on because it's so beautiful.
- 44:16So thank you to my friend. I love when I get silver in the
- 44:19mail. You want to make me smile?
- 44:22Send me an e-mail and send me some silver in the mail, 'cause
- 44:24it really, really makes me smile.
- 44:26And it's a great show of appreciation.
- 44:28And I want you to know I really do appreciate it.
- 44:32Inflation is not going away. OK, guys, that's the deal.
- 44:38And at the end of the day, what inflation?
- 44:40Think about this. It's so easy, so simple and so
- 44:43critical for you if you're a gold investor or a silver
- 44:47investor. The Federal Reserve has a
- 44:52target, right, of 2% inflation. Never going to happen.
- 44:57The numbers are all cooked anyway.
- 44:58You know that. But the Federal Reserve has a
- 45:01target to steal 2% of your money every year, right?
- 45:06If you're an average guy, average woman who works and
- 45:09tries to save a little bit, right?
- 45:11They're they want to steal 2%. Why does that make any sense?
- 45:15It doesn't make any sense. Remember the good old days,
- 45:18right? It wasn't the case.
- 45:20This is not a dollar. This is a silver certificate
- 45:26redeemable for silver. It's not that there aren't that.
- 45:30The new dollar is completely different.
- 45:32OK, that's that's what they inflation is not going away.
- 45:37We could see higher interest rates be prepared and which is
- 45:43going to mess with everybody's brain and and initially we're
- 45:46going to, people are going to think, oh, that's bad for silver
- 45:48and gold, that's bad. No, no.
- 45:51Because you know what the inflation rate is going to stay
- 45:54higher than the interest rate and that my friends will be,
- 45:58will continue to be and the dollar is going to get stronger.
- 46:03What? What?
- 46:03All all that noise. What?
- 46:06All that matters right is that when you go to the grocery store
- 46:10and a loaf of bread cost $0.20 more than it did a week before,
- 46:14the value of your money is going down, down, down.
- 46:17And I'm going to tell you in the long run, silver and gold will
- 46:21maintain their value. Thanks for being here.
- 46:24I appreciate you guys. Thanks to our sponsors.
- 46:26Go check out pin backs if you're looking to buy some silver, gold
- 46:29or platinum. If you're interested in mining
- 46:31stocks, read about Do your own due diligence first.
- 46:35Mining gold, Fortuna, Silver and I will see you tomorrow.
- 46:39Thank you.