Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / College Football Week 5 Money Moves, Parlay of the Day, NFL Fades & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: There are six three n NFL teams. We're going to
- 0:03Speaker 1: tell you exactly what to do with each one. Do
- 0:05Speaker 1: you bet on them? Do you bet against them? How
- 0:07Speaker 1: do you make money? That's what the show is all about.
- 0:11Speaker 1: Your watching the best betting show ever. On today's show,
- 0:14Speaker 1: Fade or Not Fade our parlay of the day, we
- 0:17Speaker 1: got a sportsbook update. Let's find out how the books
- 0:21Speaker 1: did last week and what's going on this week? Art
- 0:24Speaker 1: the Caesar Jovenary with me hit that like button everyone
- 0:28Speaker 1: and let's get straight into it art. How did the
- 0:30Speaker 1: books do last week?
- 0:32Speaker 2: Not bad?
- 0:32Speaker 3: It was not a bad weekend for us. It was
- 0:34Speaker 3: a positive day both Saturday and Sunday. And we even
- 0:38Speaker 3: grinded out a little bit of a profit last night,
- 0:40Speaker 3: which was great.
- 0:41Speaker 2: So good weekend for us.
- 0:44Speaker 4: How about any trends again? Overs, unders, favorites again. Felt
- 0:50Speaker 4: like the dogs were barking a lot this.
- 0:52Speaker 3: Week here, Yeah, no doubt about it. I mean Sunday
- 0:55Speaker 3: was what. There's just a wacky day. All those early games,
- 0:59Speaker 3: those teams and defensive touchdowns, I mean you had a
- 1:02Speaker 3: lot of that working. Obviously. The big one for us
- 1:05Speaker 3: is Cleveland winning the game outright. That just murders, all
- 1:09Speaker 3: money lined and all teasers on green Bay, and there
- 1:12Speaker 3: was a lot of them, so that was huge for US. Saturday,
- 1:16Speaker 3: I'd say our biggest one was Michigan, Michigan coming through
- 1:21Speaker 3: where we were basically as high as three on that game,
- 1:24Speaker 3: got down to one. Even saw pick for a minute
- 1:27Speaker 3: on that game. It was brief when we took a
- 1:29Speaker 3: little bit of Michigan money back. But I would say
- 1:31Speaker 3: Michigan was our biggest positive on Saturday.
- 1:36Speaker 2: Beating Nebraska on the road.
- 1:38Speaker 1: Yeah. And I was just gonna ask that Art, what
- 1:40Speaker 1: was the biggest position that you won in the biggest
- 1:42Speaker 1: position that you lost over this past weekend.
- 1:46Speaker 2: Yeah, So obviously Michigan Saturday. Our best.
- 1:49Speaker 3: I would say our worst on Saturday was Indiana. We
- 1:53Speaker 3: were buried with Indiana money. I mean we started four,
- 1:57Speaker 3: we got to seven on that game. It was an
- 2:00Speaker 3: Indiana stuff, a ton of Indiana money line. They were
- 2:03Speaker 3: never challenged against Illinois obviously. And Sunday, like I said,
- 2:07Speaker 3: Green Bay was the big one for US. I would
- 2:09Speaker 3: say our worst case on Sunday was the Jets covering
- 2:14Speaker 3: that game. Now they didn't win the game outright, which
- 2:16Speaker 3: was good because Joe he's gonna deal with some underdog
- 2:19Speaker 3: moneyline stuff with them coming back and actually covering that
- 2:22Speaker 3: game where the Bucks were up twenty and it looked
- 2:24Speaker 3: like they were going to cruise to a cover. And
- 2:27Speaker 3: then you got to mention the game last night. We
- 2:29Speaker 3: were buried to the Ravens. We had a lot of
- 2:30Speaker 3: Ravens stuff, a lot of We had a guy sitting
- 2:33Speaker 3: on a ten teamer with his last leg being Baltimore,
- 2:37Speaker 3: which was going to edge. Well he did, but you know,
- 2:42Speaker 3: I mean, you know we're sitting there with that's forty
- 2:44Speaker 3: thousand sitting right there, plus all the other stuff that's
- 2:47Speaker 3: gonna happen. So what happened in that game was really
- 2:51Speaker 3: good for us to end us on a good note
- 2:53Speaker 3: for the weekend.
- 2:54Speaker 1: Well, I just want to jump in real quick. You
- 2:56Speaker 1: got really lucky, though, dude. You had that guy who
- 2:59Speaker 1: had the rekick returns for touchdowns. Thank god that third
- 3:04Speaker 1: one didn't happen. What was that bet minus seventeen million
- 3:08Speaker 1: plus seventeen million plus seven million.
- 3:12Speaker 3: Sure we like to put up about one hundred million
- 3:14Speaker 3: to one odds coming returned on.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Three returned kickoffs return field goals. Yeah, that was a wacky,
- 3:25Speaker 1: wild crazy day before we get before we continue, what
- 3:30Speaker 1: what was like last night's game? I mean, everybody I
- 3:34Speaker 1: spoke to was on Baltimore, but the line did come
- 3:38Speaker 1: back down Art, So we did see money coming in
- 3:42Speaker 1: on Detroit. And again we saw a ton of money
- 3:45Speaker 1: on the over. If you guys watched the show yesterday,
- 3:49Speaker 1: both Joe and I told you exactly how to make
- 3:51Speaker 1: money on the show. We said, roll to tape. Joe
- 3:55Speaker 1: bet both teams over the total Detroit twenty three half,
- 4:00Speaker 1: Baltimore twenty nine and a half. Cutching Art, do you
- 4:05Speaker 1: get a lot of those team total bets?
- 4:07Speaker 3: You know, we've talken about this in the past. Peruse
- 4:09Speaker 3: the team total bets such a niche market. I mean,
- 4:13Speaker 3: we get a little bit on it, but you're right,
- 4:15Speaker 3: the total going up to as high as fifty four
- 4:17Speaker 3: and a half. At one point we closed fifty four
- 4:20Speaker 3: in the game. You know, I think we opened the
- 4:22Speaker 3: game fifty two, fifty one and a half maybe, so, yeah,
- 4:27Speaker 3: so we saw a lot of over money. Obviously the
- 4:30Speaker 3: overhitting wasn't that great, but you know, booking the game, basically,
- 4:35Speaker 3: I would say all week.
- 4:36Speaker 2: At four and a half, we really had no movement.
- 4:38Speaker 3: You know, the initial stuff early in the week where
- 4:41Speaker 3: you know, we put up the line the week before
- 4:43Speaker 3: where we had some six and a half Detroit money.
- 4:46Speaker 3: But once we got to that four and a half,
- 4:48Speaker 3: we barely budged off that number. We just had money
- 4:52Speaker 3: come in on it. And you know, it was pretty
- 4:55Speaker 3: good two way on the side. Like I said, the
- 4:57Speaker 3: big thing we were fighting was all the Raven money
- 5:00Speaker 3: line stuff that was tied to other things over the weekend.
- 5:04Speaker 4: Joe, Yeah, let's how did this three team parlay go
- 5:09Speaker 4: for you and the books there? Because that let's see,
- 5:11Speaker 4: we had forty nine ers money line that worked out well.
- 5:15Speaker 4: You you had the Vikings money line, I believe, but
- 5:19Speaker 4: oh look Tennessee money line.
- 5:21Speaker 5: Boy, that gock that got blown up there, didn't it.
- 5:24Speaker 1: So so I want to point out to all I
- 5:28Speaker 1: want to point out to all listeners, and that is
- 5:30Speaker 1: the first time Joe has shown that graphic. And the
- 5:34Speaker 1: reason that is the first time in three weeks that
- 5:37Speaker 1: Joe has shown that graphic is he finally waited for
- 5:42Speaker 1: me to be the guy that loses the parlay every
- 5:46Speaker 1: other time. I want so thank you Joe waiting that out.
- 5:51Speaker 1: All right, I want to talk let's get into where
- 5:53Speaker 1: the money is going. And I want to talk about
- 5:55Speaker 1: this Buffalo game. Obviously a gigantic spread. Now I do
- 6:00Speaker 1: not have the actual statistics handy, but I'm gonna try
- 6:04Speaker 1: get them during this show. If memory serves, teams that
- 6:09Speaker 1: are minus fourteen and a half and more are absolute
- 6:14Speaker 1: gold to bet on. And I know that sounds counterintuitive,
- 6:18Speaker 1: but I think it is like in the seventy percent range.
- 6:21Speaker 1: Like I'm gonna do a dive and I'm gonna find
- 6:24Speaker 1: this out, but I'm telling you, these favorites are must
- 6:29Speaker 1: bet So what are you seeing in this Buffalo New
- 6:33Speaker 1: Orleans game?
- 6:34Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 6:34Speaker 3: I think I think when it comes especially these NFL spreads,
- 6:36Speaker 3: when they're that high, they're that high for a reason.
- 6:39Speaker 3: I mean, you know, you just normally don't see spreads
- 6:42Speaker 3: like this in the NFL. But we are Buffalo minus
- 6:45Speaker 3: sixteen and a half. And I think the interesting thing
- 6:48Speaker 3: about the Buffalo game is the initial money is on
- 6:53Speaker 3: the Saints. Well, we have not moved off the number.
- 6:57Speaker 3: We're willing to take more money on New Orleans. Now,
- 7:00Speaker 3: at some point we might get overwhelmed with New Orleans money,
- 7:03Speaker 3: Well we'll have to move. But the initial couple of
- 7:05Speaker 3: bus bets that came in at plus sixteen and a half.
- 7:08Speaker 3: We're like, okay, we're fine. We got all week to
- 7:11Speaker 3: work with this number. We have no problem taking more
- 7:14Speaker 3: bets there now. Buffalo obviously will be still be popular
- 7:17Speaker 3: moneyline parlays despite being minus twenty five hundred dollars. They'll
- 7:21Speaker 3: still be popular because people just look at it like, hey,
- 7:25Speaker 3: they're gonna be one of my eight ten or twelve teams.
- 7:28Speaker 3: They don't even think about it. They just put Buffalo
- 7:30Speaker 3: in there. You probably won't see Buffalo on teasers as
- 7:33Speaker 3: much because you know, what, are you gonna get them
- 7:35Speaker 3: down to nine and a half ten and a half?
- 7:38Speaker 3: You know, I mean we only do up to seven.
- 7:40Speaker 3: We don't do ten point teasers. So I don't think
- 7:43Speaker 3: Buffalo will be popular in that sense. But I think
- 7:46Speaker 3: eventually we might have to come down on the number
- 7:49Speaker 3: because I don't see anyone coming in and laying Buffalo.
- 7:52Speaker 4: Well, let me ask you this, because that's our first
- 7:55Speaker 4: ridiculous overblown spread of the season. We also have our
- 8:00Speaker 4: first NFL game across the Pond coming up this.
- 8:04Speaker 5: Week as well.
- 8:05Speaker 4: There are so what do we usually get with these games?
- 8:09Speaker 4: From a from a market move standpoint, you got the Steelers,
- 8:13Speaker 4: you got Minnesota, Minnesota looked break, Carson wentz yay. Pittsburgh
- 8:18Speaker 4: walks away with another victory thanks to the Patriots five turnovers.
- 8:23Speaker 4: But what do we do here with these games across
- 8:26Speaker 4: the pond? What do you usually see?
- 8:27Speaker 3: Yeah, they're tough, and you know Minnesota we had one
- 8:30Speaker 3: and a half, now we're two and a half. They're
- 8:32Speaker 3: tough in Vegas because there's six thirty am kickoff time,
- 8:36Speaker 3: so it throws people off a little bit. People just
- 8:39Speaker 3: kind of they mose the into the book and that
- 8:41Speaker 3: things already in the second half. So yeah, it's one
- 8:45Speaker 3: of those things where you know, I know a lot
- 8:47Speaker 3: of the times, those are games that maybe don't get
- 8:49Speaker 3: better a lot even though they you know, the Vikings
- 8:52Speaker 3: have a lot of fans, the Steelers have a lot
- 8:54Speaker 3: of fans.
- 8:55Speaker 2: People just kind of maybe stay away from the game.
- 8:57Speaker 3: And I'm telling you because even people in my life,
- 9:00Speaker 3: they forget the games there just like, oh Steelers, Steelers
- 9:03Speaker 3: at home getting points and it's like, no, they're not
- 9:06Speaker 3: at home getting points.
- 9:07Speaker 2: They're actually in Ireland. So that happens a lot too.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Art the Caesar joining us like always Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,
- 9:14Speaker 1: you're watching the best betting show ever. Hit that like button.
- 9:18Speaker 1: Make sure to comment. Over ninety people commented yesterday. We'll
- 9:22Speaker 1: read them all. Joe and I will address some of
- 9:25Speaker 1: the comments in our mail bag section. The word of
- 9:29Speaker 1: the day glasses. There you go, glasses. So if you've
- 9:32Speaker 1: got if you've got nothing to say, we need those comments.
- 9:36Speaker 1: Just put that word up art. Joey Bosa Nick Bosa
- 9:41Speaker 1: now out very upsetting to my wife, who's quite attracted
- 9:45Speaker 1: to him. Plus a San Francisco forty nine or fan
- 9:48Speaker 1: to boot This forty nine ers team is literally a
- 9:53Speaker 1: walking hospital, yet all they do is win. I bet
- 9:58Speaker 1: them to win the division at plus one fifty and
- 10:01Speaker 1: I am loving that bet right now. They're playing the
- 10:04Speaker 1: Jags this week, and the Jags have stepped up so
- 10:06Speaker 1: far this year, but they they they're lacking with them.
- 10:10Speaker 1: If you will, where's the money coming in on this game?
- 10:14Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean you and I both press We both
- 10:16Speaker 3: loved San Francisco to win the division.
- 10:18Speaker 2: Still feel good about it.
- 10:19Speaker 3: I mean, the thing that is saving San Francisco is
- 10:22Speaker 3: their schedule, and we all believe their schedule was bad
- 10:25Speaker 3: and it is. They're three and zero, but I mean
- 10:27Speaker 3: the injuries are just going to keep piling up for them.
- 10:30Speaker 3: This thing was five and a half on a look ahead.
- 10:32Speaker 3: We reopened three and a half. We saw Jaguar money,
- 10:35Speaker 3: which to me was no surprise. We're now San Francisco
- 10:39Speaker 3: minus three, so the initial money has come in on Jacksonville.
- 10:43Speaker 4: All right, let me ask you this art switching over
- 10:46Speaker 4: to college football, it's put up a shut up time
- 10:49Speaker 4: for a couple of top twenty five teams. Happy Valley,
- 10:53Speaker 4: Penn State and Oregon come to mind here. Three and
- 10:56Speaker 4: a half is what I've is what I've been seeing.
- 10:59Speaker 4: Have you have we gotten any big movement on these
- 11:03Speaker 4: top twenty five versus top twenty five matchups yet.
- 11:06Speaker 3: The two marquee games obviously Oregon and Penn State and
- 11:10Speaker 3: Bama and Georgia not really. I think later in the week,
- 11:13Speaker 3: as we as we go, we'll probably discuss those further
- 11:17Speaker 3: because I think you will see initial moves. But the
- 11:20Speaker 3: big one so far has been LSU and Old Miss
- 11:23Speaker 3: Cool and that's been very interesting to me because Game
- 11:28Speaker 3: of the Year for US was LSU minus two and
- 11:30Speaker 3: a half. We reopened Old Miss minus two and a half,
- 11:33Speaker 3: so we completely flipped it. We went all the way
- 11:37Speaker 3: down to one yesterday one and a half. We were
- 11:40Speaker 3: bouncing back and forth. You saw a lot of LSU
- 11:42Speaker 3: money line. You saw Old Miss on the spread, so
- 11:45Speaker 3: it seemed really good two way action. But I always
- 11:48Speaker 3: think it's good to note games that get flipped over
- 11:51Speaker 3: the summer, from LSU being the favorite to now Old
- 11:54Speaker 3: Miss being the favorite.
- 11:55Speaker 2: Yep.
- 11:55Speaker 1: Yeah, and certainly that Old Miss team can score, that
- 11:59Speaker 1: is for sure. Art, You've got three games you wanted
- 12:02Speaker 1: to tell us where the money is, Alice uoll missed.
- 12:04Speaker 1: We spoke about Hawaii Air Force and BYU against Colorado.
- 12:09Speaker 1: The microphone is yours.
- 12:12Speaker 3: Yeah, so Hawaii now goes and places air Force. We
- 12:14Speaker 3: open air Force four and a half. It's now six
- 12:17Speaker 3: and a half. We saw a big move on air
- 12:19Speaker 3: Force yesterday.
- 12:19Speaker 2: They hit it.
- 12:20Speaker 3: They hit it at four and a half and five
- 12:22Speaker 3: and a half, which has gotten us to air Force
- 12:24Speaker 3: as a six and a half point favorite. Do we
- 12:26Speaker 3: get to seven, It's possible. There's been nothing on Hawaii yet.
- 12:31Speaker 3: BYU at Colorado. This is another game of the year
- 12:34Speaker 3: flip and a big flip and a big adjustment over
- 12:38Speaker 3: the summer, Colorado was a two and a half point
- 12:41Speaker 3: favorite BYU is now a six and a half point favorite. Wow,
- 12:44Speaker 3: so you see how much Colorado has been downgraded. Obviously
- 12:48Speaker 3: BYU has been upgraded to be almost a touchdown favorite
- 12:52Speaker 3: on the road. But this is more about Colorado. I
- 12:54Speaker 3: don't know, people all maybe they figured out their quarterback
- 12:57Speaker 3: last week.
- 12:57Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 12:58Speaker 3: I don't believe in it. I'm not saying I'm gonna
- 13:00Speaker 3: go lay almost seven on the road. But that's a
- 13:03Speaker 3: big adjustment. End they came in took Colorado because of
- 13:08Speaker 3: that adjustment. They said, oh wait, hold on, now, Colorado's
- 13:10Speaker 3: almost getting a touch down at all. So the early
- 13:13Speaker 3: money in that game is Colorado at plus six and
- 13:16Speaker 3: a half. But we haven't moved off that number yet,
- 13:18Speaker 3: but that is the initial money.
- 13:21Speaker 2: I got it.
- 13:22Speaker 1: I just want to quickly mention I am wrong. That's
- 13:27Speaker 1: very rare. There have thirty four, thirty and four sixty
- 13:34Speaker 1: eight games with spreads of minus sixteen and a half
- 13:39Speaker 1: or more over the last four or five years, a
- 13:43Speaker 1: fifty three percent ats rate ninety one point two percent
- 13:49Speaker 1: straight up, So six teams, six dogs of sixteen and
- 13:54Speaker 1: a half or more. One outright. But interestingly enough, there
- 13:58Speaker 1: is a bet here Art and Joe. The over and under.
- 14:03Speaker 1: The under is sixty two percent to the under on
- 14:10Speaker 1: games that are sixteen and a half or more twenty
- 14:14Speaker 1: six forty one and one to the under, So perhaps
- 14:19Speaker 1: we should look at the under in that Buffalo Saints game.
- 14:24Speaker 1: Let's get to our parlay of the day. Boys, this
- 14:27Speaker 1: is the parlay.
- 14:28Speaker 5: Of the day.
- 14:28Speaker 1: I normally win my leg every day and then one
- 14:31Speaker 1: of these two idiots screw it up. Finally, the opposite
- 14:34Speaker 1: happened on Sunday, and Joe created a whole image for it.
- 14:38Speaker 1: I'm tickled pink. Thank you for that, Joe, lots of love.
- 14:42Speaker 1: What is my leg? Number one is the Cincinnati Reds
- 14:51Speaker 1: money line against Pittsburgh. We don't need to get into why,
- 14:55Speaker 1: but that is where we're going, the Cincinnati Reds on
- 14:58Speaker 1: the money line. What do you got?
- 15:00Speaker 2: Oh?
- 15:01Speaker 5: My goodness?
- 15:02Speaker 4: All right, so we're gonna go three team money line parley.
- 15:05Speaker 4: By the way, Red's need to keep winning. Atlanta seasons
- 15:10Speaker 4: already over, but they are ironically enough for playing their
- 15:13Speaker 4: best baseball when it doesn't matter. So I'm gonna jump
- 15:17Speaker 4: on Atlanta in that money line parlay here, and how
- 15:21Speaker 4: about you Art, Joe.
- 15:23Speaker 3: I'm gonna follow a theme that you're doing. This is
- 15:25Speaker 3: a team who's out of it but playing some of
- 15:27Speaker 3: their best baseball, and a team who's still fighting, but
- 15:30Speaker 3: they are going in the wrong direction. I'm taking the Oakland, Sacramento,
- 15:35Speaker 3: Las Vegas as at home. Houston is awful. They want
- 15:39Speaker 3: to not make the playoffs here, I'm taking the A's.
- 15:42Speaker 3: It's basically a pick them Robert.
- 15:44Speaker 5: There we go.
- 15:45Speaker 1: Good luck everybody on our parlay of the day. Hit
- 15:47Speaker 1: that like button, subscribe to our channel. We're getting into
- 15:50Speaker 1: our Tuesday segment of Fade or Not. We're gonna look
- 15:54Speaker 1: at the six three and oh teams. We've done already
- 15:58Speaker 1: conversation about Buffalo. They a fade team. Listen, it's tough
- 16:03Speaker 1: with Buffalo right now sixteen and a half, the spreads
- 16:06Speaker 1: are gonna be there. I think they are a team
- 16:08Speaker 1: I'm gonna continue to look to bet on, although I
- 16:12Speaker 1: am likely going to skip the Sunday Joe.
- 16:17Speaker 4: It's Buffalo is their schedule right now is they might
- 16:22Speaker 4: not lose a game until when they get to November.
- 16:25Speaker 4: So I don't have them, not only not as a dog,
- 16:28Speaker 4: I don't see them losing any game.
- 16:30Speaker 5: They're gonna be undefeated seven and oho.
- 16:32Speaker 4: I believe by the time we get to November first here,
- 16:35Speaker 4: so there, I'm just gonna keep backing them. They're gonna
- 16:38Speaker 4: be overinflated. But there's no way I'm looking to fade
- 16:41Speaker 4: this team at this point.
- 16:42Speaker 5: Aren't.
- 16:43Speaker 3: Yeah, it's hard to say you're gonna fade this team,
- 16:45Speaker 3: but you said it, Joe, and we've talked about it.
- 16:47Speaker 3: We talked about it last week with some of the
- 16:48Speaker 3: two and oh teams. You're gonna pay the Buffalo tax
- 16:51Speaker 3: right now, and that's the problem now. Yeah, anyone who
- 16:55Speaker 3: plays the Saints a line is probably gonna be inflated,
- 16:57Speaker 3: but Buffalo moving forward is gonna have inflated. I mean,
- 17:00Speaker 3: they didn't cover that line last week. It was a
- 17:02Speaker 3: big line. Miami's bad, So you're probably gonna have.
- 17:05Speaker 2: To pick your spots with Buffalo.
- 17:07Speaker 5: Guys.
- 17:07Speaker 1: If you watched last week on this show, I painted
- 17:11Speaker 1: a picture where Green Bay won the Super Bowl and
- 17:14Speaker 1: we sat around in March going, remember back in week
- 17:18Speaker 1: three when the Green Bay got beat by Cleveland. Well,
- 17:22Speaker 1: the Chargers are playing the New York Giants. Chargers three
- 17:26Speaker 1: and Oero. This are ready to start the season, and
- 17:29Speaker 1: I think they are a huge bet on team moving forward,
- 17:32Speaker 1: but maybe not this Sunday. This feels like a Green
- 17:36Speaker 1: Bay Cleveland game.
- 17:38Speaker 2: To me.
- 17:39Speaker 1: I'm concerned about the Chargers this Sunday, but I do
- 17:43Speaker 1: feel like they are a huge bet on team for
- 17:46Speaker 1: the next little while.
- 17:47Speaker 5: Joe, the jury still out with me on this Chargers team.
- 17:52Speaker 4: You know, so far is so good, but it's not
- 17:55Speaker 4: exactly like their steam rolling teams and bowling all over everyone.
- 17:59Speaker 4: Good to start the season against the Chiefs, that game
- 18:04Speaker 4: could have went either way. Against Denver, Denver seems to
- 18:06Speaker 4: figure out ways to lose games more often than win them.
- 18:10Speaker 4: So listen, you know they're three and oh it's great,
- 18:13Speaker 4: but I'm still holding out hard. I am not necessarily
- 18:17Speaker 4: pushing all the chips in here on the Chargers just yet.
- 18:22Speaker 3: I could see a wait and see approach, But I
- 18:25Speaker 3: do like them long term.
- 18:26Speaker 2: I think the Chargers are team who can make a
- 18:29Speaker 2: little bit of move in the playoffs. I'm with you, though, Prez.
- 18:32Speaker 3: I think this is a tough spot this week going
- 18:34Speaker 3: to the Giants. I mean that look I had line
- 18:36Speaker 3: was three, it's now six and a half in a
- 18:38Speaker 3: big adjustment and if dark plays will probably give the
- 18:41Speaker 3: Giants a little bit juice. And I mentioned this last week.
- 18:43Speaker 3: The Chargers are like our biggest liability right now in
- 18:46Speaker 3: the Super Bowl pool. Yeah, I mean we are married
- 18:48Speaker 3: to the Chargers, so keep that in mind.
- 18:51Speaker 1: Okay, so let's turn our attention to the Indianapolis Colts.
- 18:53Speaker 1: And they're in LA this week playing the Rams. And
- 18:57Speaker 1: you know, as we said, I thought they were gonna
- 18:59Speaker 1: lose last week, but Indiana Jones just rocking and rolling.
- 19:02Speaker 1: They got weapons. Jonathan Taylor resurgent. I mean, he's probably
- 19:07Speaker 1: like Saquon and the King, screw you both. I'm taking
- 19:11Speaker 1: the mantle. With that said, this is a horrible, horrible
- 19:17Speaker 1: spot this Sunday. I'm gonna still stick with a wait
- 19:21Speaker 1: and see approach on Indy, but I'll tell you now,
- 19:23Speaker 1: I'm looking to bet the Rams on Sunday. Joe.
- 19:26Speaker 4: Yeah, listen, I'll believe it when they actually play a
- 19:31Speaker 4: team on the road like the Rams. So yeah, to me,
- 19:35Speaker 4: it's fade at this point. Kudos to what they've done.
- 19:39Speaker 4: I mean, they're averaging thirty plus points a game here.
- 19:42Speaker 4: The defense seems to be, you know, doing their thing.
- 19:45Speaker 4: Lou Anarumo one of my favorite defensive coordinators.
- 19:48Speaker 5: I don't think he misses Cincinnati in all.
- 19:51Speaker 4: But at the same time, I got to see it
- 19:54Speaker 4: to believe it against a better team, and boy, they're
- 19:57Speaker 4: gonna get a pretty good look at a good defense
- 20:00Speaker 4: with the.
- 20:00Speaker 3: Rams and probably an angry team because they blew that
- 20:03Speaker 3: game in Philly last week. The culture beating who's in
- 20:08Speaker 3: front of them, So you got to give them credit there,
- 20:09Speaker 3: free and now. But I still think they're a fade team.
- 20:13Speaker 3: I just don't believe that when they play the upper
- 20:17Speaker 3: echelon better teams, which I still think the Rams are,
- 20:20Speaker 3: that they are going to win and perform.
- 20:22Speaker 2: So this is big.
- 20:23Speaker 3: Now, if they come and win next week, maybe they're
- 20:25Speaker 3: a team that you go forward with.
- 20:28Speaker 2: But I'm going to fade the Colts.
- 20:31Speaker 1: There we go. We got three more teams to discuss.
- 20:33Speaker 1: Let's move to the Eagles. Horrible first half last week,
- 20:37Speaker 1: but I mean I look at this Eagles team and think, Okay,
- 20:41Speaker 1: they had their worst game in a long while, still
- 20:44Speaker 1: got it done. I think this team is vicious. That
- 20:47Speaker 1: is where I'm at. With that said, I don't like
- 20:50Speaker 1: them as a road favorite this week. Against Tampa Bay.
- 20:54Speaker 1: I'm likely going to pass in that game. But man,
- 20:57Speaker 1: I'm looking to bet on Philadelphia anytime I can.
- 21:00Speaker 5: Joe, absolutely not.
- 21:02Speaker 4: I'll be looking to fade them every chance I get
- 21:05Speaker 4: because of the idea that they are somehow some juggernaut here.
- 21:10Speaker 4: They've had a lot of things go their way. They
- 21:12Speaker 4: can't run the ball. Saquon not the Saquon that was
- 21:16Speaker 4: a year ago. He's averaging three point three yards a carry.
- 21:20Speaker 5: Right now.
- 21:21Speaker 4: He ranch twenty eighth out of thirty two running backs.
- 21:24Speaker 4: They should have lost that game. They were outplayed for
- 21:27Speaker 4: that game there. But again, you rather be lucky than good.
- 21:30Speaker 4: But at some point, I don't know. I think they're
- 21:34Speaker 4: not blowing anybody out. They're getting fortunate, which leads me
- 21:38Speaker 4: to believe Laster is coming.
- 21:40Speaker 5: They didn't last year either.
- 21:42Speaker 1: Just for the record, it took to Game seven before
- 21:45Speaker 1: they beat a team by more than one score. Art Eagles.
- 21:49Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna fade because I think their lines are
- 21:52Speaker 3: a little over inflated as well, so I think there's
- 21:55Speaker 3: going to be spots you can go against Philly. Listen,
- 21:58Speaker 3: Philly is still one of the five best teams in
- 22:00Speaker 3: the league, top three. Whatever, you want to call them.
- 22:03Speaker 3: I get that, but I think there's gonna be spots
- 22:05Speaker 3: we can go against Philly.
- 22:08Speaker 1: Let's turn our attention to the forty nine ers. Man,
- 22:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to do this week, but for
- 22:15Speaker 1: some reason, this team just gets it done. I'm gonna
- 22:19Speaker 1: wait and see right now, but you know the injuries
- 22:23Speaker 1: are going to subside at some point. I'm taking a
- 22:26Speaker 1: wait and see approached, Joe.
- 22:28Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, listen.
- 22:29Speaker 4: I mean there's no doubt having Sola back as their
- 22:32Speaker 4: DC is made a ton of difference for them, but
- 22:36Speaker 4: the injuries continue to pile up. MATC Jones is now
- 22:39Speaker 4: hurt this week. So the good news is brock Perdy
- 22:43Speaker 4: is on his way back. They still don't have Ayuk,
- 22:45Speaker 4: they still don't have Jennings. Now they lose Bosa. The
- 22:49Speaker 4: good thing is their schedule is a joke. So they're
- 22:53Speaker 4: three and zero and I don't see anybody challenging them.
- 22:56Speaker 4: I still think they're gonna be better coach than have
- 22:59Speaker 4: enough playmates to get by this and whether the storm.
- 23:02Speaker 4: So I'm still looking to back and get behind the
- 23:06Speaker 4: forty nine ers are.
- 23:07Speaker 2: Yeah, pres I'm with you.
- 23:08Speaker 3: It's a little bit of wait and see, because I'm
- 23:10Speaker 3: starting to really get concerned with all these injuries piling up.
- 23:13Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 23:13Speaker 3: But the key thing and the thing that I think
- 23:15Speaker 3: why we all like the Niners is because that schedule.
- 23:18Speaker 3: That schedule is going to allow them to get to
- 23:20Speaker 3: ten or eleven wins just because of the teams that
- 23:24Speaker 3: they play. But you know, it's hard to back them
- 23:26Speaker 3: week in and week out. It feels like they lose
- 23:28Speaker 3: three guys every week.
- 23:29Speaker 4: I'll say this, though, Frez, I'll say this. They're forty
- 23:33Speaker 4: nine ers by is week fourteen. That's one of the
- 23:37Speaker 4: last possible. So if they can weather the storm, then
- 23:41Speaker 4: they'll be able to rest up. They'll get that buy
- 23:44Speaker 4: right at the right time to make that stretch run
- 23:46Speaker 4: because it's an ugly schedule, So if they win these
- 23:50Speaker 4: games early, they'll be set up pretty good here later
- 23:52Speaker 4: on in the season.
- 23:53Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, Joe, this to me is a team that
- 23:57Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna start looking to fade.
- 24:00Speaker 5: And I.
- 24:02Speaker 1: Almost don't know what to do with this team. And Baker,
- 24:06Speaker 1: he's always been sort of inconsistent. You go out there,
- 24:09Speaker 1: it's like kind of that Brett faar Finger three interceptions,
- 24:13Speaker 1: you know, five touchdowns, Who knows what's coming. I'm looking
- 24:16Speaker 1: to fade the steam moving forward, but I'm again likely
- 24:20Speaker 1: going to pass this weekend. Joe.
- 24:23Speaker 4: Listen, the time to fade him was probably these last
- 24:27Speaker 4: three games where they scored the winning points what fifty
- 24:31Speaker 4: nine seconds, six seconds and as the clock ran out
- 24:35Speaker 4: in order to be able to win those first three games.
- 24:37Speaker 4: And they've done it without three fifths of their starting
- 24:39Speaker 4: offensive line, and they haven't had.
- 24:41Speaker 5: Chris Godwin yet. So the Evans injury is concerning.
- 24:45Speaker 4: Now he's out with a hamstring, but Philadelphia, Seattle, San Francisco,
- 24:51Speaker 4: and Detroit is who they have coming up next.
- 24:54Speaker 5: It's a fade for me, Art.
- 24:56Speaker 2: It's definitely a fade. You mentioned the offensive line.
- 24:59Speaker 3: They probably will get Works back at some point, but
- 25:01Speaker 3: the offensive line injuries are concerning.
- 25:03Speaker 1: I don't even think.
- 25:04Speaker 3: Godwin's any good anymore. So, you know, the Ohio State
- 25:07Speaker 3: kid has stepped up. Evan's being hurt, his hues, but
- 25:10Speaker 3: look who they beat. They beat what Atlanta, they beat
- 25:13Speaker 3: the Jets, and they beat Houston. All those teams are bad.
- 25:17Speaker 3: You mentioned the upcoming schedule. I think they are a
- 25:19Speaker 3: fade of moving forward.
- 25:21Speaker 1: What a segment tomorrow We'll take a look at the
- 25:24Speaker 1: and three teams Art the Caesar. Thanks for doing this, brother.
- 25:27Speaker 1: You can see him Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday on
- 25:31Speaker 1: the best betting show ever at that like button. Subscribe
- 25:34Speaker 1: to our channel art kick Ass, be well and we'll
- 25:37Speaker 1: see you tomorrow, my brother, Joe, so lucky of Art
- 25:41Speaker 1: doing that. That was an awesome segment wise for sure.
- 25:46Speaker 1: So we got our NFL best bets coming up. Joe
- 25:49Speaker 1: ran Aire's gonna give you one. I'm going to give
- 25:51Speaker 1: you one. Same with our college football Joe will take
- 25:53Speaker 1: apart every MLB game on the board, and we're going
- 25:56Speaker 1: to do our male bag section of the show. We're
- 25:59Speaker 1: now going on the clock. It's two minute segments each Joe.
- 26:03Speaker 1: Before we get into that, let's take care of some business. Okay,
- 26:06Speaker 1: business time, Joe Rani, you've got a five percent play
- 26:09Speaker 1: in college football on Saturday, and I have a five
- 26:12Speaker 1: percent play in NFL on Sunday. And to give you
- 26:15Speaker 1: guys perspective, five percent plays are the highest rated plays
- 26:20Speaker 1: we release to our clients. I am two and oh
- 26:23Speaker 1: in five percent plays this season already, Joe. I don't
- 26:28Speaker 1: think you've had one yet, is that right?
- 26:30Speaker 5: My first one first college football five percent.
- 26:33Speaker 1: So neither Joe or I have lost a five percent
- 26:36Speaker 1: play this football season, and we are a combined two
- 26:40Speaker 1: and oh I won two. Joe hasn't had one yet.
- 26:44Speaker 1: You guys can get each of our plays for only
- 26:48Speaker 1: one dollar if you have never ever purchased from wager
- 26:52Speaker 1: talk dot com. A new customer, only use the promo
- 26:57Speaker 1: code best one be st one. That's best one, and
- 27:03Speaker 1: you literally get Joe's strongest college football play of the
- 27:07Speaker 1: season to date. His first five percent play were only
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- 27:15Speaker 1: only one dollar as well. That's for new customers only.
- 27:20Speaker 1: Thank you, guys, Joe. Let's get into OURFL best bets
- 27:23Speaker 1: and I'm going to start right off the bat Q
- 27:26Speaker 1: that clock Atlanta Elkins. They're at home this week against
- 27:31Speaker 1: Washington and this is one of those salivating spots here.
- 27:36Speaker 1: We have Atlanta just coming off of a horrid destruction
- 27:43Speaker 1: against the Carolina who the hell knows what team thirty
- 27:46Speaker 1: to nothing. They couldn't get going, They had no rhythm,
- 27:49Speaker 1: They can't find a kicker, their quarterback was horrific, their
- 27:53Speaker 1: wide receivers couldn't catch them all. Their running game wasn't
- 27:56Speaker 1: even great and their defense stuck. They followed it up
- 27:59Speaker 1: by getting rid of a wide receiver coach and a
- 28:02Speaker 1: quarterback coach. Turmoil in Atlanta. What a perfect time to
- 28:07Speaker 1: bet them. This is exactly what betting is all about.
- 28:12Speaker 1: This Atlanta team won two before that game. This Atlanta
- 28:15Speaker 1: team looked good last year when Michael pennockx Junior started
- 28:18Speaker 1: to play after the Kirk Cousins debacle. This Atlanta team
- 28:22Speaker 1: has an outstanding coach. This Atlanta team has weapons everywhere,
- 28:27Speaker 1: and this Atlanta team is playing an underperforming Washington Redskins
- 28:31Speaker 1: team who is missing their quarterback and now going on
- 28:35Speaker 1: the road. Not only do I like Atlanta plus two
- 28:38Speaker 1: and a half, Joe, but take them on the money line.
- 28:41Speaker 1: They win this game outright.
- 28:42Speaker 4: Go wow, that's impressive. Press all right. I am going
- 28:46Speaker 4: to go with the fade. We talked about it earlier
- 28:51Speaker 4: of Danny Dives. I think that the Colts having to
- 28:54Speaker 4: go across and take on the Rams now, who were
- 28:58Speaker 4: a little bent after that. McVeigh said it too. They
- 29:02Speaker 4: weren't happy with how things ended there against Philly. I
- 29:05Speaker 4: do think this is the ultimate test for Indy. It's
- 29:08Speaker 4: one thing to beat up the Tennessees of the world.
- 29:11Speaker 4: It's a whole different thing. So I have to go
- 29:13Speaker 4: to the West Coast against that pass rush and be successful.
- 29:18Speaker 4: So I am willing to back the Rams to get
- 29:20Speaker 4: back on track here, Prez.
- 29:21Speaker 1: I actually love that play too, Joe, So thanks for that.
- 29:25Speaker 1: Let's turn our attention to the college football best bets,
- 29:28Speaker 1: and Joe, I'm gonna look at a team that everyone
- 29:32Speaker 1: thinks is a total disaster cow California Bears are playing
- 29:37Speaker 1: Boston College and man, they lost thirty four to nothing
- 29:41Speaker 1: last week to a San Diego State team, and as
- 29:45Speaker 1: a result, I think we got a really great betting opportunity.
- 29:48Speaker 1: You got to look deep into the numbers here. Last week,
- 29:51Speaker 1: this Kel team had a minus five turnover differential. They
- 29:56Speaker 1: gave up two defensive touchdowns, so a minus five turnover differential,
- 30:03Speaker 1: two defensive touchdowns and a ninety six yard pick six.
- 30:08Speaker 5: That game was.
- 30:09Speaker 1: An aberration and anomaly. It got away from them. They
- 30:13Speaker 1: played horrible. Now they're in a perfect bounce back spot
- 30:16Speaker 1: under coach Wilcox. This coach has been a cash cow
- 30:20Speaker 1: as an underdog in these exact situations. Take Kel Bear's
- 30:25Speaker 1: plus the six and a half and maybe wait, Joe,
- 30:29Speaker 1: maybe cross your fingers that a seven comes up. But man,
- 30:33Speaker 1: I could see this team winning out right too. What
- 30:35Speaker 1: do you got?
- 30:36Speaker 4: I love that call. Love Wilcox as a dog, by
- 30:39Speaker 4: the way, I think that's a great call there. All right,
- 30:42Speaker 4: Well it's another week, so it is time to figure
- 30:44Speaker 4: out another way to fade my alma mata. Oklahoma State
- 30:47Speaker 4: has told you last week here on the show that yes,
- 30:51Speaker 4: against Tulsa, please take that team total under thirty one
- 30:54Speaker 4: and a half points. There was they could play the
- 30:57Speaker 4: game five times and Oklahoma State was never scoring more
- 31:00Speaker 4: than thirty points in that game, and that was a winner.
- 31:03Speaker 4: Now they get to take on Baylor. The bail of
- 31:06Speaker 4: Bears come to Stillwater and guess what. They won't be
- 31:10Speaker 4: scoring twenty points in this game. And I believe nineteen
- 31:13Speaker 4: and a half is that team total press for the
- 31:15Speaker 4: Oklahomas eight Cowboys, and it is the beginning of the
- 31:19Speaker 4: end for Gundhy. There, the era will come to an end.
- 31:23Speaker 4: Baylor will run over them. I'll be fading the team
- 31:27Speaker 4: total once again. Here Prez for Oklahoma State, Joe and Airy.
- 31:31Speaker 1: Major League Baseball coming down to the wire. Races galore
- 31:36Speaker 1: and the Blue Jays. Hold on, guess what, this is
- 31:40Speaker 1: a betting show. Who cares? How do we bet these
- 31:42Speaker 1: games today?
- 31:44Speaker 4: Love it, Prez? All right, let's get it going here.
- 31:46Speaker 4: It's gonna start with the Rays and the Orioles. Who
- 31:48Speaker 4: cares neither of playing for the postseason, But I do
- 31:51Speaker 4: like the Orioles at home there the Guardians and the
- 31:54Speaker 4: Tigers schoolbol versus Gavin Williams. Tigers are a mess. However,
- 31:59Speaker 4: I don't know how many runs we're getting. This feels
- 32:01Speaker 4: like a three to one, three to two kind of game.
- 32:04Speaker 4: I'm gonna go under the six and a half. The
- 32:06Speaker 4: Reds need to keep winning. The Prens told you earlier
- 32:09Speaker 4: they're not losing to the Pirates at home here tonight,
- 32:12Speaker 4: and I agree with them. I'll be backing the Reds.
- 32:15Speaker 4: The Phillies taking on the Marlins. Cabrera back on the
- 32:19Speaker 4: mound for the first time in over a month of
- 32:21Speaker 4: the Marlins. Sanchez for the Phillies. Phillies ain't losing that
- 32:25Speaker 4: game at all. While the Yankees are at home taking
- 32:28Speaker 4: on the White Sox. Louis Heel on the mound. I
- 32:31Speaker 4: would even lay the run and a half here with
- 32:33Speaker 4: the Yankees. Expect some runs here tonight the Red Sox
- 32:37Speaker 4: in Toronto. To the press point, what are we gonna get?
- 32:40Speaker 4: I think we're gonna get a pitchers battle here with
- 32:42Speaker 4: Gossman and Gilito. Both have dominated these lineups this year.
- 32:46Speaker 4: I'm gonna go under the eight there. Nats and Braves
- 32:50Speaker 4: were already told you to Braves red hot when it
- 32:53Speaker 4: means nothing.
- 32:53Speaker 5: They'll continue against the Nats. The Mets.
- 32:56Speaker 4: I've got to go to Wrigley and win a game.
- 32:58Speaker 4: The Mets haven't been able to win again that mattered
- 33:00Speaker 4: now for how long Peterson is on the mound. He
- 33:04Speaker 4: has been throwing batting practice. I think that continues. I'm
- 33:07Speaker 4: gonna go with the Cubs, the Rangers. Ken Patrick Corbin
- 33:11Speaker 4: win a game. Yeah, I think he can against the Twins.
- 33:14Speaker 4: While the Royals remain pretty red hot. Call Reagan's on
- 33:17Speaker 4: the mound. They should beat the Angels, no problem. The
- 33:20Speaker 4: Rockies and Mariners, Wow, what a game. That's not gonna
- 33:24Speaker 4: be a game. Mareners is gonna win that game. And
- 33:26Speaker 4: the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, Dodgers playing for nothing, Diamondbacks playing
- 33:30Speaker 4: for their season. I'll take the run and a half
- 33:33Speaker 4: with the home dog while the Brewers and Padres, that's
- 33:36Speaker 4: gonna be an under here tonight, and the Cardinals and
- 33:39Speaker 4: the Giants look for the Giants underweb to bounce back.
- 33:42Speaker 4: And you hold the art told you the Athletics against
- 33:45Speaker 4: the Astros backham here tonight at home in Sacramento. That
- 33:50Speaker 4: is your Major League Baseball final week of the regular season.
- 33:55Speaker 5: Rundown.
- 33:56Speaker 1: There we go, Joe, Let's turn our attention to them
- 33:59Speaker 1: to the mail back guys, hit that like button. Subscribed
- 34:02Speaker 1: to our channel, But comment on these videos please. These
- 34:06Speaker 1: comments are so crucial to the show getting recommended to
- 34:10Speaker 1: other people on the YouTube algorithm, so we do need
- 34:13Speaker 1: your help. Over ninety comments yesterday. Here's a couple this gentleman,
- 34:17Speaker 1: dominie Ka, I love when people laugh at you. Joe
- 34:21Speaker 1: pres Prez, you lost the Dallas pick. Wow, nice job,
- 34:25Speaker 1: great handicapper, would never buy your pick three? Laughing his
- 34:31Speaker 1: ass off emojis well, Dominique, I hope you feel better
- 34:35Speaker 1: about yourself, but laughing at my misery.
- 34:37Speaker 5: However, no MISERYBI. You don't need to buy my picks.
- 34:42Speaker 1: You don't need to be sixty five percent in NFL
- 34:45Speaker 1: this season. You don't need to be on a ten
- 34:47Speaker 1: and four run. You don't need to have won every
- 34:51Speaker 1: single NFL betting day this season. It's okay, bro, just
- 34:57Speaker 1: do you. I'll do me. My clients will keep winning. Joe,
- 35:02Speaker 1: we're getting a ton of really great response. Men. These
- 35:06Speaker 1: guys are outstanding, lots of fun. And then we had
- 35:10Speaker 1: a lot of people talk about Dave Sherpen, who we lost.
- 35:13Speaker 1: So I really am appreciative of all of that. How
- 35:17Speaker 1: about the Chicago Bears, says Michael Chen He made a
- 35:21Speaker 1: small fortune on them. Did you happen to be with
- 35:24Speaker 1: Michael on that game?
- 35:26Speaker 4: I didn't want anything to do with that game because
- 35:28Speaker 4: I can't think of two teams I didn't trust. I
- 35:31Speaker 4: trusted less there, Bras. I know you like Dallas, but
- 35:35Speaker 4: kudos to the Bears. But can they make it to
- 35:37Speaker 4: in a row against the Raiders this week?
- 35:40Speaker 5: Well?
- 35:40Speaker 1: The Raiders are all out of sorts too, Michael Forrest, Joe,
- 35:44Speaker 1: My razorbacks are embarrassing. How about how about we face
- 35:49Speaker 1: Okay State for the Toilette Bowl? Any any thoughts there?
- 35:53Speaker 5: I love that.
- 35:53Speaker 4: Yes, with any Locke, we'll either get Clemson versus Oklahoma
- 35:57Speaker 4: State and the Toilet Bowl or yes, Coach Sam Pittman
- 36:01Speaker 4: your Arkansas Raisinbacks. They would be next choice up for
- 36:04Speaker 4: me for sure.
- 36:05Speaker 1: Joe, for all the people who bitched at us for
- 36:08Speaker 1: taking two team totals over on Monday night football, please
- 36:13Speaker 1: put a comment in the section and apologize. Thank you, Joe,
- 36:17Speaker 1: what a fun show man. Shout out to Art the Caesar,
- 36:20Speaker 1: to yourself, to everybody who watches. Guys, use that promo
- 36:25Speaker 1: code best one, B E ST one, Joe and Aries
- 36:29Speaker 1: five percent college football play first of the season, my
- 36:32Speaker 1: NFL five percent play on Sunday. It's only one buck
- 36:37Speaker 1: to new customers only. We'll see you all tomorrow's same time.
- 36:41Speaker 1: Thanks for watching, and Joe, let's all win together.