Latest / The President's Daily Brief / PDB Afternoon Bulletin | October 21st, 2026: Putin Personally Ordered Attacks on NATO Countries & Turkey Prepares Saudi Deployment
Transcript
- 0:11It's Wednesday,
- 0:12the 21st of October.
- 0:14Welcome to the PDB afternoon bulletin.
- 0:17I'm Mike Baker,
- 0:17your eyes and ears on the world stage.
- 0:20Alright.
- 0:21Let's get briefed.
- 0:22First up,
- 0:23US intelligence reportedly believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin
- 0:28personally ordered a wave of sabotage attacks against NATO countries.
- 0:33Now a new investigation
- 0:35reveals how Russian operatives targeted military aircraft in Germany,
- 0:39and a warning
- 0:40that the Kremlin allegedly delivered afterward.
- 0:43But,
- 0:44uh,
- 0:44well,
- 0:44at least US envoy Steve Witkoff
- 0:47thinks Putin is a humanitarian.
- 0:49So,
- 0:50that's nice.
- 0:51Later in the show,
- 0:52Turkey moves closer to deploying military personnel to Saudi Arabia
- 0:56to help defend against Houthi attacks.
- 0:58But first,
- 0:59today's afternoon spotlight.
- 1:02We've been following the fallout from the attempted Russian sabotage attack on
- 1:06military cargo aircraft at an airport in Germany earlier this summer.
- 1:11Now,
- 1:11a new investigation from the Wall Street Journal
- 1:13reveals new details regarding that attack.
- 1:16According to European officials
- 1:18familiar with American intelligence assessments,
- 1:21Vladimir Putin personally ordered an escalating campaign of sabotage operations
- 1:27against NATO countries,
- 1:28with the attack in Germany marking one of its opening moves.
- 1:32And investigators are uncovering new details
- 1:35about the Russian intelligence network.
- 1:37Allegedly responsible along with a warning
- 1:40that the Kremlin reportedly delivered to German officials.
- 1:44Now,
- 1:44let's start with what happened back in August
- 1:47at Leipzig Halle Airport in eastern Germany,
- 1:50Russian operatives allegedly launched several
- 1:53explosive-laden drones against cargo aircraft
- 1:56involved in transporting military supplies to Ukraine.
- 1:59One drone struck a large
- 2:01Ukrainian Antonov transport plane but failed to detonate.
- 2:04Another collided with a 2nd aircraft,
- 2:07while a 3rd exploded near the airport's perimeter.
- 2:10Nobody was killed,
- 2:11but investigators say the attack could have
- 2:13destroyed multiple aircraft and caused significant casualties
- 2:16at one of Europe's busiest cargo airports.
- 2:19German authorities subsequently blamed
- 2:21Russia's military intelligence service,
- 2:23the GRU,
- 2:24for the operation.
- 2:25Moscow,
- 2:26as you
- 2:27might suspect,
- 2:28Well,
- 2:28they denied involvement.
- 2:30But according to the journal,
- 2:31the attack was part of something much larger.
- 2:33Three European officials familiar with American intelligence findings,
- 2:37say Putin personally ordered Russian intelligence
- 2:39agencies to intensify sabotage and covert operations
- 2:43against NATO countries over the summer.
- 2:46The decision reportedly came as the Russian president
- 2:49grew increasingly frustrated with the course of the war in Ukraine.
- 2:53Russian forces
- 2:54had failed to achieve Moscow's objectives on the battlefield,
- 2:57while Ukrainian attacks were increasingly reaching targets deep inside Russia.
- 3:02Meanwhile,
- 3:03negotiations with Washington had failed to produce the concessions
- 3:07that Putin wanted from Kiev.
- 3:09According to the intelligence assessments.
- 3:11The Kremlin responded by expanding its campaign
- 3:14against European countries supplying Ukraine with weapons,
- 3:17equipment,
- 3:17and other military support.
- 3:19And the investigation into the Leipzig Halle attack provides a look at
- 3:23how that campaign allegedly operates.
- 3:26Western intelligence officials trace the operation
- 3:29to a specialized branch of the GRU
- 3:31responsible for covert missions abroad.
- 3:34Investigators believe the network used Serbia as a staging ground,
- 3:38moving explosives,
- 3:39modified drones,
- 3:40and other equipment across European borders.
- 3:43According to the journal,
- 3:44a former Russian military officer recruited by the GRU
- 3:48helped coordinate Belarusian operatives
- 3:50who transported explosives,
- 3:52assembled drones,
- 3:53and positioned them for the attack.
- 3:55Serbian authorities subsequently arrested 7
- 3:58suspects connected to the operation,
- 4:01including an individual holding both Russian and Serbian citizenship.
- 4:05Investigators also uncovered evidence
- 4:07of a broader clandestine network preparing operations
- 4:10against European military and industrial targets.
- 4:14Following the failed attack in Germany,
- 4:16a Kremlin representative reportedly contacted the German government official
- 4:20through an unofficial communications channel.
- 4:23According to officials familiar with that conversation,
- 4:26the Russian representative warned
- 4:28that Leipzigala would not be Moscow's last target.
- 4:32The journal reports that advisers to German Chancellor Friedrich Mertz
- 4:36believed a more successful operation,
- 4:38particularly one causing mass casualties,
- 4:41could have raised the possibility of invoking
- 4:43NATO's Article 5 collective defense provision.
- 4:46That's the principle under which
- 4:48an armed attack against one NATO member
- 4:50is considered an attack against the alliance.
- 4:53Now Germany never invoked Article 5.
- 4:56But the fact that officials reportedly contemplated that possibility
- 5:00illustrates just how dangerous these covert operations could become.
- 5:04And Leapigala
- 5:05was not the end of the story.
- 5:07Since August,
- 5:08suspected sabotage operations have targeted facilities involved in
- 5:12supporting Ukraine across Europe.
- 5:14Drone manufacturers in Estonia and Poland have suffered arson attacks.
- 5:18Slovak authorities say they disrupted another plot
- 5:21targeting a factory producing drones for Ukraine.
- 5:24More recently,
- 5:25Poland,
- 5:26Lithuania,
- 5:26and Bulgaria have reported suspected sabotage
- 5:30against Starlink communications infrastructure.
- 5:33Now,
- 5:33not every incident has been conclusively linked to Russian intelligence,
- 5:37but Western officials are
- 5:39increasingly concerned about the pattern.
- 5:41CIA Director John Ratcliffe reportedly warned
- 5:44European intelligence leaders and government officials
- 5:46that Moscow was expanding its covert campaign.
- 5:50All the targets to date have been
- 5:52important to Ukraine's ability to continue fighting.
- 5:55Rather than attacking these assets on the Ukrainian battlefield,
- 5:59Russia
- 5:59is allegedly going after the infrastructure supporting Kiev
- 6:03from inside NATO countries.
- 6:06It's a strategy that could disrupt military supplies,
- 6:09create economic damage,
- 6:10and force European governments to devote more
- 6:13resources to protecting their own territory.
- 6:16And it allows Moscow to apply pressure
- 6:19without openly launching conventional military attacks against NATO.
- 6:23Now,
- 6:24even as American intelligence reportedly concludes that Putin
- 6:27personally ordered this campaign against NATO countries,
- 6:31the White House is making it clear through public statements
- 6:34that,
- 6:34well,
- 6:34apparently Ukraine is the problem,
- 6:37that Kiev is at fault for not conceding and accepting Putin's demands,
- 6:41with sanctions being eased on Russia,
- 6:43and President Trump and US envoy Steve Witkoff
- 6:46praising Putin.
- 6:48All right.
- 6:49Coming up next,
- 6:50another major military power prepares to help
- 6:53defend Saudi Arabia against the Houthis,
- 6:55as Turkey builds new defense partnerships with Qatar,
- 6:59Pakistan,
- 7:00and Indonesia.
- 7:01I'll be right back.
- 7:03Hey,
- 7:03Mike Baker here.
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- 8:04Hey,
- 8:04Mike Baker here.
- 8:05Now,
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- 9:44Welcome back to the PDB afternoon bulletin.
- 9:47Turkey is moving closer to deploying military personnel to Saudi
- 9:51Arabia as the kingdom continues battling missile and drone attacks
- 9:55from Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis.
- 9:58The move would bring another major military power into the effort
- 10:02to strengthen Saudi defenses,
- 10:03just one day after Britain announced it was sending fighter jets to the kingdom.
- 10:09According to Reuters,
- 10:09Ankara plans to seek parliamentary authorization
- 10:13to send military specialists under a mutual defense agreement
- 10:16signed with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan back in August.
- 10:20The personnel would focus on air defenses,
- 10:22electronic warfare,
- 10:23and technical support
- 10:25rather than offensive operations.
- 10:28As we've noted here on the PDB,
- 10:29the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement commits Turkey,
- 10:32Saudi Arabia,
- 10:33and Pakistan
- 10:34to treating an attack against one as an attack against all three.
- 10:38No Turkish troops have been deployed under the pact so far,
- 10:41but Ankara is now taking steps toward putting that commitment into practice.
- 10:46Turkey possesses NATO's second largest military,
- 10:49while Pakistan brings its own considerable conventional forces and of course,
- 10:53a nuclear arsenal.
- 10:54Saudi Arabia meanwhile has spent billions over the years building one
- 10:58of the most heavily equipped militaries in the Middle East.
- 11:01According to a lawmaker from President Erdogan's ruling party,
- 11:04the initial Turkish deployment would involve specialists helping
- 11:07Saudi forces improve their ability to detect,
- 11:10intercept,
- 11:11and defend against incoming missiles and drones.
- 11:14Meanwhile,
- 11:15another major defense partnership is emerging,
- 11:18this one stretching from the Middle East
- 11:20to Southeast Asia.
- 11:22On Wednesday,
- 11:22Turkey signed a new military cooperation agreement with Qatar,
- 11:26Pakistan,
- 11:27and Indonesia.
- 11:28Known as the Badr Memorandum of Understanding,
- 11:31the deal brings together 4 countries seeking to expand military production,
- 11:36share technology,
- 11:37and develop new weapons systems through joint research and manufacturing.
- 11:41Unlike the agreement with Saudi Arabia,
- 11:43the Badr arrangement does not establish a mutual defense obligation.
- 11:48Instead,
- 11:48it
- 11:49focuses on building the industrial and technological capabilities
- 11:52that modern militaries depend on.
- 11:55According to Turkey's defense ministry,
- 11:56the agreement will encourage joint weapons production,
- 12:00technical training,
- 12:01research and development,
- 12:02and greater cooperation between the
- 12:04participating countries' defense industries.
- 12:07The idea is to combine their manufacturing capabilities rather than have each
- 12:11country develop and purchase expensive military systems entirely on its own.
- 12:17Turkey already has substantial defense relationships
- 12:19with all three countries,
- 12:21and Ankara has spent years building a domestic defense industry,
- 12:25producing everything from advanced drones and
- 12:27precision guided weapons to armored vehicles,
- 12:30warships,
- 12:31and electronic warfare systems.
- 12:34Its defense exports have expanded rapidly,
- 12:37exceeding $10 billion just last year.
- 12:40Qatar already hosts a Turkish military base and
- 12:43maintains close defense ties with Ankara.
- 12:46The country has purchased Turkish weapons while
- 12:48also developing its own domestic defense industry
- 12:51as it confronts growing security threats in the Persian Gulf.
- 12:55Pakistan has also worked extensively with Turkish defense manufacturers,
- 12:59including a naval program
- 13:00involving the construction of modern Corvettes for the Pakistani navy,
- 13:05and Indonesia has partnered with Turkey
- 13:07to develop and manufacture armored vehicles,
- 13:09including the Kaplan medium tank
- 13:12with technology transferred to Indonesian factories.
- 13:15The new agreement is intended to bring
- 13:18those existing relationships into a broader framework.
- 13:22Pakistan participates in both agreements,
- 13:24linking Turkey's mutual defense commitment with Saudi Arabia
- 13:27to a broader military partnership involving Qatar and Indonesia.
- 13:32These are separate arrangements.
- 13:34It's not a five-country alliance,
- 13:36but they come as Saudi Arabia battles the Iran-backed Houthis.
- 13:39Qatar strengthens its defenses amid the war with Iran,
- 13:42and Gulf governments question how much protection
- 13:45they can continue expecting from Washington.
- 13:48In fact,
- 13:48President Trump's envoy Tom Barrack
- 13:51recently warned Gulf leaders that the
- 13:53US cannot guarantee their security indefinitely,
- 13:56encouraging them
- 13:57to build stronger defense partnerships of their own.
- 14:00For President Erdogan,
- 14:02these agreements offer an opportunity to expand Turkey's military influence,
- 14:06open new markets for its weapons manufacturers,
- 14:09and strengthen relationships stretching from the Persian Gulf
- 14:13to Southeast Asia.
- 14:14For Saudi Arabia,
- 14:16the question is how quickly these
- 14:18arrangements translate into actual military capabilities
- 14:21and whether
- 14:22they can help in the short term to battle
- 14:24and ultimately defeat
- 14:26the Iran-backed Houthis.
- 14:28And that my friends,
- 14:29is the PDB afternoon bulletin for Wednesday,
- 14:32the 21st of October.
- 14:33Now,
- 14:33if you have any questions or comments,
- 14:35and I hope you do,
- 14:35just reach out to me
- 14:36at PDB@hefirsttv.com
- 14:39and to listen to the show ad-free,
- 14:41well,
- 14:41you can do that,
- 14:42you know that it's very simple.
- 14:44Just become a premium member of the President's Daily Brief
- 14:47by visiting PDBpremium.com.
- 14:50I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back tomorrow.
- 14:52Until then,
- 14:53stay informed,
- 14:54stay safe,
- 14:55stay cool.
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