Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 6 August 2024

Transcript

Full Show Podcast: 6 August 2024 · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

0:01
Speaker 1: The issues, the interview and the inside. Ryan Bridge new
0:08
Speaker 1: for twenty twenty four on the early edition with Smith City,
0:12
Speaker 1: New Zealand's furniture beds and a play a store. News
0:15
Speaker 1: Talk sa'd be.
0:16
Speaker 2: Good morning, Tuesday, the sixth of August. Deal with me,
0:19
Speaker 2: Ryan Bridge on News Talk sai'd be just gone six
0:21
Speaker 2: after five. Great to have your company this morning. Are
0:24
Speaker 2: the global stock markets having a panic attack? They have
0:27
Speaker 2: been while we've been sleeping. Shares a tumbling left, right
0:30
Speaker 2: and center. Why some are saying dying panic. Calm down,
0:33
Speaker 2: it's a false alarm. Also this morning, the butcher gets
0:37
Speaker 2: his bacon, Finn butcher has one gold. Who knew that
0:40
Speaker 2: was going to happen?
0:41
Speaker 3: Not me.
0:42
Speaker 2: We'll talk more about that shortly. Plus let's call it
0:45
Speaker 2: what it is, an education crisis. Given the data we
0:50
Speaker 2: had yesterday plus new NCA figures, We're going to ask
0:54
Speaker 2: the New Zealand Initiative for their opinion on this, not
0:56
Speaker 2: the unions, the New Zealand Initiative for their opinion US
1:00
Speaker 2: before six it is seven after five the agenda Tuesday
1:06
Speaker 2: to sixth of August. Stock markets in the US have
1:09
Speaker 2: basically had a freak out overnight. The Dale Jones has
1:11
Speaker 2: dropped almost at one thousand points, with every DAL stock
1:14
Speaker 2: in the red now, the S and P five hundred
1:16
Speaker 2: down four point one on early trading, the Nasdaq down
1:19
Speaker 2: six point three. Some of those losses have now been
1:22
Speaker 2: called back. It follows global concern about a slowing US economy.
1:26
Speaker 2: Job data from the States on Friday show to rise
1:29
Speaker 2: and unemployment to four point three percent. Bangladesh's Prime Minister,
1:33
Speaker 2: Sheikh Hasina, has resigned and fled the country following weeks
1:37
Speaker 2: of anti government protests. Protesters have now stormed her official
1:42
Speaker 2: residents celebrating her resignation. Three hundred people have died in
1:57
Speaker 2: the clashes between protesters and police, which arted peacefully in June.
2:02
Speaker 2: So what happens now, we'll look at that soon. The
2:05
Speaker 2: Meat Industry Associations revealed that New Zealand exported nine hundred
2:09
Speaker 2: and fourteen million dollars worth of red meat in June.
2:12
Speaker 2: It's nearly a billion bucks. The US is once again
2:15
Speaker 2: leading the pack is our key exports, jumping fourteen percent
2:18
Speaker 2: to three hundred and three million dollars. Chief executive Serma
2:22
Speaker 2: Karapever says global economic conditions seem to be improving with
2:27
Speaker 2: food inflation falling.
2:28
Speaker 4: We are hopeful that all that continues and as a result,
2:32
Speaker 4: we see more.
2:33
Speaker 5: Demand or sustained demands than all those countries.
2:37
Speaker 1: The first Word on the News of the Day Early
2:40
Speaker 1: edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's Furniture
2:44
Speaker 1: Beds and a Playing Store.
2:46
Speaker 2: News Talk d be in a few minutes. We're going
2:48
Speaker 2: to talk to the presidential historian who has correctly predicted
2:53
Speaker 2: every single US presidential election since the nineteen eighties, bar
2:58
Speaker 2: Al Gore in two thousand. So who's going to win
3:01
Speaker 2: the next year's election? I suppose we'll find out in
3:02
Speaker 2: a few minutes. Hey, congratulations Finn Butcher. He's taken gold
3:06
Speaker 2: in the men's canoe slalom cross. He led the field
3:09
Speaker 2: basically from the start to the finish. It was a
3:12
Speaker 2: flawless performance. If you're wondering exactly what that is. Four paddlers,
3:19
Speaker 2: huge drop into whitewater. They kayak down the water. There
3:25
Speaker 2: are gates, they go round the gates, they go in
3:27
Speaker 2: the gates. They do a little you know, flip, what
3:31
Speaker 2: do they call that? You go under the water and
3:34
Speaker 2: flip around. They do a roll. That's it, thanks Leo.
3:38
Speaker 2: They do a role and then they finish. It's very
3:42
Speaker 2: over in a second before you know it. Have a listen.
3:45
Speaker 6: It's Clark makes and roaches. He's around gate five. He
3:49
Speaker 6: has to go across the grain here Butcher through gate six.
3:52
Speaker 6: Two gates to go through seven, the all important upstream
3:57
Speaker 6: gates for Finn. Butcher uses to navigate it shafely and
4:02
Speaker 6: the gold medal is his. Finn Butcher is an Olympic champion.
4:13
Speaker 2: That was very excited. So this is a new event
4:17
Speaker 2: of the Olympics. So he is the first champion in
4:20
Speaker 2: this event and his first Olympic Games as well, which
4:24
Speaker 2: is very cool. Now the women's track cycling is happening.
4:28
Speaker 2: We are in contention. I am hearing potentially for a medal,
4:31
Speaker 2: So we'll bring you that live as it happens here
4:34
Speaker 2: on news Talk, said B. It has just gone ten
4:37
Speaker 2: after five. Coming up next, Who's going to win the
4:40
Speaker 2: US Presidential Election?
4:42
Speaker 1: On your radio and online on iHeartRadio Early edition with
4:47
Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's Furniture, Beds and
4:50
Speaker 1: a playing Store.
4:51
Speaker 2: News Talk said B. Thirteen after five, News Talk said B, Hey,
4:55
Speaker 2: there are unconfirmed reports this morning that a Kiwi helicopter
4:58
Speaker 2: pilot has been killed in Harpour in Indonesia. This is
5:02
Speaker 2: the same place where the other Kiwi, Philip Mertons, who
5:06
Speaker 2: was piloting a fixed wing aircraft, was taken a hostage
5:10
Speaker 2: and so he's still been held captive there. That was
5:12
Speaker 2: eighteen months ago. Apparently it's the same group they think
5:16
Speaker 2: who kidnapped Philip Mertens, who was responsible for killing this
5:21
Speaker 2: Keiwi helicopter pilot. This is an unconfirmed report from local
5:24
Speaker 2: police at this stage. We'll keep you up to date
5:26
Speaker 2: with that throughout the morning. Right to the United States
5:30
Speaker 2: we Go. Karmena Harris is set to announce her vice
5:32
Speaker 2: presidential pick tomorrow, ahead of their first public appearance together
5:36
Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania on Thursday. Presidential historian Alan Lickman has correctly
5:41
Speaker 2: predicted almost every US election since the nineteen eighties through
5:46
Speaker 2: a process called the Thirteen Keys to the White House.
5:50
Speaker 2: He's with us this morning, Alan, thanks for being on
5:53
Speaker 2: the show. Who's going to win?
5:54
Speaker 5: Well? I have not made a final prediction yet. I've
5:57
Speaker 5: been misinterpreted as having made one, but I'm I'm not
6:00
Speaker 5: going to make one until after the Democratic Convention. But
6:04
Speaker 5: I have been saying for months and the switch from
6:09
Speaker 5: Biden to Harris, has not changed that that a lot
6:12
Speaker 5: would have to go wrong for the Democrats to lose.
6:16
Speaker 5: That's certainly possible, that can happen. Things are very fluid,
6:20
Speaker 5: but a lot would have to go wrong for the
6:23
Speaker 5: Democrats to lose. According to my keys to the White
6:27
Speaker 5: House system, which taps into the structure of how American
6:32
Speaker 5: presidential elections really work as votes up or down on
6:37
Speaker 5: the strength and performance of the White House Party. And
6:40
Speaker 5: the system has been right since I predicted Ronald Reagan's
6:44
Speaker 5: re election in April nineteen eighty two, nearly three years
6:48
Speaker 5: ahead of time, when America was then in the worst
6:51
Speaker 5: recession since the Great Depression, and sixty percent of Americans
6:56
Speaker 5: thought Ronald Reagan was too old to run again. And
6:59
Speaker 5: of course I was virtually alone in predicting Donald Trump's
7:04
Speaker 5: win in twenty sixteen, which is you can imagine, did
7:08
Speaker 5: not make me very popular in ninety percent plus Democratic
7:12
Speaker 5: Washington d c or. I teach at American University.
7:16
Speaker 2: That year formula works. You're stuck to it, You're held
7:19
Speaker 2: to ground. I think that's when I last interviewed you.
7:22
Speaker 2: You've got these thirteen keys. Some of them are about
7:25
Speaker 2: the economy, you know, the short term economy, the long
7:28
Speaker 2: term economy. Obviously, there's been inflation in the US, the
7:31
Speaker 2: stock markets are in turmoil at the moment. Do you
7:34
Speaker 2: weight the keys differently or they all waited the same.
7:40
Speaker 5: There are two secrets to the successful use of the keys,
7:43
Speaker 5: and one is they're all weighted as one. The problem
7:48
Speaker 5: is when you wait parameters of any system, they have
7:52
Speaker 5: to be based on past elections, but the weights will
7:56
Speaker 5: then unpredictably change in a future election eras. Secondly, there
8:02
Speaker 5: are trigger effects, so if one key is big enough,
8:06
Speaker 5: it will trigger other keys. For example, in the sixties,
8:09
Speaker 5: the war in Vietnam triggered Lyndon Johnson to withdraw from
8:14
Speaker 5: his re election campaign, losing the incumbency key, losing the
8:19
Speaker 5: party contest key. The war created a great deal of
8:23
Speaker 5: social unrest and democratic losses in the midterm elections of
8:28
Speaker 5: nineteen sixty six.
8:30
Speaker 2: You mentioned the incumbency key. Does Harris get that even
8:33
Speaker 2: though she wasn't the president in this term.
8:38
Speaker 5: Well, you know, I was very critical of the democrats
8:41
Speaker 5: shameful public trashing of their incumbent president, and I thought
8:46
Speaker 5: they were heading for the disaster of both losing the
8:50
Speaker 5: incumbency key if they forced by out and losing the
8:54
Speaker 5: party contest key, because they were heading for a big brawl.
8:59
Speaker 5: But somehow the Democrats, who aspine in a brain, did
9:02
Speaker 5: the right thing, united behind Harris, which avoided the loss
9:07
Speaker 5: of the contest key. And so this major change only
9:12
Speaker 5: cost the Democrats one key, the incumbency key, and did
9:16
Speaker 5: not fundamentally change my assessment.
9:21
Speaker 2: What about Robert F. Kennedy, one of your keys is
9:23
Speaker 2: a third party being involved. What do you think his
9:28
Speaker 2: chances will be? And who does it hurt?
9:32
Speaker 5: Third parties in my system count against the White House
9:35
Speaker 5: Party because it's a sign of discontent. But it's a
9:40
Speaker 5: high threshold key. You've got to anticipate the third party
9:44
Speaker 5: candidate to be getting at least five percent of the vote.
9:47
Speaker 5: Of course I don't know that. So it's the one
9:49
Speaker 5: time I have to use a poll. But I don't
9:51
Speaker 5: take the poll at face value because typically as a
9:55
Speaker 5: result of the Lickman wasted vote syndrome, I love you RFKG,
10:00
Speaker 5: which can't win, so I won't vote for you. I
10:02
Speaker 5: cut the poll numbers in half. So he's got to
10:05
Speaker 5: be polling at least ten percent. I don't think that's
10:08
Speaker 5: going to.
10:09
Speaker 2: Happen, Ell in one of your case. The final question
10:11
Speaker 2: is incumbent charisma, challenge of charisma, who's more charismatic.
10:18
Speaker 5: It's not a question of who's more charismatic, it's a
10:21
Speaker 5: question of whether these candidates fulfill my criteria, which is
10:26
Speaker 5: they have to be one of these once in a
10:28
Speaker 5: generation inspirational, broadly appealing candidates who converts members of the opposition,
10:36
Speaker 5: like the Democrat Franklin Roosevelt or the Republican Ronald Reagan
10:41
Speaker 5: who won six elections in landslides or near landslides. Clearly,
10:47
Speaker 5: Paris has not yet emerged as an FDR, and Trump
10:51
Speaker 5: is not a Reagan. He lost two elections in the
10:55
Speaker 5: votes of the people by ten million votes. There are
10:58
Speaker 5: not a Trump Democrats like there were Reagan Democrats. He
11:03
Speaker 5: only appeals to a narrow base and thus does not
11:07
Speaker 5: fit the criteria either.
11:10
Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge, there was.
11:11
Speaker 2: Alan Lickman, who's the presidential historian, has correctly predicted every
11:15
Speaker 2: single US election since the nineteen eighties, bar two thousand
11:19
Speaker 2: when he says al Gore should have won, and we
11:20
Speaker 2: all know what happened in Florida. With that anyway, coming
11:24
Speaker 2: up next, I would like your feedback on that too. Actually,
11:26
Speaker 2: if you think he's if he's got a good point,
11:28
Speaker 2: I mean clearly he's doing something right. Nine two ninety
11:30
Speaker 2: two is the number to text and welcome your text
11:33
Speaker 2: this morning. Coming up next. Two and a half thousand
11:36
Speaker 2: ambulance offices are going on strikes. So what happens if
11:39
Speaker 2: you ring one on one.
11:40
Speaker 1: News and views you trust to start your day. It's
11:43
Speaker 1: early edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's
11:47
Speaker 1: furniture beds and a flying store news talk sidby US.
11:51
Speaker 2: Stocks were down and then they were back up again slightly,
11:53
Speaker 2: and now they're down again. We'll have more on that shortly.
11:56
Speaker 2: Right now. More than two and a half thousand ambulance
11:58
Speaker 2: offices are going on this month. It comes after failed
12:02
Speaker 2: pay negotiations with Saint John, who says it has no
12:05
Speaker 2: money and is relying on Health New Zealand to bring
12:08
Speaker 2: something to the table. First Union and Ambulance Association members
12:11
Speaker 2: voted to stagger four hour withdrawals of labor over two days.
12:17
Speaker 2: Famer Can is with First Union, She's with us this morning, Faye.
12:21
Speaker 2: How will this work? This withdrawal of labor?
12:25
Speaker 7: Yeah, So our members basically will show up to work
12:28
Speaker 7: late four hours late on the twentieth and on the
12:31
Speaker 7: twenty fourth of August, and.
12:34
Speaker 2: How will that affect the service?
12:38
Speaker 7: So there will be less ambulances available, there'll be less
12:41
Speaker 7: call handlers to answer calls, less the statues. Ultimately we
12:45
Speaker 7: go on to an agreement with Saint John to provide
12:48
Speaker 7: minimum staffing numbers, so it'll be reduced service, but they
12:51
Speaker 7: will still be ambulances available there for people.
12:55
Speaker 2: When you it's how many of your members are going
12:57
Speaker 2: to be turning up late?
13:00
Speaker 7: So we represent a thousand members and astoundingly, ninety five
13:05
Speaker 7: percent of them were keen to take this action. It's
13:08
Speaker 7: unfortunate that we've got to the stage. Obviously it's not
13:11
Speaker 7: the ideal situation, and we took a lot of different
13:13
Speaker 7: strike actions before this, but ultimately the government has chosen
13:17
Speaker 7: to ignore their voices services then making sure that they're heard.
13:20
Speaker 2: So that's a thousand of your members who won't be
13:22
Speaker 2: coming for the first four hours of the shift. Do
13:25
Speaker 2: you know how many will with the life preserving agreement
13:29
Speaker 2: you're going to nut out with Saint John, how many
13:33
Speaker 2: will be on board?
13:35
Speaker 7: I know we're not into that detail at the moment.
13:38
Speaker 2: Is it going to will people die.
13:42
Speaker 7: We're hoping that people won't die, but they'll certainly be delayed. Ultimately,
13:46
Speaker 7: what we would like is the government to step in
13:49
Speaker 7: to give more funding because the issue that we're seeing
13:52
Speaker 7: is if our members don't take action now, is ultimately
13:55
Speaker 7: the ambulance service is going to crumble. So although it's
13:59
Speaker 7: some of this is to do with pay, that ultimately
14:01
Speaker 7: is to do with them going to work each day
14:04
Speaker 7: in the system that's not working and then seeing the
14:07
Speaker 7: risks if it continues to work in that way.
14:09
Speaker 2: Faye, one of our listeners is just text and to say,
14:11
Speaker 2: don't call the ambulance, call an uber. They'll get you
14:14
Speaker 2: to hospital quicker. Are people going to have to do
14:17
Speaker 2: stuff like that?
14:20
Speaker 7: Yeah, But the sad reality is that that's say on
14:22
Speaker 7: a day to day basis at the moment, that's what
14:24
Speaker 7: we're hearing that people are like, our members are going
14:27
Speaker 7: to people who have been waiting for hours and they
14:29
Speaker 7: shouldn't have been waiting for hours.
14:32
Speaker 2: Faith, Thanks for your time this morning, Famercan, the National
14:34
Speaker 2: Ambulance coordinator for First Union. That strike action due to
14:39
Speaker 2: take place later this month. Goodness me, I hope the
14:41
Speaker 2: uber driv Uber drivers have got a first aid course
14:44
Speaker 2: on board. Actually, if you have jumped in an uber
14:50
Speaker 2: to get to hospital because the ambulance waits too long,
14:53
Speaker 2: how did that go for you? Nine two nine two
14:55
Speaker 2: is the number text twenty five after five.
15:00
Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by
15:04
Speaker 1: Newstalks at Me.
15:06
Speaker 2: It has just gone twenty seven after five. US stock
15:09
Speaker 2: markets had a bit of a panic attack overnight. I
15:11
Speaker 2: think that's the best way to describe it. Investors have
15:14
Speaker 2: been selling off, especially in tech stocks. The US job
15:17
Speaker 2: data that came out on Friday seems to have freaked
15:21
Speaker 2: the horses. Losses are being clawed back slightly this morning.
15:24
Speaker 2: But everyone is on edge. Why well, it's the largest
15:28
Speaker 2: economy in the world. It affects us all, and we're
15:30
Speaker 2: all sort of teetering on the edge of an economic cliff.
15:33
Speaker 2: It feels like at the moment we're all at the
15:35
Speaker 2: mercy of our central banks and their rate cut decisions.
15:39
Speaker 2: Will they cut, won't they cut? In this case, you've
15:42
Speaker 2: got no cut last week from the Fed, and you've
15:44
Speaker 2: got some bad data, and oh we're going to recession,
15:47
Speaker 2: and America's going to recession. The US feed obviously didn't
15:51
Speaker 2: cut and if ours doesn't cut soon, then we'll probably
15:54
Speaker 2: have the same issues here. I imagine Bank of England,
15:57
Speaker 2: the euro Central Bank, they have cut. Here's the thing
16:00
Speaker 2: I was thinking about this morning, when the cuts happen.
16:04
Speaker 2: You know, we've got a mortgage at my house we're
16:06
Speaker 2: going to be refixing. So when they happen, I'm not
16:09
Speaker 2: going to be running out and splurging on the credit card.
16:12
Speaker 2: You know, There'll be no new TV or couch at
16:15
Speaker 2: my house. There'll be no new car in the driveway,
16:18
Speaker 2: and I won't be going to fancy restaurants all the time.
16:20
Speaker 2: I won't be going to the clubs and making it
16:22
Speaker 2: rain cash. Just because the rates have cut. This cost
16:26
Speaker 2: of living crisis, coupled with the technical recession that we
16:29
Speaker 2: went through, it's got me feeling a little sensible. If
16:33
Speaker 2: I'm being honest with you, I'm thinking more about saving.
16:35
Speaker 2: I'm thinking more about being strategic investing. You never know
16:40
Speaker 2: when the next government slash, reserve banks splurge might fuel
16:44
Speaker 2: the next big thing. You know, the lockdowns, then the
16:47
Speaker 2: loose purse strings, the prolonged eye interest rates. So you've
16:50
Speaker 2: got to be prepared for stuff. What does that mean
16:53
Speaker 2: for retailers who are falling over to their knees all
16:57
Speaker 2: around us. I think sadly won't suddenly bounce back once
17:03
Speaker 2: Adrian Orr blows his whistle. It'll be a long, hard
17:07
Speaker 2: slog yet. Twenty nine after five if you're on news Talk,
17:11
Speaker 2: said B. When we come back, an update on how
17:15
Speaker 2: many Kiwis are in the Middle East. More mornings about
17:19
Speaker 2: that this morning. Also, did you know in the UK
17:24
Speaker 2: Strictly Come Dancing they're getting their first blind dancer. I'll
17:29
Speaker 2: tell you about that.
17:30
Speaker 1: Too, Ryan Bridge New for twenty twenty four on early
17:37
Speaker 1: edition with Smith City, New Zealand's furniture beds and a
17:40
Speaker 1: playing store. News Talk SIDB.
17:46
Speaker 3: You can't start.
17:55
Speaker 2: Twenty four to six you're on news Talks, it'd be
17:57
Speaker 2: with me, Ryan Bridge. Over in the UK Strictly Come Dancing,
18:01
Speaker 2: you'll know that show they've got their first ever blind contestant.
18:07
Speaker 2: He says. His name's Chris mcclolsland. He says, I don't dance,
18:10
Speaker 2: I haven't danced, I can't dance and I can't see
18:13
Speaker 2: the dancing I will have to do. This is going
18:16
Speaker 2: to be fun. He's a comedian. He sounds like a
18:19
Speaker 2: good sport lost his sight in his twenties, and I
18:23
Speaker 2: wonder would it be easier to dance if you had
18:25
Speaker 2: danced before with sight as opposed to being blind from
18:29
Speaker 2: birth and never having done it with sight. The night
18:33
Speaker 2: we'll find out. No word yet on whether his partner
18:36
Speaker 2: will also be blind. Twenty three away from six lots
18:40
Speaker 2: of your feedback this morning, Ryan, the s and P
18:41
Speaker 2: five hundred is higher than it was three months ago.
18:44
Speaker 2: Why would you describe this morning's tumble as turmoil? Says John, John,
18:50
Speaker 2: thank you for your for your text. I didn't describe
18:53
Speaker 2: it as turmoil because of this reason. I quite deliberately
18:56
Speaker 2: described it as a freak out and a panic attack.
19:00
Speaker 2: I think they'll recover some of them. More are already,
19:03
Speaker 2: James says. The ambulance staff going on strike. James says,
19:06
Speaker 2: A player and the team that we played against last
19:08
Speaker 2: week in social football broke his leg right in front
19:11
Speaker 2: of us. He splintered his leg, got an uber two
19:16
Speaker 2: minutes around the corner to Auckland Hospital. This was the
19:18
Speaker 2: Auckland Grammar turf they were playing on. Because the ambulance
19:21
Speaker 2: said it'd be ninety minutes. People are using uber morning, Ryan.
19:26
Speaker 2: My sister was t boned by a van and in
19:28
Speaker 2: her car spun out, all her airbags inflated. She ended
19:31
Speaker 2: up in someone's front yard. The guy who hit her
19:35
Speaker 2: rung an ambulance. They said they were busy, so she
19:38
Speaker 2: rang our brother who lives closer to pick her up
19:40
Speaker 2: and take her to the hospital. W TF only had
19:45
Speaker 2: bruising in shot, but geez, she could have had a
19:48
Speaker 2: heart attack. This is in lower Heart by the way
19:50
Speaker 2: from Erica. Goodness me, I just think we need to
19:55
Speaker 2: forget the ambulance drivers. We just need to train the
19:58
Speaker 2: uber drivers as paramedics. Simple, easy solution. Twenty two away
20:03
Speaker 2: from Sex Rayon Bridge, Colum Proctors and Dunedin for us
20:07
Speaker 2: this morning, Callum. The second phase of the coronial inquest
20:11
Speaker 2: into the death of this toddler in Gore starts today.
20:16
Speaker 8: Morning Ryan, it does, and more experts are set to
20:18
Speaker 8: give evidence from today. This is three year old Lachland Jones,
20:21
Speaker 8: who died in twenty nineteen, found in a council oxidation
20:25
Speaker 8: pond about a kilometer from his home. Police concluded he
20:28
Speaker 8: walked there himself, as father Paul Jones, though believes he
20:31
Speaker 8: was murdered. His lawyer put allegations of foul play and
20:35
Speaker 8: neglect to witnesses in the first part of the inquest.
20:39
Speaker 8: Forensic pathologists and a child behavior expert will be called
20:43
Speaker 8: in the second phase, while half brother Jonathan Scott's also
20:47
Speaker 8: expected to be recalled. The inquest will last for two weeks.
20:51
Speaker 2: Callum, how's your weather today?
20:53
Speaker 8: It's pretty good with a norwester today, so it's a
20:55
Speaker 8: bit warmer, fine and a higher fourteen.
20:57
Speaker 2: Great, Thank you, Claire Sherwoods and christ Church Claire, good
20:59
Speaker 2: morning to you.
21:00
Speaker 9: Good morning.
21:01
Speaker 2: The Canterbury School and the five year weight for a redevelopment.
21:06
Speaker 10: Yes, now this is Alasmeir College, so plans to replace
21:10
Speaker 10: the existing grounds out there by modern spaces was actually
21:13
Speaker 10: announced back in twenty nineteen, but there have been massive
21:16
Speaker 10: delays because of groundwater problems. It's now set to be
21:19
Speaker 10: completed by twenty twenty eight, the first stage beginning this week.
21:24
Speaker 10: Acting Principal Anthony French says the new build should cater
21:27
Speaker 10: for seven hundred and fifty students. That's about a thirty
21:30
Speaker 10: percent increase on its current role. He now say there
21:33
Speaker 10: are significant subdivision consents being granted in the area around
21:38
Speaker 10: Leiston and so there's belief the school will be at
21:40
Speaker 10: capacity by the time it.
21:42
Speaker 2: Is opened, right and weather clear.
21:44
Speaker 10: Frosty again here in christ Church light winds are high
21:47
Speaker 10: of twelve with minus three overnight.
21:49
Speaker 2: Thank you a man in Wellington Max Toll has managed
21:52
Speaker 2: to just stomp on those silly raised crossings Max well.
21:56
Speaker 3: I have inz TA has really a lot of controversial
21:59
Speaker 3: work being done around this, but perhaps this Thornton Key
22:02
Speaker 3: plan is number one businesses dyeing roads being torn up
22:06
Speaker 3: before old water pipes are factored in, and now yes,
22:09
Speaker 3: NZTA pulling funding for those pesky raised the pedestrian crossings,
22:14
Speaker 3: crossings that countless organizations had opposed, including emergency officials who
22:18
Speaker 3: said it would hinder ambulances. So you'd think that would
22:22
Speaker 3: be that, but council documents, essentially Council advice now recommends
22:27
Speaker 3: councilors still go ahead with the plan by get this
22:32
Speaker 3: going more into debt to stump up over three hundred
22:35
Speaker 3: thousand dollars. You think that would be insanity personified if
22:41
Speaker 3: it did happen. Several councilors tell us look no way
22:43
Speaker 3: on their watch. But also worth adding surprise surprise, fresh
22:47
Speaker 3: leak popping up on Thornton Key yesterday maybe is feared
22:50
Speaker 3: it might have to be ripped up all over again.
22:52
Speaker 2: Anyway, I just don't even I can't even talk Max.
22:56
Speaker 2: I'm so angry. Thankfully neighbors here, she can come down
22:59
Speaker 2: and second that's Max hold mall or whether today Max
23:03
Speaker 2: fine northerlys a higher thirteen. Thank you nevers here, Hi.
23:06
Speaker 9: Neva Hi, it's great seeing you mad. I've never seen
23:08
Speaker 9: you met, jumping up and down in your chair. But
23:10
Speaker 9: you're quite right. You've got good reason to let outrage.
23:12
Speaker 2: You want to just hit something exactly.
23:14
Speaker 9: You know, you should be running the country or you
23:16
Speaker 9: should be running Wellington.
23:18
Speaker 2: Running the country. What's happening in Auckland today?
23:24
Speaker 9: Well this will rip united too, this story yere So
23:27
Speaker 9: Auckland Council has been taken to court by its Marty
23:30
Speaker 9: Advisory Board. Now this is over the appointment of a
23:33
Speaker 9: new chairman to its water business. Now the Independent Marty
23:36
Speaker 9: Statutary Board is seeking a review in the High Court
23:39
Speaker 9: in Auckland. Now this is to overturn the appointment of
23:42
Speaker 9: Jeff Hunt as chairman of water Care. Now It's chairman,
23:46
Speaker 9: David Taipati says they believe the decision to point Hunt
23:49
Speaker 9: was procedurally unlawful. So he says that a panel unanimously
23:54
Speaker 9: recommended a Marty candidate for the role, but then Councilor
23:57
Speaker 9: Morris Williamson he passed an amendment behind fine closed doors
24:00
Speaker 9: for Hunt to get the role. So Tai Party says
24:03
Speaker 9: it's not about the person but the way they were appointed.
24:07
Speaker 9: So yes of argie bargie. More to come on that one.
24:11
Speaker 2: We're the today Neva Party.
24:12
Speaker 9: Cloudy, we've got isolated showers. It a will clear tonight
24:15
Speaker 9: aalkan hire fifteen degrees.
24:16
Speaker 2: Brilliant, thank you. Lots of text coming in on whether
24:19
Speaker 2: you should uber to the hospital. This one says there's
24:23
Speaker 2: no uber in Tirau or Tito. We do have a
24:27
Speaker 2: milk factory. Maybe the milk tanker drivers could be trained
24:29
Speaker 2: as ambulance officers. It's just gone seventeen away from six.
24:35
Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines. Ryan Bridge you for twenty
24:39
Speaker 1: twenty four on early edition with Smith City, New Zealand's
24:42
Speaker 1: furniture beds and a play at store.
24:44
Speaker 2: News Talk said, be good morning, great to have your
24:46
Speaker 2: company just gone quarters to six year on news Talk
24:48
Speaker 2: said b and I've just had it confirmed that we're
24:50
Speaker 2: going to cancel our ad break just before the news.
24:53
Speaker 2: You don't often hear this. How will they pay us.
24:56
Speaker 2: We're going to cancel the ad break and we're going
24:59
Speaker 2: to bring you live the New Zealand Track cycling women's team.
25:03
Speaker 2: They are in a sprint for a gold medal just
25:06
Speaker 2: before six o'clock, so they stay tuned for that. Mike
25:08
Speaker 2: Hoskin is going to come in and hold my hand
25:10
Speaker 2: for the experience. Bangladesh. We were talking about this yesterday.
25:15
Speaker 2: The riots, the protests over the jobs for the boys
25:18
Speaker 2: because there's a quota for the civil service. Anyway, they
25:20
Speaker 2: turned into basically anti government protests. Now they have got
25:25
Speaker 2: their wish. They have forced the Prime Minister to flee.
25:28
Speaker 2: She's resigned and fled. She's gone to India. Nearly three
25:33
Speaker 2: hundred people have died since July and they have stormed.
25:36
Speaker 2: The protesters stormed her official residence, looting, smashing cars and furniture, celebrating.
25:43
Speaker 2: Have a listen. They are absolutely trashing the official residence.
25:58
Speaker 2: There was even footage of them eating the curry in
26:00
Speaker 2: the kitchen that the chefs had left. Anyway, the head
26:03
Speaker 2: of the Army says an interim government will be formed
26:07
Speaker 2: by the end of the day. No word yet on
26:09
Speaker 2: who will actually lead it.
26:10
Speaker 1: Thirteen to six International Correspondence with ends in Eye Insurance
26:15
Speaker 1: Peace of Mind for New Zealand Business.
26:18
Speaker 2: Donna Demaya's our Australia correspondent this morning. Your terror threat
26:21
Speaker 2: level is up, Donna, Yes, So the.
26:24
Speaker 4: Prime Minister Anthony Abernezi has revealed that Australia's national terror
26:28
Speaker 4: threat is now probable as a threat of violence grows.
26:32
Speaker 4: We also heard from Asia, which is the nation's peak
26:35
Speaker 4: security intelligence association, since the chance of a terrorist attack
26:39
Speaker 4: in Australia is now probable, it's concerned about the rising
26:42
Speaker 4: threat of politically motivated violence. Now the table of threat
26:47
Speaker 4: levels you might want to know is at the very
26:49
Speaker 4: bottom it's deemed not expected, then possible, where now on
26:54
Speaker 4: probable it can also lift to expected. And in the
26:57
Speaker 4: top of that table is certain. So there is now
27:01
Speaker 4: deemed a greater than fifty percent chance of an onshore
27:05
Speaker 4: attack in Australia.
27:07
Speaker 5: Now.
27:07
Speaker 4: The announcement came as the PM was flanked by the
27:09
Speaker 4: ASIO Director Mike Burgess and Attorney General Mark Drafers. The
27:13
Speaker 4: PM says there's no evidence of a specific and immediate attack,
27:17
Speaker 4: but he does say that also that probable does not
27:19
Speaker 4: actually mean inevitable and there's no actual intelligence about an
27:24
Speaker 4: imminent threat or danger, but there is a need for
27:27
Speaker 4: a higher level of preparedness for agencies and alertness for
27:31
Speaker 4: the public. Now, as you know, we've seen a global
27:34
Speaker 4: rise in politically motivated violence and extremism, as that's been
27:38
Speaker 4: put to Australians as well, so Asio says it's principal
27:42
Speaker 4: security concerns do now involve the fact that Australia is
27:47
Speaker 4: more more volatile and more unpredictable, and hence this upgrade
27:52
Speaker 4: to the terror threat being deemed probable. We also heard
27:56
Speaker 4: from the Opposition Peter Dutton and the Leader, I should say,
28:00
Speaker 4: and he said that all Australians should pay attention about
28:02
Speaker 4: what is happening in society. We have heard in some
28:08
Speaker 4: way a little bit sort of calming because as he
28:10
Speaker 4: also says, you know, we have to be aware but
28:12
Speaker 4: not afraid. And yet we hear it not in much detail,
28:15
Speaker 4: but there have been eight incidents in four months that
28:18
Speaker 4: have been disrupted by the agencies. It was either an
28:21
Speaker 4: act of terrorism or investigated for links to terrorism, and
28:25
Speaker 4: involved are some young people, some as young as fourteen
28:28
Speaker 4: to twenty one years of age.
28:30
Speaker 9: US.
28:31
Speaker 2: It's hard to know with that language. Don't know whether
28:33
Speaker 2: to be freaked out or not, but it sounds like
28:35
Speaker 2: they're just being cautious at this time. Done a dem our,
28:38
Speaker 2: Australia Correspondent. It is eleven away.
28:40
Speaker 5: From six Brian Bridge.
28:42
Speaker 2: You want to get that women's track cycling gold Medal
28:45
Speaker 2: race coming your way very shortly? Right now, Let's call
28:48
Speaker 2: it what it is. It's an education crisis. Just twenty
28:51
Speaker 2: two percent of year eight students are at the expected
28:55
Speaker 2: standard for mass. That means roughly eighty percent are not.
28:58
Speaker 2: And the government wants to fly eight twenty so that
29:01
Speaker 2: eighty percent are actually achieving. They've got new workbooks coming
29:05
Speaker 2: next year, they've got teacher upskilling. The ERRO is being
29:09
Speaker 2: overhauled to focus on outcomes and achievement. The Ministry of
29:12
Speaker 2: Education will intervene earlier and more often. Is it going
29:15
Speaker 2: to work? Doctor Michael Johnston is with the New Zealand Initiative.
29:18
Speaker 2: He's a senior fellow there and has worked in education
29:22
Speaker 2: most of his life. Michael, good morning, good morning. How
29:25
Speaker 2: are you doing very well? Thank you? Are they on
29:27
Speaker 2: the right track with what they're doing.
29:30
Speaker 3: Well.
29:30
Speaker 11: They definitely need to do something like this, as you said,
29:34
Speaker 11: or you could describe it as a crisis, but actually
29:37
Speaker 11: there's no indication from these data that things have got worse.
29:41
Speaker 11: It's probably just revealed what's been there for quite some time.
29:45
Speaker 11: The way in which they've tested maths and other curriculum
29:51
Speaker 11: areas has changed. And what we're catching now kids who
29:55
Speaker 11: are behind the year level that they're at, Whereas in
29:58
Speaker 11: the past measured how far whether they were at the
30:02
Speaker 11: right phase, which bands of years. So we've got finer
30:06
Speaker 11: grained data here, and so it's likely that things haven't
30:11
Speaker 11: actually got worse, that they've been this bad for a while.
30:15
Speaker 2: How long are we talking decades?
30:19
Speaker 11: We don't know exactly, Quite likely a decade or more.
30:24
Speaker 2: So if that's the case, should we should be that worried?
30:29
Speaker 5: Oh?
30:29
Speaker 11: I think we should be worried when only just a
30:32
Speaker 11: bit more than a fifth of year eight students are
30:35
Speaker 11: meeting the standard according to the curriculum. So yeah, I
30:39
Speaker 11: think the action that the Minister for Education and the
30:43
Speaker 11: Prime Minister have announced is absolutely necessary. Will it be enough, well,
30:49
Speaker 11: time will tell, But I think that it's encouraging that
30:54
Speaker 11: they're introducing these workbooks and teacher guides. Just to be clear,
31:01
Speaker 11: my understanding is that those books will be aligned with
31:05
Speaker 11: the new curriculum that's coming next year, so the publishing
31:09
Speaker 11: companies will do some work on them to reconfigure them
31:13
Speaker 11: to match the curriculum.
31:15
Speaker 2: I spoke to a principle yesterday and he didn't have
31:17
Speaker 2: high hopes for this, first of all, that they would
31:20
Speaker 2: even get the booklets. But second of all, he said,
31:22
Speaker 2: will they cater to my ever increasingly diverse range of students,
31:27
Speaker 2: including neuro diverse students in different English, second language, all
31:31
Speaker 2: these other things? Will they do that? And is that
31:36
Speaker 2: a big problem for the education system?
31:39
Speaker 11: Well, first of all, let me say that I think
31:42
Speaker 11: it is a big problem for the education system, and
31:45
Speaker 11: I would acknowledge the huge challenges that teachers are facing
31:48
Speaker 11: at the moment with behavior in our classrooms. There was
31:52
Speaker 11: a report, I think it was from the OECD that
31:54
Speaker 11: said that the disorder in our classrooms is amongst the
31:58
Speaker 11: worst in the worst in the world. Neurodiversity seems to
32:02
Speaker 11: be on the increase for reasons that are not fully understood.
32:07
Speaker 11: I certainly acknowledge the challenges that teachers face, and I
32:12
Speaker 11: think more will be required to meet that target of
32:16
Speaker 11: eighty percent at curriculum by the end of year eight
32:20
Speaker 11: in twenty thirty.
32:21
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've still got a long way to go. Doctor
32:23
Speaker 2: Michael Johnson, thank you very much for your time. He's
32:25
Speaker 2: a senior fellow at the New Zealand Initiative talking about
32:27
Speaker 2: the government's crackdown on education. Seven away from six. Coming
32:31
Speaker 2: up next, we've got the track cycling that women's team
32:34
Speaker 2: going for gold. Are also an update on what's happening
32:37
Speaker 2: in the UK with the riots.
32:38
Speaker 1: The news you need this morning and the in depth
32:41
Speaker 1: analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New
32:45
Speaker 1: Zealand's furniture beds and a playing store.
32:47
Speaker 2: News Talk said, be five to six, you're on news Talk,
32:50
Speaker 2: said be kirsta of the British Prime Minister has spoken
32:53
Speaker 2: about the rioting over in the UK. They've held a
32:55
Speaker 2: Cobra meeting which is like their situation room. Have a listen.
32:59
Speaker 12: Whatever the parent motivation, this is not protest. It is
33:04
Speaker 12: pure violence and we will not tolerate attacks on mosques
33:09
Speaker 12: or our Muslim communities. So the full force of the
33:13
Speaker 12: law will be visited on all those who are identified
33:17
Speaker 12: as having taken part in these activities.
33:19
Speaker 2: They've decided that a standing army of police specialist officers
33:23
Speaker 2: will be ready to be deployed, which gives the impression
33:26
Speaker 2: that the army is involved. It's not. It's just police officers.
33:29
Speaker 2: Four minutes away from six now, and we're very excited
33:31
Speaker 2: because the women's team is the track cycling team is
33:35
Speaker 2: going for gold and Mike Hoskins and we're canceling the ads,
33:39
Speaker 2: breaking your usual programming. Good morning, Mike, morning, Good see you.
33:42
Speaker 13: It's moderately exciting because the British, of course have set
33:46
Speaker 13: the world record right in the lead up to this,
33:48
Speaker 13: so we set it momentarily in our previous race, so
33:52
Speaker 13: that looked good. So this could be fast trak is
33:56
Speaker 13: the other thing you need to know. That's why we will.
33:57
Speaker 13: Records are falling, so it's a fast track and so
34:00
Speaker 13: we set the record. They then came along Great Britain
34:03
Speaker 13: this is and then they set the record in their heat,
34:05
Speaker 13: so they beat us in time. So it's all in order.
34:08
Speaker 13: You have to think that's going to be very tight
34:10
Speaker 13: and on.
34:11
Speaker 2: Perhaps more than moderately exciting, even Mike, it could be.
34:14
Speaker 13: It could be phenomenally exciting. But then again, we've got
34:19
Speaker 13: but Butcher he's going to be on the program as well.
34:21
Speaker 13: There's some debate about the sport. Should I go there?
34:24
Speaker 13: When I interview him, Well, yeah, I mean you should.
34:27
Speaker 13: It's the first time, it's at the Olympics. Yeah, he's
34:29
Speaker 13: the first when it's his first Olympics once, I guess
34:32
Speaker 13: the brilliant thing is that if you're the first, you
34:35
Speaker 13: will always be the first.
34:36
Speaker 2: True.
34:36
Speaker 13: So he's never been to the Olympics before. So he's
34:39
Speaker 13: at his first Olympics in the first event and he
34:42
Speaker 13: wins the goal first champion. You can never take that
34:45
Speaker 13: away from somebody.
34:46
Speaker 2: That's pretty cool. I mean watching it, it's great to watch.
34:49
Speaker 2: In fact, I would sooner watch that than I was
34:52
Speaker 2: the cycling.
34:52
Speaker 13: That's not the criteria though, is it really? My wife
34:55
Speaker 13: said to me, and I think she was probably right.
34:56
Speaker 13: She said, that sort of thing is what you do
34:58
Speaker 13: when you go to water World and Queensland.
35:02
Speaker 2: And you pay money, don't break.
35:06
Speaker 13: Well, that's what I'm saying.
35:07
Speaker 2: Should I go there? I go? Mate? Is this really sport?
35:11
Speaker 2: Should I say?
35:12
Speaker 1: Well?
35:12
Speaker 2: It's that place out in South Auckland where they do it. Yeah, exactly,
35:15
Speaker 2: all right, Okay, apparently the race is about to start.
35:17
Speaker 2: The moderately exciting track cycling women's event. We're going for gold.
35:23
Speaker 1: Take a look a Chance for Gold Live commentary of
35:27
Speaker 1: Paris twenty twenty four on youth tall zbys.
35:31
Speaker 14: James to match up and create parity with the men,
35:35
Speaker 14: and now these New Zealanders and these Brits get the chances.
35:39
Speaker 14: The Belodrome gets into a state of great excitement as
35:46
Speaker 14: they prepare with Germany just taking the bronze in this
35:48
Speaker 14: event and the ride off, So just to clarify, there'll
35:51
Speaker 14: be three laps of two hundred and fifty meters. First lap,
35:54
Speaker 14: all three riders will complete. We'll see Rick Becca pitch
35:57
Speaker 14: lead off in New Zealand, will be followed by Fulton
36:00
Speaker 14: taking a lead wheel in the second leg, followed by
36:04
Speaker 14: Alese Andrews, and then we'll see Fulton peel off and
36:08
Speaker 14: Andrews will be required to do the final two hundred
36:11
Speaker 14: and fifty meters. The writers getting into their starting blocks
36:16
Speaker 14: now ahead of the start at the San contin Non
36:23
Speaker 14: Evelyn Velodrome on the outskirts of the French capital. Pensive
36:32
Speaker 14: and concentrated faces of the participants. They're starting off from
36:38
Speaker 14: opposite sides of the track and the races tend to
36:43
Speaker 14: go for about forty five seconds of what we've seen
36:45
Speaker 14: today and.
36:48
Speaker 1: For more from News Talks B listen live on air
36:51
Speaker 1: or online, and keep our shows with you wherever you
36:54
Speaker 1: go with our podcasts on iHeartRadio