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NFL Free Agency Update · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
0:13
Speaker 1: We are part of the Volume podcast Network. I am
0:18
Speaker 1: Chad Millman. I have my co host, Simon Hunter with me.
0:25
Speaker 1: And Simon, I know you're gonna be very excited about
0:29
Speaker 1: what happened last week, because something very interesting happened. You
0:33
Speaker 1: are my bff. You are my professional football betting buddy,
0:40
Speaker 1: so you would be thrilled that. As March Madness was beginning,
0:45
Speaker 1: the trending Twitter sphere was dominated not by Gunzaga or
0:50
Speaker 1: Michigan or twelve versus five bracketbusters. It was dominated by
0:58
Speaker 1: NFL Free agent sheet. And by the way, Simon, it
1:03
Speaker 1: wasn't like Tom Brady signed. It was John Brown signed,
1:09
Speaker 1: Curtis Samuel will sign with Washington, Ryan Fitzpatrick signed with Washington.
1:14
Speaker 1: Not big names, but that was big enough for our
1:17
Speaker 1: Twitter obsessives. Simon, my buddy, the joy of Northern England,
1:24
Speaker 1: the pride of South Jersey. How did that make you feel?
1:29
Speaker 1: The intro always so good? Yeah, it was hilarious. How
1:32
Speaker 1: many people are hit me up? I was like, can
1:33
Speaker 1: we just enjoy these college basketball games just for a weekend?
1:36
Speaker 1: But now there are no all dings of the NFL,
1:39
Speaker 1: and uh yeah, we'll talk. We're definitely gonna dive in.
1:42
Speaker 1: We'll talk about our own personal teams, the misery we're
1:44
Speaker 1: going through with all this free agency, and uh man,
1:48
Speaker 1: it's I mean, we can all agree. The biggest, second
1:50
Speaker 1: biggest sport in Americas the NBA. And you saw the
1:54
Speaker 1: NBA is gonna sign a new TV deal, big number,
1:56
Speaker 1: eight billion dollars. That's that's a lot of money. And
1:59
Speaker 1: then you just see the NFL coming over and over
2:01
Speaker 1: top saying, yeah, we're doing a hundred and ten billion
2:04
Speaker 1: dollar deal TV deals. So NFL is king. It's just
2:08
Speaker 1: it's just so far out of all the other sports.
2:10
Speaker 1: It's pretty crazy, just how obsessed the fans are with it.
2:12
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm excited to dive in and everything I
2:14
Speaker 1: have in this last couple of weeks. Well, look, you
2:17
Speaker 1: you mentioned, uh your team struggling, My team, no heartbreak
2:23
Speaker 1: whatsoever because of all the free agency news. For those
2:26
Speaker 1: of us who love the Bears, our national nightmare is
2:31
Speaker 1: over because Mitch Trubisky has moved on. And who is
2:36
Speaker 1: he signed with? Producer Matt Mitchell? Who has he signed
2:40
Speaker 1: with your beloved Buffalo Bills? What do you think of
2:44
Speaker 1: that buddy chat. I've played fantasy college football since two
2:50
Speaker 1: thousand and in t U n C S MITR Trobiski
2:54
Speaker 1: was my fantasy quarterback. Then it gets trapped by Chicago.
2:57
Speaker 1: All my in laws are Bears fans, and now he
3:00
Speaker 1: signs with Buffalo. So this is gonna be six seasons
3:04
Speaker 1: where I can't get this guy out of my life.
3:06
Speaker 1: So as a Bills fan, we can't light enough Josh
3:10
Speaker 1: Allen prayer candles to adequately protect his precious, precious body
3:16
Speaker 1: to prevent Mitch Robinsky from taking the field. And if
3:18
Speaker 1: it wasn't illegal, I kidnap him and encase him in
3:21
Speaker 1: loose sight like a giant, fancy paperweight, because if I
3:24
Speaker 1: see Josh Allen go down, I'm just gonna calmly turn
3:27
Speaker 1: my TV off, unplug it, put it in my car,
3:31
Speaker 1: drove it a mile down the road, and I'll just
3:33
Speaker 1: toss it into Lake Michigan. Yeah. I feel so bad
3:36
Speaker 1: for you. This couldn't be any worse, Like this is
3:39
Speaker 1: the I already beat my Buffalo Bill's future, and I
3:42
Speaker 1: wish I was getting a refund. I understand how you
3:44
Speaker 1: feel there, you know, especially when you're when you're backing
3:47
Speaker 1: Mitch Robinsky, or as our our Old Pals document call
3:50
Speaker 1: him Mitch Bordles. It never feels good. You've just been
3:54
Speaker 1: bordled with time to own field. It's a lot of same.
4:01
Speaker 1: Intercepted by Shakil and intercepted again by Shakil Priffin. It's
4:07
Speaker 1: intercepted Trabisky over the middle, sucking mile Tropisky gets caught
4:15
Speaker 1: trying to force something in there, Rabinsky fading back and
4:20
Speaker 1: the Waggles got the football picked off and pass deep
4:23
Speaker 1: the field into a lot of traffic and made has
4:26
Speaker 1: tonna be picked off at the thirty ships yard line
4:29
Speaker 1: And that's gonna spting at the forty yard line overthrow.
4:32
Speaker 1: You did not have to do that. You did not
4:35
Speaker 1: have to do that. You you're forcing something in the
4:38
Speaker 1: Well look now, Simon, we're not even gonna get into
4:41
Speaker 1: this because Andy Dalton is now the quarterback of the
4:44
Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. And it can't get worse than that, no
4:48
Speaker 1: matter how bad it has gotten for the Philadelphia Eagles. Yeah,
4:51
Speaker 1: we just brought in Joe Flacco for a workout, Joe Flacco,
4:55
Speaker 1: so it can get worse. But yeah, that's about to
4:57
Speaker 1: say you're throwing a lot of stones on the glass
4:59
Speaker 1: out there feeling pretty high and mighty. I by getting
5:01
Speaker 1: rid of mich Sture whisky for Addie Dalton. I don't know.
5:04
Speaker 1: We'll definitely talk about when the season gets closer, but
5:06
Speaker 1: I feel so bad for Bears fans. It was like
5:09
Speaker 1: they went for it, they went for Russ, it didn't
5:11
Speaker 1: work out, and we'll talk about obviously the whole thing
5:14
Speaker 1: going Watson. They didn't want to touch that whole situation.
5:16
Speaker 1: So they're like, you know what, Andy Dulton, let's bring
5:19
Speaker 1: him in. And there's people they are defending and don't
5:21
Speaker 1: be like, hey, this guy has been in the playoffs
5:22
Speaker 1: a bunch of times, YadA YadA, YadA. Oh man, it's
5:26
Speaker 1: he's kind of a stop gap. I think. I don't
5:29
Speaker 1: know because at the GM and we'll talk about, like
5:30
Speaker 1: your guy's owner, this is everything, like this is their
5:33
Speaker 1: last season supposedly, but I don't know how they worked
5:36
Speaker 1: fired after the whole Niche thing, so who knows what's
5:38
Speaker 1: going on. They weren't fired because the owners stood in
5:41
Speaker 1: front of the media and gave a press conference. He said,
5:45
Speaker 1: I'm keeping them around for one more year, but I'm
5:47
Speaker 1: not giving him extension. I feel like they've earned it
5:50
Speaker 1: because Ryan Pace found a wide receiver in the sixth
5:53
Speaker 1: round who performed really well this year. Swear to god,
5:56
Speaker 1: that's what he said. But you said one of the
5:58
Speaker 1: things you said, we'll get We'll talk it as the
6:00
Speaker 1: season gets closer. Dude, the NFL season never ends like
6:04
Speaker 1: free agency. There's new right steals. You mentioned that yesterday
6:08
Speaker 1: was trending on Twitter that the draft will have in
6:10
Speaker 1: person attendance, and so like we're going to discuss all
6:15
Speaker 1: of that, how it impacts future odds, how it impacts
6:19
Speaker 1: fantasy productions projections, or to discuss all that with not
6:25
Speaker 1: just Simon Hunter, who is one of our newest employees
6:30
Speaker 1: but one of my new favorite people at Action Network
6:35
Speaker 1: and someone I truly can stand Samantha Prived, our newest
6:41
Speaker 1: Action Network analyst and TikTok star. And Matthew Freedman, who
6:46
Speaker 1: was actually, by the way I've done the math, he
6:48
Speaker 1: is atop our Action Network leaderboard as most likely to
6:52
Speaker 1: get fired, slightly ahead of Simon Hunter, who is racing
6:55
Speaker 1: up very very quickly. Hello Matthew try Uh, it's great.
7:01
Speaker 1: I mean, the odds really should be am I fired
7:04
Speaker 1: While we're recording this podcast or not. Um, I like
7:08
Speaker 1: my chances of being inflammatory enough to get fired, but
7:12
Speaker 1: you never know, Simon might outdo me and I get
7:15
Speaker 1: fired first. But I can still get fired on the show.
7:17
Speaker 1: I'm really excited to be here, uh and to talk
7:20
Speaker 1: more about Mitchell Troubinsky and to rub as much salt
7:23
Speaker 1: in your wounds as I can. Not my problem anymore.
7:26
Speaker 1: It's on Matt Mitchell's Uh. Samantha, Hello, welcome to your
7:31
Speaker 1: first appearance on the favorite podcast. Hello, and thank you
7:34
Speaker 1: so much for having me. That was quite an interest.
7:37
Speaker 1: Thank you. Well. Listen, I do think before we even
7:40
Speaker 1: get into it, I think you should share with listeners
7:42
Speaker 1: because it's the first time that people are getting a
7:45
Speaker 1: chance to be introduced to you on the podcast, uh
7:49
Speaker 1: in the Action Network universe. So explain to people your
7:53
Speaker 1: path from what you were doing to UH fantasy analyst.
7:59
Speaker 1: It really a beloved media business. Um that really, it
8:05
Speaker 1: couldn't be a better spot. Yeah, thank you so much.
8:09
Speaker 1: I was previously at the New York Post as the
8:13
Speaker 1: director of analytics and sort of started to do the
8:17
Speaker 1: fantasy stuff on the side. It became a much bigger thing,
8:20
Speaker 1: and I'm kind of best known quote unquote for silly TikTok's.
8:26
Speaker 1: I mean I would take basically my start Said articles,
8:29
Speaker 1: my waiver wide articles and try to make them into
8:32
Speaker 1: like different types of content. So that included doing handstands
8:36
Speaker 1: and giving start Said advice at the same time, so
8:39
Speaker 1: really kind of out there type stuff, just embarrassing myself
8:42
Speaker 1: in front of gen Z. It's very exciting. Um. And
8:45
Speaker 1: then I just you know, this season was the first
8:48
Speaker 1: season that I got very involved with like the fantasy community.
8:51
Speaker 1: I would say like being part of Scott Fish Bull
8:54
Speaker 1: really helped that. Just meeting a lot of new people
8:56
Speaker 1: and everything like that. And you know, Matthew was kind
9:01
Speaker 1: of to slide my d MS, not in a creepy way,
9:03
Speaker 1: just like a normal way, and I was like, hey, like,
9:06
Speaker 1: why don't we just want don't we chat about action?
9:09
Speaker 1: And I'm just like so excited to be here. So yeah,
9:12
Speaker 1: I guess that's my little circuitous path by the definitely
9:18
Speaker 1: not not creepy. But yeah, it's good you clarified, because
9:21
Speaker 1: that just could have been one more reason why I
9:24
Speaker 1: want to fire Matthew Freeman. We'll listen. You're doing fantastic work.
9:27
Speaker 1: The most amazing thing for me was you mentioned you
9:30
Speaker 1: were the New York Post. You were the director of
9:32
Speaker 1: analytics there, so you weren't even in a sort of
9:36
Speaker 1: official professional journalism role. And yet how many stories did
9:42
Speaker 1: you write for the New York Post in in I
9:48
Speaker 1: think it was about four and fifty articles, which was
9:52
Speaker 1: about I think twenty three million page views in twenty twenty,
9:55
Speaker 1: so a significant amount of work that was layered on
10:00
Speaker 1: top of my normal job duties. I was not paid
10:03
Speaker 1: or compensated for any of that stuff, which kind of
10:06
Speaker 1: shocks a lot of people to know that I wrote
10:08
Speaker 1: six something articles for free. But it's all part of
10:12
Speaker 1: the hustle, and I just I really loved it. I
10:14
Speaker 1: never complained for a second because it's just, uh, it's
10:18
Speaker 1: so exciting to be able to talk about this stuff.
10:20
Speaker 1: It really doesn't feel like work to me, so that's
10:23
Speaker 1: why it's been great to be here. Well, listen, there's
10:26
Speaker 1: no doubt that we can turn this from fun into
10:28
Speaker 1: work in no time flat. I have full confidence. So
10:33
Speaker 1: welcome to Action. Welcome to the Favorites podcast on the
10:36
Speaker 1: Volume Network. We're thrilled that you're here. Um, oh my god,
10:42
Speaker 1: there have been so many signings starting with you, Simon Hunter,
10:45
Speaker 1: tell me from the last week the most impactful signing
10:50
Speaker 1: that you've seen that would make you consider betting on
10:56
Speaker 1: a team. I be easier to say which one's happened
11:01
Speaker 1: that make it so I won't bet on these teams. Um,
11:05
Speaker 1: I'm already in on Washington. They signed Fitzpatrick, so that's fun,
11:09
Speaker 1: that's good. Yeah, he has some upside, but I don't
11:13
Speaker 1: think either of us feel great about our futures. That
11:15
Speaker 1: doesn't really do much for us. And then with Cam
11:17
Speaker 1: with the Patriots, I loved a lot of the moves
11:19
Speaker 1: of Patriots made. I mean, both those tight ends. They're
11:23
Speaker 1: both everyone's one and two free agent tight ends, and
11:25
Speaker 1: they signed both of them. I just don't really get
11:29
Speaker 1: the move with Cam. Um. Maybe people are saying it's
11:33
Speaker 1: true they still have o their money left over to
11:35
Speaker 1: make a move to get a quarterback in there. He's
11:36
Speaker 1: being paid back up quarterback money. I just don't know.
11:40
Speaker 1: I don't know they if they come into this season
11:42
Speaker 1: with Cam, it kind of makes it so. I don't
11:44
Speaker 1: value any kind of feature on the Patriots. So those
11:47
Speaker 1: are two moves at quarterback positions that just didn't really
11:49
Speaker 1: do much for me. So there hasn't really been any
11:51
Speaker 1: move that's like, oh, this is really improve this team
11:54
Speaker 1: so much, I need to jump on. So it's kind
11:56
Speaker 1: of been a fun free agent period, but not really.
11:58
Speaker 1: It's kind of been a dud, right, Well, That's that's
12:00
Speaker 1: what's interesting, Friedman. It feels like there's been a lot
12:05
Speaker 1: of activity and a lot of people being signed, and
12:09
Speaker 1: yet do any of these people move the needle for
12:13
Speaker 1: any team whatsoever. I'm gonna disagree a little bit with
12:17
Speaker 1: Simon On Washington. Not that Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to
12:21
Speaker 1: propel this team to a super Bowl, but the defense
12:24
Speaker 1: should continue to improve, and it was pretty good at
12:27
Speaker 1: the end of last season. I think it will be
12:29
Speaker 1: a little bit better this year. And Fitzpatrick should be
12:33
Speaker 1: better than I mean, the combination that they had last
12:38
Speaker 1: year of Dwayne Haskins and Alex Smith. Like he he
12:41
Speaker 1: can't be any worse. I think at a minimum, he
12:43
Speaker 1: gives them more upside. Maybe he gives them more downside,
12:46
Speaker 1: but he also gives them more upside in the futures market.
12:48
Speaker 1: That's really what we're looking for. And so in terms
12:51
Speaker 1: of you know, their odds to win the Super Bowl,
12:53
Speaker 1: I don't think it changes much. But their odds to
12:55
Speaker 1: win the division. That's a little more intriguing. I think
12:58
Speaker 1: they're a little more live there. Adding Curtis Samuel like
13:01
Speaker 1: that offense should be markedly better than it was last year.
13:04
Speaker 1: So I do think that the Fitzpatrick signing is a
13:06
Speaker 1: little bit interesting, and for Cam I agree. I don't
13:09
Speaker 1: think it really does much for the Patriots in terms
13:11
Speaker 1: of their odds to win the Super Bowl, but for fantasy,
13:14
Speaker 1: Cam Newton is once again someone who's kind of intriguing
13:17
Speaker 1: as a guy you can get late in drafts, but
13:19
Speaker 1: who has a lot of capability with his rushing. Does
13:24
Speaker 1: he really though Samantha like, does Cam Newton really have
13:28
Speaker 1: capability with his rushing? It felt like he's gonna score.
13:31
Speaker 1: He might score a lot of touchdowns, but like to me,
13:34
Speaker 1: that also felt kind of flukey last year, and that's
13:37
Speaker 1: not where you want to have Cam Newton sort of
13:39
Speaker 1: on a game to game basis. I don't know if
13:42
Speaker 1: it's necessarily I felt fluky. He ended up finishing as
13:44
Speaker 1: QV twenty, and I do feel like the rushing offsets
13:47
Speaker 1: some movie and the mack passing. He only passed for
13:50
Speaker 1: eight touchdowns last year, but we've seen him consistently sort
13:54
Speaker 1: of put up that like five rushing yards number or
13:56
Speaker 1: more every season, which gives you a really safe for
13:59
Speaker 1: for in a C. So I think he finished his
14:02
Speaker 1: QB twenty with the I mean Julian Edelmanan was like
14:06
Speaker 1: injured all season and their best pass catcher was probably
14:10
Speaker 1: James White year. So, uh, you know, with all these
14:13
Speaker 1: additions that they've made, I can certainly see him being
14:17
Speaker 1: impactful and probably a good draft I steal. I can't
14:22
Speaker 1: believe it took you all of one question to go
14:26
Speaker 1: against me and to side with Freedman. Am I already fired? Well,
14:34
Speaker 1: you're moving up the draft. You're moving up the board
14:36
Speaker 1: pretty quickly. I can't believe I got all three of
14:38
Speaker 1: the people most likely to be fired on the podcast
14:41
Speaker 1: at the exact same time. It's amazing to me, Simon.
14:48
Speaker 1: That might say more about you, Chad. What did you
14:52
Speaker 1: say about me? Freedman? I don't know that everyone you
14:54
Speaker 1: look at is a threat someone you might want to fire.
14:58
Speaker 1: M hm OK, that's interesting, that's very interesting. I'm looking
15:04
Speaker 1: at you right now. That's the person I most want
15:06
Speaker 1: to fire. Simon Hunter, you want to talk a little
15:10
Speaker 1: bit about your Eagles, dilemma right now, in no real dilemma.
15:15
Speaker 1: It's it's a lot of noise, and um, I try
15:19
Speaker 1: to just not here, like listen like local radio any
15:22
Speaker 1: of that, and just read the beat writers in the area.
15:25
Speaker 1: But it sounds like it's real that we might take
15:27
Speaker 1: a quarterback at the top of this draft. And I
15:30
Speaker 1: know that there's a rumor came out to the owner
15:32
Speaker 1: wants to give him a year and the owner is
15:34
Speaker 1: like really on top of this and like wants wants
15:37
Speaker 1: to do that, and I'm so in on that move.
15:40
Speaker 1: I hate that we would just draft another quarterback. And
15:43
Speaker 1: I'm in the exact same position that we were just
15:45
Speaker 1: in this past off season. So as an Eagles face,
15:48
Speaker 1: I'm really hoping to either take the tight end for
15:50
Speaker 1: Florida Pits or they draft one of these receivers. Um.
15:54
Speaker 1: Everyone has different rankings and they have different ways looking
15:56
Speaker 1: at it. Jamaar Chase incredibly, he took the season off.
15:59
Speaker 1: He's like twenty years old from l s U. The
16:01
Speaker 1: kids are freak. But I just want what I know
16:04
Speaker 1: is good, and that's Smith from Alabama. The kid won
16:06
Speaker 1: the Heisman and he has that quality that's uncoachable, unteachable
16:11
Speaker 1: either born whether or not, and that's just scoring the
16:13
Speaker 1: kick and just get to the end zone and he
16:15
Speaker 1: gets in the open field. I know it's the same
16:17
Speaker 1: thing with Jerry Rice. I rememb really talked about Jerry
16:19
Speaker 1: Rice not fast Comana College. This guy won't burn you.
16:22
Speaker 1: You watch that old game film when he gets the
16:23
Speaker 1: ball in his sayings, Jerry Rice wud burn people back.
16:25
Speaker 1: And then I think it's the same thing with Smith.
16:27
Speaker 1: He's just an underrated guy. So an Eagles fan, I
16:30
Speaker 1: know how he's gonna screw it up somewhere because he's
16:32
Speaker 1: the worst general match. But I'm praying he just takes
16:35
Speaker 1: one of these weapons with the pick, the sixth pick,
16:38
Speaker 1: are you uh? And this is a good question for
16:40
Speaker 1: Samantha and from Matthew. Let's start with you, Samantha sticking
16:44
Speaker 1: on the Eagles for a second, Like how much of
16:47
Speaker 1: a believer can you be in Jalen Hurts based on
16:51
Speaker 1: what he did and should he be the quarterback that
16:55
Speaker 1: should be leading the Eagles when we get into the season.
16:58
Speaker 1: I do think he should be the quarter going to
17:00
Speaker 1: the season. I think he showed a lot of really
17:03
Speaker 1: great things, some rookie mistakes, some points, and definitely some
17:08
Speaker 1: moments where you could see where he could improve, But
17:12
Speaker 1: especially for fantasy purposes, I'm very excited for him. He
17:16
Speaker 1: was a rock star. I think he was a league
17:18
Speaker 1: winner for some people. Absolutely, so he definitely offers a
17:22
Speaker 1: lot of upside and I would love, um, like you said, Simon,
17:24
Speaker 1: if they went with like Pits or something like that.
17:26
Speaker 1: I think, especially with like their system being pretty tight
17:29
Speaker 1: end friendly, I would love to see that that fit there.
17:33
Speaker 1: Free minute. Know you got something to say and you're
17:34
Speaker 1: dying to jump in. Yeah, absolutely, I agree with Samantha
17:38
Speaker 1: out of that was because of the rushing ability that
17:40
Speaker 1: he has. I don't think that's going anywhere. He has
17:43
Speaker 1: some Lamar Jackson type of capabilities. Uh, maybe he takes
17:46
Speaker 1: a step forward. I bet him at a hundred to
17:49
Speaker 1: one to be the m v P that's now sixty
17:52
Speaker 1: six to one at DraftKings. Probably not gonna happen, but
17:56
Speaker 1: I mean I still I like the odds in a
17:57
Speaker 1: hundred to one. And in terms of who they should aft, yeah,
18:00
Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts. He makes a lot of sense in that
18:02
Speaker 1: too tight end system. But then you could also go
18:05
Speaker 1: with whatever of those wide receivers. They certainly need help
18:08
Speaker 1: at the position, but mar Chase is the guy I
18:10
Speaker 1: prefer a little bit more. But if you went with
18:12
Speaker 1: Davontae Smith, I want to think you were making a mistake.
18:15
Speaker 1: But they do need to get Jalen Hurts some receiving weapons.
18:19
Speaker 1: Simon's head just perked up when you said you bet
18:22
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts it a hundred of one to win the
18:24
Speaker 1: m v P. I'm right there with him. I bet
18:27
Speaker 1: it too, But like like you just said, it was
18:30
Speaker 1: pure value, But I don't have any real faith in it.
18:33
Speaker 1: Where I saw just like Samantha, I saw flashes too,
18:36
Speaker 1: but also saw a guy that didn't do well the
18:39
Speaker 1: second half adjustments. He panics, he looks down, and he
18:42
Speaker 1: looks down too quick and pulls a Bundan, pulls the
18:44
Speaker 1: ball down, runs aloud. So it's like you just said,
18:47
Speaker 1: were betting on a second year quarterback that's gonna be
18:49
Speaker 1: a new offensive scheme. It's worth the upside. But faith
18:52
Speaker 1: in this Eagles team, uh none. I go through all
18:55
Speaker 1: the numbers. We have so many holes. So if if
18:58
Speaker 1: he can get this team to eleven and five, I've
19:00
Speaker 1: told them for I honestly do think you could win
19:02
Speaker 1: m VP of this upcoming season. Well, look, all of
19:05
Speaker 1: a sudden, the NFC East as as a conference, as
19:07
Speaker 1: a division is truly fascinating because you've got the Eagles,
19:13
Speaker 1: new system, new coach, quarterback who was going to be
19:16
Speaker 1: in a second year. You don't know what's going to
19:18
Speaker 1: be happening there. You've got the Cowboys who resigned Dak
19:21
Speaker 1: Prescott and gave him all the money, so now they
19:25
Speaker 1: have nothing to build with the defense that was already
19:29
Speaker 1: just atrociously bad. Um. Then you've got the Giants, and
19:33
Speaker 1: I want to get to the Kenny Galaday signing and say,
19:36
Speaker 1: Kawon Barkley coming back, and then and they had a
19:40
Speaker 1: really good defense, and they also, like they resigned Leonard
19:43
Speaker 1: Williams and gave him a whole bag of money. So
19:45
Speaker 1: and then you got Washington, which has probably the best
19:48
Speaker 1: front for in the NFL, and they signed a quarterback
19:51
Speaker 1: who to me, like you said, Freeman, has enough upside
19:55
Speaker 1: to make you excited about the division. I'm not really
19:57
Speaker 1: thrilled about. My future is better than them anymore. But
20:00
Speaker 1: give me a full handicap. Starting with you, Simon On,
20:04
Speaker 1: the NFC East Division adds as you see them right now,
20:09
Speaker 1: you don't have to tell me, like who the best
20:10
Speaker 1: value is, tell me who you think is most likely
20:12
Speaker 1: to win the division. I was right there with him,
20:14
Speaker 1: Like I liked Washington coming into it. I just thought
20:17
Speaker 1: I'd think could just find an upgrade A QB and
20:20
Speaker 1: I don't have the greatest opinion Fits, but I think
20:22
Speaker 1: we all agree it's he's been on thirty different teams NFL,
20:25
Speaker 1: there's only thirty two teams, so he's definitely a journeyman.
20:30
Speaker 1: Fits magic magic magic. But from looking at a value
20:35
Speaker 1: perspective that that is tough to say, because like remember
20:38
Speaker 1: last year, you wanted to do the Giants and I
20:39
Speaker 1: talked to you off of it because I just said,
20:41
Speaker 1: we don't trust Daniel Jones. And and once again they've
20:45
Speaker 1: made all these moves. That's another team. They've spent a
20:46
Speaker 1: lot of money and didn't really do anything for any
20:50
Speaker 1: of us, not really, because it's still Daniel Jones. So
20:53
Speaker 1: for upside, it's gonna be that with the Giants, where
20:56
Speaker 1: if he can somehow figure it out, that team has
20:58
Speaker 1: so many pieces around them that he should be better
21:01
Speaker 1: and that offense should be better, especially with say Kwan
21:03
Speaker 1: back now they have Gallada. But man, I can't tell
21:06
Speaker 1: people listen to put their money on him. I rather
21:08
Speaker 1: put the money on like like matt was saying, the
21:10
Speaker 1: Washington defense. That's the most to me, that's the best
21:13
Speaker 1: thing of this entire division is that defense. I think
21:15
Speaker 1: they're better than Dallas's offense. So for me, when I'm
21:17
Speaker 1: just looking at that for this division, I still feel
21:20
Speaker 1: more more comfortable bet in Washington. I don't know, man,
21:23
Speaker 1: I guess the question, Samantha. The question is with Kenny Golladay,
21:29
Speaker 1: with say Kwan Barkley back, all of a sudden, do
21:33
Speaker 1: we end up having more faith in Daniel Jones. Not really.
21:37
Speaker 1: I would say, just to the original question, I would
21:39
Speaker 1: say that I think Washington is the more complete team.
21:43
Speaker 1: They seem to have more of the pieces there. And
21:45
Speaker 1: like Matthew mentioned about what the rotating cast of quarterbacks
21:50
Speaker 1: Kyle Allen and Doing Haskins and a lot of that,
21:53
Speaker 1: I think a lot of that, like dysfunction and just
21:56
Speaker 1: legacy kind of stuff about Washington makes them a really
22:00
Speaker 1: good value pick two in general, because people tend to
22:02
Speaker 1: undervalue the team itself in terms of the giants. I mean,
22:08
Speaker 1: I think that Mattie and I are both on the
22:11
Speaker 1: same page about the Kenny Golladay signing, especially from a
22:14
Speaker 1: fantasy perspective, just because we have very little faith in Jones.
22:17
Speaker 1: I think that I was actually one of the people
22:20
Speaker 1: that was high on him going into the season. I
22:22
Speaker 1: thought he would make that year to leap and it
22:24
Speaker 1: seems like he took a huge, huge step back. And
22:28
Speaker 1: you know, it doesn't help that the Giants o line
22:31
Speaker 1: allowed I think the thirty first the second most sacks
22:34
Speaker 1: in the NFL UM. I think it's like three point
22:36
Speaker 1: one sacks per games. So he's got no protection. And
22:41
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is a f E F best. He's kind
22:43
Speaker 1: of like a I think he's in like a Drew
22:45
Speaker 1: Lock type position this year where they're surrounding him with
22:47
Speaker 1: weapons and like make or break, like he got Kenny
22:51
Speaker 1: Golladay last year, Drew Lock gut Jerry Judy and a
22:54
Speaker 1: number of other weapons, and he still wasn't good. So
22:57
Speaker 1: I kind of don't think that any of these signings
23:00
Speaker 1: are going to make the Giants um a winning team
23:03
Speaker 1: this season. Friedman, why don't we have any faith in
23:07
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones? I get that everyone's saying they don't, but
23:10
Speaker 1: why not, Like, why can't he get better with better weapons.
23:13
Speaker 1: Aren't there aren't there examples of quarterbacks who have gotten
23:17
Speaker 1: better with better weapons? Answer the first question first. I'm
23:23
Speaker 1: not going to answer the first question first, and the
23:25
Speaker 1: hope of getting fired. There are quarterbacks who have progressed,
23:30
Speaker 1: and we saw it last year with Josh Allen. I
23:33
Speaker 1: think you know, the big difference is that as great
23:36
Speaker 1: as Kenny Golladay is, Stephen Diggs is a different type
23:41
Speaker 1: of receiver who can win with separation, and when a
23:44
Speaker 1: guy is open downfielled, it's a lot easier to hit
23:48
Speaker 1: him and make it look like a good throw Versus
23:50
Speaker 1: Kenny Golladay, who's a contested catch artist. It's a little
23:53
Speaker 1: bit hard for a player like that to elevate a quarterback. Uh.
23:58
Speaker 1: And plus Josh Allen, it's a rarity. Uh. It's not
24:01
Speaker 1: often that a guy is, you know, pretty subpar his
24:05
Speaker 1: first couple of seasons. It really relies a lot on
24:08
Speaker 1: his legs. And then in your three transitions into a
24:11
Speaker 1: guy who can really pass it, pass it with accuracy,
24:14
Speaker 1: pass it at all layers of the field, and all
24:16
Speaker 1: of a sudden your offense changes. On top of that,
24:19
Speaker 1: I'll just say I don't want to have anything to
24:22
Speaker 1: do with a quarterback who asked to count on Jason
24:24
Speaker 1: Garrett to develop. It happened with Tony Romo, but I
24:28
Speaker 1: think that's more Romo and less Jason Garrett. So, uh,
24:32
Speaker 1: if you're asking me to back a team that has
24:34
Speaker 1: Jason Garrett is the offensive coordinator, there is no way
24:38
Speaker 1: I'm going to do it unless that team is getting
24:40
Speaker 1: like plus eight hundred odds or something like that. So absolutely,
24:44
Speaker 1: I'm with Samantha. I'm hands off on Daniel Jones, and
24:46
Speaker 1: from a fantasy perspective, Kenney Golliday, although I have a
24:49
Speaker 1: high opinion of him, I think the situation that he's
24:52
Speaker 1: in means that right now he has not much upside
24:56
Speaker 1: and quite a bit downside. I think him I I
25:01
Speaker 1: said all last year that I thought Daniel Jones was
25:06
Speaker 1: getting too much credit coming into the year. He is
25:10
Speaker 1: not a good quarterback and had not developed, and for
25:13
Speaker 1: some reason, like Mitch Trubisky, who was much much better
25:17
Speaker 1: in his second year, gets slammed for being a total bust.
25:22
Speaker 1: Whereas everyone kept saying Daniel Jones, Daniel Jones, Daniel Jones,
25:25
Speaker 1: consider you know, continues to get the upside and the
25:28
Speaker 1: benefit of the doubt. Um, But what are you saying?
25:33
Speaker 1: What are you seeing in Daniel Jones that makes you
25:35
Speaker 1: think he cannot develop? It can't be like Tony Romo
25:40
Speaker 1: was the anomaly with Jason Garrett. It can't be that
25:43
Speaker 1: Stefon Diggs was the anomaly with Josh Allen. Like those
25:47
Speaker 1: are just two anomalies. Like what is it specifically about Jones?
25:52
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not a quarterback and grew, so my
25:54
Speaker 1: opinion on sort of watching him means almost nothing. But
25:58
Speaker 1: I'll just say it doesn't team as if he actually
26:02
Speaker 1: is good at progressing from his first read to his
26:05
Speaker 1: second and third reads. So if the obvious immediate schemed
26:09
Speaker 1: throw is not there, he's not good at progressing to
26:14
Speaker 1: the next guy he should be throwing to or moving
26:17
Speaker 1: out of the pocket and creating something out of nothing,
26:21
Speaker 1: and behind an offensive line that isn't giving him good protection.
26:25
Speaker 1: It's really necessary for him to be able to create
26:28
Speaker 1: a little bit more than your average passer. So the
26:32
Speaker 1: combination of inability to move from first read to second
26:35
Speaker 1: read an inability to create behind an offensive line that
26:38
Speaker 1: isn't giving him the protection that a quarterback needs, that
26:42
Speaker 1: to me, signals an inability to progress. Go ahead. I
26:48
Speaker 1: was gonna say, appraise mechanics. It's it's basically everything you
26:51
Speaker 1: just said. Any of his small hands that was a
26:53
Speaker 1: not coming in onto the ear. We've seen it. He
26:55
Speaker 1: fumbles a lot when he gets bodies and around him.
26:57
Speaker 1: So right now his regression has been his body being
27:00
Speaker 1: underneath him and he sets his feet. The throw doesn't
27:02
Speaker 1: set him right. He doesn't keep his body in oneath him.
27:04
Speaker 1: Today he's putting all his weight into his throat. So
27:07
Speaker 1: he's just like you guys just said, he's not progressed
27:11
Speaker 1: at all. And he's one of those guys where I
27:12
Speaker 1: just don't have faith and that's why, like I'm not
27:14
Speaker 1: betting on him, and who knows. Like he just said,
27:17
Speaker 1: Josh Allen had that crazy year last year, he turned
27:19
Speaker 1: it around. I talked about this upcoming season, I'm gonna
27:21
Speaker 1: fade Josh Allen because you just know there's anna reaggression.
27:24
Speaker 1: Thatt's just the NFL teams figure out. We always talked
27:28
Speaker 1: about there's three to four great quarterbacks in any given
27:30
Speaker 1: time in the league. Like it takes so much to
27:32
Speaker 1: be great in this league. So for me, I always
27:35
Speaker 1: look for those positions of fading these quarterbacks after a
27:37
Speaker 1: great years. So like we saw last year with Jimmy
27:39
Speaker 1: Garoppolo the forty nine, we faded them last year. They
27:42
Speaker 1: just weren't the same team and it worked out. So
27:44
Speaker 1: that's one of those the NFL just so much turnover
27:47
Speaker 1: that with Daniel Jones, I could see him not being
27:49
Speaker 1: good this year, and just like Mitchell be let go
27:51
Speaker 1: after the season. One more thing to to add on
27:54
Speaker 1: to this. What you saw him with Josh Allen in
27:56
Speaker 1: progression from year one to year two was that he
27:58
Speaker 1: actually did improve as a passer in terms of his
28:01
Speaker 1: ability to move the ball down the field, so he
28:03
Speaker 1: moved from five point four to six point seven adjusted
28:06
Speaker 1: yards per attempt from year one to year two. With
28:09
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, he actually regressed last year, which moving from
28:12
Speaker 1: year one to year two is a massive red flag.
28:15
Speaker 1: Six point five adjusted yards per tempt to six point one.
28:18
Speaker 1: It's very rare for a guy to get significantly worse
28:22
Speaker 1: than year two and then take a big step forward
28:24
Speaker 1: in year three. Simon, we debated betting the Giants and
28:30
Speaker 1: pull the trigger on the Giants. I feel like we
28:32
Speaker 1: did that last year seventy five times. That's just because
28:38
Speaker 1: of value though, because we're just talking about no one likes.
28:41
Speaker 1: No one liked Daniel Jones. So I wasn't telling you
28:43
Speaker 1: to do that week two or three, But by week
28:46
Speaker 1: ten eleven, that's what we did. Baby. The same thing
28:48
Speaker 1: with the Jets. You were so mad at me, and
28:50
Speaker 1: I was telling you we have to take the Jets.
28:51
Speaker 1: It's like, this is the time they can't. They're not
28:54
Speaker 1: gonna go oh in sixteen against the spread. We have
28:56
Speaker 1: to get on the Jets eventually. So it's one of
28:58
Speaker 1: those I'll talk people right here all off season. I'm
29:00
Speaker 1: gonna shoot on a lot of teams often that's about
29:04
Speaker 1: the teams I've bet on. That's just how I make
29:05
Speaker 1: my living. So people get so upset about it. That's
29:08
Speaker 1: where you find value. We're in bad teams. So yeah,
29:11
Speaker 1: we're gonna be betting on the Giants this up coming season,
29:13
Speaker 1: but we're gonna be fading them early on for sure.
29:16
Speaker 1: By the way, by the way, I totally remember last
29:20
Speaker 1: week of the season. We are desperately needing the Giants
29:24
Speaker 1: against the Cowboys and it is a terrible, terrible game
29:28
Speaker 1: and it's a gray, sleety day in Connecticut. I finally
29:32
Speaker 1: get one of my kids out of the house, take
29:34
Speaker 1: them to like some small crappy ski mountain with a buddy,
29:38
Speaker 1: And I'm sitting in the parking lot because it's too
29:40
Speaker 1: far away to go home and come back. And I
29:43
Speaker 1: know that they're gonna want to do this for about
29:44
Speaker 1: fifteen minutes, so I get them out there. I'm sitting
29:47
Speaker 1: in a parking lot, listening to the radio and like
29:50
Speaker 1: knowing that the Giants just need to kneel down to
29:55
Speaker 1: end the game and us to win our bet and
29:57
Speaker 1: stay in the money for DraftKings. Of course they fumbled
30:00
Speaker 1: the ball and then recover it like they have to
30:02
Speaker 1: give us the heart attack and the last player of
30:04
Speaker 1: the game. Um, all right, I want to switch it up.
30:07
Speaker 1: I want to go to a different team because another
30:08
Speaker 1: team that I have a big futures bet on, the
30:13
Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders, Samantha. The Las Vegas Raiders have signed
30:20
Speaker 1: who do they sign? Kenyan Drake as a backup running back?
30:25
Speaker 1: So what is that saying about Josh Jacobs right now?
30:28
Speaker 1: They signed John Brown as a receiver. How many more
30:33
Speaker 1: down the field speed receivers who probably aren't that great
30:36
Speaker 1: at running roots do they need? Why does John Gruden
30:40
Speaker 1: get to keep his job forever and ever and ever
30:43
Speaker 1: as if these are good ideas. And they also didn't
30:46
Speaker 1: they trade away like half their offensive line of the Patriots,
30:48
Speaker 1: So like, tell me what am I supposed to think
30:51
Speaker 1: about the Raiders? Where is the value in terms of player,
30:54
Speaker 1: in terms of thinking about fantasy? It's a lot of questions.
30:57
Speaker 1: Something we're at you, but you know you're director event
30:59
Speaker 1: a X in a form of life, so you know,
31:01
Speaker 1: fucking analyze the question. That's funny. Uh So, Yeah, I
31:05
Speaker 1: mean I think there's definitely cause for concern with the
31:08
Speaker 1: offensive line. Those are some pretty major losses for them,
31:12
Speaker 1: and that obviously has huge downstream effects to a lot
31:16
Speaker 1: of different parts of the game. And it's been interesting
31:18
Speaker 1: to see how they've handled free agency going after a
31:21
Speaker 1: running back when they seem to have an RB one. Um.
31:25
Speaker 1: You know, Josh Jacobs has his moments, but he still
31:28
Speaker 1: finishes a thousand yard rusher, finish his RB four teen
31:30
Speaker 1: for for fantasy. So getting Drake seems very strange to me. Um.
31:35
Speaker 1: And then yeah, getting another stretch the field type guy
31:38
Speaker 1: when you have Derek Carr as your quarterback, A lot
31:42
Speaker 1: of that doesn't seem to add up, especially when you
31:44
Speaker 1: don't have an offensive line, so I really don't know
31:47
Speaker 1: like what to think of them as a team. But
31:49
Speaker 1: it doesn't seem like a good situation for betting or fantasy.
31:53
Speaker 1: Just it just feels like until they make the right additions, Uh,
31:58
Speaker 1: you know it, these kind of don't really matter that much,
32:01
Speaker 1: Um I don't. I obviously hate the signing the Drake
32:03
Speaker 1: and Josh team out of the out of the backfield now.
32:08
Speaker 1: I think that that really hurts Josh's Josh Jacob's value
32:12
Speaker 1: for fantasy. And you know, Kenyan Drake could I think
32:16
Speaker 1: we went into last season thinking that he was gonna
32:18
Speaker 1: be like low end RB one and obviously had taken
32:21
Speaker 1: a huge, huge dive from there. So I'm pretty much
32:25
Speaker 1: staying away from those two guys. I didn't hear anything
32:28
Speaker 1: you said after you said that's funny because no one
32:30
Speaker 1: ever gives me credit for that. Simon is shaking his head,
32:34
Speaker 1: he knows how much that I appreciate that. You have
32:37
Speaker 1: definitely now have longer odds to get fired. Friedman Um
32:42
Speaker 1: work on it. How How like if you're Josh Jacobs,
32:46
Speaker 1: how mad and frustrated are you right now? Well, one, Chad,
32:51
Speaker 1: you should be fired for saying roots instead of routes. Okay,
32:54
Speaker 1: that's that's number one. To Josh Jacobs, well, let's yeah,
32:57
Speaker 1: let's let's talk about it. He has to be serious.
33:00
Speaker 1: It's great that the team drafted him in the first
33:03
Speaker 1: round a couple of years ago, and from the fantasy perspective,
33:06
Speaker 1: you think, okay, a a big back from Alabama who's
33:09
Speaker 1: twenty one years old, who was drafted in the first round.
33:12
Speaker 1: This guy is dynasty gold. And then they never use
33:16
Speaker 1: him as a receiver. He's good enough as a runner,
33:19
Speaker 1: but they don't use him enough as a receiver. And
33:21
Speaker 1: for fantasy it's it's poison for a running back not
33:25
Speaker 1: to be used in the receiving game. So you know,
33:27
Speaker 1: going where he is right now in fantasy drafts, middle
33:31
Speaker 1: of round three, that's okay, but his upside is significantly capped,
33:35
Speaker 1: and really, you do want upside when you're going for fantasy.
33:38
Speaker 1: I should say, though, that as as bad as this
33:41
Speaker 1: team looks, I do see some upside in John Brown
33:45
Speaker 1: because he's available, like in the twenty second round, and
33:48
Speaker 1: he's the like the loan professional receiver on this team.
33:52
Speaker 1: He actually like what Nelson Aghalore was last year, and
33:55
Speaker 1: he was a surprise fantasy asset. John Brown actually might
33:59
Speaker 1: be the number one wide receiver on this team, and
34:02
Speaker 1: to be able to get him as the wide receiver
34:04
Speaker 1: seventy five when in fantasy he could finish is maybe
34:08
Speaker 1: a low end wide receiver three. I think that's significant value.
34:12
Speaker 1: It's not sexy, but those are the types of picks,
34:14
Speaker 1: especially in bestball leagues, that can really pay off something.
34:18
Speaker 1: I know you have an opinion on what the Raiders
34:19
Speaker 1: have been doing right now. Yeah, and just adds up
34:24
Speaker 1: chat if I ever chuckle and say that's funny, in
34:26
Speaker 1: my mind, I'm hoping. I hope this guy jumps off
34:28
Speaker 1: a bridge. It's never funny if someone says that's funny,
34:30
Speaker 1: you know what I mean, it's that's funny. Um, she's
34:35
Speaker 1: just that, yeah exactly. Um Yeah, I don't know, man,
34:40
Speaker 1: this I feel like I just wasted two thousand dollars.
34:43
Speaker 1: This team is now winning a Super Bowl. They got
34:45
Speaker 1: rid of all their offensive linemen. I still love the offense,
34:48
Speaker 1: but I don't know they're running back. Having two running
34:51
Speaker 1: backs it's such an ancient dinosaurs sign. So it's right
34:54
Speaker 1: up Grooting and Maddox Alley where it's like, Okay, now
34:57
Speaker 1: you guys have two good running backs and shake ups
35:00
Speaker 1: I think way better Thanking and Drakes, So I'm open.
35:04
Speaker 1: It's one of those things where it's just adding assets
35:06
Speaker 1: that are I still hope they're trading for Deshaun Watson.
35:10
Speaker 1: I mean they have car now, they have a good
35:12
Speaker 1: running back. They can trade to Houston, which Houston loves.
35:15
Speaker 1: So I don't really know that. It kind of feels
35:18
Speaker 1: like our our bet might be kind of dead there,
35:20
Speaker 1: just because if you don't have an offensive line, you
35:22
Speaker 1: can have all the weapons in the world. What's Derek
35:25
Speaker 1: are gonna do? Is not how many times? So it's
35:26
Speaker 1: just it's just been a weird offseason for someone that's
35:29
Speaker 1: a big backer of Oakland. Well, it feels like all
35:32
Speaker 1: of our futures bets are going by the wayside. Washington
35:35
Speaker 1: is not working out, Las Vegas is gonna workout. We
35:41
Speaker 1: still have the Colts in Miami. Those are fun ones
35:43
Speaker 1: that might last. I forgot to bet the Cults. I
35:46
Speaker 1: still got to get that. But I did get the Chargers.
35:51
Speaker 1: I don't hate it. They they've been pretty quiet um
35:54
Speaker 1: with everything going on. It's gonna be interesting to see
35:57
Speaker 1: what this offense is gonna look like. But that's just
36:00
Speaker 1: one of the teams. I it's hard for me to
36:03
Speaker 1: have faith in them, just in the fact that Herbert
36:07
Speaker 1: was incredible last year and he was so good that
36:10
Speaker 1: he's not going to really sneak up on anyone of
36:11
Speaker 1: this cup will coming season. So I got high hopes
36:14
Speaker 1: for him. I liked them a lot, but it's just
36:17
Speaker 1: one of the teams. I'm just not gonna They're one
36:19
Speaker 1: of the rare teams that if they weren't the Chargers,
36:22
Speaker 1: say this was, uh, the Eagles or the Giants, and
36:25
Speaker 1: they had the same exact quarterback, I probably would but
36:27
Speaker 1: a future on them. But the fact that it's the Chargers,
36:30
Speaker 1: I'm not doing it. They're just inherently curse. So when
36:33
Speaker 1: I when I when they make the playoffs the following year,
36:35
Speaker 1: then I'll start betting them to win Super Bowls. All right,
36:39
Speaker 1: I have I have one last question for each of
36:40
Speaker 1: you that is right up your alley, and then we're
36:42
Speaker 1: gonna get to a special opening. We're going to do
36:46
Speaker 1: another opening with Simon Hunter. I'm not sure what we're
36:48
Speaker 1: gonna open yet. Is it going to be a top Shot,
36:50
Speaker 1: Is it going to be the package that Simon hunter
36:53
Speaker 1: got from. He doesn't know who, but there's gonna be
36:56
Speaker 1: an opening the first question, Simon, it's going into you
37:00
Speaker 1: and I'll throw it back to the beginning. After all
37:02
Speaker 1: this free agency, the team you most regret betting a
37:06
Speaker 1: futuron or the team you are least likely to better
37:10
Speaker 1: future on. Now that some of the free agency signings
37:12
Speaker 1: have happened, it's kind of the same where it's the Colts.
37:17
Speaker 1: I had really high hopes the cultu are going to
37:19
Speaker 1: make a lot of moves here. They had a lot
37:20
Speaker 1: of salary cap and I know their generative manager is
37:24
Speaker 1: really smart and he kind of likes to wait and
37:26
Speaker 1: see what's left over and get the best value for
37:28
Speaker 1: like the bank for his book. But I just like
37:31
Speaker 1: there's a lot of players there that went on discount
37:33
Speaker 1: the certain teams that like, I don't know why the
37:35
Speaker 1: Colts and reach out and try to fill these holes.
37:37
Speaker 1: Um So for me, yeah, I would say it's the
37:41
Speaker 1: Colds that it's the team. I'm not gonna, like you said,
37:43
Speaker 1: you're gonna bet them again. I don't know. Now I
37:46
Speaker 1: might I might hold off on that and see what
37:47
Speaker 1: if they can add people free agency or what they
37:49
Speaker 1: do in the draft. But ums, as far as we
37:52
Speaker 1: go for upside at this point, Um, yeah, that that
37:57
Speaker 1: Oakland's but feels like it's dead to right Spuddy. I
37:59
Speaker 1: I don't know what moves are gonna make, but right
38:02
Speaker 1: now the moves they've made are just the worst ones.
38:04
Speaker 1: I'm a huge, huge fan of offensive line of defensive line,
38:07
Speaker 1: and they have just made their own line a lot weaker.
38:10
Speaker 1: So for me, that the worst one has to be s.
38:13
Speaker 1: I mean, you're like thirty years old and you still
38:15
Speaker 1: call the Raiders Oakland not Las Vegas. Matthew Freedman, I'm
38:21
Speaker 1: gonna I'm gonna throw one at you that is right
38:24
Speaker 1: up your alley. With what's happened during free agency, which
38:29
Speaker 1: team with the right draft pick is most poised to
38:36
Speaker 1: make a move on the Super Bowl Futures board? I
38:43
Speaker 1: would say the Panthers. And part of it is that
38:46
Speaker 1: they haven't done anything stupid in free agency. They haven't
38:50
Speaker 1: traded away a lot of their ability to make moves
38:54
Speaker 1: in the draft. Uh, it's hard to know what's gonna
38:57
Speaker 1: happen with Deshaun Watson with his legal situation, but it
39:00
Speaker 1: if the Panthers could get a quarterback, they're right in it.
39:04
Speaker 1: I think defensively they're going to improve. They spit all
39:08
Speaker 1: seven of their draft picks last year on defense, and
39:11
Speaker 1: it was markedly better last year. And it was it
39:13
Speaker 1: was good in a bend, but don't break fashion. If
39:17
Speaker 1: it could continue to improve, and then of course, if
39:20
Speaker 1: they can get a quarterback, that offense could really take off.
39:24
Speaker 1: And that offense was able to move the ball lash year,
39:26
Speaker 1: they just weren't able to score many points. And so
39:29
Speaker 1: with the ability to move the ball, eventually points will come.
39:32
Speaker 1: If they can get a better passer. Man, I think
39:35
Speaker 1: they move from you know, forty or fifty to one
39:38
Speaker 1: in the market too closer to thirty to one. I
39:41
Speaker 1: grabbed them before before free agency shortly after the draft
39:45
Speaker 1: at sixty six to one. I really like the value
39:48
Speaker 1: that I've had on them so far. I think a
39:50
Speaker 1: lot of it is just not making mistakes in free
39:52
Speaker 1: agency and by staying out of it and keeping their
39:56
Speaker 1: ability to sign more players, uh, and then to make
39:59
Speaker 1: moves in the draft. I think they are positioned. Oh
40:03
Speaker 1: my god, I I I bet on the Panthers future
40:06
Speaker 1: odds too. That's amazing. Simon did too. I think, yeah,
40:11
Speaker 1: there you go. That's all in it all right, Samantha.
40:15
Speaker 1: For you, given everything that we've talked about all of
40:19
Speaker 1: the free agency signings, what is who is the one
40:22
Speaker 1: player you're looking at that, given their new environment, you
40:27
Speaker 1: think is primed to break out and would be sort
40:31
Speaker 1: of your best sleeper pick as we speak for fantasy.
40:36
Speaker 1: Have been so so many good moves for fantasy, Like,
40:39
Speaker 1: I feel like there have been a lot of moves,
40:41
Speaker 1: but not ones that have been super fantasy friendly. I
40:45
Speaker 1: would say I one of those signings I do like
40:47
Speaker 1: is well Fallered to the Dolphins. I think he is
40:49
Speaker 1: a type of like stretched the field deep threat that
40:52
Speaker 1: could really help. I mean, I think the verdict is
40:55
Speaker 1: very still much out on to a I think he's
40:58
Speaker 1: a very polarizing type topic right now. So it's kind
41:02
Speaker 1: of a lot of that will depend on kind of
41:04
Speaker 1: the progression that we see him taken to year two.
41:08
Speaker 1: But I think that he could definitely improve this season. Obviously,
41:14
Speaker 1: he missed a lot of last season with the PD stuff.
41:16
Speaker 1: Him is the first game of this season, but I
41:19
Speaker 1: think he could certainly finish in that low end wide
41:22
Speaker 1: receiver one territory. If two is also progressive as well,
41:27
Speaker 1: I don't mind that I feel like he was the
41:29
Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson security blanket. And then of course he's always
41:33
Speaker 1: getting injured and always you know, getting suspended or whatever
41:35
Speaker 1: the case may be. And when you get him into
41:38
Speaker 1: a new system with another young quarterback and he's a
41:41
Speaker 1: strong weapon to get down the field, I like it.
41:44
Speaker 1: I like it a lot. Samantha Prividi, Matthew Friedman, thank
41:48
Speaker 1: you for joining the favorites from the Volume and podcast Network. Simon,
41:54
Speaker 1: we gotta open some stuff, man. Alright, folks, listen, there
41:58
Speaker 1: is nothing more excited ben opening packs. And we got
42:03
Speaker 1: Top Shot. We got another Top Shot pack. This time,
42:06
Speaker 1: Simon went all in. Simon, you went all in all
42:09
Speaker 1: Star game Top Shot. I'm kind of out of the
42:12
Speaker 1: Top Shot game now, Like I'm tired of the glitches.
42:15
Speaker 1: I'm tired of not being able to so anything. I'm
42:17
Speaker 1: tired of the beta. I'm tired of like how hard
42:19
Speaker 1: it is to get a pack. Explain to me what
42:22
Speaker 1: you did and what we're looking at. Well, look at
42:25
Speaker 1: that you're just like all the other people online. And
42:27
Speaker 1: I keep looking at the perspective that it's a free
42:29
Speaker 1: lottery ticket and if you don't hit it, you don't
42:32
Speaker 1: spend any money. So it's one of those are people
42:34
Speaker 1: are complaining right now there's thre hundred thousand people in line,
42:37
Speaker 1: and they feel like it's unfair. It's gonna keep blowing up,
42:40
Speaker 1: but there's gonna be millions and millions of people are
42:41
Speaker 1: gonna be in line to get these really small amount
42:43
Speaker 1: of packs. So we've seen the market going down. I
42:45
Speaker 1: think people are the same intuit of you. They're kind
42:47
Speaker 1: of sick of it. They just want to pull their
42:49
Speaker 1: money off the site. So again, these things are gonna
42:51
Speaker 1: go in waves. That's why I'm just gonna hold my
42:53
Speaker 1: cards because this one's probably the most expensive one I pay.
42:56
Speaker 1: I think it was two nine for the pack. I
42:59
Speaker 1: remember what I know. There's an All Star. There might
43:01
Speaker 1: be seven other moments in it. So obviously we're open
43:03
Speaker 1: for a Lebron or Steph Carry or something along those lines.
43:07
Speaker 1: So I'm pretty pretty excited to find about open up
43:10
Speaker 1: the pack. Let's open it. It's so exciting when you
43:13
Speaker 1: get like the burst and the rotation. We're clicking to
43:17
Speaker 1: reveal right now, just so people know what's happening. I'm
43:20
Speaker 1: seeing up the first one, my guy kick number two.
43:30
Speaker 1: You got a comment, we got a Max Cleber Jesus
43:37
Speaker 1: not going well for you so far, Thank you cha.
43:42
Speaker 1: We got a jump shot from Cole anth Anthony numbers
43:48
Speaker 1: like Cole Anthony was on the path to being like
43:50
Speaker 1: having a Rookie of the Year chance, and it's kind
43:52
Speaker 1: of falling off the map here Team Durant All Stars. Holy,
44:00
Speaker 1: that's a nice pool, dude. He's probably like Kauahi Leonard
44:05
Speaker 1: from the Star Game. Always hope it's a dunk, but
44:08
Speaker 1: I'll take a three pointer from Kauai. It's just the
44:10
Speaker 1: name right, hoping for Lebron Common Steel. I'm a Sixers
44:18
Speaker 1: fans I love, and you're a Sixers fans, so that's
44:20
Speaker 1: who they headline at a Steel. But it's really a dunk. Now, Well,
44:25
Speaker 1: I got my money back. Here we go, dude, are
44:28
Speaker 1: you kidding me? Now? I got my money back. Dunk
44:33
Speaker 1: my money back easy on the Kauai. Kauai is probably
44:35
Speaker 1: going for like four or nine. But again, I'm not
44:38
Speaker 1: gonna stell. You'll totally get it back. Lay up from
44:44
Speaker 1: Ullo Boynzo. There's another Philly boy for you, a good
44:49
Speaker 1: old Nova kid. Yeah. So not the best comments, but
44:52
Speaker 1: with we'll take it with Kauai yeah, look, the Kauai
44:57
Speaker 1: is a winner. It's just like and the market is
44:59
Speaker 1: still sort of on fire, but it just feels like,
45:01
Speaker 1: you know, it had that moment for about two weeks
45:03
Speaker 1: where it's all anybody could talk about. But it was
45:05
Speaker 1: too much broke. People shouldn't be paying sixty bucks for
45:08
Speaker 1: like a common cart. It was like just insanity of pricing. Alright,
45:11
Speaker 1: that's gonna wrap it up. For the favorites on the
45:14
Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network, we had Matthew Friedman, we had Samantha Prividi,
45:19
Speaker 1: we had Simon Hunter, my co host. You can download
45:22
Speaker 1: a Apple podcast, Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. We'll
45:25
Speaker 1: be back on Thursday for the Thunderdome Trivia edition. Until
45:31
Speaker 1: next time, I Love you,