Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS | 9/24/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All system's gone clear, the lift of.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on Shipping Nation and YouTube station. Back
- 0:44Speaker 2: in the Saddle four, my last show with my guy
- 0:47Speaker 2: g Risen. It's been bittersweet here and we're coming down
- 0:49Speaker 2: to the grips. We're coming down to the end. But hey,
- 0:51Speaker 2: just wait, there's October Baseball. I don't know what the
- 0:53Speaker 2: show schedule is going to look like. I'm assuming not
- 0:56Speaker 2: many live shows there, but we will have content all
- 0:59Speaker 2: the way through the playoffs. Gee Rising our last show
- 1:02Speaker 2: of the regular season, coming down to the end here,
- 1:04Speaker 2: and we got a nine gamer. We got the Rockies
- 1:07Speaker 2: Chalk City on the slates again, right, another pitcher to
- 1:11Speaker 2: talk about that's underpriced for the matchup.
- 1:14Speaker 1: Bryce Miller didn't get the job done. We talked about that.
- 1:16Speaker 2: I think we hit the nail on the head yesterday
- 1:18Speaker 2: there with I don't know what he came in something
- 1:22Speaker 2: like that, scored eleven Fantasy points. I don't know if
- 1:25Speaker 2: you were very happy with the eleven ball there from
- 1:28Speaker 2: mister Bryce Miller. But hey, we got castele to talk
- 1:31Speaker 2: about here tonight. It's been a hell of a ride,
- 1:33Speaker 2: a hell of a season. You're coming off actually all
- 1:36Speaker 2: of us, I mean the whole nation last night smashed
- 1:39Speaker 2: in the streets. I picked up a couple five to
- 1:40Speaker 2: fifty five tickets, had a couple of shots at the
- 1:44Speaker 2: top for a lot of the single entry stuff there,
- 1:47Speaker 2: fricking Seattle got whooped up on that. That hurt me
- 1:51Speaker 2: pretty bad there. But I'm sure you had a pretty
- 1:53Speaker 2: solid night overall. I know you got some bowling to
- 1:56Speaker 2: tend two this afternoon. There, you got some new balls.
- 2:00Speaker 2: Hey maybe maybe they're nicely shining, ready to uh to
- 2:03Speaker 2: throw some three hundred games out there. But what's up, brother?
- 2:06Speaker 1: How are you? Yeah?
- 2:08Speaker 3: Hey, excited? Always fun when you get a new bowling ball.
- 2:10Speaker 4: I mean, you know, I've it's last couple I got,
- 2:13Speaker 4: anybody who I got the hyper hyper pearl, so we're
- 2:17Speaker 4: gonna see what that's all about. And then I got
- 2:19Speaker 4: an Equinox last week, shot seven hundred with it right
- 2:22Speaker 4: out the box, so twice two out of three times.
- 2:25Speaker 4: So actually bowl three times a week. Yeah, I don't
- 2:28Speaker 4: know why the hell I did that, but I committed
- 2:30Speaker 4: to it.
- 2:30Speaker 3: Needs so either way, fun times.
- 2:33Speaker 4: But uh yeah, yesterday the only thing that sucked was
- 2:36Speaker 4: Web getting fucking smoked out the gate. Like dude, he
- 2:39Speaker 4: gave up three runs right away out the bat, and I,
- 2:42Speaker 4: you know, I was sitting there with uh with I
- 2:44Speaker 4: had a Gossman team, had a Web team, and then
- 2:47Speaker 4: I ended up having a Brice Miller team. But man, Miller,
- 2:51Speaker 4: it's the same situation today with Lewis Castile, I mean,
- 2:54Speaker 4: and Lewis Castill sucks.
- 2:55Speaker 3: Man. I I'm I'm out on that deal already.
- 2:59Speaker 4: I'll tell you right now, like I'm not even considering
- 3:01Speaker 4: that Castillo probably be about the same owned.
- 3:04Speaker 3: It's like almost like groundhog Day today.
- 3:06Speaker 4: It's just Castillo and Bryce Miller, so we'll have to see,
- 3:10Speaker 4: you know what other pitching options, and really pitching kind
- 3:13Speaker 4: of sucks today. But there is one guy I think,
- 3:16Speaker 4: actually two I think that have some pretty slate breaking
- 3:20Speaker 4: potential today, obviously Snell and then we got Garrett Crochet
- 3:24Speaker 4: that I don't think really too many people are gonna
- 3:26Speaker 4: play today. I think a lot of people are gonna
- 3:28Speaker 4: go to Max Freed, which, hey, that's fine to Grom
- 3:30Speaker 4: that's fine too.
- 3:31Speaker 3: I just don't like that. But we'll see, you know,
- 3:35Speaker 3: as we get through it.
- 3:36Speaker 4: But I can't believe it's the last show already too, Like,
- 3:39Speaker 4: holy shit, man, it literally feels like I just went
- 3:42Speaker 4: the opening day with the Tigers, froze my ass off
- 3:45Speaker 4: down there in Detroit, and like the whole summer is
- 3:47Speaker 4: just like gone already. But hey, it was a lot
- 3:50Speaker 4: of fun, you know, I know, you know, pretty much
- 3:52Speaker 4: I'm gonna disappear until baseball starts next year. I don't
- 3:57Speaker 4: get on any shows unless you know, you know you guys,
- 4:00Speaker 4: you know, start may bug bug hoop and tampbell, tell
- 4:02Speaker 4: them get to your eyes and on one of these
- 4:03Speaker 4: football shows or something, talk some smack or something.
- 4:06Speaker 3: You know, I like to get on talk shit.
- 4:08Speaker 4: But either way, but it's always been fun on All
- 4:10Speaker 4: season Title and the Naids and Ham I know, we
- 4:13Speaker 4: all have a good time. It was a really good
- 4:15Speaker 4: time when we all got to get together and hang out.
- 4:17Speaker 4: It feels like we're all like brothers in a family.
- 4:20Speaker 4: And it's like, you know, you don't see each other,
- 4:21Speaker 4: then you see each other. I feel like I saw
- 4:23Speaker 4: you yesterday. It's like I didn't even see you, but
- 4:25Speaker 4: like once, but I feel like I saw you yesterday
- 4:27Speaker 4: pretty much did it was on here, but uh, either way,
- 4:31Speaker 4: I mean, it's a lot of fun being a part
- 4:33Speaker 4: of the ship and family I mean I've been a
- 4:34Speaker 4: part of a different few different sites. I mean I
- 4:36Speaker 4: started way back with Bline Sports in twenty eleven and twelve,
- 4:40Speaker 4: but it was just a site and we were doing
- 4:42Speaker 4: write ups and all this kind of shit. And I've
- 4:44Speaker 4: never been a part of a site that has just
- 4:47Speaker 4: like it's not like toxic, there's no like negativity, Like
- 4:51Speaker 4: everybody gets along and every I think we've done a
- 4:53Speaker 4: good jobs as you know, the the you know, the
- 4:57Speaker 4: the people on the site that are you know, giving
- 4:59Speaker 4: out you know, information and content. We don't also give
- 5:02Speaker 4: out content. I think we actually teach you how to play.
- 5:04Speaker 4: At least that's what I try to do. I mean, yeah,
- 5:06Speaker 4: baseball's tough, man. If you can win once out of
- 5:09Speaker 4: every few weeks and you were shipping tournaments, dude, you're
- 5:12Speaker 4: a winning player, like you know, it's just you got
- 5:16Speaker 4: to learn how to play, you know, are you taking
- 5:18Speaker 4: a risk or doing all that? And I think that's
- 5:19Speaker 4: what I tried to get to across to you guys
- 5:22Speaker 4: as we go through. And I mean, and I look
- 5:24Speaker 4: at as a season long kind of thing, Nate. That's why,
- 5:26Speaker 4: like I bust balls on the Royals, like season long.
- 5:29Speaker 3: I just thought long, Jeb.
- 5:31Speaker 4: I mean, they weren't a team that had the power
- 5:33Speaker 4: to win me the top of tournaments on a big
- 5:35Speaker 4: deep slate like a ten game or nine gamer five gamers.
- 5:39Speaker 4: That's different, you know, And we talked about situations like that.
- 5:42Speaker 4: But I mean that I had a lot of fun.
- 5:45Speaker 4: I mean, we'll be back next year, ready to rear
- 5:47Speaker 4: and to go. I can't believe it's over already. And
- 5:50Speaker 4: my Tigers are gonna shit the bed, miss the playoffs.
- 5:53Speaker 4: I'm gonna I mean, this town here is about the just.
- 5:56Speaker 4: They don't know what to do with themselves. Like I mean,
- 5:58Speaker 4: it's a good thing to line a good or the
- 6:00Speaker 4: Tigers right now would be getting just it's a good thing.
- 6:04Speaker 4: The top Lions beat Baltimore, I'll tell you right, because
- 6:06Speaker 4: the talk radio shows here would just be so negative
- 6:09Speaker 4: around here. It's unbelievable. But hey, it's baseball. It's fun.
- 6:13Speaker 4: Let's win the slate here tonight. Like way I look
- 6:16Speaker 4: at it, we got Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday this week.
- 6:19Speaker 4: That's really gonna Maybe Saturday will be some decent prizes,
- 6:22Speaker 4: but we know Thursday they jerk us around with some
- 6:25Speaker 4: shit ass pools on the football days, So we really
- 6:29Speaker 4: only got a couple of days left, so.
- 6:30Speaker 3: Let's have some fun hammer it and let's get us
- 6:32Speaker 3: some extra cash.
- 6:34Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it's been it's been a hell of a ride.
- 6:36Speaker 2: Love doing shows with you here for baseball obviously since
- 6:41Speaker 2: football started, right, I've been on with you more often.
- 6:44Speaker 1: It's been a blast, and I think you hit the
- 6:46Speaker 1: nail on the head right.
- 6:47Speaker 2: We try to try our best to not focus on
- 6:49Speaker 2: the picks and plays, but more so roster construction, leverage,
- 6:53Speaker 2: how to build your teams and give yourself the best
- 6:55Speaker 2: chance to uh to get to the top. And again,
- 6:58Speaker 2: baseball is one of the hardest, it not the hardest
- 7:00Speaker 2: DFS sport. I'll play hockey right up there with all
- 7:03Speaker 2: of them. Obviously they're all hard. But the variants in
- 7:06Speaker 2: baseball mlbdfs, especially in September, is just wild. I mean,
- 7:09Speaker 2: look at Logan Web and Kevin Gosman yesterday, quote unquote,
- 7:12Speaker 2: the two safest options on the board in terms of leash,
- 7:15Speaker 2: in terms of pitch count and what they score. Eleven
- 7:17Speaker 2: and twelve DraftKings points each of them there, and that
- 7:21Speaker 2: just goes to show you there's variant slapping you right
- 7:23Speaker 2: in the face. Overall, but yeah, we'll do our best
- 7:25Speaker 2: to break it down here, got Sean Rooney and here
- 7:28Speaker 2: Marquee go collect Todd Loan Wolf, my lane, Sean Sullivan,
- 7:33Speaker 2: hit that like button, hit that subscribe button one last
- 7:35Speaker 2: time for us, helps us.
- 7:36Speaker 1: Out a ton.
- 7:36Speaker 2: I'll be back on Friday with my guy Ham to
- 7:39Speaker 2: round out the week here and round out the regular
- 7:41Speaker 2: season strong again.
- 7:43Speaker 1: We'll have content all the way through the playoffs.
- 7:45Speaker 2: So if you're not a member yet ship at nation
- 7:46Speaker 2: dot com, get in get the rest of the baseball season.
- 7:50Speaker 2: Playoffs there's usually really really good contest all playoffs long.
- 7:53Speaker 1: There's a lot of money to be made. And then
- 7:54Speaker 1: obviously NFL.
- 7:55Speaker 2: I mean we're we're coming in a week four ready,
- 7:57Speaker 2: which seems nuts for our NFL. I know, we're just
- 8:01Speaker 2: talking opening opening weekend right first Sunday and now we're
- 8:06Speaker 2: now we're four Sundays in. We're about to be four
- 8:07Speaker 2: Sundays in here. Everything just moves out quickly. But uh yeah,
- 8:11Speaker 2: we'll do our best to break it all down here.
- 8:13Speaker 2: I'm gonna pull our partner Sabers him up here. I
- 8:16Speaker 2: did do the dry run up on the up on
- 8:18Speaker 2: the screen here, Gee Risen and uh, I know he
- 8:22Speaker 2: stepped away, but basically I'll kind of give you the
- 8:25Speaker 2: lowdown in terms of the slate overview, it's gonna be Castillo,
- 8:28Speaker 2: it's gonna be de Grom, and it's gonna be Houston.
- 8:31Speaker 1: It's pretty much, uh, pretty much telltale sign.
- 8:35Speaker 2: Of yesterday's slate. It was Houston with Bryce Miller. Today
- 8:40Speaker 2: it's Houston with Castillo and de Grom. That's really where
- 8:43Speaker 2: it's going. The other guys up at the top, they
- 8:45Speaker 2: are gonna get some ownership, Max Freed, Sunny Gray. The
- 8:47Speaker 2: two guys that are kind of getting left in the
- 8:49Speaker 2: dust are Sunny Gray, Garrett Crochet for sure, and then
- 8:55Speaker 2: probably Hunter Brown. Really, Castillo, de Gram, Max Fried are
- 8:59Speaker 2: going to command the most ownerships. Sonny Gray a little
- 9:01Speaker 2: bit as well. And then Houston. It's Houston and Yankees
- 9:05Speaker 2: bats overall. In terms of the dry run, Ge Rosen,
- 9:08Speaker 2: I'll throw it over to you eight K and above.
- 9:11Speaker 2: Got a couple guys here. You got Matthew Boyd in
- 9:14Speaker 2: that Wriglely win game there, but ten to twelve nine
- 9:17Speaker 2: hour wins blown straight in from centerfield in there, and regularly,
- 9:21Speaker 2: obviously we know the wind affects it a lot there,
- 9:23Speaker 2: pretty similar to yesterday, and what of that game. That
- 9:26Speaker 2: game went nuts, one of the highest scoring games on
- 9:28Speaker 2: the slate. Just shows you, hey, Wrigley's back. We started
- 9:30Speaker 2: the year in thirty degrees, We're ending the year in
- 9:32Speaker 2: low sixties, upper fifties with wind blown in and that's
- 9:36Speaker 2: the only time the Cubs in the teams there seemed
- 9:39Speaker 2: to be scoring run. So you got Matthew Boyd at
- 9:41Speaker 2: eighty three hundred, Sunny Grade eighty five hundred, Boyd definitely
- 9:44Speaker 2: gonna be the pivot off of Sonny Grade. De Grom
- 9:46Speaker 2: gonna be the chalk right there at nine K, and
- 9:49Speaker 2: then up at the top you got Brown, Freed, Snell, Crochet.
- 9:53Speaker 2: I think from de Gram all the way up any
- 9:56Speaker 2: of these six, I wondn't be surprised to put up
- 9:57Speaker 2: a slate breaking upside or slate break and performance. For me,
- 10:01Speaker 2: I think Garrett Crochet is the best option on the
- 10:04Speaker 2: slate because I think people are scared to click that
- 10:07Speaker 2: name all the way up the top. But gee, Risen
- 10:10Speaker 2: the al. The AL is where all of the majority
- 10:14Speaker 2: of the teams are fighting for something. There's a little
- 10:16Speaker 2: bit in the NL, but realistically it's the al. The
- 10:19Speaker 2: al is wide open here. Boston is definitely playing for
- 10:21Speaker 2: something here. It is a tough matchup against Toronto, but man,
- 10:26Speaker 2: we know Garret Croche what he can do. Boston needs
- 10:29Speaker 2: to win this game. In general, I'm assuming they're gonna
- 10:31Speaker 2: let him throw as much as he physically can. Blake
- 10:34Speaker 2: Snell gets the matchup against the d Backs right where, hey,
- 10:37Speaker 2: d Backs also need to win. They're what a game
- 10:39Speaker 2: out of the wild card here in the NL. Blake
- 10:43Speaker 2: Snell can get wild at times, so talk about that.
- 10:46Speaker 2: There's a lot to a lot of these pitchers up
- 10:49Speaker 2: here do need to play for some some don't need
- 10:51Speaker 2: to play as much, so you could see their pitch
- 10:53Speaker 2: count concerns come into effect right where they get cut short.
- 10:58Speaker 2: They just don't go as long when they're not playing
- 11:00Speaker 2: for playing for much. But break down this top tier.
- 11:02Speaker 2: I think it's really loaded tier in general. What do
- 11:04Speaker 2: you see up here?
- 11:09Speaker 1: You're on mute mute, mute, mute.
- 11:16Speaker 3: Mute, mute, mute, mute mute.
- 11:18Speaker 4: You know, fucking just jaw jacking away, you know, had
- 11:22Speaker 4: to cough, but either way, so, I mean, just kind
- 11:26Speaker 4: of looking what we got up at top here. I
- 11:28Speaker 4: think everybody's going to Max Freed because they see the
- 11:31Speaker 4: matchup versus the White Sox. And you know, you're sitting
- 11:34Speaker 4: here looking at Crochet and Snell, and you've got two
- 11:36Speaker 4: teams that all season we've been talking about not really
- 11:39Speaker 4: chasing after for strikeouts, the Blue Jays and the the
- 11:43Speaker 4: d Back.
- 11:44Speaker 3: So I mean, I think that's.
- 11:46Speaker 4: Where you know, most of us are sitting there looking saying, Ah,
- 11:49Speaker 4: you know, I don't really like the matchup, but man,
- 11:50Speaker 4: Crochet has been really good. I mean almost thirty two
- 11:53Speaker 4: percent strikeout. He doesn't really walk anybody. Snell's been good
- 11:57Speaker 4: his last few starts out He's been, you know, over
- 11:59Speaker 4: double digit strikeouts. He's got twenty three strikeouts his last
- 12:02Speaker 4: two starts. I mean, dude's been good. So I think
- 12:06Speaker 4: these two have the slate breaking upside that literally on
- 12:09Speaker 4: a short pitching slate. I'm kind of surprised. I think
- 12:12Speaker 4: that's where I would be kind of looking today to
- 12:15Speaker 4: try to be different. I mean, you look at some
- 12:17Speaker 4: of these other guys that are up here at the top.
- 12:19Speaker 4: I don't mind Freed and his match up here, but
- 12:22Speaker 4: since when has Max Freed been somebody that I want
- 12:25Speaker 4: to play over Garrett, Crochet or Snell. I mean I
- 12:28Speaker 4: should be able to find the salary where I should
- 12:29Speaker 4: be able to get to one of those two instead.
- 12:32Speaker 3: Of Max Freed.
- 12:32Speaker 4: So I'm not really sold too high on Freed here.
- 12:38Speaker 4: I mean, I think he's got, you know, a decent floor,
- 12:41Speaker 4: but I don't think he's got the ceiling like Crochet
- 12:45Speaker 4: and and Snell have. I mean, I don't really care
- 12:47Speaker 4: about the two matchups there at all. But and then
- 12:51Speaker 4: you know, you look at Hunter Brown. I think Hunter
- 12:53Speaker 4: Brown's I mean, it's just he's a good pitcher. I
- 12:57Speaker 4: just I don't think the matchup is all that great.
- 12:59Speaker 4: I don't like the park, so I mean I just
- 13:02Speaker 4: think Brown is, uh, he just I'd put him below
- 13:06Speaker 4: the Freed, Snell and everybody else.
- 13:08Speaker 3: But I wouldn't cancel him out.
- 13:09Speaker 4: I mean, I don't think I dislike and see too
- 13:12Speaker 4: many flags where I would take him out of my pool,
- 13:14Speaker 4: especially on a slate where I don't really like pitching overall.
- 13:17Speaker 4: And then de Gram, you know, I mean he's obviously
- 13:20Speaker 4: not Jacob de Grom. I don't just think that we
- 13:23Speaker 4: get the least that we really want. I mean, I
- 13:27Speaker 4: I just don't like it. I think it's just it's
- 13:30Speaker 4: people are trying to jam it to me too hard.
- 13:32Speaker 4: I mean, I'm playing mostly on I'm playing on FanDuel,
- 13:35Speaker 4: so I think it's even worse play over on FanDuel
- 13:38Speaker 4: than it is huh than it is on DK. But
- 13:41Speaker 4: Sonny Gray, I mean, I think he's in play too.
- 13:44Speaker 4: I mean, I think you're gonna get, you know, the
- 13:46Speaker 4: the ninetiest pitches, I mean mid you know, high ninety pitches.
- 13:50Speaker 4: I think, you know, I definitely like the ballpark their
- 13:53Speaker 4: head out there in San Francisco. I think that's something
- 13:57Speaker 4: I want to I want to have. I like the
- 13:59Speaker 4: top three out of four hitters are all over twenty
- 14:01Speaker 4: you know, twenty five percent strikeout rate.
- 14:04Speaker 3: Ramos is at twenty one.
- 14:05Speaker 4: I mean they got five bats here that I think
- 14:07Speaker 4: Gray could get to uh with his twenty four percent
- 14:10Speaker 4: k rate against righties, and he's got twenty nine percent
- 14:14Speaker 4: k rate against lefty. So I think Sonny Gray for me,
- 14:16Speaker 4: actually is a guy that I think I'd rather play
- 14:20Speaker 4: him than like du Gram and Hunter Brown actually, especially
- 14:23Speaker 4: on FanDuel. But for me, man if I could figure
- 14:26Speaker 4: out a lineup with Crochet and Snell on DK, I
- 14:29Speaker 4: think that's pretty much where i'd want to go if
- 14:31Speaker 4: I started with pitching. But I don't think you necessarily
- 14:35Speaker 4: have to go there out I mean, you can go
- 14:37Speaker 4: to the Astros. You can go out there to that
- 14:38Speaker 4: Sacramento game. Again, Astro stack is is cheap. So yeah,
- 14:44Speaker 4: I think for me, I think I would kind of
- 14:46Speaker 4: live on the high end. But you're right, I do
- 14:48Speaker 4: believe Castillo is gonna be the highest known. Then I
- 14:51Speaker 4: think Freed's gonna come in there, and then I think
- 14:54Speaker 4: it'll be du Gram. So for me, the guys I
- 14:56Speaker 4: don't really like that. I don't think really have the
- 14:59Speaker 4: other side or getting the ownership here. So to me,
- 15:03Speaker 4: I think it's kind of asked backwards. I think I
- 15:05Speaker 4: would rather it be Crochet and Snell. Like I think
- 15:07Speaker 4: there's a cheap for me to have a guy like
- 15:09Speaker 4: Castile and then them not to go up to somebody
- 15:12Speaker 4: like Crochet or Snell. Kind of is the Chalky pairing
- 15:15Speaker 4: to me just kind of as awkward. To me, doesn't
- 15:17Speaker 4: make sense. I don't care about the matchup or not.
- 15:19Speaker 4: They still have to strikeout outside. I'm not sure which
- 15:22Speaker 4: one I like more Between Crochet and Snell. You could
- 15:24Speaker 4: argue both of them. I think i'd probably lean Crochet
- 15:27Speaker 4: because he's he's uh, he's still battling for their life
- 15:30Speaker 4: over there. So yeah, I think it's interesting. I think
- 15:33Speaker 4: christ and Snell is playing for a little bit too.
- 15:35Speaker 4: I think they're still trying to fend off the Padres.
- 15:37Speaker 4: So yeah, I think I think that's where I like.
- 15:40Speaker 3: The more I talk about it, I think that's where
- 15:42Speaker 3: that's the two guys that I really like.
- 15:44Speaker 2: Yeah, I like a lot of what you said there.
- 15:46Speaker 2: Texas isn't playing for anything right. They're out of the
- 15:50Speaker 2: they're out of the picture. There can't win the division,
- 15:52Speaker 2: They're too far back of the wild card. There's just
- 15:55Speaker 2: no reason, with the Grams injury history for that. I mean,
- 16:00Speaker 2: neither team in there in Texas is playing for anything right.
- 16:03Speaker 2: Texas has had a good run, But I mean, I'm
- 16:06Speaker 2: not so worried about the hitters, is I am the pitchers,
- 16:09Speaker 2: especially with the guy liked Grom with the injury concerns,
- 16:12Speaker 2: and then you're throwing the ownership on top of him.
- 16:14Speaker 1: I'm out on de gram here.
- 16:16Speaker 2: Mmes fine, I think taking the cop out of matching
- 16:20Speaker 2: the field something like that would be fine. But single
- 16:23Speaker 2: entry three Max single stuff. I'm not getting to de Gram.
- 16:26Speaker 2: I'd rather just go right to Sunny Gray. Cardinals are
- 16:29Speaker 2: playing for something. Cardinals are right there, three and a
- 16:32Speaker 2: half games back there. It's gonna be a far stretch,
- 16:35Speaker 2: but they can technically still sneak their way in there.
- 16:38Speaker 2: I think, what, there's four games left to play, five
- 16:40Speaker 2: games left to play. They're three and a half back
- 16:42Speaker 2: of that last wildcard spot of the Mets, the d Backs,
- 16:45Speaker 2: the Reds are all right there within the game. Gonna
- 16:47Speaker 2: be tough to catch the Reds because the Reds are
- 16:50Speaker 2: at home facing the Pirates with Hunter Green on the
- 16:53Speaker 2: mountain tonight here. But uh, I do still like Sunny
- 16:57Speaker 2: Gray a lot compared to de Gram and Hunter. For me,
- 17:01Speaker 2: Garret Crochet is my favorite pitcher on the slate. I
- 17:03Speaker 2: think he's one of the lowest on him and Snell.
- 17:06Speaker 2: So for me, it's Crochet, Snell, and Sunny Gray with
- 17:09Speaker 2: you up in the top tier, those are my three
- 17:10Speaker 2: favorite guys up here. I think he could take a
- 17:12Speaker 2: stab on Matthew Boyd there just because the pitching weather there.
- 17:18Speaker 1: Clubs are still trying to win games.
- 17:20Speaker 2: They can lock in the four seed in the NL
- 17:23Speaker 2: if they I think if they win tonight and some
- 17:26Speaker 2: other stuff goes wrong, they can clinch the four seed
- 17:30Speaker 2: in the NL, which really isn't isn't too crazy there,
- 17:33Speaker 2: but at least it'll get them on the side. I
- 17:36Speaker 2: think they'd rather play the Brewers, to be honest, than
- 17:39Speaker 2: play the Phillies on the other side there. So overall,
- 17:44Speaker 2: those three guys are kind of guys I'm going in on.
- 17:46Speaker 2: Max Free is fine in general, he'd be my fourth guy.
- 17:49Speaker 2: I'd probably add in there, but again, I'm really scared
- 17:52Speaker 2: about Jacob deGrom in general. Let's drop down below a
- 17:57Speaker 2: K Castillo. For me, if I'm playing Castillo, I'm going
- 18:01Speaker 2: all the way up to the like you said, with
- 18:03Speaker 2: pairing them with Garrett Crochet or Blake Snell. I'm avoiding
- 18:06Speaker 2: any of these other guys. I'm avoiding pairing Castillo with
- 18:09Speaker 2: a Sonny Gray with the Jacob de Gram just because
- 18:12Speaker 2: I think so many other people are going to do
- 18:14Speaker 2: that and then play Houston and then get your spind
- 18:16Speaker 2: up Yankee three man stack or mini stack is kind
- 18:19Speaker 2: of how the slate shakes up. So for me, if
- 18:22Speaker 2: I'm playing Castillo, I'm playing Garret Crochet all the way
- 18:24Speaker 2: up at the top, and I'm not playing Houston Bats.
- 18:26Speaker 2: I'll pivot to a different team there. That's probably the
- 18:29Speaker 2: way way I would do it there. But definitely talk
- 18:32Speaker 2: about Castillo and then anyone else down here that you
- 18:34Speaker 2: have interest in. You got Jonah Tong all the way
- 18:37Speaker 2: down at sixty seven hundred after getting shell act in
- 18:40Speaker 2: his last start, but before that.
- 18:41Speaker 1: He was really good.
- 18:43Speaker 2: Gets a really really favorable matchup and not favorable matchup,
- 18:46Speaker 2: but really good pitching conditions in Wrigley there sixty seven hundred.
- 18:50Speaker 1: His like I said, his price absolutely plummeted.
- 18:53Speaker 2: It's not the greatest strike up matchup against the Cubs there,
- 18:55Speaker 2: but the weather boost in general, I mean, lois total
- 18:58Speaker 2: on the board at sixty seven hundred dollars. I mean,
- 19:02Speaker 2: I don't I don't hate it. He has shown upside there.
- 19:05Speaker 2: And then any of these other guys, you guys TOAJ
- 19:07Speaker 2: Bradley all the way down at six k. You don't
- 19:10Speaker 2: really have many of these guys down here playing for
- 19:11Speaker 2: that much, so there is some concern there. But again,
- 19:14Speaker 2: the price points are nice, and anyone else side of
- 19:16Speaker 2: Castillo is going to be low owned. So what do
- 19:18Speaker 2: you see down here below eight k?
- 19:22Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 19:22Speaker 4: I mean below a K there, there really isn't too much.
- 19:25Speaker 4: I mean, if you really want to live in this
- 19:27Speaker 4: this range range here, I mean, I it's it's uncomfortable,
- 19:31Speaker 4: that's for sure. Let's not let's not uh, let's not
- 19:34Speaker 4: sugarcoat it. I think there's only a couple guys. I
- 19:36Speaker 4: mean you mentioned Tong he gets the Whiteside or the Cubs.
- 19:40Speaker 4: The weather, the weather's great, but I mean the Cubs
- 19:43Speaker 4: just don't have too many strikeouts. I don't mind them
- 19:45Speaker 4: here at that price sixty seven hundred. If you if
- 19:49Speaker 4: you're looking to maybe get ten to eleven twelve points,
- 19:52Speaker 4: we I mean we saw that out of Bryce Miller yesterday.
- 19:55Speaker 4: I mean the TODs Bradley, I think at six K
- 19:58Speaker 4: against Texas, they really don't have all that much power.
- 20:01Speaker 4: I mean, just kind of looking at the projected lineup
- 20:03Speaker 4: that Bradley's gonna get. I mean, he's gonna get Jack
- 20:06Speaker 4: Peterson in Osunya, and then maybe him and then he's
- 20:09Speaker 4: gonna get all Righty. So he's gonna get six righties
- 20:12Speaker 4: who his K percentage just jump up to twenty one percent.
- 20:16Speaker 4: He's a ground ball pitcher more so to both sides.
- 20:20Speaker 4: He does get barreled up more by lefties. So I
- 20:23Speaker 4: mean the power, the righty power has been getting to Bradley.
- 20:26Speaker 4: I just don't like the power that they have over
- 20:28Speaker 4: here with Texas. So I think I'd leave Bradley.
- 20:31Speaker 2: In my pool.
- 20:33Speaker 3: I don't mind him. I think Stephen Kohlik.
- 20:35Speaker 4: I mean with obviously with the matchup he's getting here
- 20:38Speaker 4: with these angels who are striking out a ton.
- 20:41Speaker 3: I mean, I just he's.
- 20:43Speaker 4: Got the best strike up matchup, but he's just not
- 20:45Speaker 4: very good. I mean, he's nineteen percent strikeout to left side,
- 20:49Speaker 4: fourteen and a half percent strikeout to the right side.
- 20:52Speaker 4: He's gonna see basically two lefties I think Channel and Mancata.
- 20:56Speaker 4: Everybody else is pretty much a righty from what I'm
- 20:59Speaker 4: saying projected line. So I mean, you're you're getting a
- 21:02Speaker 4: bunch of rightyes. So that's at a fourteen percent k rate.
- 21:05Speaker 4: He is a ground ball mid fifty percent ground ball pitcher.
- 21:09Speaker 4: I do like that he does get burriled up a
- 21:11Speaker 4: little bit more against lefty. So I don't mind Colic either,
- 21:14Speaker 4: just because of the matchup. I guess if throws anybody
- 21:16Speaker 4: down here, this would be the guy that that I'd
- 21:19Speaker 4: probably roll with. I mean, to me, I think you know,
- 21:24Speaker 4: I was just looking to see what the odds were
- 21:26Speaker 4: on his game. It's pretty much a it's pretty much
- 21:29Speaker 4: a pick him game.
- 21:30Speaker 3: So I mean, I don't mind this one at all.
- 21:32Speaker 4: I think Colic could be the guy that that that
- 21:35Speaker 4: i'd go to. I mean, just especially because of his
- 21:37Speaker 4: ground ball rate. Kakuchi, I mean, he just hasn't been
- 21:41Speaker 4: very good here as the season is wind down. I mean,
- 21:44Speaker 4: he's strikeouts have been been really low here the last
- 21:47Speaker 4: month or two. I think Colik's a guy that I like.
- 21:51Speaker 4: I think Bradley's a guy that I could stomach. And
- 21:55Speaker 4: then Tong I think is another guy that you could
- 21:58Speaker 4: you could potentially look at too.
- 21:59Speaker 3: But I don't love any of them. I just I
- 22:02Speaker 3: just don't.
- 22:03Speaker 4: And I really don't even like Lewis Castillo tonight either.
- 22:06Speaker 4: I'm just I'm gonna let everybody else play that. Like
- 22:09Speaker 4: I said, I think Sonny Gray is a guy play.
- 22:12Speaker 4: Max Freed's a guy play. I think Crochet, Snell, Hunter
- 22:16Speaker 4: Brown I would leave in. I'm worried about the gram
- 22:18Speaker 4: as you said here, they got nothing to play for.
- 22:20Speaker 4: What do they need to be rolling up to gram
- 22:22Speaker 4: out too long. If he gets in any kind of trouble,
- 22:24Speaker 4: they'll they'll tell him pack his golf clubs and get
- 22:28Speaker 4: on out of here. But uh, yeah, I think the
- 22:31Speaker 4: only guy I don't really, I don't like Castile. I mean,
- 22:33Speaker 4: let's be real, is there any other team that Castile
- 22:36Speaker 4: could be pitching against that maybe the Angels, that anybody
- 22:39Speaker 4: that they would even really he'd be getting this kind
- 22:42Speaker 4: of ownership against. Like, I'm not buying it, man, It's
- 22:45Speaker 4: still a pig is still a pig, man. I don't
- 22:48Speaker 4: care how you dressed the damn thing up. I'm not
- 22:50Speaker 4: playing it. I'm not I Like I said, I think
- 22:52Speaker 4: I'd play on the higher end and find some bats
- 22:55Speaker 4: to make it work.
- 22:57Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Castillo is. He's definitely playable. He is
- 23:00Speaker 2: going to be the cash game sp He has been
- 23:05Speaker 2: better over last month against Righty's in particular, going to
- 23:08Speaker 2: see a bunch of righties here. His strikeout stuff over
- 23:11Speaker 2: the last month against Righty's twenty eight point six percent. Obviously,
- 23:15Speaker 2: majority of the hitters here, probably all of them, but
- 23:18Speaker 2: maybe two. I'm seeing Fernandez and Moniac really going to
- 23:21Speaker 2: be the only two lefties at least projected. Fernandez didn't
- 23:24Speaker 2: even start yesterday, so pretty much Moniac is gonna be
- 23:27Speaker 2: the only guy that you really have to worry about.
- 23:29Speaker 2: I don't mind him on the on the hitters aspect,
- 23:32Speaker 2: when we get to that against lefties, he doesn't really
- 23:36Speaker 2: that that's where you target. Castillo is with lefties, He's
- 23:39Speaker 2: only going to see probably one at most two. So
- 23:42Speaker 2: I do think and I get the reasoning why Castillo
- 23:44Speaker 2: is getting the ownership.
- 23:45Speaker 1: Here.
- 23:46Speaker 2: You look at between this year and last year, he's
- 23:48Speaker 2: elite versus right handed hitting.
- 23:51Speaker 1: It's just tough.
- 23:51Speaker 2: Like I said, if I'm playing Castillo, I'm not playing Houston,
- 23:54Speaker 2: and I'm probably not playing I'm definitely not playing de
- 23:57Speaker 2: gram or Max Freed. I would pivot up and go
- 24:00Speaker 2: to a Garrett Crochet at Blake Snell, eating that ownership
- 24:03Speaker 2: a little bit there, and just build my roster differently
- 24:06Speaker 2: than what everyone else is gonna do. But hard to
- 24:09Speaker 2: really avoid Castillo personally myself, especially in them of me
- 24:12Speaker 2: things like that. I get the ownership and everything, but
- 24:15Speaker 2: I like him more than I did Bryce Miller yesterday.
- 24:18Speaker 1: I really didn't have any Bryce Miller yesterday.
- 24:20Speaker 2: I will have some Castillo today Colek is probably my
- 24:23Speaker 2: favorite pitcher down here. The reason being is he's got
- 24:27Speaker 2: the pitch leash, he's got the pitch count. He is
- 24:30Speaker 2: really solid overall, really solid against Kansas City. You look
- 24:34Speaker 2: at this year and last year. Yeah, his strike up
- 24:37Speaker 2: stuff isn't there, but you look at the last month,
- 24:39Speaker 2: it's only twenty nine plate appearances. But I mean twenty
- 24:42Speaker 2: nine plate appearances is fine. He's facing the Angels, who
- 24:45Speaker 2: are the best strike up matchup for right handed pitching
- 24:47Speaker 2: over the last thirty days. Last thirty days for Colek
- 24:50Speaker 2: twenty eight percent kraight against Rdy's keeps the ball on
- 24:53Speaker 2: the ground fifty plus percent ground ball rate.
- 24:57Speaker 1: The Angels do have guys that can hit the ball
- 24:59Speaker 1: in the air, but.
- 25:00Speaker 2: I mean, I'll take my chances on a guy like
- 25:02Speaker 2: Coolek here at seven k nobody's going to play him.
- 25:06Speaker 1: I like him probably the most down here.
- 25:09Speaker 2: And then Jonah Toong just due to the weather, sixty
- 25:11Speaker 2: seven hundred gets you on a different roster construction. You
- 25:14Speaker 2: can get up to the Yankees' bats when most people
- 25:16Speaker 2: are spending down for Castillo to play Yankees, going to
- 25:19Speaker 2: a Colek or a Jonah toong and playing the Yankees
- 25:22Speaker 2: that way, I think is an interesting way to do
- 25:24Speaker 2: it as well. But really, those are the only three
- 25:26Speaker 2: guys below ak that I have any sort of interest in,
- 25:29Speaker 2: not really messing with with any of the other guys
- 25:32Speaker 2: down here.
- 25:34Speaker 1: Let's jump over and uh talk hidding.
- 25:36Speaker 2: Now, let me go ahead and do this and share
- 25:42Speaker 2: the screen in the stone.
- 25:45Speaker 1: I hit the wrong button there, of course, all right,
- 25:48Speaker 1: the stone.
- 25:48Speaker 2: Let me refresh, make sure we got all of the
- 25:51Speaker 2: lineups here at least up to date. First game on
- 25:55Speaker 2: the slate. We are going to Yankee Stadium here. Yankee
- 25:58Speaker 2: still fighting with the Red Sox. There, must win game
- 26:03Speaker 2: for them. They almost let it slip. They came back
- 26:05Speaker 2: and walked it off in the bottom of the ninth
- 26:07Speaker 2: yesterday there my guy, Coles Montgomery took a freaking moon
- 26:11Speaker 2: ball deep. That thing almost went to the third deck.
- 26:14Speaker 2: Then a trickle back down top of the first deck.
- 26:17Speaker 2: Just absolutely pimped the home run yesterday off Louis Heel yesterday.
- 26:23Speaker 1: Let me refresh this.
- 26:24Speaker 2: I don't know why. Okay, there we go. I was
- 26:26Speaker 2: like Louis Heel was yesterday. Now it's max free different matchup.
- 26:30Speaker 2: White Socks are definitely worst to play against the lefty
- 26:34Speaker 2: than they are a righty.
- 26:35Speaker 1: Personally.
- 26:36Speaker 2: Their best hitters do hit from the right side or
- 26:38Speaker 2: the left side for the most part. Can't really get
- 26:42Speaker 2: on any White Sox here tonight like I was last night.
- 26:45Speaker 2: But Yankees, I mean, more of a bullpen game here
- 26:48Speaker 2: for the White Sox, and they're gonna just kind of
- 26:50Speaker 2: limp to limp to the finish line is best they
- 26:53Speaker 2: can here. Yankees must win game. White Sox nothing to
- 26:56Speaker 2: play for here. I mean, if there's ever a spot
- 26:59Speaker 2: for the Yankees the new it's got to be here
- 27:01Speaker 2: against this uh whatever the type of pitchers right White
- 27:05Speaker 2: Sox are gonna throw out there, Alexander, I mean, there's
- 27:07Speaker 2: some talks of different guys going overall, it's gonna be
- 27:10Speaker 2: pretty much a bullpen game for the White Sox.
- 27:12Speaker 1: I will say there is some pinchhit concerns in this
- 27:15Speaker 1: lineup here overall.
- 27:18Speaker 2: Actually, I see this lineup doesn't look like any of
- 27:22Speaker 2: your pinch hit guys because the White Sox do have
- 27:25Speaker 2: what four lefties or five lefties in that bullpen I
- 27:28Speaker 2: think overall, so that you could see. But the lefties
- 27:31Speaker 2: that are starting here should be pretty fine. Obviously Yankees,
- 27:33Speaker 2: Like I said, much must win game. What do you
- 27:35Speaker 2: see here in terms of offense Yankees and in the
- 27:38Speaker 2: White Sox.
- 27:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the Yankees quite a bit.
- 27:42Speaker 4: I mean, Goldschmid should be at the top of that
- 27:45Speaker 4: lineup from what I'm seeing, And obviously you know he's
- 27:48Speaker 4: a pinchhit concern if Rice or they do throw in alrighty,
- 27:53Speaker 4: And then you got Rosario Slater, so I mean you
- 27:55Speaker 4: got Grisham, Rice and McMahon sitting over there on the bench.
- 28:00Speaker 4: So you know, I think you know in this one here,
- 28:02Speaker 4: I mean, I do like the Yankees. As you mentioned,
- 28:04Speaker 4: we're gonna be looking for teams they have something to
- 28:05Speaker 4: play for.
- 28:06Speaker 3: Obviously, the power of the Yankees. I mean it's kind
- 28:08Speaker 3: of easy.
- 28:09Speaker 4: I'm just sitting there looking at the slate tonight and
- 28:11Speaker 4: just looking at the teams that we got in it.
- 28:14Speaker 4: And I mean I'm I'm just sitting there thinking, well, shit, Yankees, Mariners,
- 28:18Speaker 4: and Dodgers looking good to me. Those are the teams
- 28:20Speaker 4: with the power bats. So pretty much that's where I'm
- 28:23Speaker 4: gonna lie between those three teams, just pretty much off
- 28:25Speaker 4: the start of the slate.
- 28:27Speaker 3: As far as the Yankees go, I haven't quite decided.
- 28:31Speaker 4: Yet if I like the Yankees more than I like
- 28:34Speaker 4: the Dodgers at this point, I haven't quite decided yet.
- 28:39Speaker 4: I think I like them both. I also like the
- 28:41Speaker 4: Mariners a little bit, so I mean it's it's kind
- 28:44Speaker 4: of hard.
- 28:44Speaker 3: I haven't put them yet. I'm probably gonna play two teams.
- 28:46Speaker 4: I haven't decided which of the three I'm gonna how
- 28:49Speaker 4: I'm gonna play them, but I think that's pretty much
- 28:51Speaker 4: where I'm gonna lie here, Nave. I'm going with the
- 28:52Speaker 4: Bats with the better lineups. But yeah, I think that
- 28:56Speaker 4: Yankee lineup's interesting, as you mentioned. I did actually check
- 28:59Speaker 4: the bullpens too. As you mentioned, they do have a
- 29:00Speaker 4: handful of leftis, so maybe that does keep those rightings
- 29:03Speaker 4: in because that's their weaker lineup obviously, if I'm playing,
- 29:06Speaker 4: I mean, I'm not saying the White Sox give a shit,
- 29:08Speaker 4: but I mean this year is a blueprint if you
- 29:11Speaker 4: want to beat the Yankees. I mean, you throw a
- 29:13Speaker 4: lefty at him, and that that righty lineup there is
- 29:15Speaker 4: this not even close to being as good as the
- 29:18Speaker 4: Yankees are with against the right handed pitcher. So yeah,
- 29:21Speaker 4: I think it's interesting. But yeah, definitely watch for Rozario,
- 29:25Speaker 4: Slater and gold Schmid at the top. Definitely could be
- 29:28Speaker 4: guys that could get pinch it.
- 29:29Speaker 2: For Yeah, those guys didn't even make the lineup here.
- 29:32Speaker 2: Yankees are going their their best lineup, I mean, outside
- 29:35Speaker 2: of McMahon. I don't know why McMahon's starting in the
- 29:38Speaker 2: or Volpe over Cavallero, especially against predominantly left handed pitching
- 29:42Speaker 2: staff here with the with the relievers there, so that's
- 29:44Speaker 2: kind of shocking. But Grisham, Judge Bollunder, Stanton, Rice gold Schmidt,
- 29:49Speaker 2: Jazz Volpe, McMahon is what they're rolling out. So they're
- 29:52Speaker 2: rolling out their best I mean that's their main lineup
- 29:55Speaker 2: that they've been playing. Cavallero might come in and pinch.
- 29:59Speaker 3: Up, and how mad would I.
- 30:01Speaker 4: I'm glad that lineup was out as for a Yankee
- 30:03Speaker 4: fan because I was looking at that lineup going, really,
- 30:05Speaker 4: you got to win and this wee we're gonna roll.
- 30:06Speaker 2: Out like yeah, I mean Yankees, I mean they could.
- 30:11Speaker 2: They can also probably sense that the White Sox might
- 30:14Speaker 2: just literally not give a shit here and just throw out.
- 30:18Speaker 2: I mean, the White Sox had their World series yesterday
- 30:20Speaker 2: with Shane Smith, right the rookies in there all the
- 30:23Speaker 2: I saw I was watching the game right, all their parents, right,
- 30:26Speaker 2: Montgomery's parents were in there, Shane Smith's parents, right, all
- 30:29Speaker 2: these young guys right in Yankee Stadium, and uh, they
- 30:33Speaker 2: sold out to try and win that game yesterday.
- 30:35Speaker 1: Didn't happen. Yankees walked them off.
- 30:37Speaker 2: You. I could see this game where the White Sox
- 30:39Speaker 2: could just mail it in here and just uh just
- 30:42Speaker 2: throw whatever corpse out that they that they can.
- 30:45Speaker 1: I love the Yankees. I love them all. My least
- 30:48Speaker 1: two favorite bats would be Vulpe and McMahon because I
- 30:51Speaker 1: do think, like I said, Cavallero could come off that
- 30:53Speaker 1: bench for sure, especially if this game is close with
- 30:57Speaker 1: with the Yankees must win. But Yankees one of my
- 31:00Speaker 1: top overall stacks for me, I'm right with you. I'm
- 31:02Speaker 1: going to Yankees, Mariners, Red Sox, Dodgers. I'm looking for
- 31:07Speaker 1: the teams that are playing for something, so I like
- 31:09Speaker 1: those teams the most. Is kind of what I'm looking
- 31:11Speaker 1: at here.
- 31:12Speaker 2: Yankees definitely fit that build as a team that I'm
- 31:15Speaker 2: really interested in. Overall. They're not gonna be sneaky by
- 31:17Speaker 2: any means, but if you just don't play them, with Castillo,
- 31:21Speaker 2: or you make it a little different roster construction something
- 31:23Speaker 2: like that. Don't pair them up with Max Freed, something
- 31:25Speaker 2: like that. You can get different that way. Next bot
- 31:29Speaker 2: on the slate here Red Sox and the Blue Jays.
- 31:32Speaker 2: Red Sox also playing for something here facing Max Scherzer.
- 31:37Speaker 2: Max Scherzer this point of his career, I don't mind
- 31:39Speaker 2: targeting and some of these lefties for the Red Sox.
- 31:42Speaker 2: I think the Red Sox are gonna be pretty sneaky here.
- 31:44Speaker 2: It's a must win game for them. The Blue Jays
- 31:45Speaker 2: do have a good bullpen in general. Garrett Crochet one
- 31:48Speaker 2: of my favorite pitchers on the slates, just with the
- 31:51Speaker 2: upside again, must win game for the Red Sox in general.
- 31:54Speaker 2: Don't love any of the Blue Jays hitters in general,
- 31:56Speaker 2: even as good as their offense is. I mean, you
- 31:58Speaker 2: could play a David Schneider flat a springer against the lefty,
- 32:01Speaker 2: but I really don't want to play on Gerrit Crochet
- 32:04Speaker 2: in a must win game too. They're gonna go to
- 32:06Speaker 2: the best bullpen arms as well, trying to win this
- 32:08Speaker 2: game as much as possible. Here. The Red Sox offense
- 32:11Speaker 2: do I do like. I think they're gonna be pretty steaky.
- 32:14Speaker 2: I like the upside full nineing at bats. What do
- 32:17Speaker 2: you see here in Rogers Center?
- 32:20Speaker 4: Yeah, the lefties really stand out here against Max has
- 32:23Speaker 4: been just god awful in the last thirty days against lefties.
- 32:27Speaker 4: I mean, is ISOs three sixty four as Woba's for
- 32:30Speaker 4: sixty eight. He's not getting any ground balls. Flyball percentage
- 32:33Speaker 4: almost forty percent. His barrel percentage is twenty and a
- 32:36Speaker 4: half percent to lefties, fifteen percent to righty's. I mean,
- 32:40Speaker 4: I think Max is done tired out here. Oh man,
- 32:43Speaker 4: it's tired. So I mean definitely like picking out him.
- 32:47Speaker 4: I think you know the way the roster construction is
- 32:50Speaker 4: going to I mean, if you're gonna have if you go.
- 32:53Speaker 3: Castill, you're obviously gonna have some money for some bets.
- 32:55Speaker 4: If you're going someone like Kolk, I mean, if you're
- 32:57Speaker 4: gonna go with some Red Sox, you're gonna have to
- 33:00Speaker 4: pay some money for Duran. That's for Dank sure, and
- 33:02Speaker 4: then you know, if you wanted to use either go Yashida,
- 33:06Speaker 4: you could go Lou if you wanted to. But I
- 33:09Speaker 4: mean Bregman's story. I mean, you're gonna pay up for
- 33:11Speaker 4: those guys. So you know, obviously, if you wanted to
- 33:15Speaker 4: many of them, you're gonna pay up. I think Duran's
- 33:17Speaker 4: my favorite bat here of on the Red Sox. I
- 33:20Speaker 4: wouldn't down if he didn't lead off the game with
- 33:21Speaker 4: the home run. And obviously we like his stolen base
- 33:23Speaker 4: upside too. So Max has been prone to give up
- 33:27Speaker 4: the long ball. I think the last time out Max
- 33:28Speaker 4: got absolutely shelled. So yeah, I think the Red Sox
- 33:32Speaker 4: here are definitely interesting as a sneaky loaned option.
- 33:35Speaker 2: Yeah, I love the I love the lefties here for
- 33:38Speaker 2: the Red Sox, and then I mean Bregman's been hitting
- 33:41Speaker 2: well against righty's this year all season long. Narvaia's is fine,
- 33:44Speaker 2: story has been good, Raphael has been good. Like I said,
- 33:47Speaker 2: the Red Sox are gonna run. I love the lefties here.
- 33:50Speaker 2: Max has been absolutely atrocious pretty much this year and
- 33:53Speaker 2: last year. I mean, at the current state of his career,
- 33:56Speaker 2: he just struggles with with lefties. So I think the
- 33:58Speaker 2: Red Sox are a really good sneak upside stack here.
- 34:01Speaker 2: Blue Jay's bullpen is pretty good in general, but again,
- 34:06Speaker 2: I like playing teams that are in must win category,
- 34:09Speaker 2: and the Red Sox are Blue Jays are pretty solidified
- 34:12Speaker 2: overall in their spot, in their seeding and positioning for
- 34:16Speaker 2: the most part there, so my interest is more definitely
- 34:19Speaker 2: more on the Red Sox side of this game for sure.
- 34:22Speaker 2: It takes us to a game where there's nothing to
- 34:24Speaker 2: really play for in this one. Jacob mcgram chalk of
- 34:26Speaker 2: the slates. You could see some of these twins if
- 34:29Speaker 2: you wanted to really leverage. I don't love it personally
- 34:32Speaker 2: as ballpark sucks. I'm kind of looking at this game
- 34:35Speaker 2: as more of a stay away. You could grab some
- 34:38Speaker 2: of these Rangers, I guess against Todz Bradley, who's been
- 34:40Speaker 2: known to give up some home run home run power
- 34:44Speaker 2: in some issues there. Rangers are pivot off of the
- 34:47Speaker 2: Astros as well at similar price points here.
- 34:50Speaker 1: But I don't love this game in terms of offense.
- 34:53Speaker 1: What do you see here in Texas?
- 34:55Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we got a game total sitting seven
- 34:57Speaker 3: and a half. I don't like it.
- 34:59Speaker 4: I mean we talked a little bit about liking Bradley
- 35:02Speaker 4: a little bit against the Rangers, they just don't really
- 35:04Speaker 4: have any power. So definitely not interested in any of
- 35:07Speaker 4: those baths. But I mean de Grom if you really
- 35:09Speaker 4: want to peel back where he's been at the last
- 35:11Speaker 4: thirty days. He has not been very good with with righties.
- 35:14Speaker 4: He's actually been getting buriled up at thirteen zero point
- 35:17Speaker 4: three percent, his ground balls have been low.
- 35:19Speaker 3: His fly balls are up at forty four and a
- 35:21Speaker 3: half percent.
- 35:23Speaker 4: So I mean, we know Buxton's good, So I don't
- 35:26Speaker 4: I don't mind that. I think he'd be a guy
- 35:28Speaker 4: maybe you could look at as for a one off,
- 35:31Speaker 4: especially if you wanted to get a little bit of leverage,
- 35:33Speaker 4: if you wanted to go there.
- 35:34Speaker 1: I don't.
- 35:34Speaker 3: I don't mind him at all.
- 35:35Speaker 4: So du grom By shirt for sure isn't the old
- 35:39Speaker 4: de grom So don't let that fool you. I mean
- 35:41Speaker 4: he's been getting beat up by righty's. I don't like
- 35:44Speaker 4: his leash, and like you said, they rarely got anything
- 35:46Speaker 4: to play for. They're not gonna if he gets in
- 35:48Speaker 4: any kind of trouble, they're gonna they're just gonna yank
- 35:50Speaker 4: him out, that's for sure.
- 35:52Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Buxton Klemen's, royce Lewis Outman Larnock, I
- 35:56Speaker 2: like all of the flyball guys here for the Twins again,
- 36:00Speaker 2: is gonna have the strike cut stuff. But again he's
- 36:02Speaker 2: been getting barreled I mean twelve percent barrel rate over
- 36:05Speaker 2: the last month, ten eleven percent to lefties, thirteen percent
- 36:09Speaker 2: to right He's there, his strikeouts sitting right around twenty
- 36:12Speaker 2: six percent, but his flyball rate, I mean forty two
- 36:15Speaker 2: percent flyball rate over the last month. There, Yeah, I'm
- 36:19Speaker 2: I'm full fading de gram tonight and give me some
- 36:22Speaker 2: of these Twins leverage bats.
- 36:23Speaker 1: And on the other side, I mean TODs Bradley.
- 36:26Speaker 2: You talk about Bett brutal, He's been giving up a
- 36:28Speaker 2: ton of power over the last month to both sides
- 36:30Speaker 2: of the play, lefties and righties, getting hard hit, getting
- 36:34Speaker 2: getting barreled up.
- 36:35Speaker 1: I mean sixteen percent barrel rate.
- 36:38Speaker 2: I'll take my chances and play some of these guys
- 36:40Speaker 2: like a Jake Berger, one of my favorite players in
- 36:42Speaker 2: the slates at his price point, Josh Young, Hellman, Jock Jams,
- 36:47Speaker 2: I mean Adolas Garcia, all these guys who are barreling
- 36:50Speaker 2: up right hand.
- 36:50Speaker 1: And pitching over the last month. I'll take my chances here.
- 36:53Speaker 2: I think the Texas bats are are pretty sneaky overall,
- 36:56Speaker 2: and I like him as a pivot right there off
- 36:58Speaker 2: off of the Astros as well. So Berger and Young
- 37:01Speaker 2: my two favorite bats for sure, Michael Hellman as well
- 37:04Speaker 2: as a cheap outfielder I think is definitely playable as well.
- 37:09Speaker 2: Next game, worst hitting conditions on the slates Ballpark Pale
- 37:13Speaker 2: has this at like minus thirty percent home run factor,
- 37:17Speaker 2: minus twenty percent run factor here in this game, Jonah Toong.
- 37:21Speaker 2: That's why I have interest in him at sixty seven
- 37:23Speaker 2: hundred as a bounce back candidate from his last start here.
- 37:26Speaker 2: Matthew Boyd's been pretty serviceable all season long here. Again,
- 37:30Speaker 2: like I said, Cubs can lock in the four seed
- 37:32Speaker 2: here tonight in the NL. They can't really move up
- 37:35Speaker 2: too far from that. They can kind of only go
- 37:37Speaker 2: down in general. That'll keep them on the same side
- 37:40Speaker 2: as the Brewers, at least from what I was looking
- 37:42Speaker 2: at in terms of the playoff picture.
- 37:45Speaker 1: What do you see here? I mean, worst hitting conditions
- 37:47Speaker 1: on the slate?
- 37:49Speaker 2: Similar yesterday and the game went what nine to seven
- 37:52Speaker 2: or something like that. I don't like it. If it
- 37:55Speaker 2: beats me, it beats me. I mean, what do you
- 37:58Speaker 2: see here in Wrigley.
- 38:00Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I'm not going there either. I mean, it's
- 38:02Speaker 4: like you said, worst hitting conditions on the slate. I'll
- 38:04Speaker 4: actually give respect to both sides. I don't really want
- 38:07Speaker 4: to pick on Boyd, that is for sure. And Tong
- 38:10Speaker 4: at this point in his career, I mean he's been
- 38:12Speaker 4: pretty much a heavy ground ball to the left side.
- 38:15Speaker 3: I mean, you're gonna see Bush. We all know we
- 38:18Speaker 3: like some Bush. And then we got half Ballastero's PCA.
- 38:22Speaker 4: I mean, they got some pretty decent lefties, but I
- 38:24Speaker 4: mean he's been more of a ground ball lean. He
- 38:26Speaker 4: has been giving up some fly balls to righty's. But
- 38:29Speaker 4: I mean, I just I just don't like it. I mean,
- 38:32Speaker 4: I was surprised yesterday how many runs they scored. And
- 38:34Speaker 4: as you said, if that one gets me, it gets me.
- 38:36Speaker 4: I just don't think that it's worth it's really worth
- 38:39Speaker 4: it mean picking.
- 38:40Speaker 2: On yeah, I mean guys like Mark Viento's, Taylor Alvarez.
- 38:45Speaker 2: You could pull off some mini stacks here for the match,
- 38:47Speaker 2: just because the Mets are a must win category, right,
- 38:50Speaker 2: The Reds are right on their ass, the d Backs
- 38:52Speaker 2: are right on their ass. If they lose a couple
- 38:55Speaker 2: of these next games. I mean, they're gonna slide their
- 38:56Speaker 2: ass right out of that last wild card spot there
- 38:59Speaker 2: for the Mats to the d Backs or It's probably
- 39:01Speaker 2: gonna be the Reds. To be honest, Reds are at
- 39:04Speaker 2: home facing the Pirates right now, so Mets must win category.
- 39:08Speaker 2: That would be the side I would go on. If
- 39:10Speaker 2: I were to pick a side, Guys like Lindor Pete, Alonzo, Vientos, Marte,
- 39:15Speaker 2: the righty power bats boyd has been really bad over
- 39:18Speaker 2: the last month. But again I don't like full stacks much.
- 39:22Speaker 2: This park sucks in this current conditions, and again upper fifties,
- 39:27Speaker 2: double digit wind blown in in the most windated park
- 39:30Speaker 2: in baseball.
- 39:32Speaker 1: If it beats me, it beats me.
- 39:33Speaker 2: But if I were to pick a side, it would
- 39:34Speaker 2: be on those those Mets bats there overall, just because
- 39:38Speaker 2: the Mets are in must must win category compared to Cubs.
- 39:42Speaker 1: Pretty solidified in general.
- 39:45Speaker 2: Next butte On Slate, Royals and the Angels Royals bats
- 39:48Speaker 2: got the job done for the most part yesterday. I
- 39:50Speaker 2: think Colax a really interesting play in terms of pitcher,
- 39:53Speaker 2: but again he's not no ace by any means. Definitely
- 39:57Speaker 2: not the same matchup as it was yesterday. Angels flyball,
- 40:03Speaker 2: power hitters, adele Ward, Trout, o'hop sure if you want to.
- 40:08Speaker 2: Royals are my interest here Kakuchi has just not been
- 40:11Speaker 2: good in general. Garcia wit Salve, I mean, some fine
- 40:17Speaker 2: options here, but again not the not the greatest spot
- 40:20Speaker 2: for offense in general. For me, neither team really has
- 40:23Speaker 2: anything to play for at all. What do you see here?
- 40:26Speaker 2: It is good hitting conditions, I will say though in
- 40:29Speaker 2: Anaheim again temperas in the upper seventies, win blown out
- 40:32Speaker 2: to center field. And we know how bad that Angels
- 40:36Speaker 2: woopen is behind Kakuchi here.
- 40:39Speaker 3: Yeah, Kakuchi has been good against lefties. I mean Righty's
- 40:42Speaker 3: not so much.
- 40:43Speaker 4: The last thirty days has been getting hit pretty hard
- 40:45Speaker 4: to by by Righty's is IO two sixty nine, well,
- 40:49Speaker 4: but three ninety four. I mean, we know, Garcia wit Salvey,
- 40:53Speaker 4: I think those would be about it.
- 40:54Speaker 3: I think that'd be about as far as I go.
- 40:56Speaker 4: Maybe a mini if you want to do to that,
- 40:57Speaker 4: But we know I feel about the Royals. I mean
- 40:59Speaker 4: that that angel A bullpen is cheeks, so they're absolutely terrible.
- 41:03Speaker 3: So don't mind picking on the angel bullpen. But I'm not.
- 41:06Speaker 4: Gonna get overly excited about the Royals. I wouldn't do
- 41:08Speaker 4: any more in a mini stack. I can't. I can't
- 41:11Speaker 4: full stack the Royals. I mean, I wouldn't even consider
- 41:15Speaker 4: a lefty against Kokuchi, but yeah, I don't. I don't really,
- 41:19Speaker 4: I don't really like the other side of this one,
- 41:22Speaker 4: so I'm not.
- 41:22Speaker 2: Uh.
- 41:23Speaker 4: I think I'd rather play Kolak than than go against
- 41:26Speaker 4: the Angels here in this spot.
- 41:29Speaker 1: Yeah, Royals are out of contention.
- 41:31Speaker 2: Angels are out of contention, so that puts them far
- 41:35Speaker 2: enough down my list. Like I said, I'm going in
- 41:37Speaker 2: on teams that have something to play for. The Yankees
- 41:39Speaker 2: definitely have something. The Mets if you want to put
- 41:41Speaker 2: them in that category, fine, but the Red Sox for sure,
- 41:44Speaker 2: like the Red Sox a lot. And then like some
- 41:46Speaker 2: of these teams we're gonna talk about coming up here,
- 41:49Speaker 2: including this spot, Mariners did not do the job yesterday.
- 41:54Speaker 1: They were pretty hurtful.
- 41:55Speaker 2: I swapped to them off of the Giants because I
- 41:57Speaker 2: kind of had a nutted start with Colson, Montgomery, Kyle
- 42:00Speaker 2: and then Michael Harris. Is my three man stack or
- 42:03Speaker 2: my mini stack with sitting on five Giants pivoted over
- 42:06Speaker 2: the Mariners.
- 42:07Speaker 1: Can Zone did his job for me.
- 42:09Speaker 2: I squeaked out a decent amount of cash overall, but
- 42:12Speaker 2: really nothing what it could have been Mariners. I'm back
- 42:16Speaker 2: in on him here. Tanner Gordon is not at least
- 42:19Speaker 2: the JABRONI mckaid brown. He has strikeout stuff in the miners, right,
- 42:24Speaker 2: at least he had credentials in the miners. It didn't
- 42:26Speaker 2: translate over until the majors until last night.
- 42:30Speaker 1: But Tanner Gordon not so much.
- 42:32Speaker 2: He's much worse of a picture in my opinion here,
- 42:35Speaker 2: at least in terms of strikeouts. And that's really what
- 42:38Speaker 2: gets the Mariners. I mean, the Mariners have a ton
- 42:39Speaker 2: of power. They always have a ton of power, we
- 42:41Speaker 2: know that. But where they struggle as strikeouts and they
- 42:44Speaker 2: got struck out quite a bit yesterday in the realm
- 42:47Speaker 2: of ten k's by mckaid brown. I don't think Tanner
- 42:49Speaker 2: Gordon has ten k's in his bag here. And the
- 42:53Speaker 2: Mariners are in must win category. The park sucks. But
- 42:56Speaker 2: I'm back in on Seattle won my top stacks of
- 42:58Speaker 2: the board again. Gonna be fairly low owned overall. What
- 43:03Speaker 2: do you see here? Seattle and the Rockies?
- 43:06Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Kyle Riley. Just chalk him up for
- 43:09Speaker 3: a homer.
- 43:09Speaker 4: I mean, I can, I can, I can almost assure
- 43:12Speaker 4: you that will happen.
- 43:13Speaker 3: I mean this Tanner Gordon.
- 43:14Speaker 4: He's he's basically the last thirty days as a twenty
- 43:19Speaker 4: percent barrel rate, almost twenty one percent barrel rate to
- 43:23Speaker 4: uh to lefties. I mean he's been getting absolutely pummeled
- 43:26Speaker 4: as fly ball rates are our ground ball rates low.
- 43:30Speaker 4: Io's at two fifty five against lefties. Uh, He's got
- 43:33Speaker 4: a ten percent barrel rate against righties. I mean, this
- 43:35Speaker 4: guy's just been getting powdered. We know the Rocky bullpen
- 43:37Speaker 4: is not that good, so I mean, I think Raleigh
- 43:41Speaker 4: Josh Naylor, I think is interesting.
- 43:42Speaker 3: You Geno, I mean, they got all kinds of.
- 43:44Speaker 4: Power bats here, obviously, Julio, Randy Rosarania, I mean, don't
- 43:48Speaker 4: sleep on this Mariner team. I think's Mariner team is
- 43:50Speaker 4: really good, especially going in the playoffs here too. So yeah,
- 43:54Speaker 4: I do, I do like some Mariners. But Kyle Riley,
- 43:57Speaker 4: to mean, this stands out. He's gonna he's gonna go
- 43:59Speaker 4: deep today, that's for sure.
- 44:01Speaker 2: Yeah, the the Mariners are playing for that home field
- 44:06Speaker 2: home field ad mantage, because guess what if they're at home,
- 44:09Speaker 2: it's gonna be pretty tricky in general to beat them,
- 44:13Speaker 2: just with that pitching staff, but not only that, just
- 44:15Speaker 2: their ballpark right that they play in, and if they
- 44:18Speaker 2: have home field advantage, and they have majority of their
- 44:20Speaker 2: games in a series, in a seven game series in
- 44:23Speaker 2: their home park here, with their pitching staff that they
- 44:25Speaker 2: have in this offense, they're gonna be a tough out
- 44:28Speaker 2: and that's what they're gunning for here.
- 44:30Speaker 1: So I love the Mariners bats. I like them all.
- 44:33Speaker 2: I'm not really scared of any of these guys can
- 44:35Speaker 2: zone right back on the well with him. Gordon has
- 44:38Speaker 2: been striking out lefties in general over last month, but
- 44:41Speaker 2: if it's not a strikeout, it's likely a home run
- 44:44Speaker 2: er at least a fly ball with chance for to
- 44:46Speaker 2: go over the wall here. So I like the lefties
- 44:48Speaker 2: a ton. Righties are fine too. Jay Rod has been
- 44:51Speaker 2: really good. Suarez has a ton of power. His price
- 44:53Speaker 2: is nice at thirty nine hundred. There nice thing about
- 44:56Speaker 2: the Mariners is you can still spend up an offense
- 44:58Speaker 2: or at pitching and play one of those guys at
- 45:01Speaker 2: the top because the back half of this lineup thirty
- 45:02Speaker 2: four hundred, thirty one hundred, thirty three hundred, thirty nine
- 45:05Speaker 2: hundred thirty eight hundred for Planco at a week position.
- 45:08Speaker 2: I love the Mariners here probably my top overall stack
- 45:11Speaker 2: on the slate when you're considering their salaries compared to
- 45:14Speaker 2: what the Yankee salaries are, because you don't really have
- 45:18Speaker 2: to uh, you don't have to punt as much as
- 45:20Speaker 2: you do to five stack the Yankees compared to the Mariners.
- 45:25Speaker 1: Next put on this slide.
- 45:26Speaker 2: I do want to Mickey Moniac I think is a
- 45:28Speaker 2: really good one off as well. Here against the chalk
- 45:31Speaker 2: Castillo talked about Castillo, he struggles mightily against lefties. Moniac
- 45:36Speaker 2: probably gonna be in there. Fernandez is in there. I
- 45:38Speaker 2: think he's fine too. But Moniac thirty eight hundred I
- 45:41Speaker 2: think is a really elite one off on the slate.
- 45:43Speaker 2: If you're fading Castillo, if you go to if you're
- 45:46Speaker 2: fading Castillo and you're playing like a Colek in that range, right,
- 45:50Speaker 2: I like throwing in a Moniac too, not only because
- 45:53Speaker 2: you're you're not playing Castille. You're saying, if I'm not
- 45:55Speaker 2: playing Castillo, I'm hoping Colek gets close enough, and then
- 45:58Speaker 2: you're also leveraging it with playing a bat against the
- 46:01Speaker 2: chalk pitcher. I like doing things like that there. So
- 46:05Speaker 2: I think Moniac fits that fits that build pretty good.
- 46:08Speaker 2: Next ont on Slate, Dodgers and the d Backs. Here,
- 46:12Speaker 2: d bacs one game out of the wild card. As
- 46:13Speaker 2: it stands right now, Dodgers are in the playoffs, but
- 46:17Speaker 2: their seating is still up in the air.
- 46:19Speaker 1: This is should be a really good game in general.
- 46:21Speaker 2: Blake Snell on one side, I think the Dodgers are
- 46:24Speaker 2: really good, but I don't think the d Backs are
- 46:27Speaker 2: the sneakiest play are the worst player in the world here, Gee, Risen,
- 46:31Speaker 2: we know Blakestell is good, but when Blake Snell's bad,
- 46:34Speaker 2: he's walking guys, he's giving up home runs, and he
- 46:37Speaker 2: can be really bad if he's bad. I know, we
- 46:39Speaker 2: talked about liking him up at the top tier for
- 46:41Speaker 2: a pitcher just because he's gonna be around ten percent under.
- 46:44Speaker 2: So these d Backs, I mean they're still gunning for it.
- 46:48Speaker 2: Marte Perdomo, Carrol Moreno Blaze, Alexander. I mean, the back
- 46:52Speaker 2: half sucks, but those top five are are pretty solid
- 46:55Speaker 2: in general.
- 46:55Speaker 1: What do you see here Arizona and the Dodgers.
- 47:00Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the Dodgers.
- 47:01Speaker 4: I mean you look at Nilsen here, especially the last
- 47:03Speaker 4: thirty days coming down the stretch here, strikeouts have not
- 47:06Speaker 4: been there. Over All in the season, he was at
- 47:08Speaker 4: twenty two and a half percent strikeouts to right He's
- 47:10Speaker 4: the last month he's been down at fourteen and a
- 47:12Speaker 4: half percent.
- 47:13Speaker 3: He's been because Whoeba's.
- 47:14Speaker 4: At four h three against Righty's, he's been getting barreled up.
- 47:18Speaker 4: I mean, he's a groundball percent is still there. He's
- 47:22Speaker 4: been giving up more fly balls. So, I mean, I
- 47:25Speaker 4: just look at Nelson here, and I mean, I don't know,
- 47:28Speaker 4: I just kind of just think about it here. I
- 47:29Speaker 4: think Mariners Yankees are and are a little ahead, and
- 47:33Speaker 4: then I got the Dodgers kind of coming in right
- 47:35Speaker 4: behind him. But I mean, I think the Dodgers have
- 47:38Speaker 4: slate winning upside. I mean, Mookie I think's in a
- 47:41Speaker 4: decent spot today. I mean, it felt weird when I
- 47:43Speaker 4: was writing down Mookie's name today putting a sleigh play.
- 47:46Speaker 4: I mean, that's my favorite, damn guy. I haven't rolled
- 47:48Speaker 4: him part probably three or four times all damn year.
- 47:51Speaker 4: But I mean Mookie's definitely a top bat here today.
- 47:55Speaker 4: I think you could roll with him obviously, show hey,
- 47:58Speaker 4: is somebody you want to play Freeman.
- 48:00Speaker 3: I mean, all these guys are in pretty good spots.
- 48:02Speaker 4: I mean, we know that bullpen is terrible behind uh
- 48:05Speaker 4: behind them too, So yeah, I think it's definitely interesting.
- 48:08Speaker 4: I don't think as many people will go there. If
- 48:10Speaker 4: you're playing the ownership game between the three top stacks,
- 48:13Speaker 4: I think the Dodgers would maybe move up in there
- 48:16Speaker 4: in that top two. I think I would kind of
- 48:19Speaker 4: maybe pair up the Dodgers with you know, maybe a
- 48:22Speaker 4: mini of maybe a many of some of the Mariners,
- 48:25Speaker 4: or maybe a little many of some of the the Yankees.
- 48:28Speaker 4: But obviously you're gonna pay up, so you're gonna be
- 48:30Speaker 4: looking at a colic and castile lineup if that's the case.
- 48:33Speaker 4: But uh, I mean, I do like the Dodgers. I
- 48:36Speaker 4: think it'll be different too. If you jam some Dodgers
- 48:39Speaker 4: and Yankees. I think you'd be different by doing something
- 48:41Speaker 4: like that.
- 48:42Speaker 3: Obviously with low.
- 48:43Speaker 4: End pitching, but I don't I mean a Snell and
- 48:46Speaker 4: Crochet go off. Somebody's gonna build a line up that
- 48:49Speaker 4: will we'll, we'll, we'll probably figure it out.
- 48:51Speaker 3: So that's why I was thinking that's probably the way
- 48:53Speaker 3: I would live today.
- 48:55Speaker 4: But uh yeah, I mean, if you want to have
- 48:58Speaker 4: these top end bats, I think you're you're definitely gonna
- 49:00Speaker 4: have to have the pitching or low end pitching.
- 49:02Speaker 3: But I think the.
- 49:03Speaker 4: Dodgers are interesting just because in the ownership and how
- 49:05Speaker 4: bad that that bullpen is behind uh, behind Nelson.
- 49:09Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you don't even need I mean, you
- 49:13Speaker 2: don't need Crochet and Snell to have ceiling games if
- 49:17Speaker 2: the Astros just don't nuke the slate, If the Astros
- 49:20Speaker 2: don't nuke the slate, which kind of unlocks you to
- 49:22Speaker 2: double spend up a pitcher or at least play one
- 49:24Speaker 2: of those guys up at the top tier for sure.
- 49:28Speaker 2: And if Castillo struggles, I mean, you're you're, you're sitting
- 49:30Speaker 2: pretty good. All you really need is two things to happen.
- 49:33Speaker 2: Astros not to score a ton of runs and Castillo
- 49:35Speaker 2: did not drop a thirty ball realistically. And these offenses
- 49:41Speaker 2: like the Dodgers, like the Mariners, like the Yankees for
- 49:44Speaker 2: sure to uh to do their thing. So I think
- 49:48Speaker 2: that's that's pretty interesting overall there. Mookie Bett's been amazing
- 49:52Speaker 2: over the last month against Ridy's pahz TiO Hernandez, Tommy Edmund.
- 49:56Speaker 1: I like the righties more here again.
- 50:00Speaker 2: Nelson Nelson has been pretty reverse splitzy, as you talked
- 50:02Speaker 2: about over the last month. So going in guys like Pajz,
- 50:06Speaker 2: Rookie Batts, TiO Rnandez who hit a bomb last night,
- 50:08Speaker 2: Tommy Edmond switch hitter there, obviously you got a cheap catcher.
- 50:12Speaker 2: Ben Rodervett if he's in there again, he hit a
- 50:15Speaker 2: bomb last night. I saw he's twenty two hundred at
- 50:17Speaker 2: a onesie position. Yeah, I'm in on these Dodgers. And then,
- 50:21Speaker 2: like I talked about, I think the top five of
- 50:23Speaker 2: the d Backs isn't the craziest players in the world.
- 50:26Speaker 2: They rank pretty good even against Blake Snell. If you're
- 50:28Speaker 2: not playing Blake Snell. I wentn't mind going in on
- 50:31Speaker 2: uh In on some of these d Backs.
- 50:33Speaker 1: Guys.
- 50:33Speaker 2: Guys like Marte Perdomo, Carrol Moreno, Blaise Alexander are are
- 50:39Speaker 2: some of the guys that that I would look at.
- 50:40Speaker 2: I don't even hate of August there, just because you
- 50:43Speaker 2: can play him at a shitty second base position, which
- 50:46Speaker 2: which I like if if you're not playing up at
- 50:48Speaker 2: Jazz Chisholm, second base is terrible.
- 50:50Speaker 1: So I like guys that.
- 50:53Speaker 2: Could could fit that script for cheap next team on
- 50:56Speaker 2: the slate Cardinals in the Giants. Brewbaker gonna start for
- 50:59Speaker 2: the Giants. Pretty much gonna be a bullpen game here,
- 51:02Speaker 2: Sonny Gray. Giants are kind of mailing it in. It's
- 51:05Speaker 2: gonna be a long shot for them to kind of
- 51:07Speaker 2: make the playoffs here.
- 51:08Speaker 1: In general.
- 51:09Speaker 2: They kicked me in the nuts last night. In general,
- 51:13Speaker 2: But as it stands right now, what are they Their
- 51:15Speaker 2: four and a half games back of the wild card
- 51:18Speaker 2: pretty tricky. I don't think they're gonna I don't think
- 51:20Speaker 2: they're gonna leap the d Backs here unless there's a
- 51:23Speaker 2: tremendous collapse from the d Backs or the Reds.
- 51:26Speaker 1: So Giants are pretty much fucked.
- 51:29Speaker 2: They might as well start shining up their golf clubs
- 51:31Speaker 2: and and and go there, Sonny Gray. I think when
- 51:35Speaker 2: a team is pretty much toast, Cardinals obviously don't have
- 51:38Speaker 2: anything to play for. But I like me some Sonny Gray.
- 51:42Speaker 2: Don't really like any offense in this game. Park sucks
- 51:45Speaker 2: in general. I'm not as interested as I was last night,
- 51:48Speaker 2: and Polante actually was pretty serviceable in general last night.
- 51:52Speaker 2: Sunny Gray is a much better pitcher than than Polonte.
- 51:54Speaker 1: What do you see here?
- 51:56Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I really like Sonny Gray.
- 51:59Speaker 4: Actually, I think I'm gonna roll with Sonny and possibly
- 52:03Speaker 4: my lineups over there on FanDuel.
- 52:05Speaker 3: I mean, I'll pick on I'll pick on the Giants here.
- 52:08Speaker 4: We like the park here obviously, so I'm not interested
- 52:11Speaker 4: in any Giants' bats. I'm not interested in any Cardinals bats.
- 52:14Speaker 4: But I think Sonny Gray is the only play for
- 52:16Speaker 4: me in this whole game.
- 52:18Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think you could play some of
- 52:19Speaker 2: these Cardinals just because these guys are They're hitting pretty good.
- 52:23Speaker 2: Actually right now, Burlison Donovan Cardinals helped me win a
- 52:27Speaker 2: five to fifty five ticket last night, So maybe I
- 52:29Speaker 2: got a little sweet spot thanks to thanks to our
- 52:32Speaker 2: Stone and Sabers him and our projections kind of fitting
- 52:35Speaker 2: it and using a little portfolio diversification. Obviously, I was
- 52:39Speaker 2: pretty heavily invested in logan Web there, so Saber helping
- 52:42Speaker 2: me out with the portfolio diversification, and when I knew
- 52:45Speaker 2: I was pretty heavily invested in logan Web, it threw
- 52:47Speaker 2: some cardinal stacks against it and helped me help me
- 52:50Speaker 2: get a five fifty five ticket. So I'm not going
- 52:52Speaker 2: to x them out of the pool, but probably not
- 52:55Speaker 2: going to make a main team or anything like that.
- 52:57Speaker 2: But Donovan, like I said, second base position sucks. I
- 53:00Speaker 2: think Donovan's fine there. Nolan Arnato at thirty two hundred,
- 53:03Speaker 2: This dude just never strikes out, and when you never
- 53:04Speaker 2: strike out, fantasy points can come your way. Burt Listen
- 53:08Speaker 2: at four k he's cheap Sagassi at a shortstop position.
- 53:11Speaker 2: If you're not playing Bobby Whip or Mookie Betts up
- 53:14Speaker 2: at the top, punting all the way down to the
- 53:16Speaker 2: guy like twenty seven hundred Sagassi, it isn't the worst
- 53:19Speaker 2: play in the world there. So there is some Cardinals
- 53:21Speaker 2: cheap mats that you can pull. And uh again, they're
- 53:23Speaker 2: gonna be lower, much lower than the next game we're
- 53:25Speaker 2: gonna talk about here with the Astros.
- 53:28Speaker 1: Not quite the same.
- 53:29Speaker 2: Ownership we saw yesterday with the Astros, but it's gonna
- 53:31Speaker 2: be the talkiest spot on the slate again here just
- 53:34Speaker 2: because of their salaries. I mean, their most expensive hitter
- 53:37Speaker 2: in their lineup is Jeremy Pine at forty five hundred.
- 53:39Speaker 2: And I don't think Pena is gonna even play here,
- 53:41Speaker 2: so you're probably gonna get Mauricio Dubon again.
- 53:45Speaker 1: Pina's pretty injured. In general, I don't see Paina're gonna
- 53:48Speaker 1: be playing.
- 53:48Speaker 2: It's probably gonna be the exact same lineup as we
- 53:51Speaker 2: saw yesterday, at least close to it. It's gonna be
- 53:53Speaker 2: probably Altuve, Correa, Parides, Zach Cole.
- 53:56Speaker 1: Is probably gonna be in there, and then you're looking.
- 53:58Speaker 2: At Diaz, Walker, Ranchez, Myers in Dubon is probably combination
- 54:03Speaker 2: of those nine hitters. The line of position might change
- 54:06Speaker 2: a little bit there, but Payin is not going to
- 54:08Speaker 2: be in it, and that just makes a line up
- 54:09Speaker 2: even more affordable to stack up. What do you see here?
- 54:13Speaker 2: Best hitting environment on the slates in Sacramento. Luis Severino
- 54:18Speaker 2: isn't the worst play in the world, or isn't the
- 54:21Speaker 2: worst pitcher in the world there, but man, uh chalk astros,
- 54:25Speaker 2: I just I hate this team in their chalky better
- 54:28Speaker 2: spot in my opinion than yesterday. But what do you
- 54:32Speaker 2: see here? Last game to run us out man.
- 54:34Speaker 4: Lewis Avrino just seems like the uh you know, it
- 54:38Speaker 4: just seems like a losing endeavor, seeming a stack against
- 54:40Speaker 4: this guy. I don't ever seem to get it right
- 54:42Speaker 4: with that dude. Like he's not very good pitcher, but
- 54:45Speaker 4: I mean he does have a groundball lean, he's into
- 54:47Speaker 4: mid forty percent. It's more so to the right side
- 54:50Speaker 4: five percentage points higher. I mean he's his flyball percentage
- 54:53Speaker 4: is at twenty eight percent against lefties. But I mean
- 54:56Speaker 4: they're only got two lefties Cole, which I think is
- 54:58Speaker 4: a decent play. He's got a four twenty two Wilby
- 55:00Speaker 4: against righties. I don't mind him at all. Cheap bat,
- 55:04Speaker 4: But I'm not. You got Sanchez as well. I mean
- 55:07Speaker 4: I just sit here and look at you know, Sabrino.
- 55:10Speaker 4: I don't like because obviously the Astros don't have too
- 55:12Speaker 4: many strikeouts in that lineup. They only have two guys
- 55:16Speaker 4: that are even over major league average, and that being
- 55:19Speaker 4: Cole and Christian Walker. But I mean, I just I
- 55:22Speaker 4: do not like the Astros against Sabrino.
- 55:24Speaker 3: Here. I that bullpen sucks obviously for the A's, but man,
- 55:28Speaker 3: I just don't think the Astros are that good regardless.
- 55:30Speaker 4: I mean, I don't really care if they're playing this
- 55:32Speaker 4: game in Houston, nobody would even be talking about the
- 55:34Speaker 4: Astros at all, period, So I'm out on the Astros.
- 55:39Speaker 4: I don't even want to go there. I think Cole
- 55:40Speaker 4: would be the only guy I think I'd even like
- 55:42Speaker 4: in that in that lineup, But yeah, I just stay away, man.
- 55:47Speaker 4: I think the only reason they're popping is because they're
- 55:49Speaker 4: so cheap. But I'm just I'm out, I'll stay away
- 55:53Speaker 4: from them. I think I'd rather live elsewhere, kind of
- 55:56Speaker 4: like you were talking about a little bit earlier. Maybe
- 55:58Speaker 4: you know, finding another team like maybe the Red Sox
- 56:01Speaker 4: or maybe let's find some of those Twins or somewhere
- 56:05Speaker 4: around those lines that you could get a little bit
- 56:08Speaker 4: different from the top the top teams that are a
- 56:11Speaker 4: little bit cheaper.
- 56:12Speaker 3: But yeah, I just I do not like the full
- 56:15Speaker 3: stack of the Astros today.
- 56:16Speaker 2: Yeah, the only bat I really like, or the only
- 56:18Speaker 2: two bats I like, are coal Cole's my far my
- 56:21Speaker 2: favorite Astro and then Sanchez. Those are really the only
- 56:23Speaker 2: two bats I like Houston over last month twenty first
- 56:27Speaker 2: in the MLB and way to runs creative plus as well.
- 56:31Speaker 1: And they're just chalked due to the nature of the slate.
- 56:33Speaker 2: I mean, seve Reno is just not a guy that
- 56:34Speaker 2: really gets blown up too often. I mean, I actually
- 56:36Speaker 2: think you could if you really wanted to flip the
- 56:38Speaker 2: build and leverage the slate completely. I mean, nobody's gonna
- 56:42Speaker 2: play Severno. He's gonna be two percent owned, and he
- 56:45Speaker 2: at least has shown a ceiling this year, has pitched
- 56:48Speaker 2: pretty good against this Astros team in general.
- 56:50Speaker 1: I don't think it's the craziest play in the world.
- 56:53Speaker 2: I was just looking at let me just look at
- 56:55Speaker 2: the athletics. Bullpen has actually been better, kind of middle
- 56:59Speaker 2: of the road actually over the last thirty days four
- 57:03Speaker 2: point two to three x FIP in general three point
- 57:06Speaker 2: seven to six Sierra, which is kind of middle of
- 57:09Speaker 2: the road actually, so it's not as bad as is
- 57:11Speaker 2: what it was to start the year in general. So
- 57:16Speaker 2: I don't know, Astros beat me again, they beat me,
- 57:18Speaker 2: I'm not gonna not gonna be in on them overall
- 57:22Speaker 2: Athletics side. I mean, if you want to play Nick
- 57:24Speaker 2: Kurt sure, Solderstrom. I just I'm not too excited about
- 57:27Speaker 2: this game. Like I said, I'm going in on the
- 57:29Speaker 2: teams that need something. I mean, the Dodgers, the d Backs,
- 57:32Speaker 2: the Mariners, the like Red Sox, the Yankees, and then
- 57:39Speaker 2: I like the Rangers in the Twins game as pivots
- 57:41Speaker 2: off of the Astros at similar price points. So that's
- 57:44Speaker 2: kind of the nature of the slate. That's where I'm
- 57:46Speaker 2: looking at. Gee Rosen, you know what time it is.
- 57:49Speaker 2: It's time for your top two pitchers, and then a
- 57:53Speaker 2: sneakier pitcher, same thing for the Stacks, and then a
- 57:54Speaker 2: home run call for the people.
- 57:57Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, Crochet and Snell are my my two
- 57:59Speaker 4: pitcher that I really like tonight, especially you're gonna get
- 58:03Speaker 4: them at lower ownership. The Stacks, Yankees, Mariners, Dodgers are
- 58:07Speaker 4: what I really like. I mean, Astro is obviously great
- 58:10Speaker 4: out really well, I'm gonna kind of let.
- 58:11Speaker 3: Everybody else go that route.
- 58:13Speaker 4: I think the Red Sox are the decent for a
- 58:16Speaker 4: mini stack with some power and as far as home
- 58:18Speaker 4: runs go, Nads, I'm parlay in these two. You picked two,
- 58:22Speaker 4: I'm picking two. I already know my two are. I'm
- 58:24Speaker 4: going with two lefties. Jaron Duran is gonna hit a
- 58:27Speaker 4: bomb and so is the big thumper, as I said
- 58:29Speaker 4: earlier with Kyle Riley. So I'm already I'm gonna put
- 58:31Speaker 4: them two in a parlay and whatever to you say,
- 58:34Speaker 4: and we're gonna end this show here with a little
- 58:36Speaker 4: home run firework winner.
- 58:38Speaker 3: So I think I think that'd be a good time.
- 58:41Speaker 3: But I got that I think I like my two.
- 58:43Speaker 3: I got my pen ready for your two.
- 58:46Speaker 2: All right, awesome, let's do it. I'll do my best
- 58:48Speaker 2: to pull it out. I'm going Garrett Crochet is my
- 58:51Speaker 2: top picture on the slate. Then I'm going Sonny Gray,
- 58:54Speaker 2: and then I'll throw in Stephen Kolak as the cheap guys,
- 58:57Speaker 2: a pivot off with Castillo. Obviously, Castillo is a pretty
- 58:59Speaker 2: solid play in general, but I think Kolek is pretty
- 59:02Speaker 2: interesting at seven k. Nobody's gonna play him. He's got
- 59:05Speaker 2: a duration, he's got a long lease, he's got to
- 59:07Speaker 2: strike up. The best strikeout matchup on the board for
- 59:11Speaker 2: for red handed pitching, So I think he's pretty interesting there.
- 59:14Speaker 2: For me my offense, I'm going Mariners top overall stack.
- 59:17Speaker 2: Yankees is kind of the one be stack to them,
- 59:20Speaker 2: and then I really like the Red Sox lefties in
- 59:22Speaker 2: particular there. The Red Sox in general are kind of
- 59:25Speaker 2: the sneakier stack that I'm looking at overall. And then
- 59:29Speaker 2: my home run call my first one. I'm going to
- 59:32Speaker 2: first base thirty seven hundred Jake Berger to target that
- 59:36Speaker 2: power that TODs Bradley gives up. I like Burger, He's
- 59:40Speaker 2: got a ton of power. As we know, I think
- 59:42Speaker 2: he's a he's a really good play. And then let
- 59:46Speaker 2: me let me come up. I'm going to the Mariners.
- 59:49Speaker 2: I'm going right back to the well. I'm going dominic
- 59:51Speaker 2: Can zone thirty three hundred, so some nice value bats
- 59:54Speaker 2: to afford those Garret Corochet lineups. Dominic Canzone, Jake Berger
- 59:58Speaker 2: taking it to the well. That's gonna do it. Appreciate
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: everyone tuning in. Hit that like button, hit that subscribe button,
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: helps us out of time. We appreciate everyone watching all
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: season long. Gee Rosen, it's bittersweet, man, our last show
- 1:00:10Speaker 2: together for the MLB season. We'll be back though next
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: season with another full slate and a full season ahead
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: of us here. Any any closing remarks for the people,
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: Ge Risen, before we get out of here, man, good times.
- 1:00:24Speaker 4: Appreciate everybody all year tuning in. It's always been fun
- 1:00:27Speaker 4: talking baseball. I know you guys, you know we like
- 1:00:30Speaker 4: to have fun, bullshit and you know, hey, I even
- 1:00:33Speaker 4: had to tell you a shit story. I mean it's
- 1:00:35Speaker 4: literally but hey, always fun getting on here with everybody.
- 1:00:38Speaker 4: But everybody'd be safe. I'll see you all back here
- 1:00:40Speaker 4: next year. We got a couple slates left.
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: Maybe we'll slip in for a playoff show. Well, we'll
- 1:00:45Speaker 3: see how it's going.
- 1:00:46Speaker 4: But yeah, everybody, let's kick some masks tonight and let's
- 1:00:50Speaker 4: have some fun. And hey, hopefully the Tigers don't blow it,
- 1:00:53Speaker 4: because I mean, that's just terrible.
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: Yeah, what a collapse that would be for the for
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: the Tigers, everyone was caring of them World Series champs,
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: and now the Brewers said, hey, catch me in the
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: rear view mirror. We'll We'll see you guys later. But yeah, no,
- 1:01:06Speaker 2: appreciate everyone tuning in over all season long. We love
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- 1:01:48Speaker 2: I know NBA smashes in general, but again, appreciate everyone
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- 1:01:53Speaker 1: We we love it here.
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- 1:01:57Speaker 2: out a ton for g rosen on aids. We'll see
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: guys next. I will be back on Friday. But gee, Rising,
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: that's that's gonna do it for you for for your
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: live shows. Appreciate it. We're out of here peace. M