Latest / Foul Territory / WSJ’s Jared Diamond: Soaring walk rates in ABS era, Ted Turner’s manager cameo, Brewers defying odds
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: Hey, we've got Wall Street Journals sports reporter Jared Diamond
- 0:06Speaker 1: joining us right now on foul territory.
- 0:08Speaker 2: Gired.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It's good to see a happy Friday work putting out there. Yeah,
- 0:12Speaker 1: thank you, dude, with loving the work you're putting out there.
- 0:15Speaker 1: We got a few topics here to touch on to
- 0:17Speaker 1: kind of dive deeper into some of the stories that
- 0:19Speaker 1: people can find in the Wall Street Journal.
- 0:21Speaker 2: I want to start with the one on walks.
- 0:23Speaker 1: You know, I like to see what trends are moving
- 0:26Speaker 1: with the changes in the sport, and you dove into
- 0:30Speaker 1: how walks are flying, they're surging and who did you
- 0:34Speaker 1: say to blame in the title of the story.
- 0:38Speaker 3: There's only one thing that's changed between this season and
- 0:41Speaker 3: last season, and that is our good friends, the robot umpires. Clearly,
- 0:46Speaker 3: those robot umpires aren't a big fan of pitchers. They
- 0:50Speaker 3: seem to like hit or from what I could tell.
- 0:54Speaker 2: So what are you learning? Why is this happening?
- 0:57Speaker 3: So the walk rate to this point the seas and
- 1:00Speaker 3: is very high. It's about nine and a half percent.
- 1:03Speaker 3: So I realized that that number means nothing to anyone,
- 1:06Speaker 3: because no one really knows what the typical walk rate
- 1:08Speaker 3: is it's typically around eight and a half percent. You know,
- 1:10Speaker 3: it's actually been very consistent, outside of a little spike
- 1:15Speaker 3: during the heart of the steroid era when pitchers were
- 1:19Speaker 3: understandably afraid to throw the ball anywhere in the vicinity
- 1:23Speaker 3: of home plate. The walk rate is generally hovered around
- 1:27Speaker 3: eight and a half percent for like fifty years. It's
- 1:30Speaker 3: been very consistent. Then all of a sudden this year
- 1:33Speaker 3: it's at nine point six percent, actually gone up at
- 1:36Speaker 3: ten of the percentage. I wrote that story a couple
- 1:38Speaker 3: of days ago. And look, if you've been watching, if
- 1:42Speaker 3: you've been watching games, you may have noticed the strike
- 1:45Speaker 3: zone is just simply smaller. I mean that's number one,
- 1:48Speaker 3: especially at the top. The strike zone is lower than
- 1:51Speaker 3: it was when it was called by human umpires. So
- 1:55Speaker 3: that's certainly a factor. But the other factor is these
- 1:58Speaker 3: robot umpires are unforgetting right human umpires and Eric, I mean,
- 2:02Speaker 3: you could speak about this way better than I could.
- 2:04Speaker 3: You could fool them, you could walk them off the
- 2:07Speaker 3: plate half an inch of a pitcher hit his spot,
- 2:10Speaker 3: generally we get the call. Obviously, pitch framing played a role,
- 2:14Speaker 3: not anymore that one batters could challenge those pitches that
- 2:17Speaker 3: are two tenths of an inch off the plate and
- 2:20Speaker 3: second of ball umpires are sort of adapting to being
- 2:23Speaker 3: challenge and being overturned and not giving you that little
- 2:28Speaker 3: that just little smidge off the plate, and the result
- 2:31Speaker 3: is we're looking at the highest the first time walks
- 2:35Speaker 3: might be over nine percent since two thousand.
- 2:38Speaker 4: It's called earning the strikes, Jared. You earn those strikes
- 2:42Speaker 4: because you've thrown the ball very well, you throw it
- 2:46Speaker 4: exactly where you won it, and then the umpire gives
- 2:49Speaker 4: you a little bit. We weren't lying to the umpires.
- 2:51Speaker 3: KYLEA.
- 2:51Speaker 4: Goshioka is one of the best receivers in the game,
- 2:54Speaker 4: and he's like, I'm not lying to him, but I'm
- 2:56Speaker 4: not telling him one hundred percent the truth. Do you
- 2:58Speaker 4: see this shifted, this shift going back? Do you see
- 3:03Speaker 4: it going back or do you think this is our
- 3:05Speaker 4: new going to be our new norm with because of
- 3:08Speaker 4: the fact that there's robo umps and you're just never
- 3:11Speaker 4: getting that extra and the fact that most pitchers don't
- 3:14Speaker 4: really command the ball well, they just throw it super hard.
- 3:18Speaker 3: It's a good question. I'll say this. We have seen
- 3:21Speaker 3: historically that the walk rate at this time of the season,
- 3:25Speaker 3: it does tend to go down by the end of
- 3:28Speaker 3: the season. They are historically always more walks sort of
- 3:31Speaker 3: in April early May than there are the rest of
- 3:34Speaker 3: the year, probably because it's cold, because pitchers can't drip
- 3:37Speaker 3: the ball for whatever reason. So it typically goes down
- 3:41Speaker 3: by roughly half a percent. So let's say it follows
- 3:45Speaker 3: that typical pattern and goes down by half a percent,
- 3:47Speaker 3: we finish at nine point one percent. That still would
- 3:52Speaker 3: be among the highest we've seen in like fifty years.
- 3:54Speaker 3: So even if it does have the typical decline, we're
- 3:57Speaker 3: still looking at really high numbers. Usually Baseball says that
- 4:01Speaker 3: this is not a surprise that they saw similar rises
- 4:04Speaker 3: in walks in triple A when they introduce the pitch clock,
- 4:07Speaker 3: and basically, in their mind, if there's going to be
- 4:10Speaker 3: a few more walks, that's a that's a worthwhile trade
- 4:13Speaker 3: off one to get accurate calls. But also the strikeout
- 4:18Speaker 3: rate is also slightly down. Not not giant numbers, right,
- 4:22Speaker 3: We're not going back to you know what it was
- 4:25Speaker 3: twenty thirty, forty fifty years ago. But smaller strike zone,
- 4:29Speaker 3: more walks doesn't make sense. Slightly fewer strikeouts I think
- 4:33Speaker 3: MLB's attitude is all right as long as the walks
- 4:35Speaker 3: don't get totally out of control and will take a
- 4:39Speaker 3: few more walks in exchange for a few fewer strikeouts
- 4:43Speaker 3: and accurate calls. That that's at least that's what they're
- 4:46Speaker 3: that's what they're what they're telling me.
- 4:49Speaker 5: Well, I mean, first off, let's if you look at
- 4:51Speaker 5: that chart. Can we just talk about how the pitchers
- 4:53Speaker 5: were just awful in the nineteen fifties. I mean, that
- 4:56Speaker 5: was a huge spike, So whatever happened in the fifties,
- 4:58Speaker 5: they were terrible. But so let's talk about the walks
- 5:02Speaker 5: because you eluded on the league saying talking about let's
- 5:07Speaker 5: not let the walks get too high and get too crazy. Well,
- 5:10Speaker 5: first off, I mean pitchers can just not worry about
- 5:12Speaker 5: throwing so hard and just start throwing some more strikes
- 5:14Speaker 5: would be a little bit of a solid to that.
- 5:17Speaker 5: But my question is do you think that the zone
- 5:19Speaker 5: will will expand a little bit because I think the
- 5:23Speaker 5: ABS has been great, But with the walks going up,
- 5:27Speaker 5: the dreaded pace of play time of games has also
- 5:30Speaker 5: gone up. So that's the league hates that. We all
- 5:33Speaker 5: know the league hates that. So, how do you see
- 5:35Speaker 5: the league combating it? With abs happening, walks going up,
- 5:38Speaker 5: game time is getting longer, even though views are good.
- 5:42Speaker 5: It's at an all time high right now. Do you
- 5:44Speaker 5: think the league's gonna do something to try to get
- 5:45Speaker 5: the game time back down a little bit?
- 5:47Speaker 3: Yeah? Look, so time of game for the average nine
- 5:50Speaker 3: inning game right now is two hours forty one minutes.
- 5:52Speaker 3: That's three minutes longer than last year. And it's the
- 5:56Speaker 3: highest it's been since the pitch clock came into existence,
- 6:02Speaker 3: only by a couple of minutes. Right it's two three
- 6:05Speaker 3: four minutes here. But I do understand some worrying about
- 6:09Speaker 3: the creep, right you say, oh, it's just two minutes here,
- 6:11Speaker 3: and then it's two minutes next year, and then five
- 6:14Speaker 3: years from now, suddenly games are taking two hours and
- 6:17Speaker 3: fifty five minutes instead of too forty or too thirty five.
- 6:21Speaker 3: So I think it is definitely a valid concern in
- 6:23Speaker 3: the in the in ABS is absolutely a factor. In fact,
- 6:26Speaker 3: there pretty big factor. I mean, more walks, walks take
- 6:29Speaker 3: a lot of pitches. It just makes sense. There are
- 6:31Speaker 3: other factors why game time is going up, though, Uh
- 6:34Speaker 3: you know, one is pitchers are just using more of
- 6:38Speaker 3: the pitch clock. Right, we're now been a pitchclock world
- 6:41Speaker 3: for what is the fourth year. In our pitch clock world,
- 6:44Speaker 3: pitchers just sort of know how to use it to
- 6:45Speaker 3: their advantage. Also, the rise of teams calling pitches from
- 6:50Speaker 3: the dugout has played a factor. We know that Miami
- 6:54Speaker 3: Colorado and other teams sort of that are privately doing
- 6:57Speaker 3: this Hendy use more of the pitch in between pitches.
- 7:01Speaker 3: So there are other factors, and I do know MLB
- 7:03Speaker 3: is monitoring it very quick, very closely. I would say
- 7:07Speaker 3: that time of game to them is the one thing,
- 7:10Speaker 3: one of the things that gets them really motivated. Right,
- 7:13Speaker 3: a few more walks, if it's not really affecting time
- 7:16Speaker 3: of game, they're probably not going to care because, like
- 7:18Speaker 3: walks are base runners, MLB wants more base runners. More
- 7:20Speaker 3: base runners, needs more stolen bases. It means more guys running,
- 7:23Speaker 3: it means more action. That's not necessarily bad until time
- 7:27Speaker 3: of game starts going out meaningfully and then suddenly they'll go, huh,
- 7:31Speaker 3: maybe it's not worth betrayed off anymore. That becomes such
- 7:34Speaker 3: an area of emphasis for them. So we'll see where
- 7:37Speaker 3: things go over the next four months. The ABS strike
- 7:41Speaker 3: zone is obviously changed from when they first started testing
- 7:44Speaker 3: in the minors. They've tweaked it a lot. I think
- 7:47Speaker 3: it's a reasonable assumption that at some point, or even
- 7:50Speaker 3: going into net year, hey, let's see what went well
- 7:53Speaker 3: what didn't. Are there tweaks to make, just like they
- 7:55Speaker 3: did with the pitchclock after the first year, they made
- 7:58Speaker 3: some tweaks. I don't know any panicking right now. And
- 8:01Speaker 3: by the way, the thing with the forties and fifties
- 8:03Speaker 3: is so bizarre. I asked so many people what happened
- 8:07Speaker 3: in nineteen forty nine to fifty that the walk rate
- 8:09Speaker 3: with like ten and a half percent, couldn't get a
- 8:11Speaker 3: good answer. Probably has to do with World War two,
- 8:14Speaker 3: guys coming back from World War Two. But that the
- 8:17Speaker 3: whole other storyline we should be pursuing.
- 8:20Speaker 4: I think Wit played in the fifties, that's how old
- 8:23Speaker 4: he was.
- 8:24Speaker 3: He was still in the bushes.
- 8:25Speaker 4: But but you talked about four years into the Pitchclock era,
- 8:30Speaker 4: we're nine years into the Milwaukee Brewers era. Can we
- 8:34Speaker 4: just delete your Microsoft program that you have on your
- 8:38Speaker 4: computer and just start getting it right that the Brewers
- 8:41Speaker 4: are going to be good no matter what your computer
- 8:43Speaker 4: system says.
- 8:45Speaker 3: Yeah, they're incredible. They're really an unbelievable organization. Just defies
- 8:51Speaker 3: everything that should be true about baseball, everything about their
- 8:55Speaker 3: organizations that they should be terrible. They're in literally the
- 8:57Speaker 3: smallest market in the major leagues rolls consistently, maybe not
- 9:01Speaker 3: the very very bottom of baseball, but in the bottom
- 9:04Speaker 3: third sometimes even like in that twenty five range. They
- 9:07Speaker 3: don't spend very much money. You go up and down
- 9:10Speaker 3: their roster, like I think even like reasonably big baseball
- 9:14Speaker 3: fans haven't heard of like two thirds of the guys
- 9:16Speaker 3: that are running out there every day. And yet we're
- 9:19Speaker 3: sitting here. They made the playoffs seven in the last
- 9:22Speaker 3: eight years, and they're going to be good again this year.
- 9:25Speaker 3: Looks like, I know that division has been really crazy
- 9:28Speaker 3: and they're like in fourth place or whatever, but they're
- 9:31Speaker 3: on what they're nineteen and sixteen. Anyone good at math?
- 9:33Speaker 3: What paces that? It's like eighty eight wins something like that.
- 9:37Speaker 3: I don't know. I'm terrible in math. When you look
- 9:39Speaker 3: it up, eight yeah, eighty eight wins. I'm good at math,
- 9:42Speaker 3: got it exactly right, first try. Eighty eight wins. It's
- 9:45Speaker 3: incredible and it's a testament to the organization obviously. But
- 9:50Speaker 3: what I found so fast in what I wrote about
- 9:52Speaker 3: why we're talking about this is all the smartest peaceful
- 9:55Speaker 3: in baseball, all these brilliant minds that make these models
- 9:59Speaker 3: in prediction, which by the way, are usually very accurate,
- 10:03Speaker 3: things like Pakoda, things like Fangrass. This really surprising. I
- 10:07Speaker 3: had never really looked into this that closely. They're generally
- 10:10Speaker 3: really accurate. Something like twenty five teams of the thirty
- 10:15Speaker 3: Fangrass is accurately predicted on average within like three to
- 10:20Speaker 3: four wins a year over the last ten years. Like
- 10:23Speaker 3: they are good, but not with the Brewers. They no
- 10:26Speaker 3: one predicts the Brewers. Every model says they're not going
- 10:29Speaker 3: to be good, and every year they're good. At some point,
- 10:32Speaker 3: like you said, you just got to say, maybe there's
- 10:34Speaker 3: something we're just not seeing.
- 10:36Speaker 4: But let's let's make sure that everybody knows Pakoda and
- 10:40Speaker 4: all those things. Three to four wins. You know the
- 10:43Speaker 4: difference between three to four wins the Mets still have
- 10:47Speaker 4: all of their coaches in their organization. That's one win
- 10:50Speaker 4: they would have made the playoffs. Three to four wins,
- 10:52Speaker 4: you're talking about a team that has been out of
- 10:54Speaker 4: the playoff race for you know, a week at the
- 10:57Speaker 4: end of the season and in it, you know, so
- 11:01Speaker 4: I get it that the Brewers nobody's been able to
- 11:04Speaker 4: predict it. But do you think this year because all
- 11:07Speaker 4: the models have them going higher? I mean, I think
- 11:10Speaker 4: the last four years the Brewers have been seventy seven
- 11:14Speaker 4: or less wins predicted, and this year a lot of
- 11:16Speaker 4: the models I think had them anywhere from eighty one
- 11:20Speaker 4: to eighty three wins. Do you think now the computer's
- 11:23Speaker 4: gonna be wrong and they're gonna below those wins?
- 11:25Speaker 3: I think they're gonna be above. They're on pace for
- 11:28Speaker 3: eighty eight right now, and they've got they're on pace
- 11:31Speaker 3: for eighty eight with like so many of their big
- 11:34Speaker 3: players injured right Chario just came back. They have been
- 11:37Speaker 3: totally sneaked earlier this season. I think if you told them,
- 11:41Speaker 3: like when they started having all these guys go down,
- 11:44Speaker 3: their attitude is like, let's just try to tread water
- 11:46Speaker 3: until they come back, and if we're sort of still
- 11:48Speaker 3: hanging in there when those guys come back, we'll be fine.
- 11:51Speaker 3: They did better than that. They're three games over five hundred,
- 11:53Speaker 3: Like they're not running away with it again, they aren't
- 11:55Speaker 3: fourth placed in that really bizarrely competitive and al central,
- 12:00Speaker 3: but they did more than just tread water. And now
- 12:02Speaker 3: those guys are starting to come back. And you know,
- 12:05Speaker 3: from talking to a lot of people about this, and
- 12:07Speaker 3: the Brewers just fascinate me for so many reasons, not
- 12:11Speaker 3: least of all sort of the labor implications of all
- 12:14Speaker 3: of this, which is obviously always front of mine for
- 12:17Speaker 3: me at the Wall Street Journal. How are they doing this?
- 12:20Speaker 3: And it's actually very interesting, right, how do these projections work? Right?
- 12:24Speaker 3: They look at players, they predict how players are going
- 12:27Speaker 3: to perform, and based on that, it spits out a number.
- 12:30Speaker 3: And those models followed like a pretty usually a rule
- 12:34Speaker 3: that's pretty hard and fast, which is players that have
- 12:37Speaker 3: been good in the past will continue to be good
- 12:40Speaker 3: and players that haven't been so good in the past
- 12:42Speaker 3: will continue to be not so good. That's generally what
- 12:45Speaker 3: happens in baseball. Of course, like aging curves happen, but
- 12:48Speaker 3: generally you are with the back of your baseball card
- 12:50Speaker 3: says you are. The Brewers have had this unbelievable track
- 12:54Speaker 3: record at digging through the dumpster of other team's rosters,
- 12:59Speaker 3: finding guys that never done anything in the major leagues,
- 13:01Speaker 3: seeing something that apparently no one else sees, acquiring them
- 13:05Speaker 3: for next to nothing in a trade that no one
- 13:07Speaker 3: even notices when it happens, and suddenly that guy is awesome, Right,
- 13:11Speaker 3: it was Quinn Priester, It's Kyle Harrison. It seems like
- 13:15Speaker 3: every year they like find a guy or two that
- 13:18Speaker 3: had never done anything previously that gets to Milwaukee and
- 13:22Speaker 3: is suddenly really good. So of course production models, can't
- 13:26Speaker 3: you acknowledge that they see Kyle Harre, they see Kyle Harrison,
- 13:29Speaker 3: they see a guy that's been in the big leagues
- 13:32Speaker 3: for three years as the era of like four and
- 13:33Speaker 3: a half, they saw Quinn Preserve, a guy that in
- 13:36Speaker 3: the era of like six up to the point got
- 13:39Speaker 3: to Milwaukee. Suddenly they're really good, And that's a testament
- 13:42Speaker 3: to their scouting. Like the things they are doing, they
- 13:46Speaker 3: are clearly seeing things and players other teams are not,
- 13:49Speaker 3: And like, if you're gonna spend as little as them,
- 13:51Speaker 3: you kind of have to do that.
- 13:52Speaker 4: I guess, Jared, you just you just complimented me more
- 13:56Speaker 4: than you know the fact that the Brewers went into
- 13:59Speaker 4: a dumpster to get me in a trade from Triple
- 14:03Speaker 4: a with the Yankees, So I could not I could
- 14:06Speaker 4: not appreciate that more saying that I was dumpster diver fodder.
- 14:09Speaker 3: So hey, they wanted you on that team for a reason,
- 14:13Speaker 3: and it worked pretty well for you guys that year,
- 14:15Speaker 3: so they.
- 14:15Speaker 4: Were weren't not great for me. I got another half
- 14:17Speaker 4: a year in the big league, so that was great.
- 14:19Speaker 4: But my question for you is the column that you
- 14:23Speaker 4: just released this morning about somebody that we lost in
- 14:25Speaker 4: Ted Turner, another baseball fixture. But can you talk to
- 14:30Speaker 4: us about your favorite part of that column about Ted Turner,
- 14:34Speaker 4: the owner of the Braves.
- 14:36Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, yes, So I h you know, like
- 14:40Speaker 3: I guess, like many has always heard this story about
- 14:43Speaker 3: Ted Turner managed the Braves. Once. Didn't really think much
- 14:47Speaker 3: of it. It just sounded very weird. But in the way
- 14:49Speaker 3: he give his death, I said, all right, this is
- 14:50Speaker 3: a good time to sort of dive into this. How
- 14:53Speaker 3: did Ted Turner end up managing the Brave? So over
- 14:55Speaker 3: the last couple of days, I've been tracking down a
- 14:59Speaker 3: you know, any of the players that were on that
- 15:02Speaker 3: and not Braves lineup that day May eleventh, nineteen seventy seven. Thankfully,
- 15:07Speaker 3: almost all of them are still alive, and all but
- 15:09Speaker 3: one is still alive. They're all in their mid seventies
- 15:12Speaker 3: or so. I was able to track a whole bunch
- 15:14Speaker 3: of them down, and I didn't know how much I
- 15:17Speaker 3: remember what they would have to say. This was fifty
- 15:20Speaker 3: years ago. To a man, they all had the most
- 15:23Speaker 3: unbelievable not only recollection of this, but just stories of
- 15:27Speaker 3: this insane day where they show up at the ballpark
- 15:29Speaker 3: and Ted Turner's wearing a brave jersey, has a big
- 15:32Speaker 3: thing a chaw on his cheek, and he's wearing Cado
- 15:34Speaker 3: Gaston's shoes. They didn't have any spikes of his own,
- 15:37Speaker 3: and he says he's going to manage the team. And
- 15:39Speaker 3: what was so crazy about all these conversations? And I
- 15:42Speaker 3: always bring it back to Labor. I know it's crazy
- 15:44Speaker 3: to bring this back to Labor is fifty years ago.
- 15:47Speaker 3: I talked to all these guys about Ted Turner, former players,
- 15:51Speaker 3: and to say that they loved Ted Turner is a
- 15:54Speaker 3: complete understatement. And this left me absolutely shocked. This guy
- 15:58Speaker 3: was the owner of the ball clay and if you
- 16:00Speaker 3: talk to any players about owners now, first of all,
- 16:03Speaker 3: they're not going to put their name behind and talking
- 16:04Speaker 3: about any owners. Probably now, you do not hear this
- 16:08Speaker 3: kind of sort of positive talk about an owner of
- 16:11Speaker 3: a baseball team like you do. Ad these guys talking
- 16:15Speaker 3: about Ted Turner, you know, guys telling me that Ted
- 16:18Speaker 3: Turner put the down payment down on their first house
- 16:21Speaker 3: because they couldn't afford it. I'll take care of it
- 16:23Speaker 3: for you. I want you to live in Atlanta so
- 16:25Speaker 3: you could be near of the team. Guys saying that
- 16:27Speaker 3: like to it like the whole team. They worked at
- 16:30Speaker 3: his TV stations in the offseason those days. Guys weren't
- 16:33Speaker 3: making a lot of money. A lot of them needed
- 16:36Speaker 3: extra money in the office. That come work in my
- 16:37Speaker 3: DV station. I'll make sure that you have a year
- 16:40Speaker 3: round income. He would play poker with them on the
- 16:43Speaker 3: back of the plane, go out drinking with them after games.
- 16:46Speaker 3: That's the owner of the team, right, So I expected
- 16:49Speaker 3: when I talked to all these guys, they were all
- 16:50Speaker 3: gonna like make fun of him for thinking they could
- 16:53Speaker 3: manage the team. It was the opposite. A couple of
- 16:55Speaker 3: guys telling me they wish he was allowed to manage
- 16:57Speaker 3: the team for the full season because they think he
- 16:59Speaker 3: would have done a good job. If the league had
- 17:01Speaker 3: led him. I was just shocked to hear that sort
- 17:04Speaker 3: of positive talk from former ballplayers about a major League
- 17:08Speaker 3: Baseball owner. Kind of makes you wonder, like, man, things
- 17:11Speaker 3: have changed a lot in the last fifty years in
- 17:12Speaker 3: this game.
- 17:14Speaker 5: Yeah, that was that was gonna be. My question to
- 17:16Speaker 5: you was is what kind of field did you get
- 17:18Speaker 5: from the guys, Because I mean, I know they It's
- 17:20Speaker 5: one thing to like your owner and to be a
- 17:23Speaker 5: fan of them, but to have that guy come in
- 17:26Speaker 5: and step into a baseball specific role that he's probably
- 17:31Speaker 5: not familiar with at all. They still felt like this
- 17:35Speaker 5: was the guy that could come in and manage the team,
- 17:37Speaker 5: that they were looking forward to him being the manager,
- 17:40Speaker 5: even though it was just one game.
- 17:42Speaker 3: I think they knew that, look, he had a lot
- 17:45Speaker 3: to learn. This is the guy that knew really nothing
- 17:47Speaker 3: about baseball. And look, for the most part, he was
- 17:50Speaker 3: manager and name only. In many ways, he handed off
- 17:53Speaker 3: a lot of the strategy to his coaches. At least
- 17:56Speaker 3: he was smart enough to know what he didn't know,
- 17:58Speaker 3: which is about baseball very much nothing. You know, one guy,
- 18:01Speaker 3: Jerry Royster is the shortstop on that team, said, you know,
- 18:04Speaker 3: he wanted to defeat he did this because he really
- 18:06Speaker 3: wanted to know really what a manager did and what
- 18:09Speaker 3: it actually took. The team was on a sixteen game
- 18:11Speaker 3: losing streak at the time, and he just wanted to
- 18:14Speaker 3: get a first hand look at all, Right, what is
- 18:18Speaker 3: this job right? Because clearly the guy I have doing
- 18:20Speaker 3: it is not working. We've lost sixteen games in a row.
- 18:23Speaker 3: I mean that makes the Mets of April. That's you know,
- 18:27Speaker 3: that makes him look good. Sixteen games and sixteen losses
- 18:30Speaker 3: in a row. And he learned. He learned very quickly that,
- 18:34Speaker 3: like there, it is a hard job and you do
- 18:36Speaker 3: need knowledge. But Ted Turner was a pretty smart guy.
- 18:39Speaker 3: After he was told by the National League you cannot
- 18:42Speaker 3: manage right, the league kibosh at the next day, I said,
- 18:45Speaker 3: you cannot do this the violation of some obscure role
- 18:48Speaker 3: who knows He apparently from what I was told, asked
- 18:52Speaker 3: the commissioner and the Nation League president. Can I go
- 18:55Speaker 3: down to the minor leagues and manage for the whole
- 18:58Speaker 3: year so I could learn the job and then come
- 19:01Speaker 3: back next year? And they told him no. Was the
- 19:03Speaker 3: idea that this guy who's like was at least theoretically
- 19:07Speaker 3: willing to go like manage in double A for a
- 19:10Speaker 3: whole year, just to like learn what it takes to manage.
- 19:12Speaker 3: That's the guy with a lot of confidence. Maybe it
- 19:14Speaker 3: takes that kind of confidence to become a billionaire, you know,
- 19:17Speaker 3: I don't know. He obviously was pretty good at a
- 19:18Speaker 3: lot of stuff. Considering at least are the business man,
- 19:21Speaker 3: he was pretty good. Maybe you could have figured out
- 19:23Speaker 3: managing too. Is there an owner?
- 19:26Speaker 4: And I know you don't know all the owners, but
- 19:28Speaker 4: do you feel like there's an owner that you see
- 19:30Speaker 4: on the surface that could possibly do this. I'm not
- 19:34Speaker 4: saying have success, because being a manager is a difficult thing,
- 19:38Speaker 4: especially if you're the same one that's writing the checks
- 19:41Speaker 4: to the players and you just had to tell a
- 19:43Speaker 4: player you're not getting the same amount of money as
- 19:45Speaker 4: you wanted. But is there an owner? Do you feel
- 19:47Speaker 4: like there's an owner out there now that you've seen
- 19:50Speaker 4: that would step in or that could or have the
- 19:53Speaker 4: have the brass to be able to step in and
- 19:55Speaker 4: be a manager?
- 19:57Speaker 3: Zero percent? Literally you want to observe I knew that,
- 20:02Speaker 3: zero hopes. Don't you know? You know these guys, you
- 20:06Speaker 3: know some of them? Could any of these how many
- 20:08Speaker 3: of these guys know anything about baseball. Not most of
- 20:11Speaker 3: them know anything about baseball.
- 20:13Speaker 4: The best one anything or care about the game. Are
- 20:17Speaker 4: just big fans. That doesn't make you a good manager.
- 20:20Speaker 4: That is that is totally different to be a good owner. Look,
- 20:24Speaker 4: being a good owner.
- 20:26Speaker 3: It's actually it's a very important job. Like you need
- 20:29Speaker 3: you need a good owner to be a successful baseball
- 20:31Speaker 3: team as any team of the bad owners fan based
- 20:33Speaker 3: guite right. But here's how you be to be a
- 20:36Speaker 3: big owner. You spend money, you hire smart people, and
- 20:40Speaker 3: you do nothing but sign the checks. That's what you
- 20:43Speaker 3: need to do. If you could do that, you're a
- 20:44Speaker 3: good owner. There's plenty of owners that spend money but
- 20:47Speaker 3: then to think they know more about baseball than they
- 20:49Speaker 3: do and start meddling and meddling. And there's plenty of
- 20:52Speaker 3: voters that won't spend. Only the good ones will spend.
- 20:57Speaker 3: But let the baseball people make all the decisions. I
- 20:59Speaker 3: think it. You know, these guys, if you're if you're
- 21:02Speaker 3: a billionaire and you have enough money to buy a
- 21:03Speaker 3: baseball team, I think you have a you know, I
- 21:06Speaker 3: think you kind of think you know a lot about
- 21:08Speaker 3: a lot of things because you've made billions of dollars.
- 21:10Speaker 3: I understand if I had a billion dollars, I'd probably
- 21:12Speaker 3: think I was pretty smart too.
- 21:16Speaker 1: My guess is I mean and this isn't for manager,
- 21:19Speaker 1: this is just for knowing the game. There's probably like
- 21:21Speaker 1: five out of thirty owners that I feel like you
- 21:23Speaker 1: can have.
- 21:23Speaker 2: Like a really good ball talk with.
- 21:26Speaker 1: I've had a couple. John Middleton knows ball. Philly's Milton
- 21:30Speaker 1: you can you can get pretty nitty gritty wit nos.
- 21:32Speaker 1: Jim Crane noseball Astros owner, you can get real nitty
- 21:35Speaker 1: gritty with him too.
- 21:36Speaker 2: Those are just two that come to mind.
- 21:38Speaker 1: One that I've had a conversation with where I'm like, oh,
- 21:40Speaker 1: this person could just get a mic for an hour
- 21:43Speaker 1: and talk right. Maybe broadcast would be better for them
- 21:45Speaker 1: than managed. Still a different story.
- 21:48Speaker 3: Knows how knows how knows baseball?
- 21:51Speaker 2: Yep, Okay, so we got we got a few guys.
- 21:53Speaker 3: Could have been around the game. We've been around the
- 21:55Speaker 3: game long enough. Guy like Hal he was basically born
- 21:58Speaker 3: into this, right, you would think, right, just by Osmosis,
- 22:00Speaker 3: who would pick up something over the last you know,
- 22:03Speaker 3: fifty years.
- 22:04Speaker 2: Right, you grow up with it.
- 22:05Speaker 3: Maybe the new Padres guy is a baseball genius possible,
- 22:11Speaker 3: Probably not, but you never know.
- 22:13Speaker 2: He's been watching a lot of soccer for years. Baseball.
- 22:17Speaker 3: We're not in on him. We'll find out.
- 22:21Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, he might be a good owner. I'm not sure. Yeah,
- 22:23Speaker 1: and yeah, I'm not sure about his ball knowledge yet.
- 22:26Speaker 1: But TVD TBD I like this for a segment in
- 22:28Speaker 1: the future, so we'll have to have jired back on
- 22:30Speaker 1: which owner is actually no ball might be a perfect love,
- 22:34Speaker 1: perfect love all Street Journal, Jired, great stuff, dude, awesome,
- 22:38Speaker 1: awesome catching up with you.
- 22:39Speaker 2: Have a great weekend. We'll catch you soon.
- 22:40Speaker 3: Okay, thanks, Guy's good chatting with you.