Latest / Construcción Plural - Radio Trend Topic / Construcción Plural - Programa 1124
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- 0:01Plural construction, the renowned journalistic program of political analysis and currentity led by Fernando
- 0:10Mauri, just to a team of prestigious analysts in its eleventh each season you
- 0:18listen to it for thirty ends s For example, you know how much the
- 0:31one kilo of meat is worth. I don' t do shopping today.
- 0:34I don' t know or you know how much they take a minimum ticket.
- 0:39You know how much a minimum retirement is. No, and you'
- 0:46re supposed to know that. I' m not telling you to see.
- 0:47You don' t know because you' re in the big lines or because
- 0:51you' re not, because I look at the numbers added. Yeah,
- 0:53so as the gallons of numbers clear I, then I look at a thousand
- 0:57aggregate terms, then I don' t look at particular numbers. Chiquitoso,
- 1:00that is, because that is where to have the sensitivity of the people,
- 1:11also sensitivity, sensitivity of what we lack, of how about my friends,
- 1:14very but very good afternoon welcome to the excel of my law, to the
- 1:18adjustment, hard and hard this consumption that there was three comma five percent in
- 1:23February is another fact of all the economic data, an inflation that apparently is
- 1:26again low, but much less of that accelerated but low at the end or
- 1:30to stay the same as that of February thirteen and peak in March and well
- 1:36there we will walk in this pl opening construction. During the week. I
- 1:40propose in a little while to talk with the director of the consulting firm of
- 1:42Polorquia, Eduardo Fidanza, one of the most renowned opinions in the field of
- 1:49social and political analysis. He as I say director of polyarchy and in the
- 1:53second, second hour. Secondly, what we will already be in the second
- 1:55major will be talking with our columnist in judicial matters. Not even the current
- 2:01quibu of the hour. The markets are always quiet. It happens again if
- 2:05the one counted on like, which goes up one point, eighty- two,
- 2:07almost two points two percent, passes the barrier again in two thousand one
- 2:10hundred is in one thousand one hundred two. Right now, as I say,
- 2:15the one with Liqui, the Doral Blue stays there. In a thousand
- 2:19twenty, the opposition plans to discuss the provisional provisional formula in committee and wants
- 2:24to move forward with their own projects in deputies. It says INFOAE. We
- 2:29' ll see, we' ll see later the pissed offs, the banks
- 2:36went back down the fixed- term rates. How many Francello' s main
- 2:38feet pay. I think about Miley' s government, the measures were more
- 2:42than necessary. Well, if that' s what franch says, it was
- 2:46the presidential spokesman who announced the government. There is how important I know to
- 2:47change the name to c Eck, to the Néstor Kisnar Denga Cultural Center until
- 2:54when the super population of Mosquitos lasted and it can happen in Santas week if
- 3:00six days come. We will be here on Thursday and also on Tuesday next
- 3:02week. But, well, there' s the whole six- day thing.
- 3:08For many of us, in part I also rest, but on the
- 3:12other hand not so much. But, well, there' s always there
- 3:15about me passing the denk that happened with the cliny weather at first. Okay,
- 3:20let' s see how it comes. The weather has entered the Weather
- 3:23Service website right now, twenty- four today, they' re pretty cute.
- 3:27Really morning twenty- six Thursday that begins this long and unpublished weekend of
- 3:30six days to see. We are in nineteen, twenty- six for Thursday
- 3:42with sun Friday nineteen, twenty- nine more heat Sunday twenty, twenty-
- 3:47six lower Monday is going to be tighter, cute fifteen twenty and so far
- 3:53the Weather Service arrives with mostly on one side chaparron is possibility on Sunday,
- 3:55nothing more. It' s just Sunday and Thursday and Friday. Eduardo Fidanza,
- 4:00I anticipated you' re going to go out there with him, so
- 4:02it' s going to be a pleasure to talk to Potio' s director,
- 4:06Eduardo. Eduardo, good afternoon, Fernando, greetings, how it goes
- 4:10Hello Fernando, Good afternoon, Good afternoon to your listeners. Well, thank
- 4:14you so much for trying once again to see where I start surprised by this
- 4:20height, by these long ones. You' ve already spent a hundred days
- 4:23of my law on how you' ve faced a little power since a great
- 4:29weakness. But to go to the front with the bras that President Milay has,
- 4:36well. The phenomenon that I am seeing is a government whose sole sustenance
- 4:46is the favour of society, in this case, of public opinion, not
- 4:49by a brightly majority figure. Let us say in some indicators and sixty-
- 4:58forty, in another fifty- five, forty- five that he has supported
- 5:03in that what I would say his audacity, his boldness and his will.
- 5:09We do not know whether it is real or apparent to do something like a
- 5:15revolution in Argentina, not only economic, but fundamentally cultural. He' s
- 5:23doing it the way he doesn' t. He' s doing it well,
- 5:28it looks like he' s getting the initial steps, but there'
- 5:32s, however, I think that distinguish between concrete results and what we could
- 5:42call the communicational part, marketing. And all that because, in concrete terms,
- 5:46what is being seen is that this government was born with null legislative and
- 5:55territorial power and well, it is obviously paying for that weakness to give several
- 6:05things to use over what you said. And it' s not a risk,
- 6:10let' s say we know you don' t have a congress,
- 6:13you don' t have governors. It is not a risk, let us
- 6:15say, to go always with the repeated and remanned discourse of the caste,
- 6:17beyond what it has even in the Government has until when it proposed the son
- 6:21for the Court, etcetera, etcetera. You were saying that public opinion is
- 6:26the only basis for it. Let us say that today, in principle,
- 6:29I would doubt a little bit the sixty forty your fifty- five or forty
- 6:33- five I would say miti mita to be even generous with the Government.
- 6:34But, well, it doesn' t matter. It' s a nuance
- 6:38I say, it' s not a risk, this is that in three
- 6:41months, in four there are improvements, but not so much, and public
- 6:45opinion will start or turn around. And then what you' re going to
- 6:47do, what you' re going to try to do, there' s
- 6:54the question of style, and I think there' s a dilemma. You
- 6:55don' t have Sunday on my profile column. The dilemma is what kind
- 7:00of leadership you will exercise from now on. Javier Miley, he lives himself
- 7:06more like a messiah or a figure. Yes, let' s say it
- 7:15goes ahead thanks to the forces of heaven. In a minority, this figure,
- 7:20as classical sociology has shown, acts above all by its values or convictions.
- 7:28He' s disinterested by the consequences. That is the milay that comes
- 7:34to the Presidency, it is the milay that makes certain decisions in the face.
- 7:41He thinks so. Either it' s part of the story or the
- 7:44sea isn' t, no. No. There' s a concussion there.
- 7:46I think there' s a part that buys it. Clearly, what
- 7:49happens is that politics is very complex and societies are complex. And what I
- 7:58want to tell you is what for me is the fork arrived past and in
- 8:05days of government. We see that the President and his small core are beginning
- 8:11to think so. Two thousand and twenty- five Miley said good. In
- 8:16two thousand and twenty- five I will have the opportunity to consolidate my legislative
- 8:20power, etcetera. What is that thought. It is the thought of a
- 8:26charismatic leader whose consequences of his acts do not interest him, or it begins
- 8:30to be a more rational thought, the more calculated and then one. When
- 8:35you see the last steps of my law, for example, we go from
- 8:41an absolutely unnegotiable adjustment to a fiscal plan. But it turns out that there
- 8:46is now going to be a postponement of the payment of fees. There'
- 8:52s an update, of course, in a very low place. But there
- 8:56is an update or there will be for retirees and suddenly the proposal of a
- 9:01person as controversial as the child. It makes one think that the construction of
- 9:07political power is beginning that is always opaque, or what the culmination of that
- 9:15construction of political power can be. Well, something that is a sociological law
- 9:22that ultimately circulates the elites and that comes questioning an elite that calls it the
- 9:31caste, what can' t help but build its own elite and, therefore,
- 9:35possibly in the future, its own caste. And as far as we
- 9:39can see, that house isn' t going to integrate with clean people,
- 9:46because if something isn' t according to all the background or doesn' t
- 9:52meet their requirements, it' s the judge son himself, so I want
- 9:56to tell you it' s in front of that. But today there is
- 9:58an article, a very interesting note in the nation about what entrepreneurs tell you
- 10:05and what entrepreneurs are silent about my law. Then there are entrepreneurs who are
- 10:13a sector that one must say is a natural ally of such a government.
- 10:18Well, there' s praise, but, underneath, there' s doubt.
- 10:22And one of the doubts is to what extent if one does not have
- 10:28another kind of power, the fickle power that public opinion grants, is truly
- 10:35inconsistent. And then, well, there are a number of issues. There
- 10:39are also observations such as those made by the International Monetary Fund, which the
- 10:46spokesman today rejected. But that, that' s clear, so at the
- 10:52moment, at this point, there' s the government, but for me,
- 10:56starting to build its own power device and then more and more of what
- 11:03came from a communicative point of view and not from a lad. In conclusion,
- 11:09we clarify that it adores or adornment and against record and the Monetary Fund
- 11:13that had spoken of success is important, but lacks attention to the most vulnerable.
- 11:16Or Adorni said that' s not accurate. I asked you to see
- 11:22you said, Villay lives more like a messiah, who goes forward with a
- 11:26minority force in the forces of heaven. You said, a part of society
- 11:28believes it and my law believes it. Or it' s part of the
- 11:31staging. Let' s say Millay himself and his kilos. This I cannot
- 11:37say, because one can analyze events. I' m not in the psychology
- 11:48of my law. I am tempted that I do not understand to think that
- 11:52it is very likely that neither law has a conviction about that and you have
- 12:01a very very strange character, very strange in your psychology, very strange in
- 12:05your way of making decisions and then, very strange in the situation you were
- 12:11in, when the Vice President said without any prejudice who is the little sandwich
- 12:18bouquet. Look at that remark. That' s why it can be a
- 12:24description of what that girl looks like, how the links between the figure are.
- 12:28Because here' s an important issue, Fernando, that governments always ask
- 12:33themselves, what is the mechanism of decision- making Mira. I am not
- 12:39going to mention you, because it is not for me to mention the Government
- 12:45and, if you know it, I ask that we do not mention it.
- 12:46But I was and touched in my professional life advisor to a government,
- 12:52inside the government house and understanding the mechanisms of decision- making. And the
- 12:56decision- making mechanisms are complex. People who you consider not to be idolized,
- 13:05cross hierarchies, etcetera, intervene. Here we have an unprecedented fact of
- 13:13a Secretary in General of the Presidency who has absolutely no precedent, of a
- 13:18President who, for example, unlike what were the entrepreneurs who participated in the
- 13:24Maxi government and the same Macri Bueno, had experience in running companies. Here
- 13:30we know the general dryness, which is very influential, has no experience.
- 13:35The President is also not an Orthodox economist and for me, a very limited
- 13:43economist, because he is an economist dedicated to the macro question, the fiscal
- 13:48question. The profession of economist is much broader than a true economist. He
- 13:52' s a political economist. In the career, in the faculty of economics,
- 13:56in the career the bachelor' s degree in political economies, then I
- 14:03want to say how decisions are made there, what does that mean sandwich ham.
- 14:07Well, we' ve never heard, heard, or literally attended vice
- 14:16presidents who are up against the president. Never that I remember has anyone still
- 14:24Vice- President treated the President in such ironic terms. I must tell you
- 14:31that with the Vice Presidents there is something that is structural and that poet Mario
- 14:39Benedetti remembered or this Uruguayan. Mario Benedetti has a great phrase that says the
- 14:43vice- god is always atheist, but let' s say Villarruel' s
- 14:52atheism is elevated to an ironic place that should a pay attention, because it
- 15:00' s not just a good joke. There are jokes or I was ready,
- 15:01I don' t know. I don' t know either, but
- 15:05let' s say casual or prepared. He doesn' t show up,
- 15:09but it has meaning because he' s talking to us. When, for
- 15:13example, you ask me if the President believes it about himself. I say
- 15:20I don' t know, but at the same time I say its personality
- 15:26is very peculiar and singular and then I put it in the context of the
- 15:31people with whom I interact, et cetera. And if you were a psychoanalyst,
- 15:35you could have a festival. For example, the President. One of
- 15:39their privileged fronts to fight and confront and provoke is the female gender. Right,
- 15:52he' s already had a fight with journalists, he' s had
- 15:56a famous fight, he' s got a fight with the alie, he
- 15:56' s got a cock, and so on. Now Arabic. It seems
- 15:58that the sham is hammed and between two women, that is, it is
- 16:03paradoxical, true, one can imagine, well of gentlemen, a male chauvinist
- 16:08who meets with men and is going to take cellueza with them until late at
- 16:15night and include there all their spite to the women. This isn' t
- 16:17a Mr Te. It seems he despises women, but if only the sand
- 16:21ham and between two women. Well, that' s for you to make
- 16:23up a psychoanalyst more than on the political list the psychological ones, which may
- 16:29not be so difficult. He said it about Durán Barba, a consultant,
- 16:32a colleague of yours told me, I totally subscribe, but I wouldn'
- 16:34t say it. Not as Durán Barba does, Duran Barba, here I
- 16:37have wanted while you were talking has said psychologically recently, my law is getting
- 16:41rid of all the beatings that the father beat him and humped them at school,
- 16:45at school, at the company. He is a person who lived a
- 16:49very tormented childhood with a violent and savage father. He was always chased by
- 16:55the normals in quotation marks and suddenly comes to President. It may be he
- 16:57who pursues others and then was jump against all and a word that characterizes from
- 17:03the righteous and so on, which is cruelty. Not good, yes,
- 17:08my dear Jaime. I think that' s where his hand went a little
- 17:12bit in the sense that we don' t practice psychoanalysis and you see he
- 17:18needs to say it to see the sense of saying it. Let' s
- 17:19say no more than that, no, because if we can' t do
- 17:26a whole analysis I would also say going back to Cristina caba' s character
- 17:30how all the carrio allelite that every personality that moms that we agree with.
- 17:32Ah well, of course. But also look at mine with this, which
- 17:37is a date. I' m not doing it because I don' t
- 17:38have it available. Freud' s quote from the political leader. Even Freud
- 17:45himself said that sometimes the madness of a political leader is functional, that he
- 17:48can even reserve the problems of his societies or lead them to perdition. But
- 17:56let' s see, as some other writer also said that I remember,
- 18:02after forty years of dealing with politicians, politicians who reach the highest levels have
- 18:07what someone called an atom of madness, not that they are crazy. They
- 18:12have a uniqueness that has to do with the passion for power and the willingness
- 18:18to go through all the difficulties to get where they want to go. And
- 18:23that' s one point I would say in common to you of all leaderships,
- 18:29positive and constructive hydrages and destructive and negative leaderships. We complain eduardo of
- 18:36the story k me, something I pose a lot. Maybe it' s
- 18:38a little schematic that I' m saying we' re going over the extremes.
- 18:41It was not that we were on the left, in communism I,
- 18:44but a national and popular account, a government that painted that left tea and
- 18:47passed to this extreme right and where you said it when you passed the marketing,
- 18:51the story, without the flagrance of rock to manipulate the index figures and
- 18:56so on. In three months of government too but I say now we have
- 19:00more story than with Cristina Fernández, almost or requinerismo. I think there is
- 19:06a good explanation there about the question of populism. I wrote the other day.
- 19:11Populism is a polycemic expression. There are many forms of but I think
- 19:17there is a certain agreement when we talk about populism, which is a political
- 19:26leader, so much with charismatic traits, establishes a direct relationship with a people
- 19:33that is in general, a people that is subjected, humiliated and offended.
- 19:37To establish that relationship, summon them, win their belief and take them somewhere,
- 19:47I say they are myths of war and liberation. Well, I think
- 19:55those myths and liberation need so much to build a story that we' ll
- 20:03call an official story. What we are seeing and looked good on Sunday that
- 20:07we came from an official history of crismerism about the military dictatorship and the decade
- 20:15of the seventies, very important, and now we found another official history that
- 20:21wants to revoke the previous one. Well, here' s what' s
- 20:26going on. The two stories of these two populisms, one on the left
- 20:30and the other on the right, are like texts written in stone by the
- 20:41leaders without taking into account what is left in the middle, which are the
- 20:44institutions that, however discredited you exist. So now we' re getting the
- 20:52same look and I' d say it' s the third version in democracy.
- 20:56Why, because first we had to be the one that I her because
- 21:00here we have to say that posionette one. It seems to me that he
- 21:04is the prologue signed by these Sabbaths. Never again, never again in a
- 21:08thousand nine hundred and eighty- three. Then we had the review in two
- 21:15thousand six and now we have a new version. It didn' t go
- 21:22on, but let' s put it this way. In one thousand nine
- 21:26hundred and eighty- three, in that prologue it was said in the seventies
- 21:30there was terrorism only that there was an infinitely worse one. But there was
- 21:37terrorism. From that came what was called the theory of two demons that supposedly
- 21:41equated one and the other local. It was not true, because if anything
- 21:48condemns the first prologue it is State terrorism as infinitely worse. Now we go
- 21:56to the prologue of two thousand and six. What Happens There is practically only
- 22:00State terrorism. Private terrorism is eliminated. Terrorism is as much private terrorism as
- 22:11it was recognized in eighty- three. Now it' s eliminated and it
- 22:15' s more, it' s romanticized, it' s idealized, and
- 22:21now we get to this instance. The military dictatorship is either denied or justified.
- 22:27There was no genocide and the full burden of proof was on private terrorism.
- 22:37Well, really, especially from the Quinerita government and now the Milley government.
- 22:48They are ways to pose the things that they do is hide the truth,
- 22:52prevent balanced judgment and nothing, make a game of power issues that are
- 23:03extremely complex. No, and what' s this for to get thirty percent,
- 23:10with part of his vote on the side, to run the agenda a
- 23:14little bit something from the economy and distract because why me also need a re
- 23:18why he needs to refound something refoundational and when he knows and he likes it,
- 23:22and the only thing that interests my law is the economy. Let'
- 23:26s say the fiscal deficit, let' s get over it, let'
- 23:30s get over it, let' s get over it the fiscal and in
- 23:30inflation right now everything else. I mean, he doesn' t know,
- 23:33he didn' t know the Secretary of Cranes and so many other things.
- 23:34I say why flag in this milay reitero, to distract goes, to leave
- 23:38his own imprint, for his electoral base. There, there we go again.
- 23:45You have to see how decisions are made, you have to see how
- 23:51stories are generated, for example, all this, all this video that we
- 23:56' ve seen. All of this, rather, one has to think that
- 24:03it comes from villain' s victories comes from those who sustain it. To
- 24:07her it is a side, but to me it seems that there is a
- 24:15congruence within that division of labor. Congruence is a far- right government and
- 24:22the far- right is, as we say, a signifier that links a
- 24:32niche with another fact to see let' s think, let' s think
- 24:41about the account of my laws. He specializes in economies, but it is
- 24:44his own, and his judgment has once said so about the military history,
- 24:51since it is already abortion. Now there are things that are frankly interesting to
- 24:59highlight that are n c negruences in this new official story. It is spared,
- 25:08State terrorism is denied and it is paradoxical that my law defines the present
- 25:19State, the caste State, as an association of criminals and forgets that that
- 25:27State is an association of criminals. The known military caste has been denied and
- 25:41only the caste of politics is shown to us. But that' s how
- 25:48things happen, because in these populisms you always have to put the blame outside.
- 25:52I wrote the other day with the crimes we had the sectors concentrated.
- 25:56Now we have the caste. Leader has to base his liberating epic that someone
- 26:06extracts that absolved people is the one who was to blame for the oppression.
- 26:12I give you the myths of war and liberation. Yes, in order to
- 26:18achieve liberation, one must wage war against whom, against the enemies of the
- 26:21people. Yeah, yeah, that' s another thing I got to repeat.
- 26:25The extremes were not rivals. They were enemies, enemies of the homeland
- 26:29with whom nerism and it was with Mila and the legislator that they did not
- 26:32vote for him, etcetera, etcetera. I say and agree with extreme right
- 26:34- wing government. And then, because to me one thing that I'
- 26:37m ashamed of is pretty much the attitudes of radicalism and not to mention pro
- 26:41it seems that to the pro beyond things of style, of rhythmambante things,
- 26:45of the handling of the Twitter, to the right voter of the pro is
- 26:51delighted with Miley, with the abortion of the military, like that the voter
- 26:56who could be more social democratic, more about center, when it was built
- 27:00together by the change, the pros seem, as I would say a first
- 27:03feeling and also happens to me with the people standing almost delighted with having run
- 27:06at night. Then I had and you know the most to the right in
- 27:07part of it or by antiperonism. Let' s just say this is what
- 27:18we call contrariety. I dared you to reverse it. I spontaneously wrote with
- 27:23the left a little earlier for the years that I have that I did with
- 27:32those who wrote with the left I put my hand behind them The boys were
- 27:36forced to write with the right. Then they were called the opposing lcos.
- 27:42Good here. I think we' re witnessing a laundering. Let' s
- 27:51follow Macri, let' s follow what Macre wrote after the Macrie government passed.
- 27:56When the coalition is formed, let' s change. For the first
- 28:04time a politician and a center- right party arrives in government, but let
- 28:11' s say better, a right- wing party that to get there had
- 28:15to go to the center with partners. It is true that they put that
- 28:21as a condition when the experience fails more chris draws a conclusion that now I
- 28:29will tell you that it also logically resembles a conclusion by Nestor Kirshner. I
- 28:33lost because I wasn' t right enough, because I wasn' t severe
- 28:42enough with the fiscal adjustment that wrote him second time. There' s a
- 28:48set of keys to what Macrie said. I failed at the bottom of the
- 28:55failure because I joined with a cart with the radicals, etcetera. And there
- 28:59comes visceral right- wing hatred of social democracy, etcetera. So, now
- 29:07we' re in that phase. There' s a lot of macrista people,
- 29:11they accompany him to more and in that we' re going to bleach.
- 29:14We are on the right and the above was a confusion. There are
- 29:18people from there who are going to take off, because today is the time
- 29:22to serve the rita. He is representing the left wing of that right-
- 29:26wing party and is confluging, in fact, with the exocios that Macrie had
- 29:33in Cambiemos. Okay. This, this is what I think we' re
- 29:37seeing now. What about what we could call social democracy, radicalism. Radicalism
- 29:45is a party that does nothing but repeat its Errors and how I will say
- 29:52whose validity or liligency in society is becoming less and less and that it will
- 30:00cost you more and more to have inside it has determined profile of leaders who
- 30:06consider that the key is not in the logic of the parties, but in
- 30:14the concerns of society. I believe it is being observed in some places of
- 30:21the opposition. How it arrives, how it is the communicative sociological phenomenon that
- 30:29brings Miley to power. One can say I am in the antipodes of my
- 30:34law, but that does not mean, does not recognize and value how oxsider
- 30:42comes to power. It' s true without a party, without structures.
- 30:48Well, then you have to see if there are people who are thinking of
- 30:53me building something similar, but not from the far right, but maybe from
- 31:00a progressive center, etcetera. Because that opportunity exists. What happens today,
- 31:07everything that is a political party and everything that is traditional politics people reject and
- 31:12that is the basis of support for Miley. Despite the economic acts, people
- 31:19have bought the caste. So, anything that looks like Casta won' t
- 31:26be able to make progress in Argentina these days. But, well, you
- 31:30have to see, but it' s not like that. Let' s
- 31:33say good economic result, because I say you speak of caste from the children
- 31:37to the nomination of the son to Burrich, Guillermo Francos, the family mene
- 31:41more until we say a good sense. There' s a subject you have
- 31:47to consider that you possess. We consider it, because you are a mobuen
- 31:51analyst and journalist, which is that you have a phenomenon, which is that
- 31:57I would say so, fat mabelta, two thirds of the population will vote
- 32:04as a phenomenon is called information asymmetry. When you do interviews or do pocus
- 32:13groops, you realize the level of disinformation and disinterest people have in politics and
- 32:19then something else. Once people added leadership like Milay' s. Everything else
- 32:30is justified by my law, for example, I have a reasoning. It
- 32:36seems that in a focus groups the conordinator says well, but Milay, who
- 32:42says he will fight the cacha, is with the menes, who is part
- 32:45of the house, and people can answer well. But if he thought he
- 32:51should be with the menes, you probably know why and maybe that' ll
- 32:55do him good. To end the caste, I mean, people owe you
- 32:59the arguments and the leader is always acquitted by the people who believe in him.
- 33:07Let' s say fifty- five is. All that won' t
- 33:10see the hand in the economic results. I say the kite is very attached
- 33:15to the economic results. Now there' s the risk. There is a
- 33:17risk that inflation may drop significantly, but then the concern for unemployment and poverty
- 33:22grows. Well let' s go to that point in the international casuistry.
- 33:30One of the academic issues that cannot be interesting that serves us for this is
- 33:37the study of what is called the economic vote and the non- economic vote.
- 33:42In general. One can say that for many years and even now,
- 33:47the economic vote is the one that best explains electoral conduct. What I mean
- 33:53is that people vote for a party, that party comes to the government and
- 33:59people then go to the moment of having to re- elect or not take
- 34:04stock of their material situation. If you think you' re better, count
- 34:06it again and it' s worse, vote for someone else. That'
- 34:07s the economic theory. Democracy was formulated in nineteen hundred and fifty- seven,
- 34:13well- explanatory in many cases, but there are other cases and in
- 34:21reality it is seen that the vote is not always explained for economic or material
- 34:27reasons. I' m gonna put the case in there I' d read
- 34:30a study the other day. In the European Union I vote in a number
- 34:34of elections in recent years. Hence the conclusion that the rise of the right
- 34:38has more to do with issues of emigration, identity and economic security. You
- 34:52understand then that is not urban is in Europe is a relatively affluent society.
- 34:55Well, perfect, good observation. Well, it' s not the same
- 35:00as here in Argentina or Chile or so on. True, yes, in
- 35:05societies with these levels of poverty at these levels. In the end of economic
- 35:13frustration, one must think that the economic vote will finally prevail, but one
- 35:17also has to say, however, what we are seeing a hundred days later
- 35:22today is that the economic vote is not prevailing. You don' t vote,
- 35:29but if you vote in the morning, you don' t take back
- 35:32what you pulled out or more. That means that today the vote of who
- 35:36says that good to see cannot be done. I' m a totally wasted
- 35:43position, but it' s lost little popularity, but it' s lost,
- 35:45let' s say, look. I' m going to tell you
- 35:51my law doesn' t have the level of popularity at the three months Macri
- 35:57had, for example. There' s a clear one, there' s
- 36:02an overestimation, but, but Macri' s adjustment is a caress next to
- 36:09setting you. So what we have to ask ourselves is why people resist despite
- 36:15the severity of the adjustment. That is the subject that I believe analysts for
- 36:19the disasters that come from the previous ones. Well, et cetera, et
- 36:24cetera, et cetera. Well, more people, obviously, well. But
- 36:29I' m telling you again, I can' t give specific examples,
- 36:32because there are things you don' t have to tell yourself. I'
- 36:34m telling you in a way that' s a little make- up.
- 36:37In European fascisms in the last century there was also a relationship between voting for
- 36:49this leader because of the economic situation, but also voting for a question of
- 36:52self- esteem. I also vote for it because it identified the S we
- 37:00leave Europe. You will consider those steps in Argentina. The economic vote is
- 37:04not likely today if Miley didn' t do so well, didn' t
- 37:07go down so much in inflation it generates unemployment, maybe it would be strong,
- 37:12let' s say from here a bad one. I tell you again
- 37:14what we have to know that if that support that we see today is not
- 37:19a back- up support to tell you fifty- five to forty- five
- 37:22sixty, which I say if I say fifty or not, they will subscribe
- 37:27there at least fifty- fifty. Not important. First, well, let
- 37:30me tell you it' s there. You' re talking to the director
- 37:32of the consultant who has true, I would say Poliarqa is fine, not
- 37:39to see I would tell you that there is no evidence that the thing is
- 37:43fifty- fifty. Well, then there' s other colleagues of yours there
- 37:47We' re not going to see you dance, because there' s an
- 37:51account that you' re circulating that I' m not going to say the
- 37:53name that' s the one that likes to consume the opposition. No.
- 37:54I agree today. It' s also drawn to the other side. There
- 37:58' s the other one. You. You guys have a picture of Milla,
- 38:02Miley' s personal image. How many have it. Forty- something
- 38:05on as Miley' s personal image is today the best of all political leaders.
- 38:10Along with history you see all the time you watch. I don'
- 38:15t give less, not the weird one when it' s eduardo. I
- 38:19' m not going to cost you napoléca, but I' m sorry I
- 38:22' m going to weird you management. It is rare that management has more
- 38:23support than President Vos himself calls me, don' t make me recite percentage.
- 38:30It' s true that I told you here I' m going to
- 38:35tell you, a couple of indicators that I think are important. One is
- 38:38government approval. That' s why, because it' s a very simple
- 38:43question and I approve of that test. There you are between fifty and five
- 38:49and sixty in favor, and between forty and five, forty and five will
- 38:57find good, forty forty and forty- five against ten. But you ask
- 39:00me a question that is part of the index of confidence in the government,
- 39:04which is done all over the world and is done in the United States 80
- 39:07years ago. You say, tell me what you agree with this sentence.
- 39:13The Government knows how to solve the problems? Secondly, the Government knows how
- 39:19to solve a problem, but it needs time? Thirdly, the Government does
- 39:22not know how to solve the problems? Notice that fifty- eight percent,
- 39:29fifty- nine percent, he' s telling you. The Government knows how
- 39:32to solve problems, but it needs time. And that' s key because
- 39:37people are evading Miley' s government with a time calculation. It' s
- 39:45how you make yourself good, I' m like someone who' s waiting
- 39:50for someone else and they gave two out of a hundred the other day.
- 39:53I' ll say it when there are people who dress up to be a
- 39:57friend, very friend, waiting forty- five minutes. All right. No,
- 40:00no, no, I' m not, no, no, no,
- 40:00no, we have more time. I have to thank you a lot,
- 40:02as always fat. Well, I don' t have a lot of
- 40:05bears. I don' t think I' m buying the polls that give
- 40:07him very bad or the polls that do him very well. I' m
- 40:09trying to get in the middle again and also because they' re serious.
- 40:12He doesn' t lean on the middle. Expectation is one thing and support
- 40:15is another. There should also be expectation. He' s got a lot
- 40:19of society going well with him. Now that doesn' t forgive me if
- 40:22it literally means. Dear Fernando, the qualitative studies of the voters of my
- 40:31law in the second round not what threw it out at the beginning fifty-
- 40:37six are shown. They show and I tell you because I' m skeptical
- 40:44of my research. That callictative shot is showing you a match with the quantitatives,
- 40:50because I' m telling you again the twenty- six percent that added
- 40:54my law to the second round is supporting it. And well, that'
- 40:57s so and it' s a support for now that you don' t
- 41:01notice in fissures. Now, in a month' s time, that'
- 41:04s going to hold on longer. We talked about it, but now it
- 41:07is. Very well, Eduardo, a pleasure, thank you very much for
- 41:10this long report, uh, a hug, Thank you, big hug Eduardo
- 41:15Fidanza and director, and we the polarchía here under construction Pruel, which is
- 41:19as always friendly, lends itself so much and attends us long and long passage
- 41:23of the political, analysis, political, sociological, the judicial issues by our
- 41:28columnist specialist in the matter, where Daniel keper who awaits me online Daniel,
- 41:31Good afternoon, a taste, how he is doing. Good afternoon, Fernando,
- 41:35how are you? Okay, all right, thanks for being like this.
- 41:37Well, let' s see 24 March bows. I don' t
- 41:42know where the real thing wants to go, where I prefer, no,
- 41:45no, you open schedule. You guys are following my friend Good. The
- 41:50issue of the drug traffic and the decisions being put forward by the security minister
- 41:57Patria Burris is something that concerns me. Why it basically means not learning from
- 42:04world historical experience. We can remember that in the year nineteen hundred and seventy
- 42:12- three, the then President of the United States fought the war against the
- 42:16classic narco. The world' s historical experience that security structures have since been
- 42:23set up to fight for drug trafficking and the results of this terrible adverse ante
- 42:32- idorous struggle. Then you have to think of a politis to plan a
- 42:40security policy that speaks different alternatives. Notice that a thousand nine hundred and thirty
- 42:50- three, for example, when alcohol had been banned and that date law
- 42:55measure was lifted. What was achieved, then, was precisely to control a
- 43:02market that had until then been illegal, to end the mafias that had organized
- 43:07around the consumption of alcohol and, moreover, to control the substance that is
- 43:15understood to reach the public in terms of your quality. And this is the
- 43:19proposal that many scholars in the field make to eradicate the alien, which implies
- 43:27the graph of its repatient, to begin to decriminalize the behaviors to regulate the
- 43:36market of this type of substances. Being able to control substances to the public
- 43:42kills the business, because today we have armies that have been armed as the
- 43:47army' s responses to crime. I mean, they' ve been armed.
- 43:51We are responding to this war of States in our classics, and war
- 43:55that produces are dead. It was in the territory that it was clear,
- 44:00and we want to ensure and guarantee peace and security and life the health of
- 44:07every overcome. Militerizing an area is the thing. What will be achieved is
- 44:15to increase the levels of violence. This is what the world experience shows,
- 44:20because it starts with a knife, moves on to a rebolver, then to
- 44:25a mile and then to dominate the territories. The consequence of the policy of
- 44:32ending the war, the release of consumption, on the other hand, will
- 44:38have and these are experiences in the Netherlands, in Portugal, even in Uruguay,
- 44:45is a control of the marking, taking care of the health of the
- 44:49people. What was wanted in one thousand nine hundred and seventy- six will
- 44:53be the war on classic narco basically to prevent the provisibility substance from being in
- 45:01the population and nothing has happened. There has been an increase in consumption,
- 45:07which has encouraged corruption at both the judicial political level and can be trusted,
- 45:14because it has had a negative consequence of the substance that reaches the public.
- 45:17They were not controlled in amounts or quality and this causes death or the quality
- 45:22of the substance. There were several cases or I cannot remember in this regard.
- 45:29Then it seems to me that the simple answer to say we declare the
- 45:36war of plastito aratro is going to bring negative consequences for the rosary society.
- 45:44So, well, yeah, you should develop into a different supply policy.
- 45:52Well, there are a couple of reflexes just today There' s a statement
- 45:54from the Pope. They speak of the Pope. Without the complicity of the
- 45:59political power, economic judge, it would not be possible to reach the situation
- 46:04of Rosario just today on high. Once again, I don' t know
- 46:07which right the spokesman adorns sorry adorni on a lot of points. We probably
- 46:10never agree with the Pope. That is, not coinciding with the diagnoses made
- 46:16by the Holy Father, that I am quite critical of him, but then
- 46:20I agree on the situation of Rosario. And, on the other hand,
- 46:23I wanted to say something that is very sorry. Not Medellin, the Medellín
- 46:27model, which took about twenty years to move from being the most violent city
- 46:30in the world to a model of that day that effectively included different security measures,
- 46:35but also included and here is bad news for me law a lot of
- 46:38budget dedicated to the social, to the educational, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.
- 46:45Don' t be so emotional. We must also develop a social policy
- 46:50that allows narco- trafficking, the criminal narco, as it is doing today,
- 47:00because the State withdraws from support for certain marginal sectors of society, where
- 47:07they find work, where they find covid where they find future. Yes,
- 47:15yes, yes, that record then the best way to avoid this field in
- 47:22our covere I understand in education that, unfortunately, you do not run the
- 47:30hairs that not only in secondary primary school, but also support at the university
- 47:35level. We hear oars in universities because of the lack of budget support.
- 47:42Sport is also part of this area needed to get the boys out of the
- 47:49street, which is another feeling that is being undermined by the policy of this
- 47:53government. Then he fulfilled the security policies that he has first supported in an
- 48:01appropriate social policy, in an educational policy, that allow, since these children
- 48:07of the framework business, that are not the executory dishes, the tragenaries that
- 48:19are discussed, but that are easily replaced, are armed dishes, but that
- 48:24do not interest the head business about his death. If it' s the
- 48:30same, because I' m running, running the business that is my onary
- 48:36and you legas consumption, as many ordinary people suggest, the effect that will
- 48:44wait for you is precisely tar and that violent aspect of the activity of complementing
- 48:53these substances, killing the pocket to drug trafficking and beginning to exercise a fors
- 49:01that depend on how it happened when the icheca was elaborated in nine hundred eighty
- 49:07- three Honnet, beyond being protagonist a series and a film by all known
- 49:17untouchable reflux, precisely tradicated it to him by retrieving that the arrest law lost
- 49:27sense to maintain the force policely in the thirty months and so did the cervera,
- 49:31ready more than fifty years of natographic claw to the volumes. You can
- 49:36say that choosing business operators does not like eliminating or performing black without legal cynicism.
- 49:44Then there is a sort of drug trafficking function by the agencies that must
- 49:50share it. This is what makes production momentous at all political, judicial levels
- 49:55and was the victim in the final plus the most prepared or violent conductions of
- 50:17the moment. How we have been speak pink another debate that has been raised
- 50:25by Daniel and the public crossing after the interview that gave last week' s
- 50:30sensión to Jonathan Iar, the colleague Vice President Victoria of using Ruén, with
- 50:34the compatricias alone regarding the role the participation that bull rychp Escri goode poisonedly,
- 50:38trying to point there from the armed forces with a Vice President who say that
- 50:44they do not want to preserve them, that it is a bit. Apparently
- 50:45he' s very attached to you before the military power, which is a
- 50:49poncho. The feelings of the military. Do not want to get involved well
- 50:52in this debate. How do you think? There is legislation in place,
- 51:00it is provided and it participates well. You couldn' t change how the
- 51:02island is changed. That' s good. Something prea review when there was
- 51:12a great inner shock that is necessary. But I think that for this type
- 51:17of light the armed forces are not so prepared, because it requires selective,
- 51:24prudent intervention and not with a hard bike for using a figurine that is popular
- 51:32at the door today. Nothing is left blank in an open way, leaving
- 51:40unintended consequences or sanctioning. And we have not seen in every armed confrontation that
- 51:47has already taken place throughout history. And here, surgeons are required to intervene,
- 51:54because this structure of our cell- like placite nives. It can'
- 52:02t be a spicy thing and it won' t do anything to you,
- 52:07absolutely nothing to do with your business the attack on the sector measure power the
- 52:16responsibility of everyone who is in it of tinking innocent. Then it is the
- 52:21police forces that must intervene in this struggle, which the armed forces will not
- 52:29be able to do together and there is a historical experience that we can serve,
- 52:36so this twenty- fourth of March has been attempted, which is the
- 52:42intervention of the armed forces in the last dictatorship. We have lived, it
- 52:45is history Ceemos by our own experiences and we know that we must never again
- 52:54keep that phrase as legacies for future generations of security and the Government. In
- 53:04the video they have differed they respect to shoot the actividad of writing with the
- 53:10actividad of the State, song of the State that, on the other hand,
- 53:19caused dead robbery, the appropriation of a whole series of ordinary crimes that
- 53:28cannot be published in a war. In a war there may be detention centres,
- 53:31but they are not clandestine. The number of extensions is reported the public,
- 53:38all here because, all illegal nationals and a destiny in their good cosei
- 53:43the time was sequent history is that a generation of evil I do not know
- 53:52if it was thirty thousand or thirty thousand one. The my different in number,
- 54:00because totally a luxury ran without liquidated from the mode that happens in Argentina.
- 54:07So it' s a historical one that doesn' t have to repeat
- 54:12it any more. It' s two mens yes, a worrying denialism.
- 54:17In fact it appears more on the side of the Vice- President, it
- 54:21is necessary to prove the President, but it does try to be good.
- 54:22What we are talking about returning to the theory of demons, of equated state
- 54:27terrorism with the role is obviously, outside the law of terrifying organizations. Notice
- 54:34that the President really does, yeah, well, yeah, they' re
- 54:42debates he' s going to discuss. The debate is eight, one thousand
- 54:45twenty, one thousand, thirty thousand or thirty- five. Zero doesn'
- 54:50t change. The question is how to stay on discussing the Holocaust figure.
- 54:52Let' s say he pays us, but to analyze, to search,
- 54:59to muddle the thing that changes. That is why I believe that there is
- 55:02a policy of this administration, of the history of what took hold of the
- 55:14ta and it is true that we also had these stages, that there were
- 55:22armed groups of civilians committed crimes, but these are criminals. We can never
- 55:25prepare to birth the State itself using the apparatus of the State, because we
- 55:32open them. We hit the monopoly on the door. Of course you and
- 55:37I can arm ourselves with State again. The expert or a common crime must
- 55:45be punished. That many of the perpetrators of serious crimes were not punished is
- 55:53because they were unswervingly arrested and given death large murders were not subjected. I
- 56:05don' t remember those years that this was a nobel lawyer to put on
- 56:10a corpus avias was playing with the book, because the judges were also indifferent
- 56:16during the leak and changed a form, not throw now. But if there
- 56:22was a leto form, he ended up rejecting all the sas. After armamently
- 56:28he hadn' t given the missing presets. Ora tephonia well, Daniel Bono
- 56:42stayed in the stirrup. Maybe we' ll talk about it next week.
- 56:45Well, there' s mom was a lot for you to cut off and
- 56:49if you long this court caste with the son named forla for the court.
- 56:52Well, if I want a minute' s reflection coming up with that,
- 56:54I' ll leave it to you, we' re closing the program.
- 56:57I was also surprised by the nomination made by the Government beyond the kindness of
- 57:07the proposed individuals. I think there has to be a different representation, it
- 57:16has to give previous satisfaction, it has to give ability to academic degrees that
- 57:22support each one of those destined. There should also be women in the Court
- 57:30who today, with the death of Carmen Actival and the last resignation in Andas
- 57:37have disappeared, the Cortes women appeared, which the Government defends and says well,
- 57:44we want a criminalist, who is also his specialty, as we want
- 57:46a criminalist in the Court. That' s a bit of an argument,
- 57:50some government arguments, but good. But the record' s a strong one.
- 57:58Basically the investigation for its functions and in the Court is insanely necessary.
- 58:06They' re different tasks, but I don' t want to undermine your
- 58:13ability. But I don' t think that' s a good enough argument.
- 58:20To the questions that have all the justices of how drops he also affects
- 58:25the lic judge, let us remember the case of rafa that your name with
- 58:34more résumé than academic, at least happy. The proposal to be a prosecutor
- 58:43to a good man in a fair train. I don' t think I
- 58:50' d have gone to Comodorofía pue de lo mejor te guera la foquen sector
- 58:57de la justicia questional. Thank you so much, as always, please,
- 59:02thanks to your orders. Big hug, big hug. Open Daniel Kepper,
- 59:07here in plural construction, good son, pure judicial caste. Well, that
- 59:12' s how it happened at the quiper before the edord fidanza. We'
- 59:14ll meet you here tomorrow at four o' clock in the afternoon. We
- 59:16will be with Gustavo Ferrer and Golfo are our correspondent in North America and before
- 59:21talking with economist Orlando Ferreres. Thank you, Silvia, garbajarlos for the preproduction,
- 59:25Gracias Gonzalo for the putting in the air. Thank you friend Juan,
- 59:29who will meet us here next week a greeting from Don Pepe that precedes us
- 59:31Tuesday and Thursday, as always consummated without topic. We' re leaving We
- 59:37' ll meet here tomorrow at 4 By Bay. Thank you. Day in
- 59:40the field of the Institute for the Promotion of the Argentina Vaccination Meat in current
- 59:45is meat of league to the world. Thursday, April 11th. Establishment palmite
- 59:50Provincial Route eighty- five to thirty- two kilometers of crossing with Provincial Route
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- 1:00:08eight one, eight hundred nine. We remind you that you can find us
- 1:00:15on social networks, on our website, where we extend our journalistic work.
- 1:00:17We met on Twitter under Nick Arroba. Approaches on Instagram. Fer M two
- 1:00:23thousand twenty- two. Ferm de Fermaury two thousand twenty- two and as
- 1:00:30always where we upload audios of the program Analyses of specialist columnists, our website
- 1:00:35annexed. Approaches Blogspot, com Ar Plural construction led by Fernando Maurik by Radio Tren