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Ranking Every WR As a Start or Sit in Week 5 · BDGE Fantasy Football

0:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Good morning friends and enemies in today's video.
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[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to go through every single game in the week five NFL slate talking about the wider receivers for fantasy football whether or not I'd sit up whether or not I started on everything in between that you need to know injuries Whether reports snap counts and all the below and above we did the exact same thing for running backs yesterday That will be linked in the show notes if you want to go watch that first go do so and if you are new here and want this every single week
0:26
[SPEAKER_00]: subscribe to the channel.
0:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's start off with tonight's game Thursday night football.
0:30
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got San Francisco at the Rams.
0:33
[SPEAKER_00]: It is all the way down to an eight and a half point game in favor of the Rams.
0:37
[SPEAKER_00]: They're at home, obviously, that has all to do with the Slop show that is the Injury Report for the Niners.
0:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Right now, we've got Brock Perdi out.
0:43
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Ricky Pierce all out.
0:44
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Joan Jennings out.
0:46
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got George Kittle out.
0:47
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Brandon out of you, Kout.
0:48
[SPEAKER_00]: This entire video will go too long if I continue to go down.
0:51
[SPEAKER_00]: The Injury Report, but it's not looking good for the San
0:54
[SPEAKER_00]: things.
0:54
[SPEAKER_00]: We are here to quickly rank the Rams receivers.
0:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Pookas lines are just absurd at this point.
0:59
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, 96 and a half receiving yards eight and a half receptions.
1:03
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, we're talking about like peak tyreek hill type numbers, Cooper Cupner in 2021, of course, like it just don't get much better than Pooka at this point.
1:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Devante has basically just been a pure four for 56 and a touchdown almost every single week.
1:16
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's like, I want to say the touchdowns can come and go, but he is also being targeted more often than any receiver in the NFL inside the 10 yard line.
1:25
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's very clearly a part of their game plan right now.
1:28
[SPEAKER_00]: San Francisco defense has been really good.
1:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say last week, first game without Nick Bosa, who's out for the year, they now are having a lot of trouble getting pressure.
1:36
[SPEAKER_00]: There were zero sacs last week.
1:37
[SPEAKER_00]: I believe they had maybe one pressure, possibly zero pressures in the game.
1:41
[SPEAKER_00]: against Jacksonville, which is something a bit troubling.
1:44
[SPEAKER_00]: And Stafford's kind of clicking right now.
1:46
[SPEAKER_00]: He's looking good.
1:46
[SPEAKER_00]: He's looking healthy, sling in the rock around.
1:48
[SPEAKER_00]: So I mean, the bot day Adams, you know, we won't waste too much time here.
1:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So it would be feels good.
1:51
[SPEAKER_00]: So on the San Francisco side of things, there's not much I want to do here.
1:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Mac Jones had a pretty good game statistically.
1:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Last time he was out there, but he had Ricky P. He had Joanne Jennings.
2:00
[SPEAKER_00]: With their receiver group topped with like Kendrick Born and Demarkis Robinson.
2:04
[SPEAKER_00]: And I don't even know who else are going to try it out here.
2:06
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean,
2:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Kendrick born at this point feels like a like a poor man's Malik Washington, you know, it's disgusting.
2:13
[SPEAKER_00]: He's lines at 39 and a half, so I guess you could do worse and like targets have to go somewhere.
2:17
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm beyond his.
2:17
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm picking a flex play if I'm I'm I'm starting someone in that lineup.
2:21
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a tough choice between Kendrick born and Jake Thomas out there at Titan.
2:25
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he might get some targets in this one regardless if you are starting one of those guys you are in trouble.
2:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's move to the international game.
2:31
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Minnesota versus Cleveland, Minnesota 4.5 point favorites.
2:35
[SPEAKER_00]: This is in England.
2:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, we've got wins around 15 miles per hour, but it's a fairly closed up venue in Tottenham.
2:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So, uh, not going to be a huge impact there.
2:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, the biggest note that I think we need to go through quickly is while Minnesota's favorite in this game, the over under 36 and a half.
2:52
[SPEAKER_00]: which is an awful total for a game obviously extremely low.
2:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Probably one of the lowest of the entire season.
2:58
[SPEAKER_00]: If I had to guess, the Minnesota offensive line is in hell right now.
3:02
[SPEAKER_00]: They just got Christian Dara saw back like two weeks ago off of a very serious injury that he suffered last season, but he is pretty much a full go.
3:09
[SPEAKER_00]: However, Donovan Jackson, their first round rookie is going to be out for this game.
3:12
[SPEAKER_00]: Brian O'Neill, they're very talented.
3:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Other side of the ball tackle outside of Christian Dara.
3:15
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's going to be out for this game.
3:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Ryan Kelly is also suffered his second concussion of the season, so very likely he's going to be out for this game as well.
3:22
[SPEAKER_00]: So we're very likely without three of their top five offensive linemen in this one against, you know, a ferocious Cleveland pass rush here, which probably going to be an issue for Minnesota and they're passing
3:34
[SPEAKER_00]: game.
3:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So Jefferson had a good game last week with Carson once in their first game back and he'll get targeted a ton, but I'm going to be honest with you.
3:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't have as good of a feeling just based on the offensive line there and based on what I don't project to be a ton of consistency.
3:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say the fact that Minnesota has two games in a row internationally is a pretty big advantage.
3:53
[SPEAKER_00]: against the team that's just traveling there for a week.
3:55
[SPEAKER_00]: We've actually seen that play out quite a few times where a team is back to back international games and they typically play a lot better in the second week because they're now accustomed.
4:04
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like a huge travel week for them.
4:05
[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, Minnesota might have a little bit more consistency, but I do think the pressure that's going to be put on Carson once could be extremely problematic for the passing game.
4:13
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, Jefferson's he's going to go into the field's good category just because of the inconsistency of the passing game in Minnesota, but he's going to be at the very very top of that.
4:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean his line is still extremely strong 70 and a half yards.
4:24
[SPEAKER_00]: I just don't know how many points are going to be scored in this game.
4:26
[SPEAKER_00]: And then you've got Jordan Addison came back to a really strong start.
4:28
[SPEAKER_00]: last week, limited volume to connect on that really big play.
4:31
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think that's always something that could just pop in this one.
4:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Addison's line though, if you look at it, man, if we're just looking at Vegas here, 42 and a half, three and a half receptions.
4:40
[SPEAKER_00]: That's not much higher than Kendrick born here.
4:43
[SPEAKER_00]: So while I do like Addison as a player, I'm not in love with the matchup.
4:47
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the dub flex tier, because you know he can pop off for one of those big plays, any given moment and give you a weak winning type of play, but he's going to be at the very bottom of the dub flex tier.
4:56
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side for the Cleveland Browns, we have Cedric Tilman who's out for a couple weeks with the hamstring strain, which leaves a lot of targets to be had for a dude like Jerry Judy.
5:03
[SPEAKER_00]: And while the offense isn't great, and they do have Dylan Gabriel starting at quarterback now, we got Flacco out, so maybe they go a little bit more run heavy, and Judkins gets even more touches than he's already had up to this point in the season.
5:14
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't hate Dylan Gabriel.
5:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's a pretty accurate quarterback over the short intermediate parts of the field.
5:19
[SPEAKER_00]: He is the NCAA's all-time career leader in touchdown passes.
5:22
[SPEAKER_00]: He played in college forever.
5:23
[SPEAKER_00]: He was there for like six years.
5:25
[SPEAKER_00]: He'll get a little erratic as he's throwing the ball a little bit further down the field.
5:28
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do predict that I think Jerry Judy and Harold fan and are going to get a pretty substantial amount of targets in this one.
5:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like Judy as a pretty strong flex play.
5:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Isaiah Bond is going to go into the shaky flex category.
5:40
[SPEAKER_00]: You ran a lot of routes last week.
5:42
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have a picture for him for some reason.
5:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm on software work for me.
5:45
[SPEAKER_00]: Nope, I won't download his picture.
5:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe if I connect to this to the police database, they have his mug shot pop up on he's running a lot of the routes.
5:52
[SPEAKER_00]: He's again, a day two prospect and we're starting to see him emerge a little bit without tailmen.
5:56
[SPEAKER_00]: So I do think you can do worse than I say a bond at Flex, but obviously you don't want to be starting him, but I realized over the last 72, 96 hours like,
6:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Fantasy football players are in hell right now.
6:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm looking at some of my starting lineups and some of the people that I'm playing against between by week sitting us with Green Bay Atlanta, Chicago and Pittsburgh, and then the injuries to a lot of the top wide receivers, and then you have random injuries to running back now with Connor and Tray Benson, all this stuff, like, this is these are the weeks where you're starting to have flex plays where you are deciding between, you know, the Kendrick Boren's and the Isaiah Bonds.
6:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's get a Merke out here.
6:31
[SPEAKER_00]: This is the fun part of Fantasy football.
6:33
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not fun when everyone's just trotting out, they're starting line of it's fun when everybody's injured, everybody's banged up, everybody's fucked from the jump, right?
6:39
[SPEAKER_00]: This is when good managers win games.
6:42
[SPEAKER_00]: So we got Dallas at New York, jets the next game on the slate.
6:46
[SPEAKER_00]: We move into the Sunday slate of games.
6:49
[SPEAKER_00]: The afternoon slates, Dallas, two and a half point favorites against the jets, 47 and a half point total.
6:54
[SPEAKER_00]: This feels like a pretty clean cut ranking for players here.
6:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Dron Bland is back in full.
6:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Trayvon Diggs should also be back.
7:01
[SPEAKER_00]: I would think
7:01
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, that's going to help the Dallas defense, but it didn't really help last week.
7:05
[SPEAKER_00]: So we'll just have to see if they improve as the time goes by Dallas's offensive line.
7:09
[SPEAKER_00]: Extremely banged up yesterday.
7:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Tyler Booker, DNP, he's going to be out for this game.
7:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Tyler Guy in DNP, Tyler Smith, the MP, all the Tyler's are having a little fucking Tyler T party, not practicing together.
7:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Didn't seem to affect him much last game against the Green Bay Packers.
7:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Stack Press got him referring to.
7:25
[SPEAKER_00]: And George Pickins went crazy.
7:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So at this point, I mean, I don't know how you don't put them into the Mustard category.
7:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Against the jets.
7:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe you see some sauce, shadow coverage, but the jets defense overall has been the opposite of scary up to this point.
7:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Garrett Wilson also just an extremely high floor player with some spike weak upside.
7:39
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going right into the Mustard categories.
7:41
[SPEAKER_00]: You could see the matchups for both of these guys just green across the board.
7:44
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't want anything behind the New York Jets wide receiver group.
7:47
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, you have Jalen Tolberr who's running a lot of routes.
7:49
[SPEAKER_00]: You have Comante Turpin.
7:51
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll put Tolberr in the shaky Flex category and come on to interpret in the rather not category.
7:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Next we move Denver at Philadelphia, Philly minus three and a half points.
8:00
[SPEAKER_00]: They're in Philadelphia.
8:02
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 43.5 point total.
8:03
[SPEAKER_00]: As you can see, a lot of orange, a lot of red, no surprises, are two very good defenses.
8:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say, I think I didn't lock it in yet.
8:09
[SPEAKER_00]: We haven't made the big day parlay.
8:11
[SPEAKER_00]: You've been following.
8:12
[SPEAKER_00]: We are seven.
8:13
[SPEAKER_00]: We are officially 17 for 20 on our picks on the big day parlaze.
8:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So far.
8:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So make sure you're following me personally at Nick Erkelano on Twitter to get the big day parlay.
8:23
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do think there's a very good chance that one of my favorite picks this week is Denver getting three and a half points.
8:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I actually just think they're a better team than Filly right now or at least a little bit more functional.
8:33
[SPEAKER_00]: I know Filly keeps winning, but I do think all this drama and this offensive fluctuation is going to start getting to them a little bit.
8:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So if you're going to take Denver plus three and a half, what I would do is I would go sign up with our partner, MGM, whether through their app or their website, deposit 10 bucks and use our code BDGs.
8:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Very important.
8:51
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8:57
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9:01
[SPEAKER_00]: So you guys like these videos, obviously, but if you want all the rankings in numerical order, who I think you should sit, who I think you should start one over another, you can get that through the big dog membership available on bdge.co, but you're going to get it free for three months through our partner mgm.
9:16
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9:22
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9:25
[SPEAKER_00]: And then I could tell you that again, I don't love the match up here for AJ Brown.
9:28
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I was lower than consensus on him last week.
9:31
[SPEAKER_00]: And that ended up working out.
9:33
[SPEAKER_00]: He was like, my wife, she worked 20 or 22 on the week.
9:35
[SPEAKER_00]: And that I put it up another Doug game.
9:37
[SPEAKER_00]: As you can see, I just like the Eagles want to win through the ground.
9:41
[SPEAKER_00]: And the only way they don't do that is if it just completely falls off the cliff.
9:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, I will say the ground game has been subpar.
9:47
[SPEAKER_00]: And some people are gonna say, oh, it's been Sake Juan Barclay's been underwhelming.
9:50
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not safe on.
9:51
[SPEAKER_00]: If you just look at the yards before contact versus the yards after contact, per attempt, it's just night and day from last year to this year.
9:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Like he wasn't getting contacted, it was three and a half to four yards every run before he got contacted last year.
10:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Now it's like 1.5, 2.5, amongst the the league average to below average.
10:07
[SPEAKER_00]: Within the league, the offensive line just simply is implying as well.
10:10
[SPEAKER_00]: I think a lot of it has to do with the fact that
10:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Lane Johnson, another stinger, but he was limited in practice on Wednesday, so it does seem like he is trending towards shooting up.
10:20
[SPEAKER_00]: The one saving grace I will say here is Dallas got her DNP on Wednesday, obviously does not rule him out by any stretch, but if he does end up not playing in this game, that's typically condenses the target here to pretty much just AJ Brown and Devonta Smith, so that would be big for them.
10:34
[SPEAKER_00]: So on the Eagles side of things, I'm going to throw AJ Brown.
10:37
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, really tough match up against their tan, obviously, just very low passing volume.
10:41
[SPEAKER_00]: The over under in this game is 43 and a half little bit higher than I expected to be honest with you.
10:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to throw Brown into the bottom of the field's good category.
10:48
[SPEAKER_00]: He'll probably, again, be ranked around wide receiver.
10:51
[SPEAKER_00]: 16-ish to 20 in that range, always liable to pop off if they need to throw the ball a little bit.
10:56
[SPEAKER_00]: And then Devante Smith is going to be down closer to shaky flex.
10:59
[SPEAKER_00]: I think for me, definitely at the top of this list by far, but still just not an inspiring feeling passing offense right now.
11:06
[SPEAKER_00]: Coral and Southern, yeah, I mean, he's going to be in the field is good category.
11:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I know it is a very tough match.
11:09
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he probably will see a lot of Queen John Mitchell, but legit Coral and Southern just been a stud in like 24 of his last 25 fantasy games.
11:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I just we can't overthink it.
11:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Troy Franklin's the other one that I think you can make the case for his lines up at 37 and a half.
11:22
[SPEAKER_00]: So he belongs in the shaky flex category.
11:23
[SPEAKER_00]: He's still running pretty much every route.
11:25
[SPEAKER_00]: He just hasn't connected like he didn't wheat to with Bonesx, but I do think if you continue to throw him out on the field and give him, you know, routes across the middle of the field in screens and stuff like that, like eventually those will turn into yardage and production.
11:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So if you're desperate, I think you could do worse than Troy Franklin.
11:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Houston at Baltimore.
11:41
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, this is just an absolute chit show for the Baltimore defense.
11:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Right now, if you look at the DNPs this week, we've got you to be a USA at cornerback as a DNP.
11:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Marlon Humphrey, DNP.
11:50
[SPEAKER_00]: We know the Marjax and hasn't been ruled out yet, but he is doubtful for this one.
11:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Rokuan Smith is doubtful for this one.
11:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Ronnie Stanley, DNP, Nate Wiggins, DNP, Metabike, we already know is out.
12:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Like this is this is bad for the Baltimore defense.
12:04
[SPEAKER_00]: as arguably the worst or one of the worst defenses in the NFL at this point with a more jackson out this is going to be kuper rush at quarterback probably a heavy dose of derrick Henry.
12:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Nico Collins though, I mean if there's no Nate wiggins, if there's no Marlin Humphrey, I don't even know who they have.
12:20
[SPEAKER_00]: If there's no chidobius, I don't even know who they had at corner back like who is going to be playing in this man.
12:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to throw him into the Mustard category.
12:26
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think overall this is going to be a sloppy game with a very low total in this one.
12:29
[SPEAKER_00]: So there's no one else.
12:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm really like dying to get into my lineup.
12:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously he's eight flowers would be the other guy where you're like, I'm not sure what to do with him.
12:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Honestly, I'm not overly concerned.
12:37
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think it's a Derek Stingley was a DNP.
12:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Although he was multiple DNP last week and then ended up playing, but yeah, DNP too oblique, but he was
12:45
[SPEAKER_00]: DMP Wednesday Thursday last week ended up getting a limited in on Friday and then playing through it.
12:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So I guess I'm not overly concerned with the early DMP for a guy like Derek Stingley.
12:54
[SPEAKER_00]: That being said, it's Cooper Rush at quarterback though.
12:56
[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a chance that, you know, we saw Cooper Rush in CD lamb last year and he would just hyper-target CD lamb.
13:01
[SPEAKER_00]: CD lamb had fine games.
13:02
[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't want to overreact to Cooper Rush being at quarterback for
13:05
[SPEAKER_00]: At the end of the day, I think they're going to have similar like the upside obviously the ceiling case for this offense is completely zapped without Lamar Jackson, but in terms of just passing volume, I don't think the difference is going to be that drastic because Lamar really only throws the ball, you know, 22 to 26 times a game if they're in a regular game script.
13:21
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think that's around what Cooper Rush will end up having.
13:23
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have lines up unfortunately for the receivers in Baltimore, probably because there hasn't been an official ruling for Lamar Jackson being out yet, but
13:30
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll assume he's out and I still think Dave Flowers is very much worthy of being in your line up to be honest.
13:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I still think he probably finishes with like a five or 60 day shot bait man.
13:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I mean, listen, anyone else that you have in here is like, uh, we can throw Christian Kirk into the rather knock because he's running all the routes, but everyone else is like a big nope to me.
13:47
[SPEAKER_00]: We got Vegas at.
13:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Indianapolis right now the Raiders are six and a half point underdogs 47 and a half point total another game that I kind of just want pieces in looking at the practice report out here was a full-part just been I don't think he cleared the concussion protocol yet but I think he will buy Friday's trending towards that way which would put add and I'm Mitchell back on the bench Kenny Moore again being out is a very like low key big hit to the Colts secondary and we saw a match that for two them up last week
14:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So Jacobi Myers is going to go right back into the field's good category.
14:17
[SPEAKER_00]: I know he had like a semi-underwhelming performance last week, but I feel great about him.
14:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I think at this point Michael Pitman, like I know his numbers are not there per Vegas, but I don't see a world where you have Michael Pitman and you're not starting him.
14:27
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's a must-art for me.
14:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Tray Tucker, another guy similar to a lot of these players in here where they're running all the routes.
14:32
[SPEAKER_00]: He's, you know, viable to pop a big play any given week.
14:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going to be a shaky flex for me.
14:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Josh downs is what a disappointment.
14:39
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to be at the very end of the shaky flex tier and then the rest of the
14:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Miami at Carolina 45 and a half point total.
14:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Miami is a one and a half point favorite.
14:50
[SPEAKER_00]: We know Tyree kills obviously going to be out for the rest of the year.
14:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Mr. Stormduck, the quarterback for Miami is still out.
14:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Juba Hubbard with the random DMP that shit herided.
14:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Jetevi and Sanders is dealing with the high ankle sprain.
15:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think he's going to play in this one.
15:02
[SPEAKER_00]: And after that, it's pretty much wheels up for everybody.
15:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So you have to imagine Jalen Wattel now steps into a Tyreek Hillish role.
15:10
[SPEAKER_00]: And listen, if you have Jalen Wattel going against the Panthers, while they've been very good against the past, I just think his volume floor is going to be so high.
15:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, I just don't see a world where you're sitting Jalen Wattel.
15:21
[SPEAKER_00]: Terrorism, McMillan, great matchup against the Miami Dolphins passing defense, bottom 5 and EPA per pass allowed.
15:28
[SPEAKER_00]: So while we haven't really seen spike weeks, and they're not really throwing touchdowns, I expect this to be a very good game for Teterol, McMillan.
15:35
[SPEAKER_00]: I guess the only real conversation behind Wattel is what we're doing with Mleek Washington, what we're doing with Nick Westbrook.
15:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Akini, as you can see, the numbers are not very fruitful for either of these guys.
15:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Mleek Washington's line is 32.5, Nick Westbrook Akini's down to 21.5.
15:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, he's a rather not for me for sure.
15:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you can do worse than Malik Washington.
15:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, I still think these guys are going to split snaps.
15:52
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's going to be a very two tight end heavy team for Miami on the offensive front.
15:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I think they're going to have Julian Hill on there at tight end and Darren Waller as he gets more snaps and acclimated.
16:01
[SPEAKER_00]: Water will be in every down player and then Malik and WI will probably shift snaps depending on where water is aligned in the offense.
16:08
[SPEAKER_00]: If water is outside, Malik will probably play a slot.
16:11
[SPEAKER_00]: If water is inside, then Nick Westberg's team will play the X.
16:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, at the end of the day, I think like Malik Washington is similar to Kavante Turpin where he'll have some scheme up touches, maybe he breaks a big one over the slot and ends up, you know, really in for for six years, something like that, but I don't know, I'm not really optimistic about Malik Washington or anyone in this passing game besides dealing with the water and down water going forward.
16:32
[SPEAKER_00]: The giants at the Saints, the Saints are five.
16:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Favorite in this one 42 and a half point total Saints one and a half point favorites nothing crazy on the injury front Joan Johnson was a DNP on Wednesday So keep an eye on that that obviously raises the floor pretty dramatically for a guy like Chris Alave and I don't know I mean, I guess you want to throw Brandon cooks in the rather not category we could do that Chris Alave to me.
16:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I think we'll see a bounce back game.
16:56
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a really great match up against the giants
16:58
[SPEAKER_00]: terrible past defense, number two in fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver position, number one in EPA per pass allowed.
17:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So they are just bad across the board on that side of the ball.
17:07
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, I mean, you've got Wondell.
17:09
[SPEAKER_00]: You've got Darius Lee in a Rashichi heat.
17:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, we'll throw him in the shaky flex category.
17:13
[SPEAKER_00]: He's just basically been 40 yards every single week.
17:15
[SPEAKER_00]: We haven't seen them really break a big play.
17:18
[SPEAKER_00]: We haven't seen them just more touchdowns in a minute.
17:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So like, you know what you're getting at a brishy jeet.
17:22
[SPEAKER_00]: It feels like we don't know what we're getting out of the Giants wide receiver group here.
17:26
[SPEAKER_00]: For me, I'm looking at this as Wandell over Darius, Sleetton can obviously break the big play.
17:31
[SPEAKER_00]: But when I think about the Giants offense, like I think we saw what they want to do in a game that's not getting away from them, right?
17:37
[SPEAKER_00]: There will be games that get away from them in the trailing big time.
17:40
[SPEAKER_00]: This is not seem like it's going to be one of them against the Saints.
17:42
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw them in the game against the Chargers last week and what it amounted to was like 40 plus rushing attempts between camps, Gadibot, Devon Singletary, and Jackson Dart at quarterback and like 20 pass attempts.
17:53
[SPEAKER_00]: So in games where I think they have it within reach, I think that's going to be the split that they try to go with.
17:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Overall, I think I trust Wondell Robinson as a flex to be honest who if you're in a full PPR league, if you're in half or standard, then I think both of them go into the shaky flex category.
18:09
[SPEAKER_00]: There is lately, and I play them over like the guys, and I definitely play them over like a Kendrick Bourne, I play them over Jalen Tolbert, I like Tray Tucker a little bit, but I play them over a lot of these other guys, because again, I do think in the games where he played without Malik last year, different quarterback, of course, just different situation.
18:24
[SPEAKER_00]: He played really well, but this is how I'm looking at it.
18:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Wandell's a dub flex if you're in a full-peep yard leak.
18:28
[SPEAKER_00]: If you're not, then he moves down to the shaky flex for me.
18:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Tampa Bay at Seattle.
18:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Tampa Bay, three and a half point underdogs in Seattle, traveling across country, 44 and a half point total here.
18:40
[SPEAKER_00]: For the practice reports, we've got a lot of DNPs across the board for both sides of the ball right now.
18:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Dvon witherspoon, and Julian love both DNPs for Seattle's secondary, though Julian love came back and played last week, so it assumed he's finally retweaked his hamstring.
18:56
[SPEAKER_00]: For the bucks, we've got a DNP for Baker, which we're not concerned about, certainly Shepherd was a DNP, Bucky Irving is shaping up not to play, and we know that Mike Evans is obviously not playing.
19:05
[SPEAKER_00]: In this one, I mean, it's a really tough matchup, Seattle's defense is awesome, as you could see, it's just all right across the board.
19:12
[SPEAKER_00]: They're bottom three in fantasy points allowed to the wide receiver.
19:15
[SPEAKER_00]: bottom 2 and EPA per pass allowed and bottom 2 and just overall points per game allowed to opposing offenses.
19:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So not one that we love, but I mean, let's be serious here.
19:24
[SPEAKER_00]: Bywee's injuries, there's just no chance that you're sitting.
19:26
[SPEAKER_00]: A Mecca, Igbooga, Chris Godwin, on the other hand, coming off a 10 target game and Vegas does has his props all the way up at 47.5 with 4.5 receptions.
19:35
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the Dubflex category for me.
19:37
[SPEAKER_00]: The way I'm looking at God when it's easy to look at the target numbers and it did look like he was relatively healthy, not overly explosive or like back to the old standard Chris Godwin, but I think all signs point to him being, you know, full go for the rest of the season without any sort of set back here with Godwin though.
19:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, this is something I talked about either yesterday or I forgot which video I made this week.
19:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll be just making fucking eight videos a week.
19:57
[SPEAKER_00]: I forgot what I say and most of them the books in this previous game.
20:01
[SPEAKER_00]: ran 66 plays against Philadelphia, right?
20:04
[SPEAKER_00]: When Philly has a special teams block return for a touchdown, when you're in catch up mode, that's going to end up happening.
20:11
[SPEAKER_00]: And, you know, when you do that, that's how games with the mechabuka and Chris Godwin both getting double digit targets end up happening.
20:17
[SPEAKER_00]: So, I do think the numbers from last week are a little bit inflated, so I do think the target numbers are going to come down.
20:22
[SPEAKER_00]: a little bit for both guys in a very tough, you know, probably low scoring environment all the way across the country in Seattle, but again, I'd start guy went over most of these guys in this tier, and I feel relatively good about it, given the state of fantasy football right now.
20:36
[SPEAKER_00]: Jason, of course, is going to go into the Mossar category.
20:38
[SPEAKER_00]: Tampa Bay's defense, though, has been good.
20:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Cooper Cubspin.
20:40
[SPEAKER_00]: I asked he's going to be a shaky flex and then Tory Horton's going to end up being in the rather not category.
20:46
[SPEAKER_00]: As far as thrilling Shepherd as well, he's clearly like the three or four in the pecking order at best right now.
20:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Didn't perform very well in his first game that could have gotten opportunity in, but yeah, he's he's going to be a rather not for me.
20:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Tennessee, Arizona, Arizona 7.5 point favorites.
21:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Tennessee's defense is a trotace.
21:04
[SPEAKER_00]: It is a 42.5 point total.
21:06
[SPEAKER_00]: The only thing I'm really looking at here is Will John Stain.
21:11
[SPEAKER_00]: He was a limited participant on Wednesday.
21:15
[SPEAKER_00]: So, trending towards him being back, which I think is a big piece of this Arizona passing defense.
21:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Marvin is coming off the good game.
21:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't want to like again, I think all fantasy players are going to be way too overreactionary about Marvin Harrison and like everyone thinks like a guy makes a big play and like everything is fixed.
21:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Not the case.
21:32
[SPEAKER_00]: I think most things align though, right?
21:34
[SPEAKER_00]: You got a great matchup versus Tennessee.
21:37
[SPEAKER_00]: They're at home, which I like his number 50 and a half point total.
21:40
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to be a dub flex for me.
21:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's be at the very top of this list for me, based on.
21:43
[SPEAKER_00]: the matchup based on what we saw last week all that kind of stuff I just will never ever trust this passing offense so he's going to be down there I mean at this point Calvin Ridley L. I. I don't think you could really do anything with this passing offense unfortunately last week we saw I don't know if it was an injury I don't know if it was game script I don't know what it was but Ridley's snap counts fell to he was playing like 40% of the snaps so I just don't know how you could play I'll put Ridley down a rather not I'll put L. I. I mean or down in the shaky flex category but I don't really want to play any
22:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Detroit at Cincinnati, Detroit 10.5 point favorites, 49.5 point total.
22:19
[SPEAKER_00]: The Bengals are horrendous with Jake Browning, shout out to everyone who was like Jake Browning is going to be pretty good because of that one quarter we saw against the Jacksonville defense with your marches shout out to you.
22:28
[SPEAKER_00]: For Detroit's defense, I will say Kirby Joseph starting with a DMP and DJ Reed got put on the IR, which is sneaky a very big hit to their secondary.
22:38
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say, I, the biggest concern I had as soon as Jake Browning went out and got hurt, I was like, we're fucked.
22:43
[SPEAKER_00]: If you're a chase owner of your tea higgins owner, like I have almost no optimism over the next couple of weeks, that being said, while the Detroit Lions defenses good, pretty damn good, I have more optimism about the passing game this week than I did in the previous two weeks.
22:57
[SPEAKER_00]: The other two matchups, I, I just, I expect it almost nothing out of chasing Higgins.
23:01
[SPEAKER_00]: So I will, I will say, I think you can throw the ball against the Detroit Lions.
23:06
[SPEAKER_00]: So, Jamar Chase, I don't think like verbatim, I would say I feel good about having him, but he's definitely going to go into the field's good tier, and I'm cautiously optimistic about his week five outlook.
23:16
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think I'd put him pretty heavily up here and he'll probably be within my top, I don't know, 15 to 12 wide receivers on the week despite the way that the games have gone the last couple of weeks.
23:26
[SPEAKER_00]: James and Williams is a really tough one man because he is just so underperformed, I think like they're taking deep shots to him, but they're not getting him involved really on a PPR basis.
23:34
[SPEAKER_00]: And I want to start him because the matchup is phenomenal, but I'm actually in the film in the shaky flex series.
23:39
[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to be at the very top because the matchup is so good.
23:41
[SPEAKER_00]: My worry is Detroit just goes so run heavy because you could just do that against the bangles.
23:45
[SPEAKER_00]: And I could see David Montgomery having 15 carries.
23:47
[SPEAKER_00]: You mirror Gibbs having 20 carries.
23:49
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's just very hard to predict how the passing game
23:52
[SPEAKER_00]: ends up splitting up behind Amon Rossing Brown, who always gets his.
23:55
[SPEAKER_00]: And then underneath Jamar Chase, we've got two Higgins.
23:58
[SPEAKER_00]: And I actually think two Higgins is a fine shaky flex play who's going to be at the top of this tier as well.
24:02
[SPEAKER_00]: It's clear that Tiggins, like, is having so much trouble performing without Joe Barrow, but Jake Browning really likes the Higgins.
24:08
[SPEAKER_00]: He's taking a ton of shots downfield.
24:09
[SPEAKER_00]: Eventually, one of those is going to connect, like, in the first game where Barrow was out.
24:13
[SPEAKER_00]: And he threw that deep ball to T-Higgins and then connected for the touchdown.
24:16
[SPEAKER_00]: One of those is eventually going to break in the right way for T-Higgins.
24:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, I think the Lions defense is a little bit easier, especially without DJ Reed.
24:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Then the last couple of matchups have been for them, especially at home.
24:26
[SPEAKER_00]: I think we'll see a little bit, I don't want to say a huge bounce back, but a little bit of bounce back for this passing game, at least statistically speaking.
24:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Washington at the Chargers.
24:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Terry McCleuron with another DNP, Debo Samuel with the DNP as well, so we'll just have to keep a quick eye on how those progress.
24:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the biggest talking point to be honest is going to be the offensive line for the Chargers.
24:46
[SPEAKER_00]: We got Joe Alt with the high ankle spring, we also have Rashont Slater obviously out for the year.
24:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Doesn't numbers going to be under a lot of pressure.
24:51
[SPEAKER_00]: He has been the last couple weeks, especially against the Giants for Oshis pass rush.
24:54
[SPEAKER_00]: without Joe Alt.
24:55
[SPEAKER_00]: So their offensive line is kind of going to be in shambles.
24:58
[SPEAKER_00]: And I do wonder if that makes things different for a guy like Quint Johnson, like his A dot is up in the 13 and a half, 14 range, where they're throwing deep shots him, does Herbert have the time for plays like that, or does he start to check down a little bit more to keep an eye on in lad McConkey.
25:12
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think the way, I'm not going to big brain it.
25:15
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just going to kind of go based off the way that the games have unfolded in Johnson's been by far and away the best receiver that they have.
25:21
[SPEAKER_00]: King and Allen's
25:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Terrible, I think we're just gonna run this way.
25:24
[SPEAKER_00]: They were gonna go, feels good, Quentin Johnson, Dubbe Flex for Keenan Allen, and shaky Flex for LADMACONCY.
25:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Definitely at the top, because it's LAD, and I still think we all know he's good.
25:33
[SPEAKER_00]: But the emergence of Quentin Johnson seems to be very, very, very, very, very legit in this one, right?
25:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's keep it moving to the Washington side of things.
25:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Jaden Daniels will return for this game.
25:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know what the receivers are doing out here.
25:45
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know if we could play Terry McLean.
25:48
[SPEAKER_00]: He's DNP'd again.
25:49
[SPEAKER_00]: If he does play, I'm probably going to be pretty pessimistic about him just coming off of another multi-week injury and he has not performed very well.
25:56
[SPEAKER_00]: So pretty pessimistic about Terry this week if he does end up playing Dibo.
26:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I think I feel good about Dibo if he ends up playing, right?
26:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Because he's been kind of their number one guy.
26:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Especially with Terry Audi just gets forced fed a little bit of the target share here.
26:09
[SPEAKER_00]: And then last time we got Luke McAfrey man, Luke McAfrey scored him back to back weeks, however he's still playing on like 30 to 35% of the actual snap, so like completely unreliable and fancy, but let's give him a little bit respect if Terry don't play.
26:23
[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to throw him into the
26:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got the Sunday Night Game New England at Buffalo.
26:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Buffalo is eight and a half point favorites.
26:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Steph on Diggs is starting to get a little bit more acclimated into the offense, becoming a full-time player.
26:35
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw his first kind of like breakout game.
26:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Do we get the revenge game narrative going here?
26:39
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.
26:40
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I think it's easy to look at one week and be like, yeah, we're back in on Diggs.
26:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I like I'm looking at the guys in this tier, and I don't feel as good about Diggs being consistently good as I do like a keen and Allen, right?
26:54
[SPEAKER_00]: No way I'm starting him over a Jerry Judy or even as a flower to the back up quarter back.
26:58
[SPEAKER_00]: So digs, I think I'm going to throw him into the shaky flex category.
27:01
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's definitely startable.
27:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Vegas has pretty strong numbers for him at 48 and a half.
27:05
[SPEAKER_00]: He'll be at the very top of the tier, but I'm still skeptical about it.
27:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Coach Secure just keeps getting it done.
27:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Week in and week out and he's starting to develop into that number one target for Josh Allen.
27:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So I feel pretty good about him being a very, very high floor dub flex player in PPR league.
27:18
[SPEAKER_00]: If it's not PPR, then you're probably
27:20
[SPEAKER_00]: only going to get eight or nine points out of him and maybe a coin flip for a touchdown, but that's happened in the last couple of weeks.
27:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So, yeah, I mean, everybody else is bordering between shaky flex and rather not.
27:31
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, if I'm looking at lineup right now, yeah, like I'd rather not play any of these guys, Boote, Kion Coleman, Josh Palmer, Demaradougas, all of them are kind of going to flop down there.
27:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Then we've got the Monday night matchup Kansas City at Jacksonville, Jacksonville, three and a half point underdogs, 46 and a half point total here.
27:48
[SPEAKER_00]: We do have this weather alert, which is kind of the standard weather alert that we've seen basically every single week when Jacksonville's playing at home, a typical Florida chance of a downpour, especially early in the game.
27:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Wind around 10 miles per hour, I'll need a pregame radar check to really know about the chance for rain, but I'll say my overall concern here is low.
28:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So Vegas just keeps putting Brian Thomas's numbers up at like
28:08
[SPEAKER_00]: there, so shout out to them for that dumb shit, but Kansas City's just not really a very scary defense anymore, especially their passing defense.
28:15
[SPEAKER_00]: So honestly, BTJ, yes, he's not had his like big game yet, but I got him in on my team and I'm still gonna roll him out.
28:23
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say like if I had all these players on my team, I'm probably starting
28:26
[SPEAKER_00]: all of them over a BTJ, though BTJ would probably be at the top of this tier.
28:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Xavier Worthy, I mean, I feel great about him after last week, the involvement that he had, the targets, the rushing attempts.
28:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, yeah, they had some deep shots, name as well, that didn't connect that could have had even more of a ceiling for him.
28:41
[SPEAKER_00]: So, Xavier Worthy feels like a borderline must start at this point until Rossi Rice returns.
28:45
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have any practice reports yet for the game because it's on Monday.
28:49
[SPEAKER_00]: But Deami Brown could be a little bit of a piece of a puzzle here.
28:52
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been good the first few weeks, and then sat out last week, which condensed the target chair quite a bit.
28:56
[SPEAKER_00]: But not that I want to play anyone in Jacksonville, behind Brian Thomas Jr., so they're both going to go into the rather not category, and Travis Hunter's same thing.
29:03
[SPEAKER_00]: He's just simply not involved in the offense enough.
29:06
[SPEAKER_00]: For Kansas City, little bit tough to get a read on this, and I'll tell you why, because in Xavier, where these first game back, he played the majority of the routes.
29:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So, in where these first game back in week four, here's how the route percentage broke up.
29:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Did you just miss Schuster led the team, running 83% of the routes on DropX?
29:30
[SPEAKER_00]: Where the was at 71%, Hollywood Brown was at 60.
29:32
[SPEAKER_00]: So, unfortunately, after the awesome start for Taekwant Thor, and he dropped all of it down to 38%.
29:37
[SPEAKER_00]: So, seemed like he was a little bit of the odd man out.
29:40
[SPEAKER_00]: They'd rather use where the Hollywood Brown on the outside, which kind of unfortunate, because Taekwant Thor was kind of sick, but it does mean like when Rossi Rice is out, he's pretty much...
29:46
[SPEAKER_00]: unusable at that point.
29:48
[SPEAKER_00]: So, dude, you're running a lot of routes out here, I don't even have them in the database right now for some reason, but he'd be pretty securely in the rather not.
29:54
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, the Jacksonville defense has been good against the past, so it's not one I'm like overly excited to get a bunch of guys in.
29:59
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think Hollywood Brown can get into the shaky flex category.
30:01
[SPEAKER_00]: He has about five targets per game.
30:03
[SPEAKER_00]: But you could do worse.
30:04
[SPEAKER_00]: And unfortunately with Taikwan, like, you know, had had he run 60, 70, 80% of the routes.
30:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I actually feel okay about it.
30:10
[SPEAKER_00]: And I throw him into the shaky flex category.
30:11
[SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, going off of just last week, if if we're projecting to get 40% of the routes, there's just no way you could put him in your lineup.
30:17
[SPEAKER_00]: All right.
30:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So that is every single game for week five.
30:21
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's move into poster mode.
30:23
[SPEAKER_00]: You all could see everybody at once clean ain't no fucking.
30:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Chains y'all could read that all right.
30:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, you're gonna have to settle for the rather not spying All the way cut off on the bottom there, but if they're not on this list and guess what I rather not put him in my line up You got the must-tarts the feels good the dub flex and the shaky flex.
30:41
[SPEAKER_00]: Hope you guys like these videos I do appreciate you know every time you guys drop a comment just say thank you for making these videos I'm you know trying my best to kind of wave you through the storylines at the NFL season from how I see it from my fucking big brain So if you do appreciate you do like these videos
30:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Hit the thumbs up button.
30:57
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, I do look at those numbers.
30:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I see which videos that you guys have the highest percentage of thumbs up on, the highest raw volume for them.
31:03
[SPEAKER_00]: And of course, if I look back at the season and you guys like these videos a lot, and then I can do similar videos like this leading up to, you know, drafts in the summer where they're ranking videos similar to this.
31:14
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31:30
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31:38
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, I'm out of here, I love y'all,