Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3921 Iran’s Bluff COLLAPSES as Trump Tightens the Screws and COUP Takes Over Tehran!!!

Transcript

Ep. 3921 Iran’s Bluff COLLAPSES as Trump Tightens the Screws and COUP Takes Over Tehran!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: It almost seems impossible.
• 0:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: President Trump and giving Iran more time is actually delivering the most devastating strategic blow of this entire war, because what looks on the surface like a genuine ceasefire extension, like patience, restraint, like Trump giving Iran one more chance.
• 0:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: is in reality something far more calculated, something far more methodical, far more lethal to the regime than any bomb that has yet been dropped.
• 0:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: When you understand what Trump is actually doing and why he's doing it, what looks like mercy actually reveals itself as a master stroke, so staggering that when the full picture comes into focus, your jaw is going to drop.
• 1:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patre professor here to help you make sense of the madness with breaking news and analysis.
• 1:18
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• 1:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: So yesterday, just hours before the original two weeks ceasefire was set to expire, President Trump announced an open-ended extension.
• 1:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: of the U.S. Iran ceasefire via true social siding two primary reasons.
• 1:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: First, he's fulfilling the personal request of Pakistan's Army Chief Field Marshal, Ashim Munair and their prime minister Shabash Sharif, who are serving as mediators and asked Washington a whole military action to Iran could come up with a unified proposal.
• 1:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then secondly, Trump's own acknowledgement that Iran's government is in his words
• 2:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: And therefore, incapable producing a coherent negotiating position at this time.
• 2:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, critically, the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports continues in full force.
• 2:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: And it is not part of the pause.
• 2:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: SENTCOM confirmed 28 ships have now been turned around or returned to ports since the blockade began on April 13.
• 2:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, within hours of Trump's announcement of the extended ceasefire, Iran actually seized two vessels in the straight of Hormuz, Panama flag vessel in the Liberia flag vessel, both ships were then escorted at gunpoint into Iranian territorial waters.
• 2:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, the latest is that the ceasefire, according to President Trump, is only get a last for the next few days.
• 2:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's going to be temporary given how Iran continues to provoke oil tankers in the region in Hormuz particularly, but in the end, it really doesn't matter what President Trump decides to do.
• 3:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's what you have to get in all of this.
• 3:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: As long as that boa constrictor-like blockade squeezes Iran,
• 3:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're already shattered economy loses nearly half a billion dollars a day in oil revenue.
• 3:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so that's why, by the way, Treasury Secretary Scott Baslin, he's going this phase of the war operation economic fury.
• 3:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: As President Trump has made clear, the United States Navy will continue its blockade of Iranian ports.
• 3:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: and Scott Bassen is warning that within a matter of day's car guidelines, oil storage is going to reach full capacity at which point Iran's fragile oil wells will be forced to shut down entirely.
• 3:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: While the Treasury Department simultaneously presses forward with its economic fury campaign to systematically degrade Tehran's ability to generate move and repatriate funds, threatening sanctions, exposure on any personal vessel, facilitating covert Iranian trade and finance flows, and pledging to continue freezing the assets stolen by the regime from the Iranian people.
• 4:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that's absolutely key to the entire strategy here.
• 4:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: Starving Iran means starving the regime.
• 4:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is what a lot of the critics of the war don't get, okay?
• 4:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: This isn't so much about making life hard for the average Iranian.
• 4:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: Unfortunately, that is part of it.
• 4:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: But the key objective here is to starve the regime of its capacity to maintain its security machine.
• 4:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: It prevents the RGC soldiers from getting paid.
• 4:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: It staves the regime of its capacity to export revenue to its regional proxies, like Hezbollah and Khmasin-the-Houthis, and it promotes infighting among the regime over scarce resources.
• 4:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that's exactly what President Trump alluded to there, that the regime
• 4:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: is completely fractured.
• 5:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: There is no single coherent comprehensive regime in place at the moment.
• 5:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's only competing factions.
• 5:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: What actually appears to be happening here is that there are three separate wars that are broken out inside Iran that have all ignited simultaneously.
• 5:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: So you've got a war between the IRGC and the civilian government so that there were reports that President Pizashkin and their foreign minister effectively under House arrest.
• 5:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: Right now as we speak.
• 5:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: You got a war between the military and the clerical establishment, the mollas, again, there are reports that the RGC has effectively taken over and marginalized the mollas and of course you've got an ongoing war between the entire regime led now by the RGC and the people that it's ruled for 47 years.
• 5:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now this has been Trump's strategy all along even before the first bomb dropped.
• 5:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: it's known as a classic double squeeze.
• 5:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: So the regime has been strained both internally and externally for months now.
• 6:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: So internally, originally months ago by Trump's statements at solidarity with the people when they were rising up in Iran and January saying that he was with them and would protect them and they're rising up against the regime.
• 6:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then externally in terms of U.S. forces amassing around Iran.
• 6:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: And now the regime, as a result of the full force of that double squeeze, the regime is indeed cracking up with zero off ramps, by the way.
• 6:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: So at one level in the first war between the IRGC and the more moderate elected wing of Iran's government.
• 6:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: The IRGC is deliberately thwarting the moderates in their ability to negotiate with the Trump administration because by doing so, they end up destroying the ideological legitimacy of the IRGC.
• 6:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: We talked about this a lot lately, which is the theology, the inherent Shiite theology that they've been ordained by God to destroy the Great Satan.
• 7:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: the surrendering of the legitimacy of that ideology, so war number one is the IRGC versus what remains the civilian government, and it's no longer subtle.
• 7:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're doing everything IRGC is doing everything they possibly can to protect or
• 7:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: Legendimacy, so President Mesut Pazashky and the elected President of Iran, he's basically been systematically stripped of authority from the inside, and a foreign minister, our ROGG, has been sideline.
• 7:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: So the IRGC is doing everything they can to basically maintain the legitimacy of their ideology that they've been ordained by God to destroy the Great Satan, not to negotiate with them.
• 7:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: War number two is between the clergy and the IRGC, and this one cuts to the very soul of what the Islamic Republic was always supposed to be.
• 8:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Mullahs built the state, right?
• 8:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Revolution 1979 was their revolution, Ayatollah Commandian, all, the concept of rule by the supreme Islamic jurist, a council,
• 8:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: of Islamic experts.
• 8:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: That was their theological invention, basically a Supreme Court made up of Mullas.
• 8:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: But now for the first time, the IRGC is running around without them.
• 8:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the Mullas have realized something terrifying at the Islamic regime can persist without Islamic clerical leadership than the Islamic part of the equation was always window dressing.
• 8:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: And what they're watching unfold in real time is the conversion of a theocracy into a bonafide military dictatorship, not gradually, not theoretically, but now visibly in front of them and they can't stop it.
• 8:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: But if those two wars seem bad enough, nothing, ultimately compares to war number three.
• 9:02
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• 9:08
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• 11:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: War number three is in the streets and this is where things become something entirely different because the people filling the streets of Tehran is Fahhan, Mashaad and over 200 cities across all 31 provinces Iran are not the regime's foreign enemies, they are fellow citizens and they have had it with the regime and for good reason power cuts in Tehran now last up to 12 hours a day food prices of
• 11:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hospitals are reporting medicine shortages, cancer treatments have been suspended, and President Pasechian reportedly told IRGC commanders directly that if a ceasefire is not reached the economy will completely collapse within three to four weeks.
• 11:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: But here's the moment that should send a child on the spine of every molest still left in Tehran.
• 11:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: in city after city, in squares and intersections across the country, people began chanting for the return of the Shaw, not quietly, not an isolated corners, but openly, because the entire founding mythology of the Islamic Republic, the entire reason this regime exists was built on the destruction of the Shaw's monarchy.
• 12:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: And if 47 years later Iranians are publicly saying they want back what was overthrown, the Revolution's legitimacy has not just weakened, it is completely inverted.
• 12:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so look at what Trump has engineered with methodical, almost surgical precision.
• 12:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: he destroyed Iran's hair defenses.
• 12:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: He destroyed its nuclear infrastructure.
• 12:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: He destroyed its missile arsenal.
• 12:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: We're talking a half trillion dollar fifty year investment wiped out in the opening weeks of Operation Epic Fury.
• 12:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then when talking produced nothing but IRGC stall tactics and Islamabad theatrics,
• 12:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump implemented the naval blockade, which is we covered the other day, has now shown it has real teeth.
• 13:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: We're talking disabling fire, marine boarding parties, seized vessels, and that blockade is costing around an estimated $435 million per day in lost revenue against an inflation rate that was already running above 50% before the conflict began.
• 13:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so this Trumpian trap is perfect.
• 13:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: And it's a three-door trap with no good door.
• 13:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: If the IRGC fight, if they send missile storm tankers, resume attacks on US forces, Trump takes out their bridges, he takes out their power plants, whatever remains of their military infrastructure.
• 13:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: If they surrender and accept Trump's terms, the IRGC's ideological credibility implodes overnight.
• 13:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: And if they just continue to stall if they play the long game, they lose $435 million every single day and they're already tattered economy collapses.
• 14:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Every road leads to the same destination, every single one, and that's the collapse of the regime.
• 14:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: And so with the internal shattering of the regime happening in these three different civil wars as it were, and then with the external squeeze happening with their entire military infrastructure following apart and their economy collapsing.
• 14:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: I think Victor Davis Hansen's absolutely right.
• 14:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: He sees the regime in the same position as the Japanese in 1945 when MacArthur handed the Japanese their terms surrender back in September of that year in Tokyo Bay.
• 14:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: In the end, Japan just didn't have choices anymore.
• 14:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: They didn't get to negotiate.
• 14:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: They didn't get to barter.
• 14:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: They looked around at what was left of their empire.
• 15:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: and they surrendered unconditionally.
• 15:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: And Hanson argues with complete conviction that Iran is in precisely that position right now.
• 15:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: The key to understand what Trump is doing is that we're not negotiating, we're dictating.
• 15:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: So this is why the IRGC simply can't comply to do so would be suicide.
• 15:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: And they'd rather do suicide on their own terms.
• 15:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: And keep in mind, the suicide is not for the moderates, but it is for the Mullas and it is for the military.
• 15:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: As far as the Mullas and military concern, it's over.
• 15:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: Surrender means it's over.
• 15:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: So when the meantime, Trump just patiently waits as a regime collapses both externally and internally.
• 15:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: And there is literally nothing, absolutely nothing.
• 15:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: They can do.
• 15:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of The Turley Talks Podcast.
• 16:02
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• 16:15
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