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Latest / The Federal Reserve Podcast with Fexingo: Interest Rates, FOMC Meetings, and Monetary Policy

Why the Fed Is Watching the Six-Month Eurodollar Curve

Episode 98 of The Federal Reserve Podcast digs into a specific market signal the Fed is watching closely right now: the six-month Eurodollar futures curve. With the fed funds rate stuck at 3.63 percent and the ten-year Treasury yield climbing to 4.48 percent, the Eurodollar curve has flattened sharply — suggesting the market doubts the Fed will cut rates anytime soon. Lucas and Luna explain what Eurodollar futures are, why the six-month tenor matters for monetary policy transmission, and how this curve has historically predicted turning points before the FOMC acts. They also touch on the…

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