Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Starbucks Sales Accelerate as Turnaround Gains Steam
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- 0:23Speaker 2: Through the Starbucks reported some pretty darn good numbers today.
- 0:28Speaker 2: Mike tell us about what's going on in Starbucks.
- 0:33Speaker 3: You know, the turnaround plans are starting to really take
- 0:37Speaker 3: a whole take a hold right now, and results really improved, rising,
- 0:43Speaker 3: you know, four percent system wide same store sales US
- 0:47Speaker 3: as well.
- 0:47Speaker 4: China was up seven percent.
- 0:49Speaker 3: You know here in the US, it's you know, mainly
- 0:52Speaker 3: about better operations, right. They rolled out new operating standards
- 0:58Speaker 3: late last year, and that they seem to be really
- 1:01Speaker 3: boosting the speed of service, which is creating happier customers
- 1:05Speaker 3: that come back more frequently.
- 1:07Speaker 5: Right.
- 1:08Speaker 3: Some food innovation including protein cold foam seems to be
- 1:12Speaker 3: hitting the mark, right, and they're doing a better job
- 1:15Speaker 3: on the marketing side. So all those are driving drove
- 1:19Speaker 3: better same Star sales than expected.
- 1:21Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know the one I go to the
- 1:24Speaker 2: Starbucks route thirty five all Township, New Jersey. They do
- 1:27Speaker 2: a great job for me, and I've noticed the change.
- 1:30Speaker 2: I mean, you know, little things like you know, writing
- 1:33Speaker 2: your name back on the cup like they used to
- 1:34Speaker 2: back in the early days. As in addition to that
- 1:36Speaker 2: sticker which was a little antiseptic. I guess talk us
- 1:40Speaker 2: back costs there. Are they looking at their costs as well.
- 1:45Speaker 3: Yeah, they've identified two billion dollars in annual costs that
- 1:49Speaker 3: they want to get after over the next one to
- 1:51Speaker 3: two years.
- 1:53Speaker 4: You know, right now, margins have been impacted.
- 1:55Speaker 3: They've gotten those same star sales and traffic numbers up
- 1:58Speaker 3: by adding labor to the stores, right, and so they're
- 2:01Speaker 3: seeing margin compression still. So now that they got people
- 2:05Speaker 3: coming back to the stores, now that the operations are
- 2:08Speaker 3: more dialed in, you know, CEO Brian Nichol said, they're
- 2:11Speaker 3: not quite where they need to be throughout the day.
- 2:13Speaker 4: They're great at peak, but they have some improvement still
- 2:15Speaker 4: to do.
- 2:16Speaker 3: But you know, now that people are coming back to
- 2:18Speaker 3: the stores, they're gonna you know, focus a little bit
- 2:21Speaker 3: more on where they can save some money because you know,
- 2:25Speaker 3: it was a smart move real reallocating labor into the stores.
- 2:28Speaker 2: But Costley talk just about the competitive environment because you
- 2:31Speaker 2: go to like, I don't know, small towns, seems like
- 2:34Speaker 2: there's a coffee joint on every corner of these days.
- 2:37Speaker 2: What's the competitive landscape for Starbucks these days.
- 2:41Speaker 3: Well, you know, it's as it's as competitive as it's
- 2:43Speaker 3: ever been. You know, you have some of these younger
- 2:47Speaker 3: chains that seem to do really well with gen z
- 2:50Speaker 3: like Dutch Bros. And Seven Brew, and they're they're opening
- 2:55Speaker 3: up these drive through cans, you know, throughout the suburbs
- 2:59Speaker 3: across America, you know, in the cities. You know, there's
- 3:03Speaker 3: a lot of competition with these you know, very high
- 3:06Speaker 3: end coffee shops that are you know, using very you know,
- 3:10Speaker 3: very high quality coffee and and elevate and offering an
- 3:14Speaker 3: elevated food experience. So competition is tough, and that's why
- 3:18Speaker 3: you know Starbucks is is making some changes. You know,
- 3:21Speaker 3: they're focusing on on health and wellness, right They're looking
- 3:24Speaker 3: to improve the food in the bake case, They're looking
- 3:27Speaker 3: to improve the food or throughout the day they're looking
- 3:29Speaker 3: into some new innovative drink offerings to boost that that
- 3:33Speaker 3: afternoon day part. And so you know, this this is
- 3:37Speaker 3: just the beginning of what Starbucks, you know, things they
- 3:40Speaker 3: need to do for long term continued same Star sales growth.
- 3:45Speaker 2: Also, Brinker International, another big restaurant holding company here, boosted
- 3:51Speaker 2: its full year profit. Outlook what's going on in Brinker.
- 3:55Speaker 4: More of the same.
- 3:56Speaker 3: And you know CEO Kevin Hawkman worked at Young Brands
- 4:01Speaker 3: with Brian Nickels, so it shouldn't be a surprise that
- 4:04Speaker 3: they have had similar turnaround plans. Obviously, Kevin started his
- 4:08Speaker 3: a little bit earlier than Brian's, but it was about operations,
- 4:12Speaker 3: then improving the marketing. Right now, it's about continuing to
- 4:16Speaker 3: work on the food and the food quality.
- 4:18Speaker 4: So they started by.
- 4:20Speaker 3: You know, taking menu items off of the menu to
- 4:23Speaker 3: make it easier to execute, make sure people are getting
- 4:26Speaker 3: their food hot and fast. But now this year, the
- 4:29Speaker 3: story is really about improving the quality and the portions.
- 4:33Speaker 3: Nacho sales jumped one hundred and seventy percent on a relaunch.
- 4:40Speaker 4: They improved the bacon. Bacon burger sales are up thirty
- 4:43Speaker 4: or forty percent. They had a caso relaunch.
- 4:47Speaker 3: You know, those sales are up twenty percent, right so
- 4:49Speaker 3: so you know they're the money that they're spending, which
- 4:53Speaker 3: is going to impact their cost of sales negatively. You know,
- 4:58Speaker 3: customers are seeing the improvement and they're there. It's resulting
- 5:02Speaker 3: in higher satisfaction and customers are coming back.
- 5:04Speaker 4: And that's a great story. Man.
- 5:06Speaker 3: They did a you know, eight plus percent same stor
- 5:09Speaker 3: sales comp at Chili's comping over a thirty plus percent.
- 5:12Speaker 4: You know, I've never seen this in the restaurant business.
- 5:15Speaker 4: I saw incredible.
- 5:16Speaker 2: I saw the company did call out the Chili's All right,
- 5:18Speaker 2: thirty seconds left, Cracker Barrel. My favorites up eighteen percent
- 5:22Speaker 2: year to date. We got a little bit of life there.
- 5:25Speaker 4: Listen.
- 5:26Speaker 3: I think there's life throughout the restaurant industry. I think
- 5:28Speaker 3: same star sales are going to increase. They were strong
- 5:31Speaker 3: in January up until winter Storm Fern. But I think
- 5:35Speaker 3: I think, you know, tax relief and cheaper gas prices
- 5:39Speaker 3: and just a better economy are and less inflation are
- 5:43Speaker 3: all going to help restaurants spending this year.
- 5:46Speaker 6: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 5:53Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
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- 6:07Speaker 7: It is earning season as well, and AT and T
- 6:10Speaker 7: has reported earnings. It's revenue beat estimates thanks to broadband strength.
- 6:15Speaker 7: Let's bring in John Butler. He is our go to
- 6:17Speaker 7: guy when it comes to the telecom's names. He's our
- 6:19Speaker 7: senior telecom analyst on Bloomberg Intelligence covering AT and T,
- 6:24Speaker 7: covering Verizon, covering te Mobile. Where does AT and T
- 6:27Speaker 7: stand relative to its competitors, Because as much as it's
- 6:30Speaker 7: getting a boost from customers who subscribe to its broadband services,
- 6:34Speaker 7: this is a saturated market and it's competing against big
- 6:39Speaker 7: players and small players alike.
- 6:41Speaker 5: Yeah, it's a great question. Scorelet you know, post the
- 6:45Speaker 5: earnings call, they held a breakout session with the mester
- 6:48Speaker 5: relations with the cell side, and there were a lot
- 6:51Speaker 5: of questions about how broadband or how competition is now
- 6:56Speaker 5: shifting from wireless over to broadband. I actually think AT
- 7:02Speaker 5: and T is in a great position relative to their
- 7:05Speaker 5: competitors because they're the fiber leader and they're about to
- 7:09Speaker 5: buy Luhmann's fiber business and add another million fiber subscribers there.
- 7:15Speaker 5: So in terms of their ability to sell what are
- 7:19Speaker 5: called converged packages or wireless together with broadband. They're in
- 7:24Speaker 5: a great position there because they have both fiber and
- 7:28Speaker 5: they have a smaller fixed wireless access business, which is
- 7:31Speaker 5: that wireless broadband product.
- 7:34Speaker 2: John, this is a coup of AT and T that
- 7:36Speaker 2: spends twenty twenty two billion dollars in capex every year.
- 7:40Speaker 6: What does that capex for?
- 7:41Speaker 5: Typically a lot of it, Paul is going towards wireless
- 7:47Speaker 5: network upgrades as well as the deployment of fibers. So
- 7:51Speaker 5: this year, for example, they're going to add five million
- 7:54Speaker 5: new fiber homes, but it costs about two thousand dollars
- 7:59Speaker 5: maybe twice that in some markets to build a new
- 8:02Speaker 5: what's called the fiber homes pass. So a lot of
- 8:06Speaker 5: capital is getting spent this year, next year, and maybe
- 8:10Speaker 5: to a little bit of a lesser degree in twenty eight.
- 8:12Speaker 5: That's sort of laying the foundation to build out that
- 8:16Speaker 5: fiber network and that five G wireless network. Beyond that,
- 8:21Speaker 5: AT and T has said, we're going to cut our
- 8:23Speaker 5: cap backs, we're going to lower our capital intensity, and
- 8:27Speaker 5: you're going to see a lot more free cash flow
- 8:30Speaker 5: flow through and they're going to be able to fund
- 8:33Speaker 5: hopefully some dividend growth after that and increase the share buyback. Yeah.
- 8:37Speaker 7: I'm looking at the dividend yield for AT and T
- 8:40Speaker 7: four point six percent. For Verizon, it's almost seven percent.
- 8:44Speaker 7: For Team Mobile a little bit less at two point
- 8:46Speaker 7: nineteen percent. John, Where did the telecom stand when it
- 8:50Speaker 7: comes to this rotation out of big tech looking for
- 8:53Speaker 7: some cyclicals, looking for parts of the market that haven't
- 8:57Speaker 7: been overbought.
- 9:01Speaker 8: So it's a good question.
- 9:03Speaker 5: Scorelet I always say telecoms, particularly the dividend payers like
- 9:07Speaker 5: AT and T and Verizon, are are bond proxies to
- 9:11Speaker 5: a degree. I think sentiment has been pushed around a
- 9:15Speaker 5: little bit by the fact that we have new CEOs
- 9:17Speaker 5: at both Verizon and T Mobile, and these guys are
- 9:21Speaker 5: going to be looking to make their mark. Verizon on
- 9:24Speaker 5: Friday is going to set out a new strategy set
- 9:27Speaker 5: by Dan Shulman.
- 9:28Speaker 8: Who is the new CEO there.
- 9:31Speaker 5: So there's been a little bit of concern, or more
- 9:34Speaker 5: than a little bit of concern that the competitive intensity
- 9:37Speaker 5: and wireless is going to pick up as these new
- 9:40Speaker 5: CEOs look to make their mark, and I think that
- 9:43Speaker 5: has led to some of the pressure, particularly on AT
- 9:47Speaker 5: and T. Though again this morning. I think they put
- 9:50Speaker 5: a lot of those concerns to rest with their by
- 9:53Speaker 5: reiterating their fiber plans and laying out new free cash
- 9:57Speaker 5: flow guidance.
- 9:59Speaker 6: John.
- 9:59Speaker 2: On the competitive land front, where are the cable companies
- 10:02Speaker 2: these days?
- 10:04Speaker 5: They're struggling, Paul, I mean they're at a technology disadvantage
- 10:08Speaker 5: in that they're offering broadband over those legacy coaxial cable networks.
- 10:14Speaker 5: They're doing what they can to upgrade the technology and
- 10:18Speaker 5: increase speeds on those networks, but at the end of
- 10:22Speaker 5: the day, fiber really is a superior product to everything
- 10:26Speaker 5: else on the market, and fixed wireless access, which has
- 10:30Speaker 5: been offered by the telcos, has been a very popular
- 10:34Speaker 5: choice given the fact that it's an easy setup. It's
- 10:38Speaker 5: over the air, so there's very little problems with it.
- 10:41Speaker 5: It's pretty much problem free. As broadband goes over time,
- 10:45Speaker 5: it sort of has a headroom problem. It can't offer
- 10:47Speaker 5: the same speeds as fiber. But through it all, cable
- 10:51Speaker 5: is sort of flying underneath those two products, sort of,
- 10:56Speaker 5: you know, trying to compete with what is a legacy
- 10:59Speaker 5: product in the market.
- 11:01Speaker 7: John, did we learn anything from AT and t's results
- 11:04Speaker 7: regarding iPhones and you know consumers signing on for the
- 11:08Speaker 7: latest version of the iPhone.
- 11:10Speaker 5: So great question. It's very interesting at and T over
- 11:14Speaker 5: indexes to the iPhone. They have a lot more users
- 11:17Speaker 5: than Verizon or T Mobile because they had an early
- 11:21Speaker 5: exclusivity deal when the iPhone first launched. They were asked
- 11:26Speaker 5: about the foldable iPhone that's rumored to be coming out
- 11:30Speaker 5: next year and whether that's really going to move the
- 11:33Speaker 5: dial for them. Their answer to me was interesting, I
- 11:36Speaker 5: didn't expect it, which is they've been tracking the performance
- 11:41Speaker 5: and the sales of the foldables that they have available
- 11:45Speaker 5: on the network today on the Android side, and their
- 11:48Speaker 5: expectation is that we won't see a huge bump in
- 11:51Speaker 5: iPhone sales next year with a foldable model model. I
- 11:55Speaker 5: think time will tell. I actually think foldables are going
- 11:59Speaker 5: to resonate well with people, and Android.
- 12:03Speaker 8: Isn't always the best read through there.
- 12:06Speaker 5: I think it's a different kind of user that's on
- 12:08Speaker 5: the Android phone versus iPhone.
- 12:10Speaker 8: But we'll have to see in the fall.
- 12:12Speaker 2: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 12:19Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live
- 12:23Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple corplay and Android
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- 12:30Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 12:34Speaker 6: Caroline Hydroints is here.
- 12:35Speaker 2: So there's just a lot going on in the world
- 12:36Speaker 2: of tech and Caroline heidaz b tech co anchor. I'm
- 12:39Speaker 2: gonna start with ASML some really big numbers over the night, Caroline,
- 12:43Speaker 2: from this big chip maker that I guess that bodes
- 12:46Speaker 2: well for folks that want to see continued momentum and
- 12:49Speaker 2: AI spending if nothing else.
- 12:50Speaker 9: Might not bide well for fear their employees.
- 12:54Speaker 2: See a company put out such a strong earnings and
- 12:56Speaker 2: then at the same time combine it with headcut something.
- 12:58Speaker 9: This is AI, folks, This is AI. This is efficiency,
- 13:01Speaker 9: this is agility, as the CEO causes, it's actually shares
- 13:05Speaker 9: that have now turned red, which is interesting. We're trying
- 13:07Speaker 9: to delve into the reasoning why because they booked record
- 13:10Speaker 9: all orders thirteen point two billion euros worth. In fact,
- 13:13Speaker 9: they're trying to point us to the fact that orders
- 13:15Speaker 9: aren't the big tell anymore and don't always look at
- 13:17Speaker 9: our backlog. But more broadly, this is a company that
- 13:19Speaker 9: has lit a far underneath European peers today, SMI is
- 13:24Speaker 9: up and awful. Lot B semon Conductor is up a lot.
- 13:26Speaker 9: You've seen LAMB researcher in the United States of prime Materials,
- 13:28Speaker 9: because this is the chip equipment maker to the world,
- 13:32Speaker 9: in particular to China. In fact, most of its sales
- 13:34Speaker 9: still go to China, even though I will tell you
- 13:37Speaker 9: they sell their eighth generation lithography cup not even allow
- 13:42Speaker 9: to ship lithography, but their chip equipment is so old.
- 13:45Speaker 9: But still China needs that deprecated chip equipment manufacturing ability
- 13:50Speaker 9: because they want to make their own domestic chips. Now
- 13:53Speaker 9: we're also seeing the fact that they're good in Taiwan.
- 13:56Speaker 9: They're saying strength in the United States as we build
- 13:58Speaker 9: out domestic chip manufacturing here as well. And that's why
- 14:01Speaker 9: Intel has been so much higher to Dell as well,
- 14:02Speaker 9: because it really is just to tell, like TSMC was,
- 14:05Speaker 9: that this is an AI bubble, this is real orders
- 14:08Speaker 9: for real chip manufacturing. And the CEO had said, look,
- 14:12Speaker 9: we've got a lot of clarity in the last three months,
- 14:14Speaker 9: so much clarity in fact that they are making those
- 14:16Speaker 9: seventeen hundred job cuts where they're trying to be more agile,
- 14:19Speaker 9: where they're innovation and they're cutting out from the IT
- 14:22Speaker 9: and the tech part of the business.
- 14:23Speaker 7: Okay, Well, speaking of job cuts, another big name announcing
- 14:27Speaker 7: job cuts as Amazon sixteen thousand corporate jobs.
- 14:31Speaker 9: And that's thirty thousand in the last three months that
- 14:34Speaker 9: they've announced. So this is a company that signaled this
- 14:36Speaker 9: like Andy Jasse in his letter to his shareholders had said,
- 14:40Speaker 9: I am going to make AI work for me. But
- 14:43Speaker 9: what does that mean. I'm going to have a smaller
- 14:46Speaker 9: employee base. He's trying to strip out that layer of
- 14:50Speaker 9: management and bureaucracy that built up during COVID where many
- 14:53Speaker 9: would say big companies over hired in that period, and
- 14:57Speaker 9: therefore we're starting to still see the area of being
- 15:00Speaker 9: fixated on where they will rehire is areas of AI,
- 15:04Speaker 9: of areas of AGI, and areas of LLM and all
- 15:07Speaker 9: the areas of growth for the business. So they are
- 15:10Speaker 9: going to try over the ninety days find new homes
- 15:13Speaker 9: for some of these laid off employees, but fourteen thousand
- 15:16Speaker 9: of them, they're not going to find homes for all
- 15:18Speaker 9: of those. But this is again about efficiency for the company.
- 15:21Speaker 8: Yep.
- 15:21Speaker 2: Absolutely, Soft Bank in talks to invest thirty billion dollars
- 15:26Speaker 2: more into Open AI A. The numbers are just monsters,
- 15:30Speaker 2: but the valuation, you know, about seven hundred and fifty
- 15:33Speaker 2: billion dollars.
- 15:34Speaker 6: I mean SoftBank's all in on this AI, think yeah.
- 15:37Speaker 9: And Massa is really committing to open A in particular. Look,
- 15:40Speaker 9: the number one holding for SoftBank as far has been
- 15:42Speaker 9: arm and that is all about chip design in the
- 15:45Speaker 9: future of artificial intelligence in that direction. But this would
- 15:47Speaker 9: actually probably bring their number one exposure, their number one
- 15:50Speaker 9: stake to being open AI if they put this thirty
- 15:52Speaker 9: billion into work. And this is why Massa has been
- 15:55Speaker 9: selling down his Nvidia steake, has been trying to free
- 15:59Speaker 9: up capital to get in on the gender to AI
- 16:01Speaker 9: move that in many ways people would say you kind
- 16:04Speaker 9: of missed from its own business model perspective, But he's
- 16:06Speaker 9: really tried to late claim to betting on some of
- 16:09Speaker 9: the biggest makers. Remember they just bought Ampere as well,
- 16:11Speaker 9: which is another chip manufacturing company which was backed by
- 16:15Speaker 9: Oracle previously. But Masa all in, you know, is a
- 16:18Speaker 9: guy who makes big bets. Sometimes they work really well,
- 16:21Speaker 9: like Ali Baba. Sometimes they work less well like we work.
- 16:24Speaker 9: But more broadly, he's a man in the.
- 16:26Speaker 6: Commitment stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming.
- 16:29Speaker 1: Up after this, you're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast.
- 16:37Speaker 1: Catch us live weekdays at ten am. He's done on
- 16:39Speaker 1: Apple Coarclay and Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 16:43Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch
- 16:46Speaker 1: us live on YouTube.
- 16:48Speaker 2: LVMH kicking off some earnings here for luxury brands and
- 16:53Speaker 2: not particularly good numbers, talking about a tough Christmas period,
- 16:57Speaker 2: and that was kind of the tail to tape there.
- 16:59Speaker 2: Andrea Felsta joined us Bloomberg Opinion Calmness from London, Andrew,
- 17:03Speaker 2: what can you tell us from LVMH and their results?
- 17:07Speaker 10: Well, this was kind of There were two reasons I
- 17:10Speaker 10: think for the really strong share price reaction we've had today.
- 17:13Speaker 10: One is, you know, these weren't really there was nothing
- 17:18Speaker 10: really terrible about these results, apart from the drink's division,
- 17:22Speaker 10: which was much worse. But investors, after being far too
- 17:27Speaker 10: gloomy about luxury sort of in the first half middle
- 17:30Speaker 10: of last year, they thought no one was ever going
- 17:32Speaker 10: to buy luxury goods again, which was ridiculous. But now
- 17:37Speaker 10: they sort of came back last fall and they started
- 17:40Speaker 10: to get really excited about luxury and they pushed one
- 17:43Speaker 10: of the indexes up thirty percent between you know, August
- 17:48Speaker 10: and earlier in January, and that was just like a
- 17:51Speaker 10: head of where we are. So where we are at
- 17:53Speaker 10: the moment is China has stabilized, but it's not it's
- 17:57Speaker 10: not a V shaped recovery. The US is pretty good
- 18:01Speaker 10: thanks to stock markets, but the US compared with the
- 18:04Speaker 10: period a year ago, which was also pretty good before
- 18:07Speaker 10: we had the tariff trauma. After the election, there was
- 18:10Speaker 10: a real boom in luxury goods after the elections unleashed
- 18:16Speaker 10: a lot of spending. So you've got the numbers that weren't,
- 18:19Speaker 10: you know, great, but weren't terrible. But investors had got
- 18:23Speaker 10: far too excited about luxuries of anything other than a
- 18:27Speaker 10: B a big earnings upgrade that they were always going
- 18:30Speaker 10: to be disappointed. And Richmont, which owned Cartio, which is
- 18:33Speaker 10: absolutely on fire at the moment, they had some pretty
- 18:37Speaker 10: good numbers a couple of weeks ago, but they weren't,
- 18:40Speaker 10: you know, they weren't any better than anyways. Did we
- 18:43Speaker 10: knew they were going to be good, so they were
- 18:45Speaker 10: going to be good, and they were good. The shares
- 18:47Speaker 10: failed wearing a very funny sort of environment at the moment.
- 18:51Speaker 7: I really like the way you put that the tariff trauma,
- 18:54Speaker 7: because I'm sure that's a big, big problem for these
- 18:56Speaker 7: lundury purveyors.
- 18:58Speaker 6: Three of the five division.
- 19:00Speaker 7: Said LVMH missed estimates and what is traditionally the strongest period,
- 19:03Speaker 7: So that does not help either. Which divisions, which part
- 19:07Speaker 7: of the LVMH empire are doing well? Which one are
- 19:10Speaker 7: really liking? You mentioned wines and spirits. We know that's
- 19:12Speaker 7: kind of you know, been a problem child all along now.
- 19:15Speaker 7: But what's doing well? What's not doing so well?
- 19:18Speaker 10: Jewelry is absolutely sparkling. There's a few reasons for that.
- 19:23Speaker 10: So over the over the past five years, handbags particularly
- 19:28Speaker 10: have gone up in price. So you know, a large
- 19:33Speaker 10: flap chanel bag you are looking at around ten thousand dollars.
- 19:36Speaker 10: Most nice handbags are about three thousand pounds plus. I'm
- 19:41Speaker 10: not sure what that is dollars.
- 19:43Speaker 4: Maybe you know too much, you want that out too.
- 19:46Speaker 9: Much exactly so.
- 19:48Speaker 10: But actually jewelry, which everyone alas thought is really expensive
- 19:52Speaker 10: because those leather goods have gone up so much. So
- 19:56Speaker 10: something like a Cartier love bangle that you can wear
- 19:59Speaker 10: a gain and again and again, and it's made of gold.
- 20:02Speaker 10: It's got receidure value that's actually seen as better value
- 20:06Speaker 10: for money than a handbag. Plus, you know, the luxury
- 20:10Speaker 10: industry's really matured. You know, twenty years ago we were
- 20:14Speaker 10: all buying our first git bag. Now you know many
- 20:18Speaker 10: people have got a wardrobe full of it bags and
- 20:21Speaker 10: they've moved on to jewelry. There's been a democratization of jewelry,
- 20:25Speaker 10: a shift from unbranded jewelry to Tiffany, Kartier, Bogari, and
- 20:32Speaker 10: that's really helped the jewelry sector.
- 20:35Speaker 2: Andrew, what is the company saying about the Chinese consumer
- 20:39Speaker 2: these days? Are they buying on mainland? Are they going
- 20:42Speaker 2: to Japan to buy? Are they coming to Europe or
- 20:44Speaker 2: the US? What's going on?
- 20:46Speaker 10: They were going to Japan and then they came back
- 20:49Speaker 10: to China. Now, with the currency moves, I wouldn't be
- 20:52Speaker 10: surprised if they went back to Japan again. Now, the
- 20:55Speaker 10: thing about Japan is really interesting.
- 20:58Speaker 4: It's not a great.
- 21:00Speaker 10: Economics of selling in Japan aren't great. It tends to
- 21:04Speaker 10: be less profitable. So if we do get that big
- 21:06Speaker 10: Japan tried, that's not going to be great for profitability
- 21:11Speaker 10: going forwards.
- 21:14Speaker 7: Okay, we also have the dispute between China and Japan
- 21:17Speaker 7: certainly not helping things either with you know, Chinese tourists
- 21:21Speaker 7: going to Japan to buy luxury goods. Nevertheless, if you
- 21:24Speaker 7: wanted to, you know, are of the currency difference that
- 21:26Speaker 7: that possibility exists.
- 21:27Speaker 6: What about American consumers?
- 21:29Speaker 7: You mentioned the stock market doing well, and certainly that
- 21:31Speaker 7: helps the one percent and the zero point one percent.
- 21:34Speaker 7: Where are we seeing the American consumer pickup slack?
- 21:38Speaker 8: Well?
- 21:38Speaker 10: The US consumer has picked up sack all the way through,
- 21:42Speaker 10: while China has been in the doll rubs. US luxury
- 21:45Speaker 10: demand tends to be very correlated with stock markets and
- 21:49Speaker 10: also bitcoin, and I know we've had a wobble on bitcoin,
- 21:52Speaker 10: but the fact that you know, we're testing new highs
- 21:54Speaker 10: on markets that is very good for luxury demand. Now,
- 21:58Speaker 10: where it's where we're really seeing is those very wealthy consumers,
- 22:02Speaker 10: the middle class customers. You know, they felt more pressure
- 22:06Speaker 10: from inflation, from tariffs, perhaps the weakening job market. That
- 22:11Speaker 10: is the sector where you know, we would written the
- 22:14Speaker 10: indust you would really like to see them come back.
- 22:16Speaker 10: And they were also the segment of the market that
- 22:19Speaker 10: was probably priced out the most by those pricing raaces
- 22:23Speaker 10: so you know, luxury really needed middle class customers back.
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