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College Football Playoff + Army/Navy Betting Preview with JBoy & Stuckey | BONUS EPISODE · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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  Speaker 1: eight hundred Gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: am Chad Moman very Special College Football Playoff Service Academy
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: Bonanza Episode. I'm joined as always by my bff, My Opanion,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: mikel Padre, Mr Simon Hunter, and very special guests from
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: the Action Network are All Everything Analysts, Mr Stucky, the
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: one named Wonder and of course College Football All Podcasting Superstar,
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: King of the sec the Volumes, shiniest, Brightest Light, Jay Boy,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: what's up, Jay Boy? What's up? Man? Uh? Really honored
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: to be back. I appreciate that intro and you're checked
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: in the mail. Chatt's how we got the address right?
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Well we can confer after. I'm sure that it's right,
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: because these scenes get more expensive every single time. Stuck.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: I want to start with you. You are a Service
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Academy loyalist. You have always loved betting Service Academy games.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: You seem to have a beat every year on how
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: these game games are going to play out. We've got
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: a very special service Academy game Army Navy on Saturday.
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  Speaker 1: How are you thinking about it right now? Yeah, I
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: remember going to this game, you know, when he used
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: to be in Philly went growing up. I grew up
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: outside of Philly and my dad would take me. And
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: I remember the Clinton when he was president. I was
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: really young, so I can barely remember. But Bill Clinton
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: came into our section and then Secret Service had to
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: come and clear at first. That was my first memory
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  Speaker 1: of this game. But yeah, I love this game every year.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: I love the Service Academy teams that they played each
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: other because it's such a unique game. But those who
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: aren't familiar with the Service Academy football teams, they play
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: the triple option, and the reason they do that is
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: they're not getting the same caliber athletes and recruits that
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: some of these you know Power five schools and even
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: other schools get. So their competitive advantage now is they
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: played this unique style that on a week to week basis,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: when they go and play someone they're not used to
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: seeing the triple option and it's all about you know, discipline,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: and it's just a different offensive at the state and
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: it's kind of like a shock to your system for defenses.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: But when they play each other, they have all the
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: familiarity in the world with it because they practice against
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: each other every day of the year, so they're practically
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: against the triple option defense, and they know how to cover,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: they know the assignments, they know how to stay discipline,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: who gets the pitchman, who gets the uh, who gets
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: the running back, and you know all the motion and
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: how to how to defend the fullback dive. So when
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: they play each other a lot of times, especially arm
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: the Navy, these are really low scoring games because you know,
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  Speaker 1: number one, they're running it the entire game. Both teams
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: the clocks always running. They're going for a lot of
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: fourth downs, so it's like fourth and one height, we'll
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: go for it. You just get two yards and then
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: you keep going and going and going, and then it's
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  Speaker 1: really hard to score because both teams are familiar with
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: the other offense and they know how to defend it.
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  Speaker 1: So you get these rock fights and I love them.
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  Speaker 1: And that's the reason why Army Navy has gone under
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  Speaker 1: the total fifteen straight years. And if you bet all
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: service academies, so Army Navy, Air Force, whenever they play
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: each other every year, unders and Service guid of games
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  Speaker 1: are thirty eight and ten just under since two thousand five.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: So that's why betting Army Navy is fascinating. Well, I
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: will tell everybody the total right now is thirty six
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: and a half. Army is a seven and a half
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: point favorite. It opened at eight. Say boy, like, I
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: would love to know, as someone who is steeped in
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: the SEC, why the funk would you care about Army Navy?
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: You know the tradition of the game. I think it's
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: the top five rivalry in sports just because of the cache.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: And it's kind of you know, like like going to
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: the place you always go to eat, but ordering something
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: you've never ordered before. Like you go to the place
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: and you always order a type sandwich. You go in
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: there one day you're like, you know what, I'm gonna
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: mix it up. I'm gonna get something different. That's what
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: this game is gonna give you. Because I mean, Stuck's right,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: Study's right, the biggest thing for Army and maybe they
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: can't go get the six pound offensive lineman number one.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: A lot of those guys don't fit in submarines or planes,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: and I guess David Robinson fitness submarines that may may
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: kill that theory, but they're unable to go get the
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: guys you see that can pass pro against you know,
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: legitimate four down TA tem legitimate three down teams that
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: bring pressure. And the triple option is tough. It's it's
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: a built in advantage because like jay Z said, less
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: is more man, there's plenty of us. The less guys
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: that are running a certain type thing, the more type,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: the more exotic that thing is. Uh. And betting these
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: games are tough because you know, the rivalry game, they're
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: both gonna get up for it. They hear about it
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: all year. Uh. You know, for example, you look at
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: the way Auburn got up for Alabama and and how
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: they played Alabama compared to the way that Georgia did.
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  Speaker 1: There was extenuating circumstances there. But you know, I look
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: at this game. Navy has had one of their least
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: talented teams that I've seen under under coach Cannon up there.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Uh that you know, played well against Cincinnati, but they're
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: not able to really consistently move the ball the quarter
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: but they're not able to hit home runs with the
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: quarterback like they were with Keenan Reynolds and some guys
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: in the past, you know the system they run. You
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: know you want you go nine, ten, eleven, twelve plays.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: But in the past, Navies or excuse me, Army has
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: been able to kind of our Navy has been able
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  Speaker 1: to quick strike you with with with guys that can move,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: but Armies a better team. Having said that, I like
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Navy plus seven and a half because I think it
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a rock fight. I think it's gonna
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: be lows boring. Navy is gonna get up for this game.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: So I like maybe plus seven and a half. But
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: you know, you bet it because we hadn't had a
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: game in a while too. It feels like and it's
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: the only one, so hell. You know, if you like
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Betton college football, there it is. Simon. Is it a
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: the Gen Special, Yeah, it's And like Stucky said, it's
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: a blind under every year, even if they made a thirty,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: I might still think about betting the under. It's a
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: It's at that point now where every year every pro
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: I talked to was like, no, this is the year
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna go over and it's like, why why
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: go against the trend? Just keep betting the under, don't
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: overthink it. Don't try to be the smartest one the
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: rest of our lives. This is a bet I'll always make.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: I'll always bet the under. It doesn't matter if they
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: hit the over five straight years. To keep ryding this trend,
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: it's it's at the point now where you just said
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: it's over the last couple of years. Just a Navy,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: Air Force, Army matchups just always tend towards lean the under.
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  Speaker 1: So the fact you're getting thirty six now, it's it's
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: a gift. I saw some books headed down at thirty
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: or four. I love when h Philly guys like Simon
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: and Stucky talk about a game being a rock fight,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: because I feel like Philly guys have probably been in
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: rock fights. They know literally what that is. Like. Yeah,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: I would say the closest we get is we would
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: play football on the street, tackle football, so not not
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: any one's front yard. You would just go in the
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: street and play football. That was definitely the closest I
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: came to a rock fight, y'all, booed Santa claus Man.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: We threw batteries at him, and it wasn't the power
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: of the sleigh. Snowballs, snowballs filled with batteries at New
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  Speaker 1: York Football Giants on the sidelines one year two. Yeah,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: and just to close up the Army Navy discussion, I
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: do like Navy plus seven and a half as well. Look,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: the markets starting to catch up to this. We're talking
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: about it. People have been talking about it. The average
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: over under from two thousand five to eighteen was fifty.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: The last three years it's down the thirty seven. If
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  Speaker 1: the total was thirty five and all the Army Navy games,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: the under would have only went seven and nine. The
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: markets started to get close. I make it thirty three.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: There's gonna be a lot of wind, and the Army
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: could actually throw it a little bit now, but so
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: I think that hurts their their passing game. All right.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: There are actual college football playoff lines out right now,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: even though the game's not for another three weeks. There
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: is an opportunity sort of in the first few days
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: to make a play and then the lines settle in
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: for a while. Stuck looking at this Georgia eight and
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: a half over Michigan Alabama two touchdowns over since total
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: forty four and a half Georgia Michigan fifty eight Alabama
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: since Have you made any bets on these games, where
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: do you see the greatest value so far? I did
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: play Cincinnati. A couple of books put it out a
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: sixteen and a half, which I thought was crazy. That
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: was way too high. So I got a little bit
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: down there, settled a little bit. At fourteen, you can
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: get a little bit more. I played fourteen on Cincinnati.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: I think that number is too high as well. Alabama
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: looked phenomenal against Georgia, playing for everything, but we've seen
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: Alabama this year. I think it's namely because of their
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: young offensive line and secondary. They've been very inconsistent. You know,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: you see them one week they look on stopfold. The
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: next week, you know they look like, oh wow, they
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: barely escaped Auburn, they barely escaped LSU, they barely escaped Florida.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: So I think this is too many points, especially when
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: you consider that John Metchi, They're they're, you know, leading
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: receiver who was nineties six catches on the year, is
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: going to be out for this game. They don't really
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: have a third receiver and they haven't really needed one,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: but someone else is gonna have to step up besides
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: Jamison Williams. And the difference what I think the difference
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: between Since and Georgia. Georgia got no pressure on Alabama
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: number one, which is the most surprising aspect that album
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: offensive line played well. But since Cincinnati has a much
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: better secretary than Georgia, they have the best corner in
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: the country in my opinion. In mot Gardner is probably
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: gonna go in the top ten in the NFL draft.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Who's given up zero touchdowns and over a thousand snaps.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: He's given up a hundred and seventeen yards total on
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: the year. He takes away one side of the field,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: so you know, and Kobe Bryant is also gonna be
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: playing in the NFL at corners like that. I mean,
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: their secondary is excellent, so I think Cincinnati secondary can
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: hang here. I don't think they're gonna get some flukes
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to win the game, but I think two touchdowns is
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: too much. I think this line should be closer to ten.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: When I'm looking at Cincinnati Bama. My biggest thing when
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I look at this game and and at fourteen, I'm
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: gonna take Bama minus fourteen for a couple of reasons, Cincinnati,
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: I agree Stucky uh Sauce. Gardner is one of the
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: most top corners in the country. I don't think he's
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: seen Jamison though, and I'm wondering. I'm wondering and assuming
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: he's probably gonna follow him around, especially now that Metchi's out.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: The biggest thing that having Metchi out hurts Bama is
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: now they can bracket Jamison Williams a whole heck of
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: a lot easier without having to worry about getting their
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: pants pulled down on the back end. You can only
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: bracket so many people. But the difference to me is
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: and will always be up front and at the tight
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: end position. You know, it's a game of matchups that
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: will always be a game of matchups. You look at
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Law to a guy that I think is snuck under
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: the radar this year, showed up big against Miami, has
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: made some big plays, kind of disappeared in the middle
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: of the year. Saw him a little bit against Auburn,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: especially in the overtime, But his blocking has gotten so
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: much better throughout the year. Billingsley is is a matchup problem.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, a guy that's over six ft four fifteen
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: pounds that can put outside and go win the jump ball.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: But I love the inside and I love the scene.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: You know, Cincinnati is pretty good in the back end. Uh.
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: You know, I I would say when you look at
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: them and Georgia from a draft standpoint, Sauce is obviously
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be the first guy that goes. But I think
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: depth wise, Georgia has them there. And I don't think
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati's seen anything like Alabama. I mean, they struggled with Navy,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: you struggle with Tulsa and with game day there. But
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: the game always comes down to upfront for me, and
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: I don't think Cincinnati is going to be able to
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: get pressure on Bryce Young, and when they do, I
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: don't think that they'll be able to get them down.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: Brian Robinson's gonna be healthier. Jason McClellan is a guy
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: that is looking to get back that was leading Alabama
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: and touchdowns before he got hurt. And if Cincinnati can't
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: stop the run, you gotta start Robin Peter to pay
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Paul in the box. And when you do that against Alabama,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: with a guy like Bryce Young that can extend plays,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: they're gonna hit big plays, whether it's on crossers, whether
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: it's hitting back shoulders for chunk plays fifty five. And
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: then when they get in the red zone, you're gonna
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: see the tight end in that play action game in
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Bryce's running ability, which if you watch Bryce throughout the year,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: He's gotten so much more economical and more efficient in
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: the run game. You know, we do the show with
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: them every Monday. And one thing that he's talked about
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: his understanding. Hey, when they're in man and their backs
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: turn and I can escape up through the pocket, I
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: need to start going more because it just hits such
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: a built in advantage against the defense because you're playing
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: with less than a hat really than the offense when
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: you look at it truly with what Bryce can do.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: So I do like Alabama. Then defensively, you're getting Chris
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Allen back. I don't think Cincinnati will be able to
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: consistently drive the ball on Alabama's defense. I don't know
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: if they can protect will Anderson. I don't know if
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: the National Guard could protect if Will Anderson really wanted
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: to get in there. So I do like Bama. I
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: love their physicality, Nick Saban. They may not get up
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: sometimes for regular season games, and and they haven't this
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: year with a young team, but if you look, they
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: made some movement and some decisions on the offensive line,
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: McLoughlin moving guys around and found something they liked. And
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: if you can, Georgia, I promise you can block Cincinnati.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: I think Nick wants to make a statement. They're still
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: using the underdog role even though they're number one, because
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: at the end of the day, Nick Saban is master splinter.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: It was just a couple of weeks ago we had
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: J Boy on, we had Colin on and I sat here,
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: look at the camera. I said, take Obama. It was
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: plus six hundred National Championship. Well say that they're in
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: the final four. It feels like you're at the point
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: now where it's yese sees you know, title to lose.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Georgia's favorite, big favorite, damn is a big favorite. We
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: know the public's gonna be coming in on Michigan. We
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: know the publics canna be coming in on since it's
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be interesting watching these lines move up and
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: down this upcoming week. J But do you feel like
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: it's the SEC's title to lose? I mean, the way
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: these matchups are we do for Obama Georgia rematch. I
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I know that's what the sponsors want, you know, That's
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: how I guarantee you that's what they want. But yeah,
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: look and again, look Cincinnati is a great story to me.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: But you know what else is a great story, Little
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Red Riding Hood and I MCBAMA to beat them too.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: And I've got a ton of respect for Luke Fickle.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: He's going into the Power five and the Big twelve,
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: uh and and the Skies the limit for that guy's
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: an unbelievable coach. But again, look, Bama is still pissed.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: That's the thing. It's a guy that grew up in Alburn, Alabama.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I know when Bama's pissed. I can see pissed Obama.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: And they have been inconsistent, but I think they're starting
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: to put it together, and they show up for these games.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: Nick Salman shows up for these postseason games, and you've
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: got tons of time with Bill O'Brien, who is literally
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: the Wizard of Oz. The more time you give them.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: But looking at Georgia, I think this is a horrible
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: matchup for Michigan. You're not gonna go eight, nine, ten, eleven,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: twelve plays consistently on Georgia and Cade McNamara is not
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: gonna throw you two wins. Cade mcnamarian stetson Bennett. I
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: swear the same person just like Jamison Williams and Jalen Waddle,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: I swear are the same person. Michigan's got good players,
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: but I don't think they're going to be able to
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: score enough against Georgia. And Georgia, I think it's gonna
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: be able to hit enough plays. George Pickens coming back
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: is huge for the one on one, especially inside the
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: red zone. You're gonna get George Obama just because gravity's
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: gravity man stuck you get the final word. Yeah, I
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: just think we're we're having too much recency buys with
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: this Alabama. They aren't the Alabama team of last year
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: that was historically great. There's a reason this team. You're
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: telling me they didn't show up to play Auburn, their rival. No, No,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: well Alburn Alabama, Man, I mean you can throw the
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: records out. I mean that's that's all right. Yeah, they
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: showed up for that game. So since the albaver gonna
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: show for this game l s U, I mean they
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: should have lost that game. They went twenty to fourteen
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: against up that and beat up and just completely ravaged
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: LSU team. They you know, beat an Arkansas team that
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: gets shut out by a couple opponents and have to
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: beat the five at home. Um, it's the team that
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: should have lost. The Florida was outplayed by what turned
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: out to be a bad Florida team. This team has
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: not been consistent all year. We see they have a
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: lot of talent, so we see flashes and then the
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: next week it's like, oh, what's wrong with this team?
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: They lose to zac Calzatta. You make zac Calzatta look good.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: No one did that all year except Alabama. It was
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: thirty eight a Texas and takes four games for Texas
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: m to square that many points. So this team is
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: just so much recent biased. Last week it was Georgia,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: and I didn't like Georgia last week, but it was
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: Georgia amount of six and half. Georgia's gonna kill Alabama.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Albama is one good performance. It's one game, and now
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: everyone just says, oh Albama. Well, I I don't think
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: you can use the term recency bias with Nick Saban,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: who's dominated the sport going on a decade. I mean,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: if that's recency bias, then then I don't know, you know,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: why would we look in the past about anything? Why
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: do we look at trends? I don't think you can
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: compare Texas A and M with the Navy or s
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: m U. If you give Alabama that schedule, they're pulling
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: everybody's pants down, probably by five to thirty five. And
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: and this isn't a went off. Hey we're playing in
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: the minor Key Car Care Bowl and eight of our
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: starters are opting out. You're gonna get the full weight
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: of it. And you know, the Georgia Abama game, to
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: me that that's been the biggest hunt for Georgia. I
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: had Georgia winning that game. I thought they'd win seven
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: to ten points. It's amazing they keep getting up and
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: blowing it, whether it's halftime or getting up tendo in
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: the first quarter. I just don't see how you can
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: can look at that SEC schedule and then look at
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati schedule and say, you know, man, I just I
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: think we can compare losses. So if we're gonna say
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: that they barely beat A and M, Cincinnati barely beat Navy,
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: who's three and eight. They beat Tulsa by what had
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: to stop Tulsa at the goal line with game day there,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: and we want to compare that to an Arkansas team
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: that won eight games and destroyed Texas. Even though that
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: seems to be a habit. So we're talking about showing up.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: It's one thing if Jack Nicholson shows up to act,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: and another thing if a B list actor shows up
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: to act. So I think if we're gonna use bias,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: let's make sure we look at the draft and say, wow,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: that's he sees one eleven out of the last fifteen
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: national championships, they absolutely dominate the draft. We're not talking
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: about winning the game. We're talking about covering fourteen. No,
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: that that's what I'm saying. I wouldn't. I wouldn't go
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: to win the game. No, No, it's I'm not arguing
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: to win. I'm arguing. If we're gonna say recency bias,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: how can we say recently bias against Alabama. That's like saying, well,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Leo DiCaprio's mad, he's made good movies, but this next
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: movie coming out it's probably gonna suck. I mean, I
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: don't think you can use that use that optic when
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: you're using Cincinnattie and and Bama. You can use it
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: with Georgia and Obama, but I don't think you can
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: use it with Cincinnati Obama. But that still makes it fun.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: And we'll see yeah, I mean it's still a market
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: data that. I mean. Now, the look at line for
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Georgia Obama's one I mean it was it was just
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: six and a half. It's through five and a half
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: points and after one game. So obviously the and the
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: public has say say in this game, in this market,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: at this time of the year. I just think that
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: this Albama team is nowhere close, nowhere close to what
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: this team was last year, which is a historically great team.
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: There's still lapses in the second dary in certain games.
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: If the offensive line is gonna play like it did
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: last week all year, then yeah, the offense is gonna
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: be great. But we've seen that for one game. So
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: I still think that this Alabama team is the second
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: best team in the country. I still have Georgia, I
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: agree with you on that. Where let's send down an agreement.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: This is the beauty of the playing the game idea.
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: We're gonna know on the thirty one? Was Stucky right?
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Was he right to buy sixteen and a half? Was
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: right to buy fourteen? On Cincinnati? I don't know. Personally,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: I want to see Alabama Michigan in the title game.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: I think that's going to be a more interesting matchup
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: UH nationally than Alabama Georgia. Michigan is a great story.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: To me, It's about the narrative. Michigan is a great story.
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Michigan's fan base is bigger Northeast. Totally true. By the way,
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: all right, this has been the favorites from the Volume
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: Podcast Network. If you want more passionate college football conversation,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: go listen to Jay Boy. Also with the Volume Podcast Network,
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: you have been getting passionate college football conversation from Big
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Bets on Campus BBOC on the Action Network all season
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: long from Stuckey and Colin Wilson. You can watch their
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: show along with Bret McMurphy all throughout the college football
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: postseason at Action Network. H Q on Twitter for Stucky,
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: for Jay Boy, for Simon Hunter. I am Chad Noman
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: until next time, I Love you, h