Latest / Toadstool Sports / NBA Cup Semifinals + NHL + NCAAB + NCAAF Bowls Best Bets Saturday 12/13/25

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NBA Cup Semifinals + NHL + NCAAB + NCAAF Bowls Best Bets Saturday 12/13/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached into peak. Actually,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. I'm not I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, Back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slump, praise, the slump, discontinus, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. Toad Steel Sports, Saturday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: twelve thirteen, December thirteenth. Thanks everybody who hung out last night.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: We did the college basketball version of the show last night,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: so I appreciate all the people who hung out for that.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Go check that out. If you missed it, there's still
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: time you can watch. Check out my Instagram. The videos
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: are pretty much up there as well, so you can
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: check that out. We'll reiterate those plays at the end here.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: I just college basketball is just huge on Saturdays now. Man,
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: there's just a lot going on, so I wanted to
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: split it up. I didn't get any sleep, basically, but
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: we're gonna split it up, and then this morning we're
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: gonna talk NHL. There's a huge NHL board. I only
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: have one play in the NHL though, and then we
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: got an NBA, which is just the NBA cop semifinals now,
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: which I should have put in the description to make
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: more people watch, and I'll change the description for it.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna have one play in those games, and
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: then I'm skipping the college football today. Not enough that
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: I like there, but we'll talk about the games, mister Pinsy,
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: Thanks for thanks for hanging out again, thanks for coming back,
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: Thanks for telling your friends, man, getting more people involved,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: get them all in the chat. Hell yeah, we're gonna
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: do like a final market read. Maybe I guess with
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: the college basketball when we're done here as well, and
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: I will see and then I gotta get my Bowl
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: Mania stuff in order, at least. Especially the confidence stuff
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: is really it's really the thing where you have to
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: like look at everything like from the overall perspective and
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: figure out where you want to put each game. You know,
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: the picking individual games that gets the spread and straight
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: up and whatever is easy, but like this, the confidence
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: the thing is just crazy. And I got to beat
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: my friends. Man. I haven't entered any money pools on
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: Splash as far as the bulls. The bulls are just
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: too wild for me, so I'm not doing that. I
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: don't know if I'm gonna do anything with the college
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: football playoffs either NFL maybe because it's more predictable in
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: a way, but a free NFL playoffs. I mean, but
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: I'm still trying to get in the money on Splash
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: for the NFL pick you know, you pick five every week,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: sort of like the Vegas super contests that are out there.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: So I'm still in the money there right now, and
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: I want to finish landing in the money. Be back tonight,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: by the way, for the NFL show. I have a
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: strong opinion on most of the games in the NFL
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: this week, so hopefully I picked the right ones to
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: actually make my plays. I think I've narrowed it down
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: to three, but it's gonna get a little bit crazy, man.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: I feel very strongly about the NFL board this week,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: so hopefully that means they're gonna be good plays, all right. Hockey,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: we have basically a full slate of games here, man,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: I'm if I at five Saturday here it is almost
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: every team is in action. There are only a few
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: teams who aren't. Anaheim is a New Jersey at twelve
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern NHL Network to kick off the afternoon
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: slate here. Pretty good game to kick it off. Both
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: these teams are all right. Anaheim, they're coming in nineteen
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: and eleven, nineteen eleven and one overall good record. Mental,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I think they're not as good as their record looks.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: They did just take a loss to the Islanders. Now
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: they're still on this road trip, they're still they're staying
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: in the New York, New Jersey area here. But they
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: did lose the three game win streak. Because sometimes when
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: you lose a win streak, it we'll hang you over
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit coming into the next game. They should
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: get up for New Jersey, who is also good. Although
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: New Jersey correct me if I'm wrong. I think they're
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: still without Jack Hughes, their best player. But New Jersey,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I mean they've been on this massive skid. They did
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: get a win in there against Ottawa, but in their
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: last game at home after they returned from a two
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: game road trip, they got obliterated by Tampa Bay eight
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: to four. So I think the spot is better for
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: the Devils here. Man Like, when you're staying at home
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: and just coming off a disgusting loss at home, I
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: know Tampa is really good, but you lose by four goals. Basically,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: it's just kind of a rule in hockey, the teams
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: that lost by four more goals more often than not,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: they play better in the next game. So kind of
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: a simple handicap there, But I think New Jersey is
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: the way to be looking in that game if you're
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: gonna play it. The money seems like it agrees. Even
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: though New Jersey dropped form minus one twenty five to
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: minus win eighteen. Sixty four percent of the tickets are
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: on Anaheim, but sixty seven percent of the cash on
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: New Jersey. When it's a complete mismatch between the tickets
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: and the cash like that and they're on opposite sides,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think you usually see those things flip as
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: far as how pregame tracks it. Sometimes maybe, But that
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: game is also coming up in a few hours, so
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: I think the market is kind of settling in on
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: that one. So I think New Jersey is probably the
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: way to look there. Ottawa and Minnesota is sob mentioned
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: last night. He is on the Ottawa side here, and
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I agree with him, but this one is not my
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: one play that I'm gonna throw into my car here. Ottawa,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: as Sab pointed out, they did beat Columbus in their
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: last game to start this road trip, which is, you know,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: not a win. They're really gonna be in a letdown
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: spot afterwards. But they did end a three game losing streak,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: so that's good. So they beat Columbus, good win. Now
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: they get Minnesota. Probably they'll get up for a game
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota because Minnesota has a good record. Now, I
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: don't know if Minnesota is going to be if they're
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: already gonna have Quinn Hughes, I think is the guy
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: that got in their trade. Now, I don't know if
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have him already or if he's not gonna
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: be there for a couple of games. So that's something
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind because if this is Hugh's first
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: game for them, there might be a thing where they
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: have to kind of they have to adjust their lines,
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, and guys have to fill
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: the roles again and whatever, or so could be a
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: little bit of a chemistry issue in that first game
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: with the new player. If that's gonna be this game
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: for Minnesota. Now, I don't know if it is, but
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: I think if it is, it's a little bit of
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: an extra negative for Minnesota in the first game. Now, Minnesota,
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: as soab already pointed out they were turn on from
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: a road trip and they did not get caught in
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: the road trip return distractioned spot where a lot of
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: times teams have to get back to family life they
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: don't focus on the game. But they did because their
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: opponent was Dallas. They got the win, huge win beating Dallas,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: and now they get a Ottawa and tomorrow they do
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: have to face my Boston Bruins, and maybe they will
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: be more focused on the Bruins. Man, So that is
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: possible as well, boring bets, what's up man, thanks for
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: coming back. So Hughes isn't gonna play until tomorrow, okay
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: against the Bruins. So yeah, I mean, because that's Hugh's
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: first game, they might even be looking ahead to that
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: a little bit more. So I agree with sob. They
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: might get caught here in this game. It is at
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: the very least you could say it's a letdown spot
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: off of beating Dallas. So yeah, I'll agree with Ottawa
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna play this game, I think they're the
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: right side. The money isn't really agreeing right now. This
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: is at two pm or two pH seven pm Eastern.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: By the way, Minnesota down from minus one sixteen to
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen on the money line, sixty seven percent
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty four percent of the cash on Minnesota,
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: so the money somewhat on the Minnesota side right now.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I agree with Ottawa in that one.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: Not gonna make it a play though. These games are
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: all on ESPN Plus. By the way, every NHL game
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: besides that opening game on NHL Network, the rest of
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: them are all on ESPN Plus. Again, ESPN Plus, I lego.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: I keep mentioning I have Disney Plus just because it
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: has ESPN Plus in it, and it's a better deal
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: that way in the bundle, even though screw Disney, but
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: ESPN Plus just gives you so many extra games, man,
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: even though of course you can find streams for all
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: of them, but the quality is just a little bit
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: better when you have it. I use it, So maybe
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: personal preference to some extent, but I do use it.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: San Jose is at Pittsburgh at three pm Eastern. San
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Jose coming off a win at Toronto, pretty nice win
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: in overtime on Thursday, So maybe a little bit of
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: a letdown coming off of that, because Toronto still has
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: that weight behind their name. They have Austin Matthews back now.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh doesn't have a good record though, so they're not
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: really a team that you're gonna overlook right now. And
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: I think Pittsburgh is not as good as their record looks.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: As I keep saying Pittsburgh, they're on a losing skid
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: right now. They've lost three games in a row, including
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: losing twice back at home here. So given all that,
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: I kind of like the Pittsburgh side here to bounce back,
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: staying at home, trying to get back on the winning
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: side at home here. Pittsburgh looks like they're not the
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: market choice though seventy nine percent of tickets, only seventy
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Pittsburgh sou team with
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them. They're actually up for
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: minus one sixty to minus one sixty three. So odds
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: makers really disrespecting San Jose because I don't think either
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: of these teams are that good, and the odds makers
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: keep telling you both of these teams are not as
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: good as their records look. I slightly leanto Pittsburgh in
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: the game. The money is disagreeing with me, but there's
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: no way I'm gonna touch that one. Jeffrey, what's up man,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Mark Lawrence like's army. I don't.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree, but I kind of prefer the
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: total in that game. I'm gonna talk about that game
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: when we get to college football, talk about all the
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: college football games. I'm gonna talk about every Bowl of court,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: which I already did, except, by the way, there was
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: one bowl that they just hadn't filled it yet with teams,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: but they have now. I saw what the what the
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: matchup was, and I can't remember what it is now,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna talk about every bowl as it happens anyway.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: So all right, Tampa Bay at the Islanders. My first
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: instinct on this is that you want to start looking
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: towards Tampa here, because they did just lose for us
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: on the show. By the way, this is one of
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: our losers. On last Saturday. They lost at home to
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: the Islanders two to nothing. But there was an empty
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: net goal in that game, and Tampa actually dominated that game, dude.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: They had like pretty much every statistic in their favor
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: in that game. So it was kind of a BS
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: loss that I'm not that happy about. So now that
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: they did lose at home to the Islanders. They have
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: a quick road reversal revenge angle here, which I do
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: think is a motivating factor. When this team just beat
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: you on your own ice, you want to go back
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: and return in the favor. Problem is, Tampa Bay just
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: smoked Montreal and New Jersey by a combined fourteen to
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: five score. So the fact that they're coming up these
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: massive wins, I don't know if I could quite get
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: there with it. Man, I don't love it after all that,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: and they do have Florida up next, which is always
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: a big game for Tampa Bay, although I believe Tampa
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: is one to zero against Florida this year so far,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: so that was actually playoff revenge I believe as well
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: for Tampa and they already got it. But it's still
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: a big game against Florida, nonetheless, So I can't really
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: get there with Tampa in this one, even though I
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: think the revenge angle is a factor here. Islanders are
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: not exactly in a good spot either, as they are
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: coming off wins at home or a Vegas in a
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: shootout and beating Anaheim five to two. Those are nice
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: wins there for the Islanders, although you know they're not
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Tampa though. I mean, Tampa's been really hot.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: They've been good. Both of these teams have been really hot.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Tampa been a little bit less hot because of the
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: injury to Vasilevsky, so that's something gonna keep in mind.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know when he's coming back, So Tampa is
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: without their best goalie right now, which is kind of
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: a problem. If you like Tampa here, I'll slightly lean
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: into the Tampa side. I mean, I think the recency
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: bias is kind of on the Islanders. The odds makers
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: are kind of telling you what to think though, with
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Tampa still being a road favorite here, oddsmakers are telling
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: you Tampa is the significantly better team enough so that
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: they're favored on the road. They're down for minus one
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: thirty five to minus one twenty eight on the money line,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the ticket. It's ninety six percent
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. So the money seems to
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: be on the Tampa side. I will agree on that one,
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: but in agreement with us some reservations for sure. Mark
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Lawrence free plays Baltimore and the Chiefs. I agree with
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: both of those, Okay, Edmonton and Toronto. Edmonton Edmonton's coming
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: up a nice win over over Detroit man and now
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: we know Edmonton. Even though they won that game four
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: to one with Skinner and net, Edmonton said, whatever, see
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: you later. You just played well for us. Hit the
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: road jack, So they got rid of Skinner. Skinner is
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: now traded to Pittsburgh for Jerry Jari. So I don't
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: know when those guys are gonna join each team, but
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: you got to expect Pickard is probably gonna be a
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: net here for Edmonton here with Jerry probably not there yet.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: Edmonton nice win that they're coming off of. They are
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, and I do talk about how
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: teams usually are focused when they start a road trip.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: They're playing Toronto here, they do Montreal tomorrow. Is that
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be a bigger game? I don't know. It's interesting
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: that they played Pittsburgh on Tuesday and the goalie trade
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: match up there and both goalies might be facing off
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: against each other in that game. That's crazy, dude, that
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: those teams made that trade and those goalies might be
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: both starting in that game, and that's oh man, that's
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be wild. We'll talk about that when it happens
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday. But I could see positives and negatives for
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: the spot here. For the oilers from the Maple Leafs,
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: They're coming up of a fairly ugly loss at home
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: against San Jose. First, they'd beaten Tampa the game before that.
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, they were on this run of huge games man,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: So maybe I should have given out San Jose as
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: a play there. I think I maybe gave it out
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: as a lean. I think there was some reason why
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: I didn't do it. I mean there must have been.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: But Toronto was coming off beating Florida and Carolina on
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: the road, lost to Montreal on the return home spot
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: in a shootout that that was a win for us
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: on the show. I can tell you that we had
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: Montreal in that one in the return home spot. Then
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: Toronto bounced back from that with a win over Tampa Bay,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: so they were in pretty much a letdown spot off
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: of all that. I think facing San Jose they got caught.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Now Toronto, I think might be more of a bounce
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: back spot here coming up with that, So I would
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: slightly lean to Toronto in this one. Edmonton is up
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: from minus one to twelve to minus one fourteen on
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: the money line, though, so the oddsmakers still telling you
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: that Edmonton's pretty good and enough to be a favorite
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: at Toronto. Seventy one percent of the tickets, ninety percent
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Edmonton cash percentage looks like it's
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: on them now. I don't really agree with that. This
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: is the first night game, by the way, after all
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: those afternoon games, so we will see. But I slightly
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Toronto as the home dog in that one.
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: The books are trying to lure you into an over
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: on the Raiders Eagles. I mean whenever it's that yeah,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: I mean whenever it's that low. At thirty eight and
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: a half, it's low for a reason I would I
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: would not want to be on an over in that one.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think public, the public's not gonna be playing
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: an over in a Raider game though, Like, I just
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: don't see that being I don't think the total in
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: that game is gonna get much action. Like the public's
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: gonna betting on other things, like they're gonna have the
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: whole n NFL slate to bet. They're not gonna be
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: betting a total in Eagles Raiders. It's just not gonna
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: be happening. But yeah, the Eagles offense has been miserable recently,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: and we know the Raiders just suck in every way.
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: So but because the Raiders deepense sucks me, maybe the
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: Eagles offense will get going a little bit in that game.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: But generally, yeah, I think it under kind of makes
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: sense in that game. But I mean, I'm not gonna
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: be I'm probably not gonna touch that game at all.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Montreal at the Rangers, of course, the Raiders at home.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: I always have to point out that they have sucked
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: at home three eight and three at home, and they
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: have at least five shutout losses at home. They've been
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: a lot little bit better at home recently. They're playing Montreal,
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: so they're probably gonna get up for it. Montreal has
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: been pretty good. Montreal coming off a win over Pittsburgh.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Montreal does have Edmonton tomorrow, so is that gonna be
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: any sort of look ahead? Maybe like a Canadian thing.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: But this is an Original six matchup though, between Montreal
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: and the Rangers, so usually these teams will get up
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: to play each other. Montreal, I don't know if they're
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be in a letdown spot coming off of Pittsburgh.
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: Is that a big win? I don't know. It looks
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: like maybe Montembau is hurt because he hasn't been in
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: the lineup for a while, so I haven't even paid
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: attention man, or he just hasn't been that good. I
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know what's going on with Montembau,
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: but it's been DoBeS and Fowler in net for Montreal,
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: probably DoBeS this time, but he's been their primary goalie
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: pretty much this year, so that's not really a problem
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: for Montreal having him in net. Montabau hasn't really been
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: that good after he was good last year, surprisingly in
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: his which I think he might have been a rookie,
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: or he's still really young. The Ranger there's three losses
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: in a row, including on Wednesday, they lost three to
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: nothing at Chicago, so I think the Rangers are in
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot. They've had multiple days off after
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: getting shut out. Ugly ugly loss there, even though the
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Rangers are on the road. Go figure they got shut
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: out on the road. Usually that only happens at home.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: But they were coming up Monster games Man where they
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: took Colorado in Vegas to overtime, so they weren't a
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: bad spot. I think they've had enough time to recuperate,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: so maybe the first time ever. But I actually kind
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: of lean to the Rangers, even though they're at home here,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: they're up for a minus one thirty eight to minus
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: one forty two ninety six percent of the tickets on
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: them right now. One hundred percent of the cash obviously
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: is not accurate. I slightly lean to the Rangers, but again,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, we don't see much with the market here.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: I don't see that much of the situation either want
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: to do anything with that Eagles due to score points,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: I don't buy, Like I don't believe in anybody being
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: due or any team being due for anything. I mean,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: all of averages is a thing, but like everything is
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: in everything is an individual situation. I just think that
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: the Raiders defense is bad enough that the Eagles should
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: be able to do something offensively in that game. The
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: problem is they probably don't need to. So, like if
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: the Eagles have like an okay lead in the game,
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: they might just take their foot off the gas in
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: that game, which we've seen them do that before, Like
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: they had a horrible second half against Tampa Bay after
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: they built a massive lead. Carolina at Philadelphia, Carolina coming
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: up a huge shootout victory over Washington. Washington's been on
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: fire Man. That was a huge win for Carolina because
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: those two teams are looking like maybe they're the top
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: two teams in the Eastern Conference. Big win. Now they're
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: coming off of that, they're playing Philadelphia. Philadelphia's got a
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: good record, they're not as good as the record looks,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: as the oddsmakers will show you, which is why Carolina
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big favorite here. But I can't really
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: get in on the Philadelphia side either because even though
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home, they just had an overtime loss
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: to Vegas, so that might hang them over a little
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: bit into this game too. So both teams coming up
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: big performances, big games, So I have to leave the
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: game alone. Probably if you force me to, I would
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: slightly lean towards grabbing Philadelphia as the home dog. Caroline
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: is up for minus one to fifty seven to minus
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: one sixty seven, sixty two percent of the tickets and
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash on the flyers, So
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: the money seems like it does agree with that. I
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: don't really have much of a reason to disagree. I mean,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: it seems like maybe there is some value in grabbing
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia as the home dog, although generally I think Philadelphia
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: is gonna be over valued because the record is better
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: than what they are. But Carolina is obviously a very
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: good team, so the Oddsburgers have to adjust for that.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: Vegas at Columbus. Vegas coming off a win over Philadelphia.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: A's a decent win. They're over a team that does
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: have a winning record. Vegas is finishing a road trip here,
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: and they've already had a successful road trip. They're already
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: three and one on the road trip, so in a
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: spot like this, it is possible they kind of overlook
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: that final game, and they do have New Jersey up
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: next back at home, although they did beat New Jersey
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: three to nothing to start the road trip. But still
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: maybe a look ahead, although I don't know, maybe less
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: so because New Jersey's without Hughes and whatever, so I
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: don't know. Keeping all of that in mind, I still
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: think looking towards Columbus is the right way to look
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: in this game, though Columbus they're staying at home. They
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: did just lose. They've lost four games in a row,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: but I mean they lost three on the road in
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: overtime to Florida. Then they lost to Washington, Washington and Carolina.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, you couldn't have expected them to win those games,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: you know. I mean those are losses to some pretty
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: good teams. There's some really good teams in Carolina and Washington.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Then they came back home from a road trip and
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: they lost again road trip return. You know, I talk
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: about how that's difficult as well, even though it wasn't
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: a long road trip for them. They lost again to Ottawa.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: So I think they're in a better spot though. That
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: second game back at home, after you don't play well
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: in the first game, the team tends to play a
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: bit better. So that's what I expect out of Columbus.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: I like Columbus in that one. This one is closer
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: to being a play for me. Actually, if I was
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: gonna add a second play, it would be this one.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Columbus money line is what I would do Vegas down
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: for minus one fifteen to minus one forty seven, eighty
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets and only eighty percent of the
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: cash on Vegas. So yeah, Columbus would be my second
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: favorite hockey play of the day here. My favorite is
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: this next game, and this is maybe something a sob
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: miss hopefully he catches this one. We're taking Winnipeg on
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: the money line, which I know looks really, really ugly
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: right now, because Winnipeg has been on a massive skid
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: without their elite goalie, Hella Book. I mean, they've lost
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: now three more games in a row, but they lost
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: on the road to Edmonton, they lost by one at
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: home against Dallas. Those are big games, man, and then
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: I think maybe they were just kind of a little
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: bit hung over in their last game on Thursday, they
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: lost to my Boston Bruins six to three. But now
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: they're coming off that ugly loss, which was a little
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: bit explainable. I think they're in a bounce back spot here,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: and they're staying at home one day off. They got
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: a really good Eastern Conference team coming in here. I
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: expect Winnipeg to show up in this one, man. And
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: for the first time this season, they just fell below
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: five hundred, except when they were zero to one. I
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: guess they hadn't been below five hundred. Well, I guess
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: since two games ago. Technically if you want to include
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: an overtime losses, but visually it just looks worse when
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: you're fourteen fifteen and one. So I think that is
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an extra motivator. I mean, I
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: wouldn't base a handicap off of it, but I think
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: it's just a little bit of extra on Winnipeg that
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be a little bit more motivated because they're
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: below five hundred for the first time basically all season.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: For Washington. I do not like the spot here Washington.
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: I think they're basically in a sandwich spot. They just
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: played against Carolina and they took them into a shootout
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: that was potentially even in an Eastern Conference final preview or
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: something like that. That's what at least people will be saying,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: huge game, and they fell just short in a shootout
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: two days ago, so now they're having to come off
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: of that and try gravel. Usually I say a team's
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused on the first game of the road trip,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: but in this case, I don't really think so, unless
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: this is the Dad trip, so somebody can let me
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: know if it is. But because it's a two game
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: road trip, so I get worried, like did I miss it?
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Is it the Dad Trip? I don't know. Hopefully it's not,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: because that would motivate them a little bit more. But
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: I think this is a bad spot due coming off
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: that big game. Now they get Winnipeg, who's just really
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: been struggling, and if they're gonna focus on one game
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: on the road trip, it's gonna be Minnesota in their
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: next gamecause Minnesota is hot. But oh yeah, by the way,
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: what was I just talking about. With the trade situation
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: with quinn Ughes. Minnesota was able to get him. Guess
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: who the team was that almost got him. There were
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: two teams fighting to get quinn Ughes that gave him
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: the best offers Minnesota won. Yeah, guess who the other
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: team was that had the second best offer who almost
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: landed him and fell just short. That was Washington. And
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: now Washington has to play Minnesota with Hughes on Tuesday.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be That makes it a monster game, dude.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: So that is absolutely gonna be a look ahead because
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: they have to play the team that beat them to
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: getting that huge acquisition in the trade. That's gonna be massive, man.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: So that makes this a worse spot for Washington. There's
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: a lot going on here, a lot of things pointing
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: towards Winnipeg. So that's what we're gonna do. Winnipeg is
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: my only hockey play today. Washington's a minus one twenty
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: five road favorite. We're getting a nice home dog price here.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: I know Winnipeg after being really good at home last year,
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: they're nowhere near as good this year. I get it.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: I know Washington's pretty good on the road, but this
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: is a spot play. We're doing it. Seventy three percent
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Washington, eighty four percent of the
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: cash on Winnipeg, so huge, like pro pros versus Joe's dichotomy.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: It looks like it's shaping up in the market here.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: Probably it will stay similar to that as the day
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: goes on, hopefully, But I think Winnipeg is absolutely the
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: right side, and that is my favorite, strongly to the
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: Jets from sab Yeah, there you go. Oh Man, you're
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: on Flyers, Blue Jackets, red Wings, and Flames. Whoa, I
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: agree with the Blue Jackets. That was my second favorite,
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: which I just talked about. Definitely like that one Flyers.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: I think I tentatively did agree with that one. I
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: don't think I talked about the other two games yet.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: The Raptors didn't cover correct, Yeah, no, I would. I
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: would not want a five D chests a handicap. Man, Oh,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Detroit Chicago is the next game. All right, let's look
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: at this. I looked at it earlier and I already
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: forget what I thought about it. Detroit, they're finishing a
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: road trip. They've been on the road for a long time,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: and they're playing a third game in four days, fourth
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: game in six days, fifth game in eight days, and
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: actually a sixth game in ten days, and a seventh
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: game in twelve days. It looks like all in different cities.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: That is a brutal run. Dude. They've played way too
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: many games in quick succession here, and they've already they're
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: already up three to two on the road trip. So
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: I do not like the spot for Detroit here. Now
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: they're going into Chicago. Detroit did just lose a win
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: streak with a loss to Edmonton. I know they lost
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: four to one, but I don't know if this is
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be a bounce back spot. Man. I don't know
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: how focus they're gonna be on this Chicago team. It's
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: on a massive slide. Yes, Chicago did play yesterday. They're
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: the only team on a back to back, so that
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: is a concern. They're playing a third game in four
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: days as well, where they traveled to Saint Louis in
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: the middle of the tool. That's a quick trip for
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: Chicago to go to Saint Louis. They did lose the game.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: They will probably have sod Or blooming net here, which, Yeah,
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: I know he hasn't been good. They've lost his last
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: three games, and a couple of them were horrendous and
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: they gave up at least four goals in every game,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: seven plus in the other two. So that's not great obviously,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: But I kind of lean to Chicago here. Chicago did
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: have rest before that Wednesday. Detroit is definitely gonna be
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: the more tired team coming into this, so I'm definitely
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: leaving this game alone. But for me, slight opinion on Chicago.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: Detroit up from minus one to one eighty to minus
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: one ninety seventy three percent of taket seventy five percent
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them for now. I guess they're
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be the public side because Chicago's just been bad recently.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: But I would look towards maybe even getting Chicago on
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: a puck line price in that one. I don't know.
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: I just think Detroit's just had way too packed of
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: a schedule. Man Florida at Dallas. Interesting one, Uh, pretty
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: big game, returning champs against one of the top teams currently.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: Florida's coming off getting smoked by Colorado in high elevation
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: six to two. Don't know if they're really bounced back
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: from that. They do have that big game against Tampa,
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: which is gonna be kind of a quick ish revenge
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: spot and in season revenge spot coming up after this.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna overlook Dallas though, so the question is
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: going to be more, are they tired out from this
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: road trip, third game in four days, all in different cities,
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: coming out of elevation, in a game that they try
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: to step up I assume against Colorado, Dallas coming into
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: this off that ugly loss against Minnesota. They're we're turning
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip, but it was only a
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: two game road trip in the middle of the week,
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: so it's not really one of those extended road trip
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: returns where they're really gonna be that distracted by having
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: a bunch of stuff to do at home. Yeah, for me,
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: slightly into Dallas for me in this one. Dallas has
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: cash for now, they're gonna be the public side. I
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: mean that that's just obvious. They have the way better record,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: but public is not always gonna be wrong. Dallas up
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: for minus one forty two to minus one forty three.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: So that's the info in that one. Nashville at Colorado,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: Nashville did just beat Colorado in Nashville, So maybe a
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: little bit of a revenge motive for Colorado here or
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: not really revenge, but Colorado will have adjustments that they'd
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: made after that, because that was only four days ago
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: that that happened. And after that, Nashville smoked Saint Louis
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: off that we lost on that one. I didn't like
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: the spot at all. I thought Nashville was gonna be
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot there and they killed Bennington. I
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: mean yeah, it was all basically Bennington just failing in
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: net there. Like the stats in the game were pretty close.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: That was a horrible performance from the goaltending from Saint
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: Louis just awful. Now Nashville goes out on the road though,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: and they're playing Colorado and then Saint Louis again, so
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: both these teams are gonna be looking to make the
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: adjustments to try to counter Nashville here. Colorado should be
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: able to do it, but they're coming off a big
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: win over Florida. Man Colorado return home from a road
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: trip off that loss to Nashville, and Colorado had no
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: issue with Florida beating them easily six to two back
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: at home. Now it's the second game back at home.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: I do think they'll still show up for Nashville just
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: because Nashville did just beat them, So I wouldn't really
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: want to try to do anything with Nashville. Here. Colorado's
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: up for minus three rio five to my just three
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: twenty five, ninety six percent of tickets, ninety nine percent
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: of the cash. Colorado they're gonna win the game. I mean,
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: it's just a matter of how much are they gonna
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: win it by? I mean, I guess if you want
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: to play Colorado puck line or maybe Colorado over the
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: team total makes sense, but I can't do anything with that.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: And then we have called Calgary at the Kings, where
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: remember I talk about how the Kings haven't been good
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: at home this year. Calgary's coming of a loss to Detroit.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: It was it was back on Wednesday, though, three days ago,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: so they have some time to recover from that, and
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: now they're going out on the road. So starting a
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: road trip I talk about that is usually a positive spot.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: When you start a road trip, you tend to be
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: focused to get get it off on the right foot.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: LA is the better team out of the two LA
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: and San Jose that they're facing on the road trip here,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: but it was a tough game, losing by one to Detroit,
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I can see both arguments for Calgary,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: although I guess I lean more towards it being a positive.
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: LA is returning on from a road trip, but it
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: was only they were only on the road for two
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: games Monday and Wednesday, so they're back at home. Yeah,
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll use that time to get settled in back
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: at home tho when they do play Dallas, Florida, and
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: Tampa in their next three games. So those are all
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: much bigger games than this. So I'll probably agree with
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: SOB on this one. The Calgary is the way to
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: look in this game. LA is coming up a loss
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: to Seattle to finish the road trip. Again, I don't
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: think it's really that bad of a road trip return
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: spot when you're only gone for a couple of games,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: but still they might be looking ahead to Dallas here. Yeah,
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: I agree with Calgary. The money seems to agree as well.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: LA down for minus one eighty five to minus one
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: seventy four fifty seven percent of the tickets on them,
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of the cash on the Calgary side,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: you're getting them as a decent sized dog. I mean,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: you could do like a pock line thing or split
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: puck line better or something if you really want to
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: do that. Let's go to the NBA. All right, we'll
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: be able to get out here and I'll still be
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: able to get my bull stuff in. All right, NBA,
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: this is uh, we're in Las Vegas now, man, this
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: is the NBA Cup semifinals now, and it's in Vegas,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: so that makes it more of an event now, man.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: So once it gets to the semifinals, I kind of
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: change what I think happens with these NBA Cup games,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: where normally I'm saying that, like when the teams are
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: still playing in their home arenas and stuff, I think
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: it matters more to the teams that are not gonna
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: really be contenders to win the championship this year. They're
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: gonna try to win something by winning the Cup. But
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: once they get to the semifinals, I think every team's
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: gonna show up. Like you're in Vegas. Now, it's the event,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: this is the final four, you know what I mean?
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: You only have one or two games left here, You're
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna show up, Okay, Like that's the thing.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: So I don't think any of these teams is gonna
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: not show up here. Now first game at five point
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: thirty pm, we have Knicks and magic Knicks are up
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: from four and a half to five and a half. Here,
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets, sixty six percent of the
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: cash on them. So the Knicks look like they're taking
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: the money here. I slightly disagree. I think Orlando might
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: want this thing a little bit more man because the Knicks,
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: they do legitimately like have the So I'm gonna go
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: back on what I just said slightly. Whereas the Knicks
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: do have like the the actual championship in their sights
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: this year, whereas Orlando may not as much. But the
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Knicks did just beat Orlando at home, So this is
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: kind of a zig zaggy type of spot where maybe
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: Orlando will be the team to make the adjustments here,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: and the Knicks did just go up to Toronto and
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: beat them on the road. That was a nice win
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: against a pretty hot still Toronto team. Nice win for
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. And now they're having to go from Toronto
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: all the way to Vegas here, a little bit more
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: of a difficult spot, I think for the Knicks than
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: it is for Orlando. Orlando is coming up beating the Heat,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: so that was a good win as well after they
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: lost to the Knicks, so they are coming in from
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Florida here as well. But and both teams coming up
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: nice wins, that's for sure against conference opponents. So yeah,
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: both teams somewhat in a similar spot, I guess. So
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, my gut is kind of
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: leaning slightly towards taking the points with the Orlando in
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: this one, but I can see arguments for both sides.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: This is obviously a game I'm not touching, But the
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Knicks, so interestingly, the
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on both favorites, and I guess
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: that's good for me because in the other game, even
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: though I think, I mean, obviously they're gonna be the
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: favorite to win the championship again and that is their goal.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Thunder in this game. Man,
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the ten and a half. They're up
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: from ten to eleven against the Spurs. Seventy percent of
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty three percent of the couch on the Thunder.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: I know the Spurs might want this thing a little
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: bit more because they're probably not gonna be a title
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: contender this year. The Thunder obviously are. But again, we
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: get to the semifinals, the Thunder are the significantly better team.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get this thing done. And there's
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: one other part of this situation that makes that puts
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: me over the top with the Thunder. Here, san Antonio
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: will two things. San Antonio just won in La Man.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was a huge win over the Lakers
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: after the Lakers had beaten them the prior time, and
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: this was in the quarterfinals in the NBA Cup. But
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: that's still a huge win for the Spurs, Dude. They
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: beat a complete Laker team with Lebron and Luca both
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: in the lineup there and they both had good games
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: and san Antonio still beat them. So huge win for
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: san Antonio there, man. So in a way, I don't
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: know exactly what they're gonna have left in the tank
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: after that. Oklahoma City. I mean, this is a team
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: that they're ridiculously deep, and they're gonna be rested here
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: and they have a full roster coming into this one.
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the injury report. They don't really have
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: anybody significant on the injury report here. Sga did already
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: come back, so that's also good. So this is not
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: the reverse injured player spot for SGA because he already
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: played in their most recent game where they blew out
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: the Suns in the semifinals here, but all their guys
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: that have been hurt were back. Jalen Williams came, Dort
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: came back. Sga is back, so Caruso. So all these
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: guys played in that game. So that's awesome. They have
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: two Jalen Williams, by the way, the starting Jalen Williams,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: the one with the A and E or the one
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: with the with no Y and and E. I should
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: say he's the one that was hurt, I'm pretty sure.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, no, So you have an OKAYC team that's
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: a complete team now at the right time. We don't
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: have to worry about a reverse injured player spot because
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: these guys are all back. They're a team that's definitely rested. Man,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: because again, okay, see, they have such a deep roster
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: that they have these guys in and out of the
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: lineup all the time, and they're just used to it.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: And now they're gonna go full throttle here. I think they're, uh,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be in full force here. Man. I know
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: it's not at home where they're completely dominant, but they're
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: still a really dominant team. They're going up against San Antonio.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: And the other reason that I like the fate of
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: San Antonio here, guess who's back? You want to talk
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: about the reverse injured player spot. Wemby is back in
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: this game for Santa Antonio. Man, he wasn't supposed to
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: be back until the seventeenth, but they're in the semi
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: finals of the Cup. He's coming back. I don't know
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: if they're rushing him. I mean, he has a pretty
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: bad calf injury, that's what he had. But he's coming
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: back and he hasn't played for a month. So you know,
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: I talk about this when you're a star player. He
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: is absolutely the star player for the Spurs. When that
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: guy comes back and he's been off for an extended
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: period of time, like a month, the line's gonna kind
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: of overreact to it. And I know that seems crazy
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: given the fact that the Thunder or a huge favorite,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: but the line has to be factoring in Wemba, Like
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: I think you'd probably see OKAYC being about a fourteen
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: point favorite if he wasn't playing. So do with that
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: information what you want to, I guess, but I think
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: you are getting a little bit of line value on
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: the Thunder for that reason. And Wemba's gonna work his
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: way back into the lineup. Man. So a guy that's
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: this young and he's been out for that long, you know,
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: he's gonna have to get back into the groove, right
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: And he really hasn't played that much because he missed
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of last seas into with a heart thing
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: so or like a blood clot whatever it was. So yeah,
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: he's gonna have to come back, and I don't think
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be like just off to the races right away,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: you know, and the team has to get used to
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: him being back. Guys have to fit their new roles again. Whatever.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: So I don't like that. It's a major reverse injured
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: player spot here. So I like Oklahoma City a lot
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: more with the continuity here, man, And I don't like
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: that San Antonio is coming out of a big time
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: win against the Lakers to even get here, so it
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: might run out for them here. And man, We're gonna
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: lay the points with the Thunder in that one and
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: hopefully we get it done as I think I've only
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: laid the points of the Thunder one other time this
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: season as a home favorite, and they did get the
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: job done, So hopefully we can get it done again
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: in that one. And that's it for my plays today.
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: College football, we do have three games. The first game
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: up is the Cricket Celebration Bowl Cricket Wireless. I assume
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: they do what cell phones. I believe this is in Atlanta,
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: Georgia members Ben Stadium. This is somewhat kind of an
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: unofficial Bowl because these are not FBS teams, and for
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: some reason, it's always a MEAC and a SWACK team.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: So I think the team that wins the MEAC against
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: the team against the that wins the SWACK, I think
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: is who plays in this game. For whatever reason, those
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: two conferences get to play in this game. You know,
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: they get a showcase, which is good. I mean for
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: these small teams, they don't usually get a huge televised
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: game like this, but that is what they get here.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: This game. Of course, we don't see it here because
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: this is on Wait we're on FBS. Why is this
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: game not showing up here? Oh, it's because it's Bowls
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: only here. I hate ESPN, dude, like show me all
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: the games, bro, Like, what are you doing? Let me see? Can?
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: I like would even let me do it? Oh? It's because, well,
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: this game is not FBS, but it's not even showing
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: me the the other FBS game either, the Army Navy
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: game isn't even on here, Like, what are we doing here? Man?
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: It's not showing me the God I hate ESPN so
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: much anyway, but yeah, this game, it's interesting. So it's
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: South Carolina State and Prairie View A and M. Now
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: as you can see them, the line is definitely indicating
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: on Prairie View A and M here as they flip
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: from a two point dog to a two and a
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. So if you do like them, you've
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: lost some value, although it's still kind of a pick
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: the winner situation. Seventy one percent of ticket seventy six
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. Now. I don't know
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: much about these teams, although South Carolina State is in
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: this Bowl pretty often, and last year I believe they
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: did lose it pretty ugly to Jackson State. Jackson State
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: formerly where Dion was coach, I believe, so South Carolina State.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: I believe they've actually lost the last couple of these
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: bowls to Jackson State, so they're more used to being
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: in this Bowl, and maybe because they haven't won it
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: those last couple of years, they might be motivated to
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: show up here. I think both teams will be motivated,
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: but I think Prairie View A and M might be
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit more excited because I do not remember
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: them being in this Bowl before, so maybe they have
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: any even been in it at all. But if they
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: have been, it's been a while for Prairie Views, so
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bigger deal for their program to
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: be in this thing. So I kind of agree with
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: the market reading that when I slightly lean to Prairie
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: View A and M in that one. All right, Then
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: in the afternoon we do have the Army Navy game,
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: a huge game for those two teams. I mean, it's
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: a big rivalry. Obviously it's the Commander in Chief trophy.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: Whoever wins this game gets the Commander in Chief trophy
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: because it's a round robin thing that also includes air Force,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: and both these teams be an air Force. They both
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: beat them by three. Now they both beat them in
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: a high scoring game, so that might mislead people. But
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: the issue with that is that air Force is way
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: worse than both of these teams, and air Force doesn't
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: play good deepfense. And I know air Force did step
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: up their game and play well against both these teams.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: But I like the under in this game more than
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: the side. I mean, I know that's stereotypical because Army Navy.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: It's like the professionals used to just blindly play the
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: under here. So the books have had to adjust because usually,
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: like up until not that long ago, the books were
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: putting out like totals like in the low forties in
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: these games. And now they know better and they put
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: it really low at thirty eight and a half. But
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: because last year's game went over, so last year Navy
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: won like thirty one to ten or something along those
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: lines last year, and I think it just slightly went
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: over last year. But in the last nineteen games, this
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: game is seventeen and two to the under. And I
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: know the line keeps dropping and dropping as far as
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: with the oddsmakers put out there, but it's a strong
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: trend towards the under man. It's seventeen to two to
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: the under. And the only times it did not go
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: under were last year when Navy kind of ran away
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: with the game, and the other game was a game
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: where it went into overtime and it did not go
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: over in regulation. So this game has been a very
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: strong under And the reason for that is both teams
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: constantly run the football, especially Army. I mean, they both
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: run the triple option, so they both focus on possession.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: They both run the football. Army can't throw the football
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: at all, so you're gonna get a lot of rushing
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: quite obviously here. And the other reason why the unders
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: hit at such a ridiculous rate in these games is
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: both these teams know how to defend the option because
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: they both run the option, so that's what they see
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: in practice every day. They know how to defend it
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: because that's what they're defending against in practice, you know
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: what I mean, So they know exactly what it looks like.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: So these teams are very familiar with with that style
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: of offense. They look at it all the time, so
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: it makes it easier to defend for these teams, even
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: if their defenses maybe are not that good, generally, they
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: know how to defend this attack. So that's why the
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: unders happen all the time. Uh, this total is at
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half. I know it's low, but
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: it's low for a reason. Fifty tickets sixty nine percent
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the under. If I was gonna
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: play it, I would be looking at the under here.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: As far as the side, Navy has gone up from
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: a five to a six and a half point favorite.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: They're almost a touchdown here. Ticket percent of the cash
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: on Navy, So the money seems to agree with the
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: Navy side. In a game that's this little of a total,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: I probably can't get there with laying points, although I
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: don't necessarily disagree with that move with the Navy side.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: Navy is the better team, and part of it is
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: because Navy can still throw the ball a little bit
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: on offense and Army cannot, so Army is more one dimensional.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Navy definitely has the better offense because Navy does have
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: more wrinkles. They kind of do the wing t offense
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: thing where they do throw the ball sometimes. But Army
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: does have the better defense, so Army does fall into
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: the better defense getting points category here. That is the
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: case with Army. So there is that. So again, this
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: is not a game I want to play at all,
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: but just throwing it out there, I think again I
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: would play the under if I was gonna play it.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: Slightly in for me towards laying it with Navy as well,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: but we might be misled a little bit by last
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: year because last year was really the only game where
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: either of these teams was able to win by margin
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: was last year Navy I think one and covered as
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: a favorite. But prior to that game, I think the
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: underdog covered in this game five straight times prior to that,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: So there is a pretty strong trend towards the underdog covering.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: And that's because it's a low total, right Like the
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: games always are low scoring, so that makes sense that
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: the underdog is more likely to cover in a game
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: like that. So a lot of information for that one,
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: I know. And then we do have the first real
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: Bowl if you want to call it that. At eight
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: pm tonight in Sofi Stadium, which is the Chargers Stadium,
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: and I forget if it's the Rams Stadium as well.
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: It's in Inglewood, California. It is Boise State in Washington. Now,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: when I did my Bowl preview, I leaned towards Washington.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: They were eight and a half at that time. Now
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: that mine is ten, so it has hit that key
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: number of ten. I don't know if the public is
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: going to be coming in kind of knocking that number down,
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: or if maybe once it gets to that key number ten,
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: maybe there is some It looks like there is actually
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: some TakeBack from like professional money on the boys side,
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: because it did get I think through the ten and
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: now we've seen the percentages flip because at the I
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: could tell you that when the line came out at
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: the lower number, the cash percentage was definitely on Washington.
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: But now since it's hit ten, the money is coming
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: in in the other direction. Fifty seven percent of tickets
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: and fifty one percent of the cash on Washington. So
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: do with all that information what you will, but I
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: actually lead to Washington in the game. Overall, even at ten,
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: I would probably still lean towards laying it. I wouldn't
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: really want to lay ten and a half, but if
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, I would lay it in
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: this one. And again, first of all, Washington is the
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: better team. They faced a much more difficult schedule. They're
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: in the Big Ten. I mean, they played Ohio State
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: somewhat competitively, they played better teams, just that's the way
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: that it is. They finished the season playing Oregon, another team,
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: it's a top team. So Washington is absolutely battle test
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: and Washington took a loss in that game. So a
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: lot of times I like to look at a team
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: that lost in their final regular season game, like a
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: team that went on a losing streak to finish the season.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: I kind of like looking at them in a bowl
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: game because they have extra time off and they can
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: kind of get back to it. But the problem is,
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: I actually think that a team on a winning streak
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: is kind of good to look at in a bowl
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: as well, though, because a team on a winning streak,
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: that's only if they did it to get to six wins. Though,
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: Like if a team reeled off three straight wins at
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: the end of the season just to get to six wins,
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: that shows that they're motivated to get into a bawl,
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: so I like to look at those teams. But if
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: a team like Washington finished on a loss like they
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: did against Oregon, I kind of think they tend to
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: bounce back a little bit in the Bowl. Washington didn't
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: really have higher aspirations, so I think they'll be I
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: think they'll get up for this game. They get the
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: first Bowl of the season. I think, get to play
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: in California. You know, they have to avoid the distractions
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: that come with being in LA. But so does Boise.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: And the problem with Boise is, first of all, they're
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: not battle tested really and when they've stepped up in class,
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: it is not gone well. They they're the best team
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: they played was Notre Dame, who should be in the playoffs,
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: but Boise got smoked by Notre Dame man so that
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: is not a good sign. Boise did not step up
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: well in class. They had that embarrassing performance against South
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: Florida to start the season. Although that was a major
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: like that was a game where they had a huge
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: amount of turnovers. Whatever. It was a bad game though. Nonetheless,
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: so Boise definitely not the better team here. Yeah, they
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: just won the Mountain West, but I think that kind
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: of makes it worse because it's like, you win your conference,
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: and Boise was a team that everybody was talking about
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: at the beginning of the season. Oh, if Boise runs
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: the table in the Mountain West, they might be a
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: playoff team. And people were even saying maybe they'll even
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: be a playoff team somewhat late in the season because
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: they win the Mountain West. Who knows, because the committee
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: has to pick amongst those conference winners, you know what
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: I mean. So I just don't know if Boise wants
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: to be here. Man. They thought they were gonna get
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: into the playoff this year. They were in the playoff
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: last year. So it's a disappointing season for Boise. And
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: you really don't want to be on teams that fell
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: way short of their goals like they did, even though yes,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: they won the Mountain West. But their reward is they
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: get to play in the bucked up La Bowl. I
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, But maybe the thing that gives me
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit of pause with Washington though, is that
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: maybe Boisey will actually get up for it because they
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: get to play a Big ten team, you know what
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: I mean. So Boise, he gets a chance to at
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: least play a bigger team, right, So bois he gets
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: to play the role of underdog here and play against
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: a better team. That's the somewhat That's the only hesitation
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: I really have with Washington here, So I'm not going
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: to get there with a play on this one. I
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Washington, but yeah, I have some reservations
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: about it. And by the way, the Bucked Up labels
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: you guys pointed out. You said it was an energy drink.
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: I think it's actually an energy supplement. And I mentioned
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: how the label used to be the Kimmable, the Jimmy
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: kimmelbole screw him, but I forgot that. They got rid
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: of him years ago and they switched it to the
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Gronk Bowl. It's been the gronk La Bowl with Rob
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: Gronkowski for a while, and it's still him. But I
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: think Gronkun bucked Up is like his product, So this
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: is still the Gronk Bowl. It's just the bucked Up
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Ball because bucked Up is his pro, his his energy
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: supplement that he's hawking or whatever. So Gronk is still
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be there. Man, He's the guy in this one,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: and at least that's hilarious because Gronk is just a
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: hilarious idiot basically, So I kind of like Gronk. I mean,
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I just think he's funny, he's I
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: don't know, he's just a bro so whatever. But yes,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: this is still a Gronk Bowl. It just changed. They
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: changed their name to the sponsor to a Gronk's company
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: bucked up. So that's what's going on in that game.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: That's the sponsor in that game, and that's gonna do it. Man. Oh,
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: if we want to do final market reads on my
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: college basketball before I get out of here, we could
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: try to look at this real quick. We have it
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: looks good on Penn State. Sixty nine percent of tickets
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: is only fifty six percent of the casual in Michigan State,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: So it looks like the market is agreeing with me.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: On Penn State. I will I forget what my other
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: games even were here. I have them here though, George Washington.
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: Market is still not really fully fleshed out here, So
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: it looks like Florida will definitely be a public side
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: at the very least, though for Southern miss again, we
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: don't really see the market shaping up in that one
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: yet Mercer doesn't look as good. It looks like the
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: money is coming on Clemson, but you get a better
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: number on Mercer if you like it. So money disagree
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: with me on that. I'm kind of surprised. I think
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: the spot's awful for Clemson. For Illinois, money looks like
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: it's definitely agreeing with us on Illinois, with me at
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: least on Illinois. So that's one. I talked about that
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: one last night. I said, you probably have to take
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: that one right away. A couple of the other ones,
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: they said, I thought you could wait. But for Illinois,
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: I thought you need to get on that one right
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: away because I thought it was gonna move in that direction.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: And then the West Virginia one. We don't really see
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: much of a market read yet on that one anyway.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: But those are my plays for today. I don't think
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: I missed any right that's gonna do it man. Oh
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: and by the way, yesterday we went one oh and
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: one on the show is Missouri State pushed, which I'm
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: kind of angry about. And then Texas hung within the
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: number and only lost by about eight or seven or
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: whatever to Yukon. So Texas played a pretty close game.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: They're decent performance from Texas, so we got the win
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: on that one, and hopefully you guys got a decent
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: number on Missouri State. I know Charles somehow got a
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: winning number at eighteen and a half on that and
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: landed eighteen. I know, if it landed seventeen and a half, it's,
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of a tough loss to take there.
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: But one on and one on the show yesterday and
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: those two and again for today. The plays are Penn State.
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: This is all college basketball, Penn State plus the points,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: g W George Washington plus the points, Southern miss plus
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: the points, Mercer plus the points, Illinois minus the points,
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: West Virginia plus the points. NHL were on Winnipeg money line,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: NBA Cup, we're on OKC minus the points. And okay,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: see was good to me in the finals last year,
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: so let's get it going again. Man. I had them
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: when they were losing in the finals. I took them
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: on the money line to win the series. I played
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: them in two individual games as well that they won
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: and covered in game two I think a bounce back
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: spot and one of the later games I think I
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: had them as well, so one of the ones that
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: they won, so Okay, see did well for me that
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: in that series, so hopefully they do well for me again. Here.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. If you want the analysis on
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: college basketball, you can check out the show from last night,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: although it's really long, but you can check out my
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: instagram just to see those those analyses. Carl, what's up? Man?
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: It's not on Rumble right now? Should I get on Rumble?
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out man, I've been thinking about putting
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: this on Rumble. I'm not currently on Rumble though it's
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: called Toadstool Sports, but I'm only on YouTube and I'm
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: on audio on Apple and Spotify right now. But yes,
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: I should think about Rumble for sure, Thank you, Carl. Jeffrey,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: Am I going on. I'm gonna be at my parents' house,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: you know, just there's not a whole lot going on.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: It's just gonna be chill, gonna do some some breakfast,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: some brunch. Thank you, sir, mister Pinsey Missouri State, you
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: gotta am I the only one that pushed on that one,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: like what's going on here? You got the eighteen and a half.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Why I was looking all day to see if I
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: could see it. I wasn't really thinking that it was
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: gonna get better than it was either though, So I
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: don't know, but you guys, Good for you guys. You
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: gotta win on that. I gotta push on it myself.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: So that's what I scored it at on the show.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, man. I'll be back tonight, will
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: be the NFL Show, of course, and again I have
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: pretty strong opinions on nearly every game this time, so,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: and all the teams are back in action. There's no
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: bye weeks anymore except for me. In fantasy. I'm on
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: buy Baby as the number one seed in my league.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: But I gotta at least win next week to get
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: into the money. So we gotta do it, man. We'll
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: see what happens. But I'll be back for the NFL Show.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have at least probably three plays, and I'll
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: talk about the other ones that I'm probably gonna add
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: into my pick five as well. Gotta make the decisions, man,
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: But that's gonna do it for now. I'll be back then. Peace.
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: Oh and well, I forgot my plugs right. Learn it
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: towe on Instagram, learn its own on Twitter, like subscribe,
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: uh you know, give me comments on the channel here
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: We're on audio, Apple, Spotify. Give me good reviews over there,
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: listen over there. Covered in Uke is my yuke channel,
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: so you can check that out as well on YouTube, uh, Patreon,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: dot com, slash learn to Toe and you get a
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: bonus yuke Spotify feed and you get you requests that
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really do in a timely fashion unless I
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: already know the song. I have subscriptions on Twitter now,
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: so if you want to support me that way, you can.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: I haven't decided exactly what I'm gonna do for subscription
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: content yet. I'm gonna have a group chat for the
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: subscribers on Twitter. Although my first subscriber he's on some
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: old version of X, so I can't add him to
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: a group chat. So X is failing right now as
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: far as their transition to the new chat system really bad.
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: So I apologize for that. I apologized to him directly
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: already because I could still DM him. I just can't
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: add him to a group chat. It's ridiculous. And he's
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: not one of those guys that blocks group chats either,
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. And then check out my other
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: podcast or the Loser Cast, the comedy panel of Losers.
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: That's every Tuesday night should be Episode two should be
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: up on Loser Cast. The first one was up on
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: Layton's outlet thoughts. It's on YouTube, but we're crass enough
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: that we probably need to be taking it down from
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: YouTube so we don't get banned. But we'll see how
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: that goes. That's kind of up to Layton right now.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: He's in charge of that one, and then potentially tomorrow
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: the g spot, which is gonna be the New York
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: Giants podcast with me and Ben Weir, so we'll see
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: if we actually start that one. Tomorrow to be live
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: streaming watching the Giants Redskins game, so we'll see. That's
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: going to do it for now, Peace out, guys, mhm