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College Football Week 6 BEST BETS | Non-Miami Hurricanes · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: In your chest. Black coffee on the felt, man.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: You look like a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 3: Three-team parlay turned to dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like.
• 0:32
  Speaker 3: They made you this mad.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet, don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 3: Your name still means something to somebody for sure.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby. Look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Now Hold on, hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: hold on Let me pull you out That fella fights
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: hard But he don't get the.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: Crown hold on hold.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: On stay with me now what's up everybody it's toad
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: back with you toadstool sports college football week six edition
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: is it really week six already i'm gonna move this
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: mic here a little bit um yeah i guess it
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: is um college football has not gone totally well, although
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: we started off this week. Well, with a, uh, win
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: with Louisville tonight. So that worked out. All right. My
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: selectivity with that one play. Good to go here. Uh,
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: I think we should, I don't know, maybe jump right
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: into it. Cause this show always takes like two and
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: a half hours. I hope it doesn't. I'm going a
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: little bit earlier this time. Um, yeah. So hopefully I
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: can get this done and not go to sleep at
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: a ridiculous time tonight, but we will see. Um, Snoop,
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, I mean, things
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: are going alright. I'm probably going to legitimately have to
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: sell my house soon. The betting is not producing enough income.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: I need a bigger bankroll, man. I don't know. If
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: somebody wants to bankroll this or people just want to
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: pay me for the plays that I'm giving out, that
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: helps too. It was a good day, good night. We've
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: had some good picks recently, so The last few days
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: have been pretty good. Let's do this, man. I'm going
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: to try to do this quickly, like I usually say,
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: but it always takes way longer than I think it
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: will because I try to hit all the ranked matchups.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: All the matchups are going to be on TV. Number seven,
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: Indiana at Nebraska on Fox at noon Eastern. I'm going
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: to be giving out three plays on the show. I
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: don't really love this board that much. I mean, I
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: have a couple other games where I was like– You know,
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: I was kind of borderline with them, but I don't know.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I think my three are probably the strongest situations that
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: I could find here. This is not one of them. Indiana, Nebraska,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: although Indiana's ranked seventh in the country. I think they're
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: probably around there, you know, maybe a little bit outside
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: of the top five now. I mean, they have not
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: really played a difficult schedule, and that's the thing. This
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: is going to be their most difficult game so far.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, what was their most difficult game so far?
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: I guess playing against Northwestern. That was at Indiana, and
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: Indiana didn't really do that well. They did go on
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: the road and blow out Rutgers last time out, but
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: even so, this is going to be their most difficult
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: test so far. Legit Nebraska team on the road, and
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: they do have a possible look ahead here because Ohio
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: State is their next opponent, and then Michigan. So those
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: two games are pretty big. I'm not going to say
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: they're going to overlook Nebraska because Nebraska is sitting at
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: 5-0 here, but, you know, Maybe. Maybe Nebraska can hang here,
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: although I'm not really enthused by Nebraska's resume here that
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: much either. I mean, their best win is at Michigan State,
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: I would say, and then they beat Maryland. Who really cares?
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: This is going to be their biggest test as well.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: What's going to happen in this game? Honestly, it's difficult
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: to figure this game out. I think I'm just going
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: to have to lean to Nebraska kind of by default
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: because it does look a little bit too easy. to
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: lay the points with Indiana. They opened a 9-point favor.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: They're down to 7.5. It didn't go through any key
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: number here. So if you want Nebraska, you've got to
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: at least get 7.5 on this, and I think you will.
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: Indiana will be the somewhat public side here, 62% of
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them, 53% of the cash on Nebraska.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: So the money looks like it's coming in on Nebraska.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: The total has also crashed. We've seen money coming in
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: on the under, driving it down through a key number
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: of 51 down to 48.5. So if you like the under,
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, you missed a little bit of the key.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: You missed one key number there with 51. So I
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: probably wouldn't recommend that. But the underdog might be correlated
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: with the under. I think we have two defenses that
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: are actually decent here. These are the best defenses that
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: each of these teams will have faced so far. And
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: the best team each team has faced so far. So
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: it could be a little bit of a defensive battle,
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: a slugfest, that type of game. And if that's the case,
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: I think it helps the home underdog a bit. I'll
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: lean Nebraska in that one, but I don't really have
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: a strong situational angle to give on that one. It's
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: a game that both teams are probably going to show
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: up for, unless you think maybe Indiana has that slight
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: look ahead to Ohio State. Iowa State would not be
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: a big deal. Ohio State. Next game up is one
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: of my plays, as we get one really early here,
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: on noon on ABC. Texas A & M at number 14, Missouri.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: This is probably the best play out of tomorrow's board,
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: in my opinion. And it's because we've had this week-by-week
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: thing here, like starting a few weeks ago when we
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: had Ole Miss after their huge upset, or not really
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: a huge upset, but a huge win over their former coach,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: Lane Kiffin, when they beat LSU. Monster win for Ole
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: Miss here. Then what did we do? We faded them
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: in their next game here on the show with Florida.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: Florida wound up running away with that game, and it
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: was partially because they caught Ole Miss in a really
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: bad spot. And then I should have added it to
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: my card last week, but what did I say? I
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: said I liked Missouri last week because Florida was then
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: coming off that ridiculous statement win over Ole Miss where
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: they caught Ole Miss in a bad spot. Well, then Florida,
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Florida was in the bad spot after that. They went
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: to Missouri, kind of a weird travel spot. Missouri caught
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: them in a bad spot and Missouri blew them out.
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: So now what's the next leg of this journey here? Well,
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: we got to fade Missouri now because they're, they're in
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: the bad spot. Now after that big win over the
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: then eighth ranked Florida, we're going to fade Missouri now
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: here in this one. Um, And we're going to take
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: Texas A & M plus 3.5. And this line, I mean,
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: it looks really, really easy to take Missouri, right? Like,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: why is Missouri only laying pretty much home field and
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: nothing else here at 3.5? Well, the oddsmakers are telling you,
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: even though they're ranked and Texas A & M has
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: dropped out of the rankings, oddsmakers are telling you there's
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: not much that separates these two teams. Power rating-wise here.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: Coming into the season, I would have said that I
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: thought Texas A & M was actually the better of
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: these two teams. And at this point, I think it's
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: still close. A & M has dropped from the rankings,
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: but they still have Reid as their quarterback. They still
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: have a lot of guys that they had last year.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: They have the same coach, Elko. He's pretty good as
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: an underdog usually, although I know they did not do
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: well as an underdog at LSU a couple weeks ago.
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: And really, it was their loss to Kentucky that sent
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: them out of the rankings, so That kind of did
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: them in with that home loss against Kentucky, and they
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: did not bounce back. They had a bad game against
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: LSU where I thought they would play better, but they
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: did bounce back last week against Arkansas. So even though
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: I don't really love playing on teams that are coming
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: off a blowout win, I think that was more of
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: a get-right win for A & M. They were at home.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: They were the favorite. They were supposed to win, so
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: they're not going to be overconfident. You know what I mean? Yes,
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: this is only their second road game. Yes, their first
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: road game was a loss at LSU, but Missouri is
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: not as good as LSU, okay? So I think A
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: & M can actually hang in this game. And they're
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: catching Missouri in a bad spot, like I said. Coming
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: off really two big games in a row against Mississippi
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: State where they hung around in that game. That was
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: a big game. And then they blew out Florida last week,
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: like I said. But remember, they caught Florida in a
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: bad spot. And who does Missouri have next, by the way? Oh, yeah,
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: they have No. 9-ranked Ole Miss. So this is a
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot where they might overlook a 3-2 unranked Texas
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: A & M at this point. sandwiched in between two
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: teams ranked in the top 10. Although I think Florida
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: is out of the top 10 again now, but as
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: rankings makers just overreact to everything. Although Florida should not
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: have been ranked eight when they were, but whatever. This
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: is a bad spot for Missouri men, plain and simple
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot coming off a monster win where they look
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: better than they actually are. They have a big game
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: up next. Texas A & M currently looks worse than
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: they actually are. Yeah, this is, I was looking at
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: this play all week. I was like, yeah, we're definitely
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: going to do this. And we are. The line's just
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: been sitting around 3.5 the whole time. You should be
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: able to get 3.5 on this. I would say, yeah.
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: 3 is probably okay, but 3.5 is better because 3
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: is a key number. You want to get that hook
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: if you can so you actually win the bet if
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: they lose by exactly 3. Missouri's public, 65% of tickets
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: on them, 57% of the cash on A & M.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: So the money is agreeing with me on Texas A
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: & M here. I like to see that, and it's
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: not a high total either. It's gone down a little
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: bit into the high 40s now, so it's expected to
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: not be that high scoring of the game, which means
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: it's a little bit easier for an underdog. to kind
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: of hang around in a game like that Texas A
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: & M plus the points that is my first play
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: on this board here all right UCF at number 18
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma State on ESPN 2 also at noon Oklahoma State
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: ranked 18th in the country I could tell you they're
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: They're not the 18th best team in the country. They're overrated,
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: and that's because they beat Oregon in Week 2. That
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: was a statement win for them, a huge win. They
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: didn't suffer a letdown after that, and it was because
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: they played a cupcake, Murray State. And yeah, sure, it
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: was impressive. They did really well in that game. But
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: coming off of that, they played well again against West Virginia,
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: although they caught West Virginia off of upsetting Virginia. So
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma State did catch West Virginia in what I thought
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: was a bit of a letdown spot there. Now coming
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: off of that win that looks really good, a blowout,
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma State will they actually be up to the task
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: here against UCF I'm not so sure and by the
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: way they're coming out of a bye Oklahoma State as
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: you might think that's a good thing but I disagree
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: in this case because yes they have extra rest so
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: they went into a buy in a three game win
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: streak starting with that Oregon win and what do I
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: talk about on the show I think a bye is
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: a momentum stopper. So if you go into the bye
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: on a win streak, I think it ends that momentum
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: and it's a negative because you have nothing to fix
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: during the bye. Whereas I think if you go into
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: the bye on a bad note, you do use that
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: bye to fix things. So I think this bye is
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: a negative for Oklahoma State. Now they get UCF coming
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: in here. It is kind of a weird spot for
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: UCF because they're new to this conference to some extent.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: Having to go play in Stillwater, but still... Oklahoma State
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: does also have a big game on deck against a
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: ranked Houston team, so that might be a bigger game
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: for them too. That has me looking towards UCF in
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: this game, and probably I do. UCF, though, they're coming
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: off a game where if you saw this game they
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: played last week against Houston, so UCF does not have
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: the rest edge here. Like I said, Oklahoma State has
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: more rest here, although I do think the buy is
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: a negative, but I don't love the spot for UCF
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: either because they're winning against Houston, okay? 17-0, they were
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: winning that game in the third quarter, and then they
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: never scored again, and Houston scored 27 unanswered points and
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: won the game anyway, so I don't really want UCF
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: off a performance like that, where they were double-digit underdogs,
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: they were in Houston, they had Houston on the ropes,
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: and they blew the game completely, after it looked like
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: they were going to win the game, that's the type
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: of game that can kind of rip your heart out
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: a little bit. So I don't really want to play
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: UCF to try to bounce back off of that game.
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: And they do have a game against BYU next, although
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: it's after a bye because BYU plays Notre Dame next.
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: So I think here's the thing, okay? If UCF plays
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: badly here against Oklahoma State, playing them against BYU might
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: be a spot, which is going to be a weird
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: spot for BYU because it's going to be after BYU
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: plays Notre Dame. It's going to be UCF coming out
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: of a bind. It's going to be BYU having to
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: go play in Orlando. That's a spot where BYU is
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: going to be in a very strange spot. So UCF
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: is going to be a potential play in that game
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: that we possibly have to look forward to. I'm still
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: leaning UCF in this game too, though, because I think
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: I just don't like Oklahoma State coming out of a bye, man.
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: I think they're overrated. I think they look too good
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: right now. 73% of tickets, 55% of the cash on them,
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: so the money agrees with UCF here. Oklahoma State's a 10.5-point favorite,
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: so you get that key number if you want UCF here.
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: I still don't, but if I was going to be
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: forced to give a side in that game, my lean
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: would be UCF plus the points in that one. North
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: Carolina at number 25, Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is now anointed, let's say,
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: as they're now in the top 25. And I talk
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: about how when a team gets into the top 25,
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: this game's on ESPN, by the way, at noon, so
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: this gets the big billing at noon just because it's
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: Bill Belichick, I guess. I mean, is this game really
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: that high profile of a game? I would say no.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: But Pittsburgh, now they're in the rankings. I think that
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: puts a target on their back. Like a lot of
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: times when a team is unranked for a long time
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: and they finally get into the rankings, they have a
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: little bit of a letdown after that. And it could
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: be a letdown anyway because Pittsburgh had that big Friday
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: night game last week against Virginia Tech where Virginia Tech
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: missed the field goal at the end of the game. Some,
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: I think, kind of bad coaching decisions from James Franklin,
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: who still cannot win the big game, which was the
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: knock on him with Penn State and wherever else he's been,
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: Vandy or whatever. Seems like it's going to be a
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: knock on him with Virginia Tech too, because that was
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: their biggest game of the season so far. They couldn't win.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: It was a big game for Pitt as well. Pitt
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: got that win in their first road game. Now they're
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: coming back home. Yeah, it's Bill Belichick, but I mean,
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: it's North Carolina, man. I don't know. I see this
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: as being kind of a letdown spot for Pitt. They
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: only play BC next, which isn't really that big of
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: a deal, but everybody's going to play Pitt, right? Why
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: is Pitt only laying three and a half and they're ranked,
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: they're five and O. UNC is only two and two.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: nobody's going to want North Carolina here. It looks way
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: too easy to lay that small price with Pitt, so
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: if I was going to play this game, I would
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: have to play North Carolina, but I don't really want
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: them either because they're coming off a pretty decent performance
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: against Notre Dame where they only lost by 11 at
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: home against Notre Dame, and they were kind of hanging
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: around in that game. I think that was like a
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: one-point game somewhere around halftime in that game, and then
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame did pull away, but UNC covered. It was
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: a tough game for them. I don't really want them
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: coming off a game where they did put in a
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: huge effort and kind of got beat up in that game.
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: So I don't really love UNC here either. I'm going
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: to lean to them anyway. Cause the odds makers are
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: kind of, I think signaling to you with this line,
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: but the money actually is not agreeing with me on
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: this one. 62% of the tickets are on North Carolina,
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: which makes no sense. Like, do you really think the
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: public is taking North Carolina here? I would say there's
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: no possible way that that's true. I mean, I usually
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: have a pretty good read on where the public is
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: going to be and I don't think it's going to
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: be on North Carolina in this one. It seems pretty
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: obvious that that would be true. I don't know why
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: the market read is saying that. 61% of tickets on Pittsburgh.
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: That is not the way I would lean here. I
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: would lean towards North Carolina plus the points in that one.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: The total is pretty low in the 40s as well,
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: so not expected to be a lot of points here.
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: Pitt is more of a defensive team, although I will
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: point out that I believe it is an injured player
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: theory spot for Pittsburgh, though, if you want to call
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: it that. I believe Heinzel, their quarterback, got hurt in
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: this game. Let me see. He did. So they might
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: be going with their backup, Geriner. I don't know how
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: you pronounce his name. I think he's been a backup
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: for a long time. I think he's like an older dude.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: I think he's like a fifth year. senior or something.
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: But I think he basically hasn't played, though. That's the thing.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: He hasn't played much, but he does know the system.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: So I don't know how much of a downgrade that's
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: going to be. But you could make the argument for
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: Pitt in that regard. Because you know me, whenever there's
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: a quarterback... that goes down. I do think the team
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: tends to step it up a little bit in that
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: quarterback's absence because they know they have to, and you
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: get a little bit more value. I should have explained that.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: That is part of the reason why Pitt is only
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: favored by three and a half. It's because they're dropping
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: down to their backup quarterback. So you might be able
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: to argue it's actually a little bit of an overreaction
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: because of the quarterback situation on Pitt. So actually, you know,
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: that makes me rethink this a little bit. I mean,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in on pit. I think I did
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: hear some professional opinions actually on pit here. I still
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: don't think I would do it though. Um, I still
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: think I would probably slightly lean North Carolina here, but
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: I do understand the argument that maybe pit will step
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: it up again in another game. I mean, again, it
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: is a home game on ESPN. So maybe that will
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: have them stepping up a little bit too. Uh, we
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: will see, but I don't think pit is, I don't
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: think it's that much of a downgrade from Heinzel to, um,
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: Guerin or whatever I said his name was, so I
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: don't know, man. Yeah, that's a tough game to figure out.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: It really is. All right, Arizona at West Virginia on
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: TNT as we're still in the noon games here. Trying
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: to fly through these, but I never am able to
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: do it. West Virginia's coming off a barn burner of
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: a game where they lost at Iowa State. That was
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: a tough, tough game, man. I mean, it's not easy
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: to go into Ames, Iowa and win even though Iowa
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: State might be a little bit down this year. They've
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: actually played all right this year. I thought it was
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: a bounce-back spot for West Virginia, though, off that loss
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: to Oklahoma State, but they couldn't quite get it done,
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: losing in a close high-scoring game against Iowa State. Now
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: they're coming off of that. They're going to play Arizona.
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: I don't necessarily want West Virginia coming off a barn-burner
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: type of game like that, but it's a weird spot
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: for Arizona, right, to have to go on the road
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: here like this, and they're not laying that many points either,
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: even though Arizona's been the team that's looked better They
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: have the better record here. Arizona looked really good last week,
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: wiping out Cincinnati, but I did tell you that was
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: a good spot to play Arizona. I'm kind of pissed
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: I didn't put it on my card. I think it
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: was the next one that I left out of my
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: pick seven entry to last week, which kind of pissed
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: me off too, because that was an easy win. They
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: caught Cincinnati. Cincinnati having to go play in Arizona is
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: weird enough, but Cincinnati was coming off a nice upset
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: of Kansas State, I'm pretty sure. So it was a
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: bad spot for Cincinnati, and Arizona handled them. And Arizona
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: was coming off kind of a lackluster game in Washington State.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: So it was a good spot to look towards Arizona.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: They had a blowout win. Now they've got to go
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: back out on the road, go to West Virginia, kind
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: of a weird travel spot for Arizona. They have to
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: go all the way to Morgantown. It's usually a rowdy
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: environment there, although I know it's only a 12 noon game,
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: so the students don't have a chance to get as
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: drunk as they might during a night game. The money's
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: indicating towards Arizona, though. West Virginia looks like they're public,
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: which doesn't totally make sense to me. Usually the public
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: is going to see, oh, it's only three and a half,
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: and they're going to lay the points with the team
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: that looked better last week, which is Arizona. The team
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: that has the better record, which is Arizona. So I
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: don't know what's going on. on in this one, but
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: 74% of the tickets, 63% of the cash on West Virginia.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: So the money's actually indicating on Arizona, minus the points
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: in this one. I don't know. I don't have a
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: good read on it, man. The market is saying that,
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: but when I looked at the situation, I kind of
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: leaned West Virginia slightly in that one. That would probably
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: be my opinion there, but obviously I don't want anything
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: to do with that game. CW at noon, Wake Forest
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: and NC State. Wake Forest always plays the role of
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: little brother against NC State. However, Wake Forest has the
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: better record this year, and they're actually the favorite in
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: this game. So the odds makers are actually telling you
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: that Wake Forest is actually the better team now Over
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: NC State. NC State has not looked that good this season.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: But of course they had that one game where they
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: should have beat Vandy. And lost with that stupid fumble
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: in the end zone at the very end. So that
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: was just a mistake game for NC State. They should
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: have won that game. Even so, what do we want
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: to do with this game? Well, I think both teams
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: are going to get up for it. It's a North
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Carolina rivalry game. Usually Wake puts a little bit more weight,
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: weight forest into this game because they are still the
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: little brother. They're always the little brother against these other
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: North Carolina teams. Wake looked really good last week, pounding Stanford,
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: and we took that loss on the show. That was ugly, man.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I thought it was a bad spot for Wake. Wake
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: was coming off two big performances against Miami and upsetting Louisville,
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: and they had this big North Carolina game on deck,
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: so I really thought that it was a bad spot
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: against Stanford. Didn't even matter. They annihilated them, and it
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: wasn't really that misleading. I mean, a 57-3 score is
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: always misleading, but they still outgained Stanford by a ton
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: in that game, so they still won that game. by
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: more than what the spread was at the very least.
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: I don't want to take a team that's coming off
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: a 57-3 win, man. I just don't want to do it,
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: even though they might step it up here for NC State.
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: NC State, they're coming off beating Louisville in their last
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: game too, which was that last week or two weeks ago?
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: That was last week. That's right, yeah, because I talked
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: about that this morning with my Louisville handicap today. NC State,
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: that was a pretty nice win for them, an upset
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: win over a good Louisville team. Don't really know if
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: they're actually going to overlook Wake, though, because Wake has
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: started off the season so well, and NC State does
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: go into a bye after this. I don't know, man.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: To me, looks like both teams might actually show up
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: for this. Wake Forest is a minus three and a
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: half road favorite here. Maybe NC State, you know, they...
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: Because it's almost like the roles are starting to flip
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: a little bit, little brother versus big brother. Maybe NC State...
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: you know, has a little bit of a chip on
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: their shoulder for that reason. 62% of tickets, 61% of
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: the cash on Wake. So it looks like Wake is
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: getting the public action. I do believe that, that that
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: might be true because they do have the better record here.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: So maybe that is true. It's a tough call, man. Yeah,
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, maybe the lead is NC State plus the points.
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: Maybe the roles have flipped too much there, but that's
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: a tough game to figure out for me as well.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: I don't want anything to do with it. All right.
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: Noon CBS sports Tulane at army. By the way, I'm
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: going to skip some of these games that are not
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: TV games. So if anybody wants me to talk about
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: some of these other games, I can, but there weren't
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: that many that really were, I think even interesting to
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: talk about really maybe a couple of them. So we'll
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: say army is coming up a loss to Louisiana tech,
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: which doesn't look that good. Although it was at Louisiana tech,
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Louisiana tech was, I think actually maybe a small favorite
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: in that game. So it wasn't that bad. Um, maybe
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: army coming back home. Maybe they'll have a little bit
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: of a, uh, better effort here. Tulane has been fairly good.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Obviously over the last couple of years, they made the
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: playoff last year. This year though, they haven't been as good,
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: but they played a more difficult schedule though. Um, they
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: played no FCS teams. They lost to Duke. Although, you know,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's not a, it wasn't a great performance.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: Duke's not that good of a team that their other
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: loss was Kansas state. I mean, you can't really blame
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: them for that. Kansas state's not bad. They're a decent
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: team here. And, uh, Tulane had to face South Alabama.
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: They're not that bad. And Southern Miss. And they're coming
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: off the Southern Miss game. Southern Miss almost pulled off
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: the upset, as I mentioned yesterday or two days ago maybe,
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: when I talked about fading Southern Miss. I think that
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: was against Troy the other day. Southern Miss is a 17.5-point
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: underdog here against Tulane. The fact that they almost pulled
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: off that upset or the fact that Tulane almost got
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: upset in that game, that basically means they weren't paying attention.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: I like to jump on teams that were favorites that
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: almost got caught like Tulane. So that would have me
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: leaning towards Tulane more. In this game here. Although I
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: don't think Army is going to overlook this game either though.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: And we'll see how Tulane can defend against the triple option.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: Although they're in the same conference. So they do have
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: to see this every year. So they're not totally unused
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: to it. What are we going to do with this?
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to do with this game man.
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: Army looks like they're kind of getting the money here.
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: 67% of tickets. 89% of the cash on them. At
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: a 3.5 point favorite. It is a pretty low total.
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: At 48.5. Although it initially went up. But now it
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: looks like money is coming in on the under here.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, Army, you know what they're going to do.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: They run the triple option. They're going to run the
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: football a lot, and that's pretty much what they do.
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: So it's all going to depend on whether they can
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: kind of control the tempo of the game that way.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: I kind of like Tulane, though, in this game, coming
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: off almost getting caught by Southern Miss. I think that's
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: going to spur Tulane back into a better effort again here.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? So I kind of lean
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: Tulane plus the points in that one, although Army... Doubt
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: that they overlooked them because Tulane won the conference last year. Actually,
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: let me see. Is this revenge for Army? Hold on,
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: let me see. I forget who was in the conference
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: final last year or whatever. Let me see. No, it
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: was Navy. That's right. It was Navy. Yeah. Oh, no,
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: that was Army-Navy. What am I looking at? No, Army
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: did play Tulane. Army lost at Tulane in the middle
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: of the season. So, yeah, it is technically revenge for Army,
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: but a midseason game, they lost by seven. I don't
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: know if revenge really matters that much there. So that's
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: what we have going on in that game. All right.
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: Big Ten Network at 12.30 p.m. This is Ball State
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: at Northwestern. Ball State, really bad. Like, one of the
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: worst teams in FBS football. Northwestern, though, I would fade
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: them in this game, though. They're coming off two huge performances,
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: both in Friday night games, I'm pretty sure, against Indiana,
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: where they almost pulled off a three-touchdown upset at Indiana,
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: and then last week they blew out Penn State, which
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: was a loser that I gave out on the show,
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: because I thought Penn State would bounce back off of
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: an upset loss. I thought Northwestern would not be in
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: a good spot coming off of that huge effort against Indiana.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Didn't matter. It was Northwestern's new stadium opener. The first
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: game in that new stadium against Penn State. Penn State,
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: a big-name team. Northwestern still took it to them, man,
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: and they look really good. This Northwestern team all of
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: a sudden looks really... I thought they might be ranked, actually,
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: after they did that, but they're not. But they look really,
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: really good here. over the last two games, so I
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: would fade them. And they do have a Big Ten
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: game up next against Michigan State, which is going to
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: be the first time Northwestern faces their former coach, Pat Fitzgerald.
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: And I know he's been out of football for a while,
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: at least a couple years, so I don't know how
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: many guys in Northwestern's program even really care about that.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: But it will still be Northwestern against Pat Fitzgerald's Michigan
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: State team. Possible look ahead there. I think Northwestern might
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: just look right past Ball State. Honestly, Ball State, really,
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: really bad team, but I would look towards taking the
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: points with Ball State in this one if I was
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: going to do anything. Ball State is coming off a
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: game against Toledo. This was last week, I think, right? Yes,
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: it was. Ball State was kind of hanging around in
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: this game, though. That's kind of another reason I don't
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: really want to do this because Ball State was within
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: eight points of Toledo late in that game last week,
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: and Toledo was a 20.5-point favorite in that game. Toledo
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: is one of the best teams in the MAAC and
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: Ball State is terrible. So that was a big effort
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: from Ball State, putting in a big effort and kind
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: of hanging around with Toledo. So I don't really think
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: I want Ball State coming off of that game either.
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: But if you force me to give you a play
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: in this game, I would lean to Ball State plus
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: the points here. The money is agreeing with that one.
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: 69% of the tickets on Northwestern, 74% of the cash
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: on Ball State. You're still getting 35.5, so you're getting
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: that key number, 35.5, above the key number of 35
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: there if you do want Ball State, and it's not
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: that high of a total in the low 50s, so
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: with a lot of tickets on the over, at least,
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: so the over's public there. Do what you want with
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: that info there, but Yeah, I would take the points
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: with Ball State if I was going to do anything
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: with that one. South Carolina at number 16. Florida at
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: 1245 Eastern on the SEC Network. Florida got knocked down
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: in the rankings a little bit with that blowout loss
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: to Missouri. However, I still don't like the spot for Florida.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: I don't like them to bounce back, really, in this
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: game because that was their first loss of the season
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: in kind of a whole profile game. A whole pry-file game. No.
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: The hoes are out, man. No. A high-profile game there
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: for Florida there. And remember, they were coming up that
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: huge game against Ole Miss. So, yes, it was a
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: letdown spot for Florida there. But they got taken to
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: the woodshed pretty much by Missouri. And normally I would
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: look for Florida to maybe bounce back after that. But
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: because it was still a ranked matchup, it was their
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: first loss of the season five weeks in. And I
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: talk about that. If you're undefeated deep into the season,
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: when you finally take that first loss, sometimes that will
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: hang you over. And I don't like the fact that
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: Florida has number one Texas on deck. And then they
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: have a... bye and then they have their world's biggest
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: cocktail outdoor cocktail party which you're not allowed to call
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: that call it that anymore against Georgia one of their
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: biggest games of the season up after the bye so
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: their next two games after this are huge so You
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: could make the argument this is a bit of a
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot, the Floridas. And as far as South Carolina,
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're sitting at 2-3, kind of an easy
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: team to overlook here. But they have losses against Mississippi State, Alabama,
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: and a Kentucky team that was ranked at the time.
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: And Kentucky got knocked out of the rankings despite winning,
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: by the way, which a lot of times when that happens,
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: you want to look back towards that team again. I
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: can't believe how high scoring this Iowa-Washington game is, man. Iowa,
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: I forgot to mention, Iowa is playing with a backup quarterback,
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: by the way. I forgot to mention that this morning.
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: He's more of a thrower than their other quarterback is,
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: and you can see that that's happening there in that game.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: So Iowa's offense is all of a sudden looking way better,
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: which is not what I expected in that game. I
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: expected that to be a low-scoring slugfest, man. That's just
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: completely ridiculous. But yeah, maybe that Iowa backup, maybe he's
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: going to be their starter now. The way that he
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: looks right now, I don't know, man. But yeah, I
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: did not expect a ton of offense from Iowa like that.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: It's completely ridiculous. Anyway, yeah, and that was also a
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: little bit of part of the reason why Washington was
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: favored in that game. But I don't think the line
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: moved that much because I think the books didn't really
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: downgrade Iowa that much for quarterback change because usually they
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: just run the football a lot. and play defense, and
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: they throw it a little bit, but whatever. We're talking
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: about South Carolina. None of these games were easy, but
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: if you dig into this game against Kentucky, South Carolina
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: probably should have won this game. I mean, they outgained
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: Kentucky by whatever this is, 60 yards, more than 60 yards.
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: They had two turnovers in the game that kind of
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: screwed them. They were winning the game 17 to nothing
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: midway through the second quarter here, so I think it
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: was a little bit misleading. South Carolina kind of outplayed
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: Kentucky in some ways in this game. They wound up
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: blowing the game. They actually had the lead again in
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: the fourth quarter and in overtime, and they still wound
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: up losing the game again on a two-point conversion from
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: Kentucky in overtime. Yeah, I mean, I know it's an
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: overtime game. I don't necessarily love playing on a team
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: that's coming off an overtime game, but I still think
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: South Florida, or South Florida, what? South Carolina against Florida.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: I still think South Carolina is the correct side in
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: this game. Florida's very public. 82% of the tickets, although
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: we see 84% of the cash. But that doesn't tell
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: me much. I don't think that's a big percentage where
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: it's like, oh, the money's definitely on Florida here. No,
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: I don't think so. I think if you're taking South Carolina,
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: you're fading a massively public Florida side. You're going to
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: get at least 11.5 on this. I know it did
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: open 14, so you missed out on that very key
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: number of 14. But if you're going to get this
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: at least 10.5, it might still be worth maybe considering
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: South Carolina in that game. It is kind of a
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: high total, though, because Florida's offense has been awesome. So
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: that's a little bit of a concern there. But my
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: lean in that game would be South Carolina. All right.
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: What was the next game I was going to talk
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: about here? I'm going to skip some of these games
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: that are like whatever. I was going to talk about
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: Old Dominion and App State really quickly at 1 p.m.,
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: even though it's not a TV game. It's ESPN +.
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: App State took their first loss of the season last week.
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: And you know what I always say? I'm going to
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: say it again. When a team takes their first loss,
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: I think that was last week, or did they have
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: a bye? Let me see. No, sorry, they had a bye,
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: but they took their first loss two weeks ago, and
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: when a team takes their first loss, a lot of
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: times it'll hang them over into the next game, like
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: I always say, although they did have a bye, which
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: might help them a little bit, because if you go
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: into the bye on a bad note, like I said,
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: it can help you a little bit, but I don't know, because...
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: That was a huge game for App State against in-state
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: big brother NC State. App State only lost by 10.
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: They covered the spread, and it was a tied game
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter. Like fairly, like really kind of
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: deep into the fourth quarter, the game was still tied.
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: And NC State put up 10 quick points late in
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: the game. So App State coming off a game like
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: that very well could be a hangover spot, man, even
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: though they had a bye to try to get through it.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: I'm not so sure they're going to be completely up
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: for this game, man. So I don't really love the
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: spot for App State here. Old Dominion has not been good.
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: They're sitting at 1-4. Their only win is against an
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: FCS team. So I get it. They look awful. But
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: they've been somewhat competitive in the majority of their games here.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: It's just they got smoked last game against Georgia State.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: But they were coming off a big in-state rivalry themselves.
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: Old Dominion played James Madison the week before that. So
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: maybe there was a little bit of a hangover effect
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: coming off of that game. I don't know exactly. But, yes,
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: App State does have a rest edge here. But, again,
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: I think it might be still a negative coming off
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: that other game. I think I would lean old Dominion
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: in this game. I just figured I'd talk about it
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: because it was a little bit of an interesting handicapping
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: scenario there. App State is getting a lot of the money, though.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: 60% of tickets, 94% of the cash on them. They're
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: about a 10-point favorite. But if you do like the
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: dog here, the total's low. It's at 47.5%. If you
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: do like Old Dominion, you know, you can get points,
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: get a lot of points with a low total, which
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: is something I do tend to look for. I think
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: maybe I would lean that way, but it's not a
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: strong opinion for me. The market doesn't seem to really
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: agree with it. And I think the buy for App
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: State maybe will help them a little bit push that,
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: you know, NC State loss into the background but that
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: was still a big performance from App State so I
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: don't consider that to be App State going into the
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: bye on a bad note in fact I think they
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: might have seen that as going to the bye on
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: a good note because that was a good performance from
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: them so and that loss may have kind of been
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: their that may have been the momentum stopper taking that
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: loss you know what I mean that plus the bye
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: might just kind of continue the negative momentum for them
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: or whatever you want to call it so Or, you know,
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: kind of just serve as like a secondary momentum stopper
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: if you want to look at it that way. Whatever. Nancy,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Good to see you again.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: I was going to talk about Miami, Ohio and UMass
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: briefly too because UMass, I mean, this is a fake team, dude.
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: I told you that last week and they were 4-0.
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: Now they're 4-1. I'm not even convinced that UMass is
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: going to get six wins here. Everybody's talking, oh my god,
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: UMass might be bowl eligible. Yeah, maybe, but This is
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: not a good UMass team, dude. People are going to
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: look at this and see, oh, UMass is 4-1, Miami,
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: Ohio is 2-3. Oh, but Miami, Ohio is a 4.5-point
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: favorite on the road here? Well, why would that be? Well, obviously,
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are telling you UMass is still U-ass. They're
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: not actually good, and that Miami, Ohio is the better
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: team here. On the road, even, they're still favored like this,
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: although what I will say is that you missed the
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: boat on this. If you do like Miami, Ohio, and
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: I do... It went up from two and a half
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: to four and a half already. So you could have
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: gotten them below the field goal. That would have been
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: the move is to take Miami, Ohio below, lay the
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: points below the field goal. Now the move might be,
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: you know, if you like Miami, Ohio, maybe put them
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: in like a money line parlay or something with one
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: other favorite around the same price range. I still lean Miami,
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: Ohio slightly here. I don't really want to lay this
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: many points though, four and a half. And it is
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: a low total 44 and a half, which does help
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: the case for the underdog a little bit. It does
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: look like the money is on UMass, 54% of tickets
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: and 82% of the cash on them. So maybe that's
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: telling you it was a false move, but obviously some
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: money came in on Miami, Ohio to drive it that high.
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: Like through that key number three, three and a half,
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: it's not easy to drive a line that significantly, even
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: in a game like this where I don't think the
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: public is really getting involved in this game. So maybe
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: the professionals did just kind of hammer Miami, Ohio to
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: set that up and actually want to play UMass, but
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: I don't really see it, man. I don't like this
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: for UMass, even though it is kind of a weird
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: spot for Miami, Ohio to have to go to Massachusetts. UMass,
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: their resume is terrible, dude. They had that one really
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: good upset against Rutgers. I think that was a fluke, though.
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: And since then, yeah, they beat two FCS teams. Then
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: they beat the worst FBS team, probably, in Sacramento State,
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: who's new to FBS. I don't put much weight into
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: that at all. And then UMass got smoked by Eastern
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: Michigan last week. which, yeah, they might bounce back from
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: a bad loss like that. UMass was favored in that game,
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: so I do talk about how sometimes when a favorite loses,
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: they will bounce back in the next game. I'm not
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: entirely convinced, man. I'm not. That was their first loss
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: of the season. Like I said, sometimes when you're rolling
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: and you're kind of hyped and you take that first loss,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: it kind of derails you a little bit, and you
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: might lose that game again in the next game. So
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: I really... Yeah, I don't see it. I think Miami,
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: Ohio is the way to look. And it gets better
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: for Miami, Ohio because they just lost to Bowling Green
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: in their last game. That is a disgusting loss. Bowling
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: Green is horrible. Miami, Ohio is a double-digit favorite in
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: this game. Losing this game outright to Bowling Green, I mean,
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: what are you doing, man? Bowling Green, yeah, they're pathetically bad. Miami,
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: it wasn't that misleading, though. Miami, Ohio did get outplayed
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: in this game, but they had a ton of penalties there.
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: So maybe they're going to clean that up a little bit.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: But even if it wasn't misleading, that's just a gross loss.
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: I think Miami, Ohio should bounce back from that. So
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: I like Miami, Ohio in that one. Um, all right.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Next game up is number one, Texas against Oklahoma in
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: the cotton bowl in Dallas. So it's a neutral site game.
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: It's somewhat midway between Austin, Texas and Norman, Oklahoma. It
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: is the red river rivalry, uh, or these it's the
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: red river shootout. Sorry. Um, I still call it that
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: you're not supposed to call it the shootout anymore. Oh,
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: you can't talk about guns. Uh, you can't talk about
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: the wild west. Yeah. Fuck you. We're you can't you
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: dude you can't call anything anything anymore i'll call it
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: i should stop calling it the red river rivalry it
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: does have a nice it rolls up the tongue you
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: know because it's rrr like that indian action movie that
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: i still haven't set aside three and a half hours
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: to watch but whatever It's the Red River shootout. Let's
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: call it that. I'm going to have a play in
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: this one. Nobody's going to want this one. You know
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: what I'm about to do here. Since you know that
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: I don't think Texas is actually the best team, we're
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: going to take Oklahoma plus seven and a half. At
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: least one thing we have going for us with Oklahoma
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: here is they have a good defense. There is that
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: at least. So getting a shit ton of points in
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: a big rivalry game where a lot of weird things
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: tend to happen. Yeah, I mean, that already has me
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: kind of leaning towards Oklahoma. Yeah, Texas, they're the better offense.
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: I'm not going to deny that. Mateer looks like he's
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: not really working out. Like, I was high on Oklahoma
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: coming into the season with all those guys coming back.
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: Their defense has held up, but their offense has not
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: been good. Okay, fine. But look at, I mean, the
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: total in this game. Look at this total, dude. I mean,
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: this is a total where you absolutely want to look
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: towards the underdog. It opened at that key number of 41.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: It's down to 39.5. That is one of the lowest
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: totals you're going to see. That's like a fucking Iowa game.
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? I know Iowa just scored
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: more than that themselves, but yeah, this is not that.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: This is Texas-Oklahoma. These are both good defenses. I think
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: we're going to see a low-scoring game in this one, man.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: So I wouldn't really disagree with an under in this
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: game either, except that You lost the key number already
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: at 41. I would not want to play it under 39.5
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: or 39. I don't think I'd want to play it
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: over either, though. Lowest totals do tend to go under,
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: but what I think that does help is it helps
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: the case of the underdog. If you think this is
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: going to be a low-scoring slugfest, you want to get
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: all these points, man. 7.5, we still get the key
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: number here above the touchdown. Most books do have it
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: a little bit juiced right now. Maybe you could wait
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: a And you might be able to still find the 7.5
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: at minus 110. I did see, I still saw it
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: at like one or two books out there at the
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: minus one. Or I think I even saw it reduced
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: juice at one book. So again, it pays to have
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: every book at your disposal. But I would still, even
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: if you have to lay minus 115 or whatever on
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: the plus 7.5, I would still do that here. And
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: there's more to it than just, oh, yeah, Oklahoma can
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: hang in this game with a better defense. This is
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: a situational play as well, which I'm going to talk
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: about in a second. You know what it is with me.
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: 72% of the cash on Texas, so Texas is a
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: public side here. Of course they are. They're the number
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: one team, and Oklahoma's not ranked. And Texas' record looks
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: really good. I think they're still undefeated, right? So, yeah,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: everybody's going to love Texas. Like I said, I don't
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: think they're actually the number one team. If you look
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: at what the oddsmakers will tell you and what the
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: power ratings guys will tell you, I think Texas is
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: probably somewhere around the 7th or 6th best team. Oklahoma's unranked.
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: Maybe they don't deserve to be unranked. Maybe Oklahoma's still
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: a top 25 team just because their defense is still
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: quite good. 52% of the cash on Oklahoma here. Like
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: I said, the money is agreeing with Oklahoma. The key
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: to me here is that not only all the stuff
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: I already said, but Texas... They're coming off a nice
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: win over Tennessee, man. I know that Tennessee was the
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: underdog in that game, but it's still not easy to
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: go on the road. Your first road game for Texas.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: I told you I liked Tennessee to cover that game,
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: and they did. But anytime you go into Tennessee, that's
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: a tough game, dude. So Texas is coming off that.
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: It was a ranked versus ranked matchup. That was a slugfest.
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: 20-17 final. Now Texas is coming off of that. And
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: what did I say they have next? After this game,
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: I know this is the Red River shootout. I understand
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Texas shouldn't overlook Oklahoma. But if they're going to overlook
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma at all, you'd think it would be in a
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: spot like this where they're coming off a ranked win
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: over Tennessee, a battle. And up next, they got Florida, man,
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: who's been playing really well. And then they have Ole Miss,
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: Mississippi State, Missouri, LSU. So they have five ranked teams
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: in a row coming up after this. So this looks
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: very sandwiched. It looks like a spot where maybe Texas
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: gets caught. Oklahoma sitting at two and two haven't looked
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: that good, but I mean, their losses are to good teams,
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: at least to Michigan and Georgia. I mean, I expected
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: them to play better against Georgia. There's no doubt about that.
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: But here's the other thing about Oklahoma here in this one,
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma just had a buy. So they went into the
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: buy after that Georgia loss. And what do I always
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: talk about? I said it already in this show. You
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: go into the buy on a bad note, which Oklahoma did.
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: They got smoked by Georgia. I think it's a positive.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: You fix some things. So Oklahoma has an extra week
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: to prepare. I think Texas actually does too. But I
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: think this is an inverted buy situation is what I
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: call it. We have one team that went into the
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: buy on a really bad note, which was Oklahoma. So
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: I think they used that buy to fix a bunch
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: of shit. Whereas on the flip side for Texas, I
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: think they did go into a bye last week. They
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: went into the bye on a good note, which was
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: that Tennessee game. So yes, I still consider it a sandwich,
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: but when a team's undefeated and they're coming off one
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: of their bigger wins of the season, one of the
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: worst things for that team is to go into a bye, dude.
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: I'm telling you, you want to continue your momentum. I
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: think that bye is going to be an absolute momentum stopper.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: So I think you have an inverted bye situation here.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: that helps Oklahoma and that hurts Texas here. So I
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: do not like the spot for Texas. I like how
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: it sets up for Oklahoma, Texas, you know, again, undefeated.
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: You do not want to have your momentum stopped like this.
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: So yes, Oklahoma is my play in that game. Um,
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: I like finding these inverted by situations, especially when it
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: looks like it's kind of a sandwich on top of it. So,
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: you know, I like sandwiches. I'm a fat ass. So
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: that's what we're going to do. Oklahoma is play number two.
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: There you go. Um, Nancy, do you want to come
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: on and say it? Cause you're part Asian. Huh? The web,
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: we have a wife. Are we, um, I don't know.
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: I don't, I don't do a good Asian accent. And
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: I'll take Calvin. What's up, man. Um, I still think
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: Ohio state is the number one team. Um, if you,
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: you know, listen to what the power ratings guys say,
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: and you look at kind of what the odds makers
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: have going on. I think Ohio state would still be
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: favored over every other team in the country. Um, I
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: think it's close. I think it's Ohio state, Notre Dame and, uh,
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: I think Indiana's dropped a little bit. I think Oregon
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: is actually pretty close to being up there as well.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: Hold on. Who else is up there? Let me see.
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: What do the actual rankings look like right now? What's
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: the easiest way to see this? I don't know what
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: the better way to see this is. I think there
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: are a handful of teams that are actually better than
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: Texas and would be favored over Texas. Indiana might still
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: be one of those teams as well. Alabama and Georgia,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: of course, are I forgot about those teams cause I
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: haven't talked about that game yet. Alabama and Georgia are
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: both better than Texas as well. They would, they would
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: both absolutely be favored, um, on a neutral over Texas.
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: So yeah, both of those teams, Alabama and Georgia. Um, yeah.
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: So yeah, Texas, I'd probably have like whatever, whatever that
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: would come out to maybe around the sixth best team
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: in the country. All right. Um, was that good, Nancy?
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Um, My bad Asian accent. Let's not
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: get this show nuked. Let's not get it banned. I'm
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: going to have to take a break at some point.
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: I usually do it around the hour mark, but I
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: want to fly through some of these games here. A
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: lot of times I do it before the evening slate,
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: but I'm not going to get that far. I don't
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: think this is bad, dude. Stanford at number three, Notre Dame, 3.30 p.m.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: East.
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: We're in the 3.30 slate now, starting with that Texas-Oklahoma game.
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: This game's on NBC. Stanford at number three, Notre Dame.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame. You know, it's the best. I mean, they're
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: one of the top teams. We know this. And they've
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: had an easy schedule, though. But they're coming off a
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: game where they didn't play well against North Carolina, like
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: I pointed out. So sometimes a big favorite when they
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: don't play well, they will bounce back in the next game.
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: And this is technically a rivalry game, I think, against Stanford,
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: although Stanford obviously is the The little brother of these
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: two here. My problem with the spot that Notre Dame
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: is in, though, is they have a huge game on
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: deck against BYU. And is BYU winning? Yeah, BYU is
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: winning right now. They're probably going to win this game.
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: So it looks like for now, at least, even though
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: I liked Iowa State to cover in that one. Notre Dame, BYU,
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: everybody's been talking about it. I mentioned it too. I
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: said that Notre Dame having to go play what's going
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: to be a night game now against BYU, that's not
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: an easy environment, man. You have to go into elevation
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: and play a night game in the mountain time zone. Yeah,
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: like I talked about at the beginning of the season,
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: I said if Notre Dame was going to lose at
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: all this season, that was the game where it was
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: going to happen. they're probably going to be about a
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: seven something point favorite in that game. Maybe a little
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: bit more than that in that game. But yeah, like
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame might be looking ahead to that BYU game.
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying. They might overlook Stanford here. So
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: I think Stanford is probably the way to lean in
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: this game. Stanford just got absolutely obliterated by Wake Forest
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: last week. We took a loss on the show in
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: that game. It was bad. You know, that's the type
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: of loss that frustrates me less though. You know, Like
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: a close loss where some bullshit happens. It's really tough
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: to get over something like that. A game like that,
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: it's over two seconds into the game. You're like, well,
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: that's a loser. Move on. You know what I mean?
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: It's like ripping the Band-Aid off. It's way easier. But
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: because Stanford was so ass in that game, and it
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: was still a little bit misleading, even though they got
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: outplayed completely, but they still, I think, had a bunch
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: of turnovers too, which made it look even worse than
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: it really was. Coming off a game like that, I
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: think they're staying in this area, right? Because they're in
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: North Carolina. Now they're going up to Indiana. I don't
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: think Stanford went back to the West Coast. You know
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: what I mean? Usually when teams have two road games
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: in a row like this, it's set up that way
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: so they don't have to travel back. So my guess
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: is that Stanford did not go all the way back.
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: to California. I think they stayed somewhere between North Carolina
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: and Indiana for this. So I think that should help
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: Stanford a little bit here. I would lean towards Stanford.
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're coming off just a horrendous looking loss.
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: There's the potential look ahead for Notre Dame there to
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: what might be their biggest game of the season. I'm
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: not saying Stanford's going to win. Of course, I don't
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: think that. But Notre Dame's laying 39.5 points now. The
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: total's not even that high at 54.5. So I think
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: the move, if you have to play this game, is
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: to take Stanford plus the points here. 74% of tickets,
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: 75% of the cash on Notre Dame. So they're a
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: public side. I mean, 1% difference in the cash doesn't
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: tell me anything really. So yeah, I think Notre Dame's
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: a really public side here. I would lean towards taking
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: the points with Stanford there. Oh, well, thank you. My accent, Wayne. Uh,
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: what's up, man? That's Massey's power rankings. Um, not Thomas Massey,
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: by the way, Massey is one of the power rankings guys. Uh,
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: Jeff Sagerin is another guy who still does the college
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: football ones. I kind of get mine by just listening
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: to a bunch of professional betters. And I kind of
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: just gauge what they're saying there. A lot of, a
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: lot of them will just throw out like who their
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: top 10 are though. Yeah. I mean, this is close
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: to what I've heard. Um, He has Notre Dame lower
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: than what I've heard, although I kind of understand it
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: because Notre Dame just hasn't faced a difficult schedule, so
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: that might be part of the reason why this ranking
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: system has Notre Dame a little bit lower. The guys
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: that I listen to generally have Alabama higher than they
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: are in this ranking system. Yeah, you have Ohio State.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: Massey has Ohio State, Georgia, Indiana, Notre Dame, Bama, Oregon,
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: and then Texas. Okay, yeah, I mean... I don't really
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: have too many issues with that. I mean, yeah, I mean,
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: that's not too far off from what I've heard. I
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: might have these shuffled a little bit here. Um, I
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: think from what I've heard, like, you know, and what
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: the odds makers have been doing, I think for me,
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: I think it would go Ohio state, Georgia, and then Alabama.
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: I think Georgia and Alabama are really close. I think
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame is really close to, I think Notre Dame
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: is right there too. I think it's those four teams
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: that I actually think there's a little bit of a
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: drop off. And I think Oregon, I would say might
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: be next. Then Indiana, um, And then did I miss
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: any teams then? I guess Texas after that. I don't know.
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I mentioned another team that might
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: sneak in there too, but yeah. All right. Ole Miss,
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: number nine at Vandy. This is the ESPN game at 3.30 p.m.
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: This is a little bit of a tough game to
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: figure out too. Ole Miss just took their first loss
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: of the season. They went into a bye after that.
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: And you know what I just talked about with what
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: team did I talk about? It was, I don't remember now.
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: I already forget. There was a team that went into
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: the bye off of taking their first loss. I think
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: it was Florida, right? Ole Miss is in a similar
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: spot to that. They actually lost to... No, no, it
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: wasn't Florida. Who was it then? I don't fucking know.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss went into the bye on their first loss, though, okay?
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: And it was a big game against Florida. It was
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: a game that they were probably at least going to
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: get up for somewhat emotionally, although I know... it was
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. I gave up Florida as a play
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: in that game. I know. Cause I had to, cause
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss was coming off that monster game against LSU
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: where they were, uh, they beat Lane Kiffin after he
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: abandoned them. Huge, huge deal. Um, you know, they were
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: giving Lane Kiffin the finger after that game, whatever. So yeah,
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss was definitely in a letdown, but it was
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: still kind of a big game, right? Like against a
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: ranked Florida team, they got housed in that game. Although
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: it was a little bit closer than the final score
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: was like, You know, third quarter, Florida was only up
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: by about like 10 points. I was thinking, oh, crap.
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: You know, if they give up a touchdown here, we
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: might lose the minus three and a half. It didn't happen, though, obviously, thankfully.
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: But Ole Miss went into the bye after that. You
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: have to kind of figure out, was that a good
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: note or a bad note? I guess you could say
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: it was a bad note that they went into the
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: bye off of, I guess, because they got blown out.
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: So maybe you could argue, well, they're going to recollect
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: themselves and use the bye advantageously. But there is still
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: kind of an issue here because they've got to play
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: Missouri and Texas in their next two games. They've got
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: two ranked opponents here, man, and sometimes you don't get
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: back up off the mat that easily after you lose
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: your first game of the season, right? Sometimes that's still
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: a momentum stopper, even with the bye in there. So
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: I don't like teams coming up their first loss necessarily,
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: especially if it was against a high-profile opponent. So there
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: are some arguments here to be made. Maybe this is
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a sandwich spot here. Vandy, I
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: think their quarterback is possibly injured right now, maybe day-to-day,
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: so that might be something to keep an eye on.
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: I have no idea if Vandy's quarterback is going to
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: be playing. I don't know how good he really is, though. Vandy,
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: I believe they played last week. They got blown out
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: by Georgia. I mean, that's not really that surprising, really.
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: They're coming off two straight losses here. Could be a
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: bounce-back spot for them. They're back at home. They're 3-0
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: at home, although they're only reasonable... opponent they faced at
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: home was NC State, and they shouldn't have won that game.
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: As I remember, it was that stupid C.J. Bailey end
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: zone fumble after NC State was winning the whole game,
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: and all they had to do was take an intentional safety,
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: and they were probably going to win. And no, let's
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: fumble it over in the end zone. Totally ridiculous. But,
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: you know, that might motivate Vandy a little bit more
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: because they remember, oh, last time we were here at home,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: we shouldn't have won that game. That was a bad
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: game for Vandy. So being back at home after two
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: road losses, They might definitely get up for this. I mean,
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: of course, they will anyway because it's against Ole Miss.
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: So I'm going to lean towards Vandy plus the points
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: in this one. And I think it's not that high
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: of a number either. Yeah, it's minus 9.5, although it
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: opened 10. So I would say if you like Vandy here,
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: I would just wait and see if the 10 comes
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: up because the public's definitely going to be on Ole
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: Miss here. 80% of the tickets on, only 62% of
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: the cash. So the money agrees with me on the
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: Vandy side here. I would try to get the 10
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: if you like Vandy here. It's a key number, so
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: it might hit the 10 again. Again, if you have
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: all the books available to you as possible, that helps, obviously.
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: It's somewhat of a high total, though. I mean, Ole
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: Miss does have a pretty good offense with Trinidad Chambliss,
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: so you're going up against that here. But, yeah, I
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: think the lean would be Vandy plus the points, but
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: obviously I do not love that game that much. Number 21, UCLA.
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: At number 13, Oregon is on CBS at 330. As
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: we were already just discussing with the rankings, I think
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: Oregon's still underranked, man. I think Oregon is actually like
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: a top five or six team here, and they're ranked 13th,
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: and that's because they lost one game at Oklahoma State.
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: A close game. I mean, okay. That's how the rankings work, basically.
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: You lose one game, your ranking gets completely thrown into
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: the shitter. But what have they done since then? Oh yeah,
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: they just won by 84 points against an FCS team,
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: and then they beat USC fairly easily as well. Oregon,
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're definitely solid, dude. They're the better team
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: in this game, and the Osweggers are telling you that. Like,
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: right out of the gate, oh, you have two ranked teams,
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: UCLA and Oregon, 21 and 13. Well, then why is
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: Oregon laying double digits here? You know what I mean? So,
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: to me, I thought the public would be leaning towards
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: UCLA in this game because it just looks crazy to
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: have two ranked teams. And UCLA, by the way, is undefeated. So,
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: the public... Usually what their MO is is they see
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: an undefeated team. There is no way they're going to
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: lay points against an undefeated team, and they see ranked
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: versus ranked. One of the teams, even though they're the
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: lower-ranked team, if they're undefeated, I think the public would
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: be leaning towards UCLA here. We see 58% of tickets,
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: 69% of the cash on them, though, which is kind
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: of indicative some money is on UCLA, but that is
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: not the way I would look in this game. I
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: think it looks very weird to have Oregon laying this
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: many points. The oddsmakers are telling you Oregon is the
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: significantly better team, even though UCLA is undefeated. So I
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: would lean towards laying the points with Oregon. My one
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: issue with it is they're coming out of a buy
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: that they went into on a very good note. They
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: beat USC on the road. That was a big win
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: for Oregon. And I think it got a little bit
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: more emotional because if you remember what happened in that
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: game was Dante Moore, their quarterback got targeted and got
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: concussed and knocked out of the game. And USC was
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: like celebrating it. I thought it was disgusting that USC
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: did that. It was, intentional targeting, man, and the people
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: that are saying that Moore, you know, slid late or whatever,
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: fuck them, fuck that, I mean, the defender launched headfirst
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: into him, okay, you can't do that, and he got
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: penalized for it, but he should have been penalized more,
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: and USC celebrating that they knocked him out of the game, Yeah,
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: fuck this USC team, man. And I was happy Oregon
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: won that game anyway. Plus, I leaned to Oregon in
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: that game anyway. That was my opinion in that game.
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: What Oregon did is they brought in their backup, Dylan Raiola,
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: who I know. Say what you want about him. He
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: was the quarterback from Nebraska for a while, the guy
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: who looks like he's pretending to be Patrick Mahomes. We
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: all know him, right? But he came in and he
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: played well, and they won the game. He played well
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: for the remainder of that game. They were able to
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: get the win. So, yeah, not bad for Oregon. Now,
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: I like Oregon in this game, but again, the thing
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: that's keeping me off of it is that was a
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: big win over USC. So it could be a letdown
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: spot for them, and they went into a bye off
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: of that. So I don't necessarily love that, right? Because
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: they went into the bye with two really good-looking wins
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: in a row. So I think the bye could be
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: a momentum stopper. However... There are still some positives for
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: Oregon here. One is this is a ninja player theory
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: game because Moore is not back. He's still in concussion
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: protocol or whatever. So Dylan Raiola is starting this game, okay?
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: And I think that might be an okay thing because
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: he's very experienced at the very least. And he's in
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: an Oregon system that may be better for him than
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: Nebraska was. It remains to be seen. But there was
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: a reason why they went out and got him in
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: the transfer portal even though Moore is their starter. And Moore,
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: you know, part of it was I think they didn't
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: know if Moore was going to enter the NFL draft
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: or not, though. So, Raiola, you know, was potentially going
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: to be their... He was going to be their starter
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: if Moore entered the NFL draft. We will see, but
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: this is going to be Raiola's shot, man. So, I
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: think he's going to be pumped to get to start
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: a game again. And you know what I talk about
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: with the injured player theory, I think the team usually...
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: gets up for that game a bit. They usually play
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: a little bit better with the injured player there. And
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: I think you actually get a little bit of line value.
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: So I actually think if more was playing, I actually
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: think Oregon would be like a 13, 13 and a
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: half point favorite in this game. I do think that
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: this line has been shaved a little bit down to
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: about that. It's been man's manscape. It's been linescape spread scaped. Oh,
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: that doesn't sound good. Um, Yeah, I think this line
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: would be higher if it was more in there. So
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: I think you're getting a little bit of line value
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: actually here on Oregon. I think maybe you're getting some
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: anyway because Oregon has that loss to Oklahoma State that's
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: dragging them down in the rankings a little bit. But
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: they're clearly the better team over UCLA. Now UCLA, they
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: haven't really done anything wrong yet. Yeah, give them credit
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: with Chesney as their new coach there, formerly of James Madison.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: He's turning this program around. There's no doubt about that.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: But look at what UCLA has done. Who have they beat?
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: They beat Cal. Okay, Cal doesn't look good. They beat
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: San Diego State, who's had the mumps for three or
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: four weeks now and doesn't look good. They beat Purdue.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: Purdue is an ass team. And UCLA, I gave out
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: UCLA as a play in that game, and it only pushed.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: So that's not necessarily a great sign. And then they
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: beat Maryland. Yeah, they clobbered Maryland. Okay. You know, who cares?
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: Maryland hasn't been that good. So nothing, there's nothing to
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: really be impressed by so far. Yeah, they're 4-0. That's good.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: But Oregon is a huge step up in class, man,
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: for UCLA from all the teams they've played so far.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: By the way, UCLA is also coming out of a bye.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: So I forgot to mention that. I know Oregon's coming
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: out of a bye, but so is UCLA. They went
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: into the bye with a 4-0 record, and I'm going
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: to say it again, momentum stopper. When you're undefeated, you
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: do not want to stop playing. You want to keep
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: playing every week. You want that momentum to continue. Yes,
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: it'll give them an extra week to prepare for this,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: but I think it's a negative, man. You're coming off
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: crushing Maryland by 51 points. You go into the bye
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: feeling pretty good. Yeah, UCLA does have nico yamalieva however
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: you pronounce his name formerly of tennessee he's still in
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: college football because that's what happens now you got guys
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: who are 25 26 years old still playing how old
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: is this guy um he's definitely a senior yeah it
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: doesn't even say what his age is i don't know
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: he's wearing the you know the nerd glasses or he
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: looks like he should be in like a i don't
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: know like an r & b group or something like
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: what are we doing here man um Whatever. But yeah,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: I don't think I have anything else to say about this.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: I think that it's a negative spot for UCLA coming
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: out of that buy. Anyway, I do not agree with
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: the cash percentage on this one. I would lay Oregon
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: in this one. This is one of my stronger opinions, actually.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it's going to make the rest
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: of my pick seven entry, but I have to find
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: some more games to put in there, though. This might
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: make the cut for me on one of them. I
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: like Oregon in this game. Out of the games that
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: I've talked about so far.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: I like this one the best, aside from the ones
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: that I have given out of play in so far.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: I think this is the best one so far. I
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: like Oregon. It has a lot going for it, man.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: The bye scheduling stuff going on, the injured player theory,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: the spread looking weird versus what the rankings are telling you,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: the undefeated huge underdog spot. Yeah, Oregon, to me, is
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: the right side in that game for sure. All right. Fox, 3.30 p.m.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: Eastern.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: We have number 22 at Houston at Kansas State. This
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: is one of those games where you have a home
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: favorite who is unranked. I know it didn't work out
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: with Washington tonight, but we have three of these games
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: this week. I have another one still to talk about,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: but you have a ranked road opponent against an unranked
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: home favorite here. It's a rare scenario. It doesn't happen
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: that often. You might get maybe one or two a week,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: usually maybe less. But this week we have three of them,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: although the one tonight loses, whatever. It's something to take
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: into account, okay? Because you know what the public is
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: going to do. They're going to say, oh, Houston's ranked,
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: so they're the better team here. Let's take the points
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: with them. And while, yeah, I think they might be
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: the better team, the odds makers are telling you it's
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: very slight. Kansas State has to get something for home
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: field here. But the odds makers are telling you there's
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: not that much of a difference between these two teams.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: So right away, that has me leaning towards Kansas State.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: When I see something like this, oh, yeah, the unranked
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: team is favored. Well, the odds makers aren't just throwing
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: money away. Although we do see money coming in on
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: the Houston side. 61% of tickets, 79% of the cash
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: on Houston. Now, these teams are both actually pretty good defensively,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: I think. I think these are a couple of the
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: better defensive teams in the Big 12, a conference that
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: is not known for defense at this point in football. Houston,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: I don't necessarily hate the spot for them, though, because
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: they're coming up that game against UCF where they didn't
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: play that well, right? So.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: I talk about that. When you're a big favorite, and remember,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: I told you UCF was winning that game 17-0 in
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: the third quarter. Houston had 27 unanswered points, came back
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: and won. Houston is a big favorite in that game
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: who still wound up not covering. Whenever you get a
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: team like that that's a big favorite that doesn't play well,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they play better in the next game.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to fade Houston for that reason.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: They do have ranked Oklahoma State on deck, and then
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: Utah after that, another ranked team. They do have two
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: ranked teams coming up after this game. But maybe they're
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: still focused here because that game against UCF was not good,
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: and they got a scare in that game. So that's
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: what's going on here. Kansas State, though, they're coming out
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: of a bye. So I think the spot is better
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: for Kansas State because they went into the bye on
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: a bad note. Now, yes, they took their first loss
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: of the season. I know I said that sometimes is
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: a negative. Sometimes you'll be hung over into the next game. And, yes,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: it is true that Kansas State has basically not played
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: anybody good yet. So their resume is not impressive here.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: The best team they played was that last game against Cincinnati.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: They went on the road and they lost. Kansas State
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: was a favorite in that game and they got upset.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: But that's a negative way to go into a buy, man.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: So I think they're going to use the buy effectively
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: because they were a favorite. They lost going into the buy.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: I think they're going to fix things going into the buy.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: It looks like... I don't know what happened to the
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: rushing attack there. Their running back Fields or whatever got
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: hurt because their quarterback looks like Avery Johnson looks like
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: he was the leading rusher the last two games. Or no, sorry,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: it was only one of the games. Jackson was the
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: other one. Never mind. But I don't know if Fields
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: is hurt or what's going on here. Maybe something to
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: keep an eye on. But yeah, I think Kansas State
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: coming out of the bye should help. By the way,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: the one thing I forgot to mention with Oregon, having
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: a bye is going to help Raiola even a little
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: bit more because he gets to... spend another week learning
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: the system and getting ready, right? And if Oregon's going
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: to change their game plan, although I don't think they
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: really will because I think Raiola's kind of similar to Moore,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: but if Oregon was going to change their playbook at
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: all with Raiola now their starter... having a buy is
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: a good week to do that. You know what I mean?
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: You have an extra week to come up with something
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: and he's got an extra week to learn it and whatever.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: And the guys get another, an extra week of practice
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: with him. So I think that does help, um, the
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: injured player. It boosts the injured player theory. That's Oregon.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: I'm talking about anyway, Kansas state. I still think coming
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: off of that buy that they went into on a
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: bad note. I still, they should help them.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: They have their rival Kansas up next, but they're not
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: going to overlook a ranked Houston team. I wouldn't think, um,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: after having lost going into the buy. So I still
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: like Kansas State in this game, minus the two and
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: a half or whatever. The money doesn't quite seem to
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: agree with me. I don't love it, but I think
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: there were more indicators for Kansas State than Houston in
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: that one. So that is my opinion there in that one. Okay. Ugh,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: let's keep going here, man. We have Duke and Georgia Tech.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: This one actually almost made my card. I mean, this
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: is a game that I've heard nobody talk about this game.
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: ESPN2 has this one. I mean, it's an ugly game.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: Neither team has been good. Well, actually, Duke is 4-0,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: but I don't actually think Duke is good. Let's put
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: it that way. Georgia Tech is 1-3, but they faced
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: somewhat of a more difficult schedule, okay? Like, they played Colorado.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's that bad. They played Tennessee. Obviously,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: that's not an easy opponent. And then they had to
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: go all the way to California to play Stanford. And, yes,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: Stanford upset them, and it's not a good result. But still,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: I don't consider that to be, you know, like for
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech, this isn't that bad of a resume. And
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: now they had a bye. So they have a bye.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: So they don't have to travel back cross-country in one week.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: They get a bye. They had a bad game. They
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: went into the bye on. So I think it's a
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: good spot for Georgia Tech here. Went into the bye
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: on a bad note. So I think they're going to
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: use the bye to fix some things. Now they get
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: Duke at home. I think they will show up for
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: an undefeated Duke team that won the conference last year.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: I think both teams are down this year from where
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: they were last year, though I think it just hasn't
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: shown yet for Duke. Both of these teams were pretty
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: good last year. So that's another reason why I think
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: maybe there's a little bit of a revenge angle here
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: for Georgia Tech. Now hold on, wait, was that the
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: final last year too? Let me see. No, it wasn't.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: I was going to say, was that the conference final?
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: I don't believe it was. No, it was Duke against Virginia,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure is what it was. But either way,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech was in the running to win the ACC
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: last year for a while. They fell short, and Duke
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: was the team that wound up winning it, even though
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: they were not actually the best team in the ACC.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: Of course, these teams are totally different. Now, Duke had Mensa,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: Now he's on Miami. Georgia Tech had Haynes King. He's
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: in the NFL now. All that type of stuff, you know.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: So these are two different teams now. But yeah, Georgia Tech.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: Went into the bye on a negative note, so I
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: think this is a positive spot for them. Meanwhile, Duke
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: is 4-0, but, I mean, come on, man. I mean,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: look at this 4-0 they've had. They're Windsor against Tulane, Illinois, Stanford,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: and William & Mary. Okay, I mean, none of those
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: teams are that good. Tulane might be the best of
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: those teams, to be honest. Illinois, I know they're a
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: Big Ten team. They're ass, okay? I think they just
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: lost to Purdue. That Illinois team is... Like, they should
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: not even be this much of a favorite in these
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: games where they're favored. Illinois sucks. So, yeah, I'm not
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: impressed with Duke's resume at all. And they're coming out
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: of a bye as well, by the way. So, Duke,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: they went into a bye on four wins in a
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: row here. Duke. I accidentally said Illinois again, I think.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: Duke went into the bye with a 4-0 record. So,
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: I'm going to say it again. I think it's a
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: negative going into the bye undefeated on a good note
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: like that. I think it's going to be a momentum stopper.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: I don't like this. Duke plays North Carolina next, by
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: the way, which I know North Carolina has that game
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: up as well, but I don't think North Carolina is
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: going to overlook Pitt, but Duke may very well overlook
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: a one-win Georgia Tech team here with their rival North
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: Carolina on deck here. So to me, yeah, this spot
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: is definitely a Georgia Tech spot. It is an inverted
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: bye situation like I talked about with Oklahoma and Texas,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: this one was really in consideration for me. I think
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: this one is going to be in my pick seven
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: entry at the very least. I like Georgia Tech plus
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: the points in this one. I think it's one of
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: these games where the records are just totally misleading. Duke
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: at 4-0. Georgia Tech at 1-3. Now, I wish the
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: spread was less, though, because the oddsmakers are still telling
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: you Duke's the better team, and yeah, sure. I mean,
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: I think they are. They're at 6-1⁄2 now, though. If
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: you want Georgia Tech, I would try to find the 7.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: It did open 7, but it's been sitting at 6-1⁄2,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: and the public is actually not on Duke, which that
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: really throws me for a loop because there's no way
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: the public is going to be on Georgia Tech here.
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: Why would they be? Duke's 4-0, man. Georgia Tech's 1-3,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: so why would the public ever take Georgia Tech? I
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: don't think they are, but maybe this is just all
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: professional money in a game that might just not be
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: getting a lot of public play at all. 72% of tickets,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: 74% of the cash on Georgia Tech. It is a
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: low total, by the way, but I think some of
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: that has to do with the hurricane, though. So keep
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: that in mind. I forgot to mention. I'm going to
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: mention it with the Alabama-Georgia game, but there's a hurricane
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: that's down there affecting, I think, maybe Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: Florida Panhandle, that area there. Be aware of that. So
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: some of these games, I think that's why this total
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: plummeted from 49 to 43.5. So be aware of that.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: You've got to be aware that maybe the total is
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: overreacting because if the hurricane is not going to have
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: that much of an effect... The total dropping by that
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: much might be an overreaction, okay? It all depends on wind.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: Wind is the thing that really affects the game. So
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: if there is actually going to be wind, the hurricane, whatever,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: then yes, the drop in the total is warranted because
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: the wind affects the throws, it affects the kicking, it
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: fucks everything up on the offense. If it's only rain
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: and it's only a slick surface, I don't think that
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: impacts the offense that negatively. And in fact, I think
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: the defense gets impacted a little bit negatively because they
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: slip more often trying to figure out where the offensive
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: player is moving, whereas the offensive player knows which way
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: he's going to cut already. So if it's only rain,
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: I think there might be some value looking at the
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: overs in some of these games. So this game, I
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: don't know. This game, the money's coming in on the under.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: You have to really pay attention to the weather in
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: some of these games, which makes it more difficult to Still, though,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: with the total plummeting, and it was already a low total,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: plummeting all the way down to 43.5. I think I
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: have no real problem with taking the underdog in this game, though.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: That's the way I would lean. Georgia Tech plus the points.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: I'd rather get the seven, though, obviously. But with a
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: low total like that, getting near a touchdown at the
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: very least, that looks like the right side to me. So, yeah,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: I like Georgia Tech in that game. All right. Let
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: me see. I've got to figure out when I want
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: to cut this and take a break. Am I halfway through?
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know.
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: It's hard to gauge, man. Maybe I can zoom out
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: and try to gauge it. Where am I at here?
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. I think I'm not quite there yet, but
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know. All right. Next game. Yeah, because I
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: usually take a break at some point because this is just...
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: This show is so difficult to get through. And just
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: for minimal plays, too. Virginia Tech at Cal, ACC Network. Now,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: Virginia Tech having to go to the West Coast, so
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: I talk about how that's a negative on your biological clock.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: When an East Coast team has to go out West,
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: it's bad. But at least, luckily for Virginia Tech, at
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: least it's not a night game for them. Because if
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: it was a night game, I think it would be
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: more of a negative. You have to adjust your biological
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: clock more to play late based on your biological clock. So...
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: I would like it less, but I still don't like
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: the spot for Virginia Tech here. They're coming off that
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: first loss of the season, big high-profile game on Friday night.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: They lost the game. James Franklin cannot win the– I
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: was pointing, I'm like, wait, that's Mike Galico. What are
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: we doing here? I don't know why they have a
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: non-Virginia Tech image there, but whatever. James, they're both bald
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: men with glasses. What can I do with teams that
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: have kind of a burgundy color? Virginia Tech lost their
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: first game. I took their first loss last week, and
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: I talk about how that can be a hangover type
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: of spot after that. And they take their first loss
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: that late into the season, and it was a big game.
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: High-profile game against Pitt. They lost right at the end
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: on a missed field goal, I'm pretty sure. Definitely could
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: be a negative and having to travel cross country for
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: the first time this season. They have not left the
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: Eastern time zone this season. So I still think it
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: is a negative for Virginia tech. So I'm still going
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: to be leading the cow here. Hangover spot, weird travel spot.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: Cal is getting like 10 points in this game here.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: Cal's coming off losing to a lesser conference team in UNLV.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: I think UNLV actually might have been a small favorite
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: in that game. But Cal's staying in the Pacific time zone, man.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: They've been in the Pacific time zone since early in
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: the season when they had to go east and play Syracuse.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: They've been back west for a while now, so they
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: don't have any time zone adjustment to make here. They're
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: coming off kind of a gross loss to UNLV, even
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: though UNLV I think is still one of the better
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: teams in the Mountain West. Cal is still a power
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: conference team technically, so I think they're going to maybe
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: bounce back from a loss like that. Losing to a
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: lower conference team usually is something you don't want to take,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: and you're going to bounce back from that. The other
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: thing to note is... The quarterback for Cal got injured
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: in that game, Sagapolitelli, and I think he's not playing
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: in this game. So you're going to have the backup quarterback,
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: which is Broussard, I think is his name. Sorry, Brousseau. Sorry, Brousseau.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: But he didn't play that badly when he came in
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: in that game against UNLV. He was fine. So I
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: don't think it's that much of a downgrade, but I
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: think maybe you're getting... Too much line value here. Again,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: it's an injured player theory spot coming into play here
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: on the side of Cal here. So I think that
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: means they're going to step up their game a little
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: bit more, knowing that their quarterback is out. I think
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: you're going to get a little bit of extra line
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: value on them because of that. This line is around
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: 10 in a couple of different books. Looks like DK
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: has a lot of the big books have it right now.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: So yeah, if you're going to play this game, I
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: would take the 10 with Cal. That's what I would do.
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: 60% of tickets, 64% of the cash in Virginia Tech.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: Virginia Tech's the public side, at least I will say that.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't put that much weight into the cash percentage
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: on that one. Situational angle I think does favor Cal
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: and is negative for Virginia Tech for the reasons I
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: already stated. So yeah, I like Cal in that one
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: plus the points. That one would certainly not be last
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: on my card by any means. Like, out of the
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: games I've talked about so far that are not on
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: my card, I would say Oregon, then maybe Georgia Tech,
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: then probably this one. Or maybe this one even above Georgia.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know, above Georgia Tech. It's hard for me
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: to rank these. But yeah, I like Cal, plus the
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: points in that one. Illinois at Michigan State on Fox
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: Sports 1. This is kind of an ugly one. Illinois'
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: favorite on the road, though, which to me, I mean,
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: that just seems totally fucking stupid to me. Like, the
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are still telling you that Illinois is the better
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: of these two teams? Are you serious? There's no fucking way, dude.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: This Illinois team is so bad. Michigan State, I know
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: that they haven't looked that good. They played fairly competitively
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: against Notre Dame. That's not that bad. They lost to Nebraska.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: Nebraska's been playing well. I didn't like the spot for
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: Michigan State in that one, coming off that physical game
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: against Notre Dame. I did give out Michigan State as
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: a play last week, though. I thought they would bounce back.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: I thought they would catch Wisconsin in a bad spot,
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot. Wisconsin was coming off the upset of
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: Penn State, and they had some bigger game coming up
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: this week. I forget what it is, but I'll probably
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: see it when I go to... Or maybe, actually, no,
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: I think Wisconsin has a bye this week. But I
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: think they have a big game next week or whatever
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: it is. Anyway... Michigan State, yeah, they got caught, but
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: that game wasn't exactly what it looked like on the scoreboard.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: A 31-3 loss, yeah, I mean, I know it looks
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: really bad. Wisconsin did outplay them. I'm not going to
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: deny that. Wisconsin outgained them, whatever. But Michigan State, I'm
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: pretty sure they also were like 0-4 in the red zone.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: I think they missed every single fourth down attempt that
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: they tried. So I think they were, yeah, I think
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: they were 0-4 in the red zone and also 0-4
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: on Michigan. Or sorry, they were one for six on
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: fourth down. So like I said, they were just failing
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: to convert, going for it on fourth down all over
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: the place and just failing every single time. So, you know,
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: that made the game look worse than it really was.
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: It wasn't good, but it wasn't as bad as it looked.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: I don't know. To me, I think this looks like
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot for Michigan State here. Back at
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: home off a pretty gross loss. It wasn't quite what
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: it looked like. Illinois is coming off a game against
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: Purdue where, yes, they lost as a favorite. So sometimes
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: a team like Illinois will bounce back after a loss
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: like that, sure. They were a home favorite. They lost
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: to Purdue. But I just, I don't see any. thing
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: to like about Illinois here, man. They have one win
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: against an FCS team, and then their other win was
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: a game against UAB, who's not good. And as I
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: keep pointing, I feel like I talk about this every week.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: UAB dominated Illinois statistically in that game. So why is
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: Illinois the favorite on the road here? I don't understand. Yeah,
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: the Ozmakers know more than me. Sure, but I just
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: don't get it, man. I don't. And Illinois is going
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: into the bye here. Yeah, both teams should be focused here,
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: I guess. But, yeah, I think I would lean Michigan
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: State getting the points at home. I think this Illinois
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: team is absolute shit. 70% of tickets on them, 60%
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them. So it seems like the
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: market agrees with me, and Illinois is getting the public action.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: They're down from minus 3.5 to minus 2.5. They might
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: be able to find a three still, though. If you're
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: going to take Michigan State, I would try to find
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: at least that key number three. I mean, this one
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: is not one that's really close for me, though. You know,
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: this is just one where I'm just thinking, like, you know,
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is maybe my internal bias or, you know,
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: but it's not necessarily bias, though. It's, like, my thinking that, like,
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: I think I'm right that Illinois is really not a
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: good team. So, yeah, I mean, I think Michigan State's more, like,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: on the upswing. So, yeah, I do think that this
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: line should be closer to, like, a pick-em. type of
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: game here, so I don't know, man. All right. CBS
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: Sports at 3.30 p.m. We have Tulsa at Navy. I
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: think I actually forgot to handicap this, so I'm going
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: to do it on the fly. I know I did.
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: I did already. Navy's coming up with a big game
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: against Air Force, so that's the commander-in-chief round robin type
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: of thing. Navy lost the game, so it was a
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: big game. Big game for both teams, though. It was
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: a close, really low-scoring game. A lot of times when
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: these teams play each other, You get low-scoring games because
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: they know how to defend each other, right? Because they
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 2: all run the triple option, so that's what they defend
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: against in practice. A lot of times you see these
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: games go under the total because they know how to
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: defend themselves, the triple option, and because it's all rushing.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: But this game had really little offense in it, man.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: Just kind of crazy how little offense there was, especially
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: from Navy. It wasn't a good performance for Navy, but...
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: They've lost three straight games, all of them on the road.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming back home, or maybe they'll have a
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: better performance here against a Tulsa team that, while they
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: do have to face some of these triple option teams,
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: I think, every year, Tulsa's sitting at 3-2. Tulsa's coming
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: off a barn burner against North Texas, a very high-scoring game.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: So I think the public will put more weight into that,
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: especially because that was one of those Thursday or Friday
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: games where they saw that game. It was a crazy
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: game where North Texas won a winning game. I believe
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: Tulsa blew the lead in this game, too. No, sorry,
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: North Texas blew the lead. That's what I was thinking. Yeah,
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: so Tulsa made a comeback, and then they lost in
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: overtime in what I think was still kind of a
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: big game against a North Texas team that has played
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: pretty well even this year, even after they lost their
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: quarterback and coach over to Oklahoma State. So I think Tulsa,
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: they look better in that loss, that high-scoring loss. The
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: Navy looked in that ugly low-scoring game. And Navy's actually
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: favored in this game slightly. So the odds makers are
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: telling you Tulsa's a slightly better team. But Tulsa sitting
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: at 3-2, Navy at 1-3. Yeah, you know the public's
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: not going to want Navy in a pick-the-winner situation. It
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: looks really easy to take Tulsa, plus the points, given
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: all that we just saw and what the records look like.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: So I think I have to lean Navy in this game.
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: Money doesn't agree. Tulsa, 57% of tickets, 71% of the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: cash on them. Now, I will say that Tulsa, they've
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: been pretty good defensively. I will give them out of
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: the last week. They gave up a lot of points
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: last week against what's still a pretty good North Texas offense. Navy...
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: Like I said, yeah, sitting at 1.5 here, maybe 2.5
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: at some books here. I don't know. 2 might be
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: the line here. Yeah, I don't know, man. I mean,
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: there's been a lot of money coming in on the under, too,
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: dropping it through that key number of 51. So if
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: you like the under, you missed a key number. It's
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: at 48.5 now. Next really key number, I think, is
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: basically 47. I think 48 may be slightly key as well.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man. I mean, maybe an under makes
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: sense with Tulsa being a decent defense. Navy not looking
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: very prolific offensively. Navy, by the way, I don't know
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: what's going on if their quarterback is coming back because
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: he's been injured. And it looks like their backup quarterback
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: isn't good, even though he looked good in that comeback.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: Their backup quarterback is Gutierrez, I believe. Their started quarterback
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: who went down was.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: Woodson I think is that right I believe so you
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: can correct me if I'm wrong about that but yeah
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: Gutierrez I think is their backup who's been in there
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: he looked good in mounting that comeback against FAU where
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: I think they still fell short but since then he's
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: looked very bad so I don't know I mean that's
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: a concern with Navy for sure But that does kind
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: of lend itself more towards maybe Tulsa, maybe being able
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: to defend a little bit here, maybe the under. And,
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: you know, Navy just not being able to do a
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: whole lot offensively. Maybe the under makes sense in that game.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Based on the line and the way
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: that it looks, I think I might lean Navy slightly there.
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: All right. Other games I was going to talk about?
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: Not really. I'm just going to go skip and go to....
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: When should I take a break here? Maybe I'll just
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: finish this next one and then take a break.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: UConn at Temple on ESPNU. I don't like the looks
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: of this game for either team. temple's the favorite at
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: home but not by that much uconn's coming up a
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: barn burner themselves where they had a huge high scoring
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: game against syracuse well not a huge game necessarily but
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: a high scoring game i think it is big for
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: uconn whenever they play you know a big uh conference
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: team like this an acc team in this case uconn
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: took them to the wire man syracuse is a six
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite here at uconn and uconn
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: took them to the wire went into overtime like i
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: say when you have A team that's not even a
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: lower conference team because UConn's independent, but a team like that,
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: as an underdog, taking a team to the wire like this,
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: I think you want to look to fade them in
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: the next game. So I think it's a bad spot
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: for UConn coming off a pretty good-looking, high-scoring loss. I
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: don't like UConn coming off of that game. However, I
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: don't exactly love Temple either because they're coming off a
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: big upset of South Florida. But that was a game
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: that looked bad. They only won 17-13. I don't think
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: South Florida is that good. People are going to put
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: more weight into, oh, UConn put up 40-something points against
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: an ACC team, whereas Temple, they had a bad-looking, low-scoring
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: game against South Florida. You know what I mean? So
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: even though Temple, I would normally say, well, they're coming
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: off an upset, so maybe you want to fade them
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: off of that. I think in this game, Temple is
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: probably the right side because they look way uglier in
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: that game. They did end a three-game losing streak with
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: that win. so that might help propel them forward a
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: little bit. UConn is nowhere near what they were last
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: year with Fagnano no longer there. Money is backing UConn, though.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: The line's dropped from 4 to 3.5, 62% of tickets,
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: 80% of the cash on UConn. I don't think I agree.
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 2: I think I would lean towards laying it with Temple
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: on that one at the 3.5 or whatever, but not
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion for me, obviously. All right, let me see.
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: I only have one more play to give out, and
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: it is actually the next game. So, all right, I'll
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: take a break now. I'll come back. I'll give out
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: the last play, and then I'll talk about the rest
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: of the games that I was going to talk about.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: I will be right back. Yep, inside. I want to
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: kill myself. We were on an 0-7 run over the
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: last two days after tonight. It was just complete bullshit.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: So that's how I'm going to start off this show.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday, 1-5. I don't even know what to tell
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: you about that. I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this, man. With the
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all, 0-4.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: I just have not had a good season, man. What
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: can this slump do? Then I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak, actually. I'm gonna burn my
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: Bruins hat, man. I don't know what is going on
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: with the Bruins. March 8th? Is that what it is?
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: I don't even know. It's March 9th, I think. Who
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: even knows, man. I don't know what day it is anymore.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what day it is anymore, man.
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: Back with you after the worst day that I could
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: possibly have. Back with you as I always am. Until
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: I die, at least. 0-2 yesterday, and yesterday did not
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: go well for me. 0-5, the worst month that I've
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: ever had in my 18 years doing this. I don't
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: know what to even tell you about this anymore. The
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: know what I should do at this point other than
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: potentially end it all. All right, the last play that
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: I'm going to give out on the show, this one
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: is going to look pretty ugly. We're going to take Maryland,
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: plus 33.5 against Ohio State, number five Ohio State, who
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: I did say is actually probably still the number one team.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: So technically, the rankings makers are underrating them, but this
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: is just, I mean, the public is obviously only going
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: to go one way with this. They're only going to
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: be playing Ohio State here if they're playing this game.
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: This is at 4.15 p.m. Eastern on the Big Ten Network.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: This is just not a good spot for Ohio State, man.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: They had a high-profile game last week against ranked Iowa.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: Went into Iowa and smashed them by 17 points. Good-looking
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: win for Ohio State. Now they got to go play Maryland.
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: They get Maryland at home here, but, I mean, how much, like,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: are they really going to be focused on Maryland here?
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: I mean, how much are they really going to focus
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: here on Maryland? Up next, Ohio State has a huge
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: game against Indiana. And that's revenge as well, if I'm
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: not mistaken, right? Because Indiana won the Big Ten championship
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: against Ohio State last year, right? If I'm not mistaken,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: that is correct. And then Indiana wound up winning the championship.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: So this is a huge revenge spot upcoming for Ohio
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: State next week against Indiana. So yeah, this is a
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot. This is how you define it. And then
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: they have ranked teams after that too with USC, although
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: there's a bye in there, and then Oregon. But yeah,
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: this is clearly a sandwich spot. Iowa last week, good
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: ranked win for Ohio State. I think game day might
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: have been at that game, were they? I don't remember.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: And then Indiana, their biggest game of the season up next, Indiana.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 2: So I think they overlook Maryland in this game. I
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: know Maryland's 0-2 on the road, but we don't even
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: need them to come close to winning this game. We
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: just need them to come within 33.5 points here. Maryland,
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: they're coming off losing to Nebraska, but losing by 25
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: at Nebraska, honestly, that's not that bad. Maryland, I mean,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: they've had one really, really bad result against UCLA. Other
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: than that, they haven't had any results that really make
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: me be like, oh, yeah, that's really bad. That was
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: the one that was bad, but they played all right
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: against Virginia Tech. They played decently. at Nebraska last week.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I think they're going to at least show up,
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: put in an effort here. And I think, yeah, they're
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: maybe not as bad as people think they are here.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: And it's just, it's a spot where I don't see
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: Ohio State being motivated to cover a number like this.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? I think they get up
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: by a decent amount. They pack it in early. I
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: think there is definitely backdoor potential here because Ohio State,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: because they have that huge game against Indiana, Ohio State
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: might go vanilla on offense here too. You know what
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: I mean? A lot of times that's what you do
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: because you don't want to, tip your hand and give
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: that huge opponent that you have next week any film
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: to really look at. And if Ohio State's up big,
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: you don't want to get anybody hurt either. So again,
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: this might be a game where maybe they start putting
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: in backups towards the end of the game too. So
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: Ohio State, extremely public, 90% of the tickets on them,
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: 92% of the cash. I would not put too much
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: weight into any of that. I think really what you
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: need to know is they're just really public. Nobody's going
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: to want Maryland here, even getting a ton of points.
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: It was 34.5 when it opened. It was never at
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: that key number of 35, so I think 33.5 is
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: not really much of a difference, especially because these numbers
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: are really high. 35 would be a difference, but 34.5
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: to 33.5, not really. Yes, it is somewhat of a
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: high total in the 50s, mid-50s, but... I mean, it's
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: a really big spread. So, um, yeah. And the over
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: is public. So the game might not go over either.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. Uh, you're asking a lot of
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: Ohio state, uh, you know, covering a number like this
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: against a team. It's at least another big 10 team
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: in what looks like a mega sandwich spot, especially the
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: look ahead part of it. Maryland will be the play.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: All right, Zach, what's up, man? You're in my time zone.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: There you go. Rochester, New York. I've been there. Um,
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: As I've mentioned on the show, yeah, I had a...
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: The guy who's the commissioner of my fantasy football league,
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: one of my friends from high school, his wedding was
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: in Rochester, so I was at that. Yeah, man. You
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: gonna go hit up a dinosaur barbecue while you're out there?
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: Hang out with the bikers? It's not bad. We don't
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: get much good barbecue up in the Northeast, so you
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: can find specific spots that do it all right, and
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: I thought they were all right. All right, all right.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: Number 15, Tennessee at Arkansas, also 4.15 p.m., a weird
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: time slot for these two games. On the SEC network,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: you already know what I'm about to say about this probably.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: Although the one thing that I like Arkansas in this game,
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: you probably knew that already, because that's the way that
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: I think. But Tennessee does tend to just struggle with Arkansas,
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: but that could go one of two ways. Maybe Arkansas,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: it's just a thing where they always play Tennessee tough.
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: But the other thing is maybe Tennessee takes them a
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: little more seriously because Arkansas played them close last year.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: I think Arkansas might have beaten them the year before that.
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: But I don't know because I don't like the spot
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: for Tennessee, man. They're coming off two big games against
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: Texas and, you know, Auburn maybe not as big, but
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: at least what we could say in that game because
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed about it. I had Auburn as one of
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: my plays last week. That was kind of bullshit, man.
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, Auburn was covering that game almost the entire way,
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: and then Tennessee scored a touchdown with like a minute
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: to go, maybe a couple minutes to go, whatever it was.
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: Fuck that. You know, Auburn was within that game, within
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: the number the whole time. That really pissed me off.
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 2: So Tennessee, you know, maybe that's not a big win
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: necessarily over Auburn, but it was a little bit misleading.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: Now they go on the road to face Arkansas. They've
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: only had one other road game this year, and it
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: was against Georgia Tech, who Georgia Tech is not that
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: good this year. They're down. Arkansas is definitely better than
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. And Tennessee has a huge game on deck,
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: which I think is kind of the main thing to
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: look at here is they got Alabama on deck coming
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: into Tennessee. That is going to be a huge game.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: It might be the game day game. I'm not sure,
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: but that's, A monster game for Tennessee. So at the
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: very least, this is a look ahead. I think maybe
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: you're undervaluing Arkansas a little bit here. The odds makers
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: and the public, whatever, might be undervaluing Arkansas because they're 2-3.
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: But they had a loss on the road against Utah.
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: They're really good. They lost to Georgia. I mean, nobody
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: expected Arkansas to win that game. Then they lost last
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: week to A & M, Texas A & M. Texas
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: A & M, they're not as bad as people think
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: they are, as I already mentioned in my A &
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: M handicap here. Arkansas coming off that blowout loss to
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: A & M, though. I mean, you've got to think
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: they're going to be in bounce-back mode after that. That
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: was still hideous. When you lose 34-7 to anybody, and
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: it wasn't necessarily that misleading or anything like that. They
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: did get pretty much dominated in the game, but still.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: I think they're going to be in a bounce-back spot
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: after that. I think it's at the very least a
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: look-ahead for Tennessee. Arkansas is a pretty capable team in
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: the SEC. You're getting 13.5 points right now. The line
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: really hasn't moved. The public being on Tennessee, that also
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: should tell you something, right? Because that key number is 14, right?
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: So if the oddsmakers are okay with 70% of the
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: tickets coming in on Tennessee here... By the way, 54%
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Arkansas, though. So I think some
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 2: of the bigger bets, the professional money, is on Arkansas here.
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: But because the oddsmakers know the public all coming in
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: on Tennessee here and they have not moved that line
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: to 14... they're telling you they're okay with that. They're
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: okay with taking a bunch of tickets on Tennessee here
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: and not moving it to that key number of 14.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: So I think that's the odds makers kind of signaling
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: that maybe Arkansas is kind of the right side here
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: for that reason. Like, you know, that's just another signal
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: that maybe Arkansas is the right side there. If you're
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: trying to read what the market is saying. So, um,
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: yeah Arkansas I think is the right side there I
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: would wait because you might get a 14 because Tennessee
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: is so public there's no reason to do it now
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: at 13 and a half because you know if it
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: goes down to 13 who cares but that key number
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: is 14 you might be able to get it if
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: you wait and it is not that high of a
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: total 51 so that makes it a little bit more
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: enticing to play the underdog a little bit too Yeah,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: upstate New York is not the same thing as the city, obviously,
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: at all. Upstate New York is like a red area
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: for sure. Have you tried dinosaur barbecue? Go try it, man.
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: I'm not saying it's as good as actual barbecue cities,
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: but I don't think it's Kansas City-style barbecue either. It's not,
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: you know, what does Kansas City do? Like a lot
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: of dry rub stuff and whatever? It's not that. I mean,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: they probably do have some dry rub stuff. Dude, don't
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: knock it until you try it, all right? You know, like,
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 2: what does it have for, like, hold on. What does
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: it have for ratings right now? Let me see. Yeah,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, on Yelp, like, they have multiple locations. I
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: don't know which one of these is the Rochester one.
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: They're above a four, though. Four out of five, so
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: that's not bad. Yelp, I think the ratings tend to
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: be a little bit lower, too. The Rochester one is
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: a 4.3 on Yelp, actually. I don't know. You want
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: to knock that? Okay, fine.
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 3: 4.3.
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: That's pretty good. Like I said, it doesn't feel like
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: you're in New York when you go there. Let's put
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: it that way. It feels like a barbecue joint and
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: there are bikers outside of it. Yeah, go check it
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: out if you're in the area. Like I said, I'm
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: not claiming it's going to be as good as one
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: of the real barbecue cities, but As far as up here,
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a lot better than
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: you would expect it to be. We even have a
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: couple of places in Massachusetts that are not that bad.
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: Like I said, I've mentioned Noah's, which isn't that far
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 2: from me. I went there with Clint when he was here.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: He thought it was decent. I agree. It's run by
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: some Asian dudes, an Asian couple and one of their
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 2: friends or whatever, but They continuously go down to Texas,
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: and they've learned Texas barbecue in this case. And they
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: have the correct smokers, the correct wood. Yeah, they do
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: it correctly. So as far as trying to get Texas
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: barbecue up here, it's closer to it than... It's one
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: of the closest that you'll get to it, at least,
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: even though obviously it's not going to be as good.
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: But as far as we can get up here, it's
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: definitely not bad. All right. I don't want to go
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: on all these tangents, man. I don't want these shows...
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: This show, I hate doing this show, honestly. It takes
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: way too long. San Diego at Oregon State. We're finally
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: into the evening games, at least. Maybe this will only
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: be a two-hour show. San Diego State, I should say,
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: at Oregon State on USA Network. This is a Pac-12
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: game now. San Diego State, their entire team has the mumps.
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: Do they still have it? I don't fucking know. They've
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: had it for the last three or four games or something.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: They won anyway against Texas State last week. I told
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: you that it was an overreaction in the number. What
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: did I say about Texas State? Well, they fucking did
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: it again, man. Texas State completely dominated this game. 565
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: yards to 239. Are you shitting me? And Texas State
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: lost that game. They outgained San Diego State in this
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: game by, yeah, 330 yards, basically. And Texas State still
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: lost the game. They had almost triple the amount of
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: first downs. They had more than double the possession. They
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: had 34 first downs, 40 plus minutes of possession. How
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: the fuck do you lose this game if you're Texas
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: State with stats like this? Again, it's because they can't
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: stop fucking turning the ball over. Two turnovers in that one.
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: Texas State is never going to fix this shit. Their
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: coach should be fired. I've been talking about this since
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: last year. This is probably the eighth time they've done this.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: since last year where they have a game where they
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: dominate the stat sheet and they lose anyway because they
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: can't stop turning the ball over Texas State has to
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: be one of the worst coach teams that I've ever
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: seen this is insane so what I'm saying as far
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: as this game is concerned is that San Diego State
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: is not as good as they looked in that game
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: at all they still have the mumps I don't know
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: if their guys are coming back or not but going
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: back out on the road here where they have not
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: been a good road team so far they're coming off
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: an upset and There was like a 10-point upset against
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: Texas State, although I thought the line was too high
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: in that game, needless to say. But a game that
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: was also misleading. Now they're going to Corvallis. I don't
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: think I like the spot for San Diego State. I
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: don't love it for Oregon State either, though. I mean,
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: they just smashed Colorado State, although that was kind of
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: a whatever win for them. They were supposed to win.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: I thought they were going to cover. They did. Colorado
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: State's not good, although Oregon State looked really good in
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: that game, like probably too good. But now back at home,
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 2: I would not try to play San Diego State. I
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: think Oregon State is probably the only way I would
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: play this. But they opened 14, so you could have
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: gotten right on that key number of 14, and now
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: they're up to like 16. So you've definitely missed the
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: key number on that. It looks like they're public. 89%
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: of tickets, 91% of the cash on them. But this
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: might be a game where I'm not so sure the
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: public is really even coming in and playing this game
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: at all. So the real money might actually be on
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: Oregon State in this one. I don't know, but the only...
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, not the only hesitation. I have a lot
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: of hesitations with this game, but one of the hesitations
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 2: I would have with laying it would be that, again,
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: because of the mumps outbreak at San Diego State, you
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: might be getting a little bit of extra value with
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: them because they keep playing maybe worse than they actually
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: are in some ways because of that. But then again,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: their last game, the final score was one of the
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: most misleading scores you'll ever see. They got absolutely demolished
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: in that game. There's no way they should have won
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: So I still think laying it with Oregon State makes
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: more sense. Yes, there's a lot of apple picking in
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: the fall. Yeah, we get a lot of that. There's
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: a lot of that in Massachusetts as well. Like Western Mass,
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: Central Mass, there's a lot of... Yeah, we got a
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: lot of apple trees and stuff like that here. Yeah,
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: there's some cideries and stuff like that. I like it.
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. Maybe I'm a basic bitch.
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: I like that. I like all the pumpkin shit. All right,
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: number 10, LSU at Kentucky is the ESPN 7 p.m.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 2: Kentucky, as I mentioned already, they're coming up winning at
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: South Carolina, even though that actually wound up knocking Kentucky
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: out of the rankings. And sometimes what I say is
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: that when a team wins and they still drop from
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: the rankings, a lot of times you do want to
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: look towards them in the next game because, you know,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: the rankings makers are kind of, like, you know, giving
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: them shit for no reason, basically, by dropping them out
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: of the rankings. However, that was an overtime game. Kentucky
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: kind of, they got kind of lucky, lucky Kentucky in
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 2: that game. They wound up winning on a two-point conversion
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: at the end. They made a couple of different comebacks
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: in the game. They got outgained, as I mentioned, by
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: South Carolina. South Carolina had a couple of turnovers. What
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: are they, Texas State? South Carolina kind of did themselves
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: in with that. So this is a little bit of
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: a misleading win for Kentucky, although I don't think they're
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: going to overlook LSU either, you know, with LSU coming
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: into their place. I don't really know what to do
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: with this game. LSU, though, they had a much easier
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: game last week. They won against McNeese. This is not basketball.
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: So McNeese, they're not a really good football team, obviously.
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: They're FCS as well. So LSU basically had a tune-up game,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 2: and I think usually that's good for a team because
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: it just continues their momentum. I think the one negative
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 2: for LSU here really is that they have Mississippi State
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: on deck. And they've been playing pretty well this year.
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: So that is a ranked on ranked matchup there, a
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: big game for LSU. So maybe there's a look ahead
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 2: component to this. LSU has 61% of tickets, 64% of
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: the cash on them though. So even though they are
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: probably the public side, there might be some money on LSU.
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 2: I've heard professionals disagreeing on this game. So I internally
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: disagree on this game. I don't know what to do
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: with it. The lines dropped from 9.5 to 8.5. I
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: don't think it was ever at that key number of 10,
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: but it's gone kind of away from that number a
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: little bit too. I don't know. I don't know what
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: to do with this game, honestly. LSU is coming off
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: the easier game, but then they do have a look ahead,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: so yeah, I don't know. I mean, I might slightly
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: maybe lean towards laying it, but man, I mean, that
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: is a really difficult game to figure out. I don't
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: know what to do with it. Seeing a number 10
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 2: ranked team like that You know, not laying even double
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: digits here, though. That gives me pause. It does look
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: too easy to take LSU in that game, so I
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: don't know, man. And, you know, it's an ESPN game.
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: Kentucky will still get up for that game. So, yeah,
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with it. ESPN 2,
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: UAB is at Memphis. That's at 7 p.m. I've already...
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: bad mouth you at UAB a lot on the show
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 2: they're three and two but yeah I mean they're not
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: good man I mean they outplayed Illinois and still lost
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: that game Illinois is not good either they beat you
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: on Monroe that's not a good team uh they beat
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: Navy although they should I don't think they really should
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 2: have won that game uh Navy is still the better
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: team over them Navy outgamed them in the game and
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: just made mistakes. Maybe I'll play them in the game
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 2: and made too many mistakes and lost the game. This UAB, they're,
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: they're pretty much a fraud. And then last week they
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: won against an FCS team. They might get up though.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 2: That's the thing. They might get up for a game
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: against Memphis. I mean, Memphis is one of the better
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: teams in this conference every single year. So it is,
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: it will still be a big game for them. And
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: I don't really want anything to do with Memphis either.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: After they won 59 to eight last week against Charlotte,
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: although Charlotte is not good at all. Um, Yeah, but
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: I just don't want anything to do with Memphis here either, really. But,
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could make the argument that was a
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: tune-up game for Memphis. Man, I don't know. I struggle
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 2: with this one, too. There just really isn't much of
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: a situation to look at, even though I know UAB
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: is clearly not as good as their record looks. Like, oh,
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: UAB 3-2, maybe they can compete here. I don't know.
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: That just kind of has me thinking maybe Memphis is
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: the right side here. They're sitting at 14.5, and it
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 2: hasn't really moved. They're the public side, though. 78% of tickets,
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: although 94% of the cash on Memphis as well. They
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: might be really getting the money here as well. The
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 2: fact that it opened above that key number 14, 14.5,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers may be trying to induce some UAB money here. Although,
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: of course, the oddsmakers' main goal is to split the action.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 2: It's not necessarily really to fuck with you, you know
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: what I mean? Because if they get 50-50, then... they're
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: going to win because they just, they collect the vague. Um,
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 2: so we'll see, but 14 and a half.
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. I'm kind of thinking Memphis
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: in that game, but yeah, it's not a game that
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: I like whatsoever, though. Nevada at UTEP on Fox Sports 1.
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: I don't like this game either. UTEP is in the
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 2: Mountain West now. I mean, that's got to be a
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: weird travel spot, at the very least, for Nevada, right?
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: They're in the Mountain West, and now they're going to
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 2: go play in El Paso, which I guess, yeah, maybe
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: that's not that weird because I guess it's not that
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 2: far away from New Mexico and whatever. So, yeah, maybe
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: that's not that weird. UTEP, speaking of New Mexico, UTEP
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 2: just got... drilled horribly by New Mexico. I told you
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: this New Mexico team was going to be good. They
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: brought a lot of players back. They're looking pretty good
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 2: in the Mountain West here. UTEP lost to them 61-7.
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: Hoo boy. This UTEP team, they're not good, although they
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 2: haven't played an easy schedule either. They've had to play
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 2: New Mexico, who I think is solid, Michigan, and Oklahoma. Yeah,
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: UTEP's had a difficult schedule, so give them credit for
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: testing themselves. They're at least kind of stepping down in
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: class here to face a Nevada team that really has
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: not been good. And UTEP's coming off of a really
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: ugly-looking loss. Nevada's coming off a... Pretty crazy game where
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 2: they went double overtime against Air Force. So I think
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: Nevada's in the worst spot here, kind of a weird
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: travel spot. They're coming off what was kind of a
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: big game against Air Force. This was two weeks ago, though.
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: So Nevada is coming out of a bye, where I
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 2: think UTEP did not have a bye last week. Let
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: me make sure of that, though. so I think UTEP
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: is playing through here They are, but they got absolutely
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 2: destroyed last week, whereas Nevada, maybe you can argue Nevada
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 2: went into the bye on a good note, although they
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: did go on a three-game losing streak, though, so sometimes
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: I talk about that. When you go into the bye
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 2: on a losing streak, sometimes you do bounce back and
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 2: you play better in the next game, but I don't know, man,
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: because that was a game that was so crazy against
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 2: Air Force that maybe that still will kind of hang
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: them over through the bye, and Nevada does have North
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: Dakota State next, and we know they're an undefeated team
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: right now and sitting atop this conference. So maybe Nevada
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: will be looking ahead to that at this point because
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 2: at this point, it's almost a lost season for Nevada.
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 2: So this might not be a game where they have
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 2: total focus. I think I like UTEP in this game.
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's on Nevada. 63% of tickets,
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: 87% of the cash on them, but they're laying nine
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: and a half. And because, again, Nevada's kind of the
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: public side here, although even though it looks like they're
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: getting the money, the fact that this number hasn't really
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: moved to 10, although it looks like it is 10
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 2: at a few books now, although some of them are
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 2: the Vegas sharp books, though. Kind of have it at 10,
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 2: which that gives me pause as well in UTEP here.
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: But you might be able to get a 10. You
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: can get a 10 right now, it looks like, at
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: the M Lion book at the very least. And at
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 2: the F book that has bad merchandise. Yeah, I think
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with UTEP if I was
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: going to do it. Try to get the 10. And
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: the totals dropped to 49.5. So you're getting a decent
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: amount of points there with a low total in that game.
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 2: So those are my thoughts on it. I think I
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: lean towards UTEP. Speaking of North Dakota State, undefeated North
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: Dakota State. They're going to get tested here having to
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: go to UNLV at 7 p.m. on the CW. North
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: Dakota State still new to the FBS here. These road
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 2: games are going to be unfamiliar environments to them. However, wait,
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 2: hold on. I'm looking at UNLV right now. How many
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 2: road games has North Dakota State played so far? They
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 2: played two so far. They won at Air Force, although
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: Air Force made a big comeback against them and almost
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: won that game. Still pretty good performance from them to
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: go into high elevation and still win. I thought North
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: Dakota State might lose that game, but they won. And
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 2: then they went out to California, not familiar environment, although
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 2: a bad Sacramento State team, and they beat them up. Whatever.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 2: And now North Dakota State's coming off beating Wyoming. Did
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: North Dakota State have a bye? Let me see. They
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 2: had a bye prior to that game. So they played
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 2: Wyoming last week. Another easy win for North Dakota State. Now,
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: UNLV is going to be a step up, though. This
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: is going to be their most difficult game so far,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 2: I think, because UNLV, they're still pretty solid. They've been
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: near the top of the Mountain West the last couple years.
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 2: So this is not going to be easy for North
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 2: Dakota State to have to go there. UNLV, they're coming
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: off beating Cal, though. That was a nice win for UNLV,
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 2: beating an ACC team. A lot of times when you
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: come off a win like that, you're going to be
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: in a little bit of a down spot after that. However,
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know if UNLV is going to be in
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 2: a down spot playing a 5-0 North Dakota State team
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: that's sitting atop the conference right now. It's a tough
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: game to figure out. North Dakota State has 71% of tickets,
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: 80% of the cash on them. They did drop from
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 2: maybe a 3, 3.5 below it now to about a 2.5,
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: so there's been Maybe some real money on UNLV here,
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 2: dropping that line against the public. And if it's below three,
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 2: it probably does look a little bit too easy to
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: take North Dakota State. Yeah, this one's a tough call, man.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: I think given what these teams did last week, the
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: spot looks a little bit easier for North Dakota State,
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 2: but difficult travel spot. Maybe UNLV's being a little bit
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: undervalued here, and the line makes it look too easy
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 2: to take North Dakota State, so I struggle with this one.
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: I've heard some professional opinions on UNLV in that game.
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: It's kind of a low total, too, so it makes
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 2: it a little bit better to take the points, although
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: it's only a couple of points, so whatever. But I
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: don't know, maybe a slight lean towards UNLV. I really
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: don't like that game at all, though. All right, then
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: we get the big game here, 7.30 p.m., ABC. Biggest
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 2: game of the week, No. 2 Georgia at No. 6 Alabama.
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 2: I would keep an eye on this because the hurricane
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: might affect this game, as I mentioned earlier in the show.
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 2: So if it's really going to have an effect, this
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: game might move to like an indoor stadium somewhere, hopefully
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: for Alabama's sake, hopefully not to Atlanta, but maybe it will,
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 2: which is still kind of a neutral site that's sort
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: of between where these two teams are. But Georgia might
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: get a bit more of a fan base there. Alabama
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 2: definitely wants this game to remain in Alabama. And I
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 2: think the public is going to be on Georgia here
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: because they've looked good. They're the number two team. Alabama's
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 2: the number six team. Alabama's a slight favorite here. So
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: the odds are telling you Georgia is the slightly better team,
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: but not by much. That has me kind of leaning
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 2: towards Alabama because they're the lower ranked team and they're favored.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: Not only that, but Alabama, they just had... They've had
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 2: Georgia's number, man. What can I say? Alabama's won eight
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 2: of the last 10 matchups, I'm pretty sure, against Georgia.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: And I think both times Georgia won were in postseason play.
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 2: I think Georgia beat Alabama in maybe, I think it
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 2: was one playoff game maybe and one conference championship game.
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 2: So I believe Alabama's won eight straight regular season games
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 2: against them. And while, you know, Georgia has technically revenge
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 2: for that reason, do they though? I mean, you know, like,
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: it's a huge game for both teams. And it just
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 2: seems like Alabama has their number for the most part.
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 2: Alabama did win at Georgia last year. And then, but
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 2: then Georgia got their revenge. Like I said, Georgia beat
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 2: them up in the conference championship last year. So if
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 2: anybody has revenge, it's actually kind of Alabama coming off
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 2: of that. You know what I mean? But I believe
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: both teams made the playoff last year. So there's no real,
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: you know, revenge as far as that's this or neither team,
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 2: but they didn't play each other in the playoffs or anything.
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 2: And I think they both made it to the same
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 2: round of the playoffs as well. So if I'm not mistaken,
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 2: maybe I'm wrong about that. But whatever. I think if
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 2: any team has the revenge, it's Alabama. I like Alabama
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: in this game, obviously. based on how I've been talking.
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 2: The only thing I don't love is that they have
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 2: an inexperienced quarterback, right? Because Ty Simpson, after one year
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 2: last year, joined the NFL, and now Alabama has another
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 2: new quarterback this year. He's been good, though. But Georgia
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 2: does have the quarterback experience with Gunnar Stockton there. Now,
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 2: It's going to be interesting to see which way this
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: goes because these teams are both good on both sides
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: of the ball. They're both good on offense. They're both
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 2: pretty good on defense too. And they're both the best
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 2: team each team has faced so far, right? So Georgia,
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, the best opponent they faced so far was Oklahoma,
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 2: I would say, and they easily took care of them
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 2: in Georgia. Alabama, the best opponent they played was their
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 2: last game against Mississippi State, and they won that game
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 2: pretty easily. So teams have a similar resume here. I
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 2: believe both teams played last week, so there's no bye
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 2: to think about here in this game. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 2: I just think it's going to be a game where
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 2: both teams show up. It's going to be a huge game,
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: so maybe the under makes some sense here as well.
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on the under, but the
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 2: total has dropped too far. That's the problem because of
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 2: the hurricane, like I pointed out earlier. It was going
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 2: to be 56.5, and now it's down to 51.5. 51
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 2: is actually a key number. So if you can find
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 2: a 51, it actually might make sense to push back
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: against the market and go over. It depends on the weather, man.
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 2: It depends on whether this is an overreaction to the weather.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 2: But the problem is, as the weather reports come out,
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 2: you might see that total go back up. If it's
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 2: not going to be bad weather, you know what I mean?
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 2: But if it's still raining or whatever, the whole thing
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 2: is wind. As I already said, you've got to try
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 2: to gauge the wind. Wind is what really affects the offense.
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 2: It knocks down the passes. It knocks down the kicks.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: You don't have to worry as much about rain because
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 2: really it makes the defenses slip because they have to
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 2: react to the offenses. So, That's what I'll say about
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 2: the total in that game. I think maybe it's an
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 2: overreaction to the weather. Normally, I would say the under
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 2: makes sense, but the fact that the totals drop five points,
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 2: I would not play the under at that number. Maybe
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 2: pushing back and playing the over makes sense, but I
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 2: think the better way to play this, I think, is
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 2: to play Alabama. I think they're a little bit undervalued.
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 2: I think these teams are very close power ratings-wise. The
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 2: game may be staying in Tuscaloosa here. Alabama continually beats
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 2: Georgia in regular season games, and Alabama has revenge for
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 2: the conference championship game last year. Although it wasn't as
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 2: big because it didn't end Alabama's season, obviously. Both teams
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 2: still got into the playoff, but whatever. 68% of the
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 2: tickets are on Georgia, 54% of the cash on Alabama.
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 2: So the money is backing Alabama and agreeing with me.
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 2: You're laying about one and a half. You could lay
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 2: a money line on that too. Yeah, I think Alabama's
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: the right side in that one. NBC at 7.30. This
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 2: is a game that was close to making the cut
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 2: for me. Number 19, USC at Penn State. Remember I
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 2: said there was one more game somewhere where... The unranked
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 2: team is actually the favorite. That's this game. It is
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 2: a weird spot for USC, man, to have to go east.
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 2: USC has not been good since the conference realignments. They
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 2: have not been good in going east. And I know
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 2: it's a late game, so that actually might help USC,
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 2: the fact that it's a night game on the east coast.
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 2: It'll be like an afternoon game on the Pacific coast.
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 2: So that's not that bad for USC. But either way...
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 2: They have not done well when traveling since joining the
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 2: Big Ten. They had a pretty bad game against Rutgers
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 2: on the road earlier this season in their one game
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 2: where they traveled east. They only won by seven. They're
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 2: coming off a lackluster performance against Washington. That's kind of
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 2: the one thing holding me back on fading USC here
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 2: is they didn't play well against Washington last week. And,
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 2: you know, I talk about that. When a team doesn't
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 2: play well as a favorite, a lot of times they
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 2: bounce back. And remember, I gave you guys Washington as
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 2: a play in that game last week because USC was
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 2: coming up that big game against Oregon. It was their
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 2: first loss. I thought they would be hung over and
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 2: possibly maybe even looking ahead to Penn State. Just because
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 2: of the name. And Washington was coming off an ugly
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 2: performance themselves. So I thought it was a good spot
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 2: to play Washington. So we got that win. Normally that
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 2: would mean that USC is going to return back to
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 2: focus here. But I think this is going to be
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 2: a very focused spot for Penn State. I don't think
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 2: they're going to give up on the season. Even though
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 2: they had to. potential, you know, playoff aspirations this year
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 2: because their schedule was so easy. But I don't know, man.
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 2: After taking two losses in a row and looking so
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 2: bad on primetime last week against Northwestern where I gave
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 2: you guys Penn State as a play in that game.
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 2: I thought they would bounce back after that first loss
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 2: against Wisconsin because it was such an ugly loss and
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 2: Northwestern was coming up that huge performance against Indiana. I
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 2: thought it was pretty clear that Penn State was the
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 2: play in that game, but it wasn't. Northwestern played really
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 2: well in their new stadium in the first game of
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 2: the new stadium, but everybody saw that game. So now
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 2: people are going to be totally off the Penn state train.
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 2: And I know this is starting to look like last
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 2: year where Penn state beat up some nobodies in the
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 2: first few games. And then they started losing to all
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 2: the better teams. I know they don't have a good
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 2: win at all so far. I know that, um, But this,
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 2: to me, looks like the spot where they're going to
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 2: bounce back and catch USC. You know, I mean, Penn
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 2: State still was able to play well in some of
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 2: their games last year and got some wins. This is
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 2: also now Matt Campbell. It's not James Franklin. So they
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 2: don't have to worry about James Franklin never winning a
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 2: big game. And I don't know if this game is
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 2: considered to be big, you know, but they do get
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 2: a ranked USC team coming into their place. So I
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: think Penn State will get up for it, even if
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 2: Penn State is, you know, kind of dead for the
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 2: rest of the season. They're going to get up for
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 2: a couple of these games and this is going to
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 2: be one of them. And I think they'll get up
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 2: for the Michigan game next week too, if they can.
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 2: But I like Penn state in this game. Everybody saw
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 2: them look totally awful against Northwestern. Usually that's when you
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 2: want to play on a team when the stock is
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 2: really low on them. USC they're ranked, they look good.
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 2: They only have the one loss, which was to Oregon
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 2: who everybody pretty much knows is at least good. Um, Again,
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 2: the only thing I worry about here with USC is
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 2: the fact that, well, first of all, I would like
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 2: it better if it was an earlier game. Well, maybe not.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 2: You know what? You know what? Maybe I'll take that
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 2: back because the fact this is a night game, I
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 2: think this is the whiteout game actually for Penn State,
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 2: so I take that back because, you know, Penn State,
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 2: they always have one game where the crowd– They all
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 2: wear white, and the crowd gets really drunk. It's always
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 2: a night game. This is a national TV game, so
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure this is the whiteout game. It's on NBC,
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 2: so I think you're going to see a rowdy Penn
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 2: State crowd. It's going to be loud. That gives them
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit extra home advantage. So yeah, I take
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 2: it back. I think this is actually a big home
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 2: advantage for Penn State. I think it is the whiteout game.
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 2: So I think that helps them. My only reservation about
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 2: this is that USC is coming off a bad performance.
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 2: That's the only thing. I like Penn State in this game,
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 2: and this one is probably going to make my pick
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 2: five entry. The money agrees with me. 53% of tickets
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 2: on USC, 69% of the cash on Penn State. They're
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 2: about minus one, one and a half here, so you're
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 2: basically just picking the winner. You know that means the
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 2: public's going to side with USC. Looks too easy to
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 2: do that. I like Penn State in that one. All right,
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 2: let's keep this going. We're at two hours now. Hopefully
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 2: I can get this done. A lot of games to
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 2: still talk about, though. I don't like this at all.
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 2: Syracuse at Virginia on the ACC Network, 7.30 p.m. Eastern. Virginia,
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 2: you know, their resume is starting to look pretty bad.
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 2: Their best win is against NC State in that early
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 2: week where they blew them out. Since then, they lost
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 2: as a big favorite to West Virginia. They lost trying
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 2: to step up in class against Florida State. Yeah, that's
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 2: not great. However, they got annihilated by Florida State, and
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 2: that was revenge for Florida State. As I pointed out,
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 2: Florida State had that very heavily publicized loss to Virginia
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 2: last year, so Florida State really wanted that game. I
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 2: still think Virginia's down this year, though. I don't think
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 2: they were as good as they looked last year. But
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 2: it could be a bounce back for them off that
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 2: horrible performance against Florida State. Whereas Syracuse is coming off
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 2: that multi-overtime game against UConn, like I said. Although, what
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 2: I will say is that for Syracuse, they were favored
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 2: in that game. They should have won the game more
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 2: easily than they did. So sometimes the team will bounce
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 2: back from that too. So I think this is a
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 2: positive spot for both teams here to kind of bounce
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: back from that. the previous effort there. Virginia does have
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 2: SMU next though. So there is the potential look ahead
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 2: component here for them because SMU is one of the
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 2: better teams in the ACC and still ranked. The money's
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: indicating on Syracuse. I probably agree. 58% of tickets on Virginia,
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 2: 57% of the cash on Syracuse. Like I said, I
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 2: think Virginia's a little bit overrated. When there's no real
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 2: situation to lean into that really I think that you
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 2: can really dig into for one team or the other here.
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 2: Although I know Virginia's trying to bounce back from a
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 2: blowout loss. They might look ahead to SMU. We have
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 2: a low total here in the high 40s. And Virginia's
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 2: laying 11.5 now. And by the way, I think that's
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 2: because Syracuse, they changed quarterbacks. And their new quarterback might
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 2: be getting undervalued here. Because Syracuse, they stopped using Njeli.
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 2: Because he's awful, dude. He is awful. And Syracuse changed
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 2: over to... Odom, who I think is kind of a
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 2: dual-threat quarterback. I think Odom was somewhere else. I remember
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 2: talking about him. Let me see. I think it's the
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 2: same guy, Odom. I think he's a dual-threat quarterback. Yeah,
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 2: Amari Odom. I think he's a dual-threat quarterback. I think
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 2: he was on, was it Illinois? I don't know. Maybe
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 2: I was getting missed. I don't know. What am I thinking?
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 2: Maybe it was... No, I was thinking Michigan, but he's
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 2: not the same guy. I was thinking of Michigan. I
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 2: think Michigan had a guy named Odom. This guy's a
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 2: different guy. But Odom, I'm pretty sure he is kind
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 2: of a dual threat type of quarterback. And he threw
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 2: the ball really well last week. So I think this
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 2: is a good quarterback change for Syracuse. I don't think
• 2:04:05
  Speaker 2: this should be a downgrade for them in the market.
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 2: If anything, I think this should actually be upgraded in
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 2: the market with Odom as their quarterback. And he's going
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 2: to be a little bit harder to prepare for, I think,
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 2: if he does use his legs a little bit. a
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 2: little bit of a different aspect to Syracuse's offense. So
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 2: getting extra points here, 10.5, 11.5, low total, all the
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 2: things I said already. I think Syracuse is probably the
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 2: right side there. All right, Air Force at Northern Illinois
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 2: and CBS Sports, 7.30 p.m. Air Force, kind of a
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 2: weird spot for them. Northern Illinois has been really bad.
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 2: There's no doubt about that. They're one of the worst
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 2: teams in FPS at this point. Northern Illinois also having
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 2: to go into the Mountain West is also very strange because...
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 2: They're nowhere near the Mountain West geographically, but that also
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 2: means that road teams having to go into northern Illinois
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 2: from the Mountain West, it's going to at least be
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 2: an unfamiliar venue for them to go into. So kind
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 2: of an unfamiliar travel spot. And Air Force is coming
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 2: up a nice... They're coming up with a couple of
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 2: big games. They had that crazy overtime game against Nevada,
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 2: which I know Nevada's not good, but still a multi-OT
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 2: game or whatever. Then Air Force had their big win
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 2: against Navy, man, to take the lead in the Commissioner Cup. No,
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 2: that's the WNBA in-season tournament. No, the Commander-in-Chief Trophy. Sorry, yeah,
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 2: Trump will award them that. Air Force could be in
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 2: a letdown, man, off of beating Navy like that. Off
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 2: of that, having to go on the road. And by
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 2: the way, their next game is against UNLV. That's a
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 2: big game. UNLV, one of the better teams in the
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 2: Mountain West. I actually think this is a sandwich spot
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 2: for Air Force. Coming off the big win over Navy.
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 2: Air Force has been the least of the service academy
• 2:05:45
  Speaker 2: teams for a while, man. So it's big when they
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 2: beat those teams. Now it's an unfamiliar travel spot and
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 2: a team they might not take seriously with UNLV on deck.
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 2: I like Northern Illinois in this one. Northern Illinois 0-4.
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 2: I know they're ugly. They have not stepped up well
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 2: at all. They've had some difficult games, though, against Iowa
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 2: and Arizona, but they lost to FCS Illinois State. I
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 2: get it. That's not good. I know. Illinois State's a
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 2: little brother, though, in the state of Illinois that will
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 2: get up for that, and I know Northern Illinois, last
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 2: game they played, they got just destroyed by a Georgia
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 2: State team. It's not that good. I get it, but
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 2: you know what's good for Northern Illinois? They're coming out
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 2: of a bye. They went into a buy on an
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 2: 0-4 note, so you know what I'm going to say.
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 2: I think that buy is going to help them. It's
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 2: going to help them fix what's going wrong here. Having
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 2: extra time off, they get extra time off to prepare
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 2: for this. Yeah, I like Northern Illinois in this one.
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with this. This one might be
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 2: one of the better plays this week too. 75% of
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 2: tickets on Air Force, 51% of the cash on them,
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 2: so the money is agreeing with this. However, it opened 11.5,
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 2: so you could have probably gotten 10 on this at
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 2: some point. That's what kind of worries me. One of
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 2: the things that worries me is it's gone through that
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 2: key number of 10, and now you're looking at 7, 7.5,
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 2: which is the next key number. Of course, if you're
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 2: going to play this, get 7.5. At least get the
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 2: key number on this. It's a low total, by the way. 46.5.
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 2: My other concern would be that Northern Illinois doesn't know
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 2: how to defend against the triple option that well. Actually,
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 2: Northern Illinois, they might run the triple option now, to
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 2: be honest, because they're such a bad... No, I don't
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 2: think they are, because you saw that stat sheet the
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 2: scheduler just brought up. It looked like all their yards
• 2:07:23
  Speaker 2: were passing yards. So I don't think Northern Illinois is
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 2: doing that. So yeah, I think Northern Illinois, the one
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 2: thing is they might have trouble defending the triple option
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 2: because they don't see it often. You know what I mean?
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 2: They got to get used to seeing it. So that's
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 2: one concern. They haven't seen it this year either. That
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 2: would be the other concern I have with it, but
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 2: I like Northern Illinois. This one is, I think, one
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 2: of the better plays on the board, actually. I've got
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 2: to figure out which ones I'm going to put in
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 2: my pick seven entry. This one is definitely in the running.
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 2: Cool runnings.
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 1: No.
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 2: Not the Jamaican bobsled team, whatever. The total's also low here,
• 2:08:01
  Speaker 2: as I was going to say. The money's coming in
• 2:08:03
  Speaker 2: on the under, too, and it's gone through the key
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 2: number of 47 down to 46.5. So the real money's
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 2: definitely coming in on the under in that game, and
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 2: I think that helps the case of the underdog. So, yeah,
• 2:08:14
  Speaker 2: I like Northern Illinois in that one. James Madison at
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 2: Georgia Southern on ESPNU. This is an interesting game. James
• 2:08:20
  Speaker 2: Madison 5-0 under their new coaching regime, although they've seemed
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 2: like they're almost like plug and play recently. They've lost
• 2:08:28
  Speaker 2: their head coach each of the last two years, and
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 2: it seems like it doesn't even matter. I got the
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 2: BYU game on over here. It looks like it's a
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 2: fourth down play for BYU here. I don't know what's...
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 2: They're kicking a... No, Iowa State's kicking a field goal,
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 2: it looks like here. I don't know. which they just
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 2: missed horribly. So Iowa State, that would have covered the
• 2:08:50
  Speaker 2: spread for them. They're going to lose by 11 and
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 2: not cover just because they missed that field goal. It
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 2: was 46 yards, though, not a definitive field goal make,
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 2: but still a bad, bad kick on that one. Went
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 2: way wide left, but whatever, man. I thought Iowa State
• 2:09:07
  Speaker 2: would cover that one. It looks like they're going to
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 2: miss by one or two points because of that missed
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 2: field goal. Anyway, James Madison's undefeated. They haven't really beaten
• 2:09:15
  Speaker 2: anybody that good so far. Their best win is the
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 2: one against Liberty in Week 1. Now they're going on
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 2: the road again to Georgia Southern. Georgia Southern, they've been,
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 2: I would say, up and down. I don't think they're
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 2: that bad. I mean, they did play Clemson and Houston
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 2: in here, and they played both of them fairly well,
• 2:09:31
  Speaker 2: to be honest. So this Georgia Southern team actually might
• 2:09:33
  Speaker 2: be a little bit under the radar here because they've
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 2: actually stepped up in class fairly well, and they've had
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 2: a more difficult schedule than James Madison, so... I think
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 2: I'm probably going to lean towards Georgia Southern here. James
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 2: Madison won this conference last year, so everybody's going to
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 2: be gunning for them. The money seems to strongly agree
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 2: with this. James Madison opened nine, and now they're seven
• 2:09:54
  Speaker 2: and a half. Like I said, obviously, you should get
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 2: the seven. Like I always say, get the key number,
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 2: seven and a half on this if you're going to
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 2: play Georgia Southern. 70% of tickets are on JMU here,
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 2: but 64% of the cash on GSU. Is that what
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 2: they are? Georgia Southern, yeah, I would lean towards Georgia
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 2: Southern in that one, man, plus the 7.5. It's not
• 2:10:15
  Speaker 2: that high of a total either, 51.5, but really it's
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 2: about the resume, and I think Georgia Southern is a
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 2: little bit maybe better than their record would indicate. And
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 2: we'll see if James Madison can continue being undefeated under
• 2:10:28
  Speaker 2: a new coaching regime once they have to start stepping
• 2:10:30
  Speaker 2: up in class a little bit. All right, Louisiana at
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 2: Louisiana Tech. battle of rivals here to some extent here.
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 2: I don't even know which team considers themselves to be
• 2:10:39
  Speaker 2: a little brother. I mean, they're kind of even siblings here.
• 2:10:42
  Speaker 2: Louisiana Tech is coming up with that win over Army.
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 2: That was a decent win for them over Army. They've
• 2:10:50
  Speaker 2: also played LSU and Baylor, so La Tech is pretty
• 2:10:53
  Speaker 2: battle-tested here. They've played a couple of pretty good teams here. Although,
• 2:10:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, Baylor, I mean, say what you want about Baylor,
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 2: but at least they're a, you know, a power conference team,
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 2: you know. Now, La Tech, yeah, coming off that win
• 2:11:06
  Speaker 2: over Army last week. I think both teams are going
• 2:11:09
  Speaker 2: to show up for this, though. Louisiana, they're coming off
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 2: barely getting by Arkansas State last week. Arkansas State hasn't
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 2: played that well this year, so maybe Louisiana might be
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 2: in the slightly better spot here just because they had
• 2:11:21
  Speaker 2: a bad game as a favorite against Arkansas State. I
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 2: think they were looking ahead to this game against La Tech,
• 2:11:26
  Speaker 2: but they do have Troy next. Troy's been pretty good
• 2:11:29
  Speaker 2: in this conference, too, especially defensively, but Yeah, I mean,
• 2:11:34
  Speaker 2: Louisiana might refocus coming off that bad performance against an
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 2: Arkansas State team that hasn't really played that well. The
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 2: money is backing La Tech in this game, though. They're
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 2: up from 2.5% to 3% here, 57% of tickets on Louisiana,
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 2: formerly Louisiana Lafayette, and 75% of the cash on La
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 2: Tech here. So the market read is definitely saying La Tech.
• 2:11:57
  Speaker 2: I don't think I agree. Well, actually, you know what?
• 2:12:03
  Speaker 2: I might take that back because the one thing that
• 2:12:05
  Speaker 2: you can see here is that, like, why is LaTeX
• 2:12:06
  Speaker 2: a three-point favorite when they're 2-2, right, against Louisiana being 4-1?
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 2: So you know what? I think I'm going to take
• 2:12:13
  Speaker 2: that back because Louisiana... They face one difficult team, USC,
• 2:12:18
  Speaker 2: and I think USC, they just take their foot off
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 2: the gas at the end of these games. I think
• 2:12:21
  Speaker 2: USC was winning that game by way more because it
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 2: looks like, oh, they only lost by 19 at USC.
• 2:12:26
  Speaker 2: That looks pretty good, but I'm pretty sure USC dominated
• 2:12:29
  Speaker 2: them and just put backups in for an entire quarter
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 2: at the end, and Louisiana got a bunch of garbage
• 2:12:37
  Speaker 2: time scoring in that game, so it's kind of misleading. But, yeah,
• 2:12:41
  Speaker 2: the fact that Louisiana Tech is favored as a three-point
• 2:12:44
  Speaker 2: favorite and they're 2-2 or whatever, and Louisiana's 4-1, that
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 2: looks a little bit weird to me. You know, like,
• 2:12:50
  Speaker 2: why would La Tech be favored? So, you know what,
• 2:12:53
  Speaker 2: maybe I changed my opinion. I think maybe I would
• 2:12:55
  Speaker 2: lean La Tech just because that looks like a sketchy
• 2:12:59
  Speaker 2: number to me. The odds figures are basically telling you
• 2:13:01
  Speaker 2: these teams are pretty much evenly ranked there. So, yes, yeah. Chandler, yeah,
• 2:13:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not going to get every game right.
• 2:13:10
  Speaker 2: What do you want from me? Yeah, I mean, I
• 2:13:13
  Speaker 2: thought it was a bad spot for Iowa. What do
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 2: you want? Washington might be ass. Dude, Iowa, I think
• 2:13:20
  Speaker 2: we have to handicap them differently. Like I said, they
• 2:13:22
  Speaker 2: have a different quarterback in there because their other guy
• 2:13:24
  Speaker 2: got hurt. This quarterback they have out there is actually
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 2: throwing the ball all over the place, which is not
• 2:13:30
  Speaker 2: what you expect from an Iowa offense. I don't know
• 2:13:32
  Speaker 2: what else to tell you. The spot didn't look good
• 2:13:34
  Speaker 2: to me for Iowa. That's all I got to say.
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 2: I don't get every game right on the show. That
• 2:13:40
  Speaker 2: wasn't one of my plays. I gave you guys a
• 2:13:41
  Speaker 2: 2-0 day, so you want to come in here and
• 2:13:44
  Speaker 2: talk shit? How about you mention the two fucking wins
• 2:13:47
  Speaker 2: I gave you on the show, Chandler? Louisville, were you
• 2:13:51
  Speaker 2: coming at me? People might have been coming at me
• 2:13:53
  Speaker 2: when they started out down 14-0 tonight. They still blew
• 2:13:58
  Speaker 2: out Florida State in that game, even though they were
• 2:14:00
  Speaker 2: losing 14-0. Where's great call, Toad, on Louisville? Where's that shit? Hello?
• 2:14:06
  Speaker 2: Where's great call on the Anaheim Ducks? Nice call. Easy win.
• 2:14:10
  Speaker 2: Thank you, Toad, for giving me two winners tonight and
• 2:14:13
  Speaker 2: a nice 2-1-0 day, a winning night. Where's all that? No.
• 2:14:17
  Speaker 2: Nobody's grateful about any of that shit. Everybody just nitpicks
• 2:14:20
  Speaker 2: one game that I happen to have a wrong opinion on,
• 2:14:22
  Speaker 2: and that's all they do. Fuck you, Chandler. Get the
• 2:14:26
  Speaker 2: fuck out of here. I'm going to block you on Twitter.
• 2:14:29
  Speaker 2: Get the fuck out of here, man. If you... If
• 2:14:32
  Speaker 2: you continue to make plays like Iowa, you're going to
• 2:14:35
  Speaker 2: lose money in the long term. I'm telling you that
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 2: right now. Fuck you. Yeah, I'm going to do it
• 2:14:40
  Speaker 2: right now. Who the fuck even are you? Like I said,
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 2: that is not a long-term winning play there. Oh, hold
• 2:14:46
  Speaker 2: on a minute. You can see my feed here. It's
• 2:14:50
  Speaker 2: all women, by the way. You can tell why. Actually,
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 2: you know what? I'm going to show Chandler. I'm going
• 2:14:54
  Speaker 2: to block you. Let me see. Where is this guy?
• 2:14:57
  Speaker 2: I can't even find you, can I? Let me see. Uh,
• 2:15:01
  Speaker 2: let me see here. Um.
• 2:15:06
  Speaker 2: People, right? That's what I want. Can I block this guy?
• 2:15:09
  Speaker 2: What is this guy's... I don't even know who the
• 2:15:12
  Speaker 2: fuck you are, Chandler. Let me see. I'm trying to
• 2:15:15
  Speaker 2: match your profile picture right now so that I can
• 2:15:18
  Speaker 2: fucking block your ass. I don't even see it. Yeah,
• 2:15:23
  Speaker 2: you need to... Fuck you. Dude, you're telling me I
• 2:15:26
  Speaker 2: don't know what I'm doing even though I've done this
• 2:15:28
  Speaker 2: for 20 fucking years. Get the fuck away. Iowa was
• 2:15:32
  Speaker 2: not a smart decision. I'm telling you that right now.
• 2:15:35
  Speaker 2: They might have won the game. If you make a
• 2:15:37
  Speaker 2: play like that long term, you're going to fucking lose.
• 2:15:39
  Speaker 2: That's what I'm telling you. Bitch. Whatever. I'll find you
• 2:15:44
  Speaker 2: later and block your ass. I don't give a shit.
• 2:15:48
  Speaker 2: That's what I do on this show. You know, you're
• 2:15:51
  Speaker 2: not going to thank me for giving out like actual
• 2:15:53
  Speaker 2: winners and actually being a winning better here on the
• 2:15:57
  Speaker 2: show and actually being awesome. Oh, but by the way,
• 2:15:59
  Speaker 2: should I put up, I'm going to put this up
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 2: now just to fuck with you even more. Match my
• 2:16:04
  Speaker 2: record and then come back to me. How about that?
• 2:16:06
  Speaker 2: Go 188 days and win 56%. Do it. playing basically
• 2:16:12
  Speaker 2: no more than like a minus 140 money line favorite
• 2:16:15
  Speaker 2: go do that go match my record over a 188
• 2:16:17
  Speaker 2: day span go fucking do it go 56 because that's
• 2:16:22
  Speaker 2: what i'm running try it you won't be able to
• 2:16:24
  Speaker 2: do it yeah that's right yeah ference is a good
• 2:16:31
  Speaker 2: coach no fucking shit does that mean i was gonna
• 2:16:33
  Speaker 2: win every fucking game because ference is the better coach
• 2:16:37
  Speaker 2: no um Like, what else do you want? Ferentz is
• 2:16:40
  Speaker 2: the better coach against fucking, like, Iowa State or whatever,
• 2:16:43
  Speaker 2: and Iowa State almost won that game with basically nobody
• 2:16:46
  Speaker 2: on their roster. So what do you want? It's not
• 2:16:48
  Speaker 2: like Iowa's just going to win every fucking game easily.
• 2:16:52
  Speaker 2: Fuck you. I got to finish handicapping or talking about
• 2:16:55
  Speaker 2: the rest of these games here. Minnesota at Purdue on
• 2:16:57
  Speaker 2: the Big Ten Network. Purdue is not good. They just
• 2:17:02
  Speaker 2: pulled off an upset over Illinois, and usually I'm going
• 2:17:04
  Speaker 2: to want to fade a team coming off an upset,
• 2:17:07
  Speaker 2: but because it's Illinois and their ass, I don't think
• 2:17:09
  Speaker 2: anybody really cares that Purdue did that. I think Minnesota
• 2:17:13
  Speaker 2: is in the worst spot here. Public is only going
• 2:17:16
  Speaker 2: to be on Minnesota here, and they're 4-1, Purdue's 2-3,
• 2:17:19
  Speaker 2: and by the way, Minnesota's only a 2.5-point favorite now
• 2:17:21
  Speaker 2: in this game. so this looks really easy to play
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 2: Minnesota here, and Minnesota's coming up back-to-back upset wins at Washington.
• 2:17:30
  Speaker 2: I know, yeah, Washington. By the way, I gave you
• 2:17:32
  Speaker 2: guys Washington as a winning play against USC last week.
• 2:17:36
  Speaker 2: They almost beat USC. Where's thank you, Toad, for another
• 2:17:40
  Speaker 2: winner on Washington last week? I gave that out as
• 2:17:43
  Speaker 2: an actual play on the show. Nope, nobody thanks me
• 2:17:47
  Speaker 2: for that either. Minnesota coming off a big win over
• 2:17:50
  Speaker 2: Michigan they got Iowa on deck although it is after
• 2:17:52
  Speaker 2: a bye and then Indiana then UCLA this is the
• 2:17:56
  Speaker 2: down spot in their schedule though this is only their
• 2:17:58
  Speaker 2: second road game of the season I think Purdue has
• 2:18:01
  Speaker 2: to be the right side here Even though, yeah, they're
• 2:18:03
  Speaker 2: coming off an upset, but it was against Illinois. Illinois,
• 2:18:07
  Speaker 2: absolute trash. Minnesota looks way better after upsetting Washington, especially
• 2:18:11
  Speaker 2: after beating Michigan. That's huge whenever you beat Michigan. Yeah,
• 2:18:16
  Speaker 2: and then possible look ahead as well to what they
• 2:18:18
  Speaker 2: have after the bye. Whoops, I'm not going to bookmark this.
• 2:18:22
  Speaker 2: I already know how to get to this. Uh, Purdue
• 2:18:24
  Speaker 2: is getting all the money here. 76% of the tickets
• 2:18:27
  Speaker 2: are on Minnesota. The Republic side, two and a half. Again,
• 2:18:30
  Speaker 2: the fact that this number is just sitting at two
• 2:18:32
  Speaker 2: and a half and it hasn't even really gone, it
• 2:18:34
  Speaker 2: hasn't gone to three, which is the key number. And
• 2:18:37
  Speaker 2: all the tickets are on Minnesota. Again, that's the odds
• 2:18:39
  Speaker 2: makers telling you, I'm not begging for shit. Get the
• 2:18:43
  Speaker 2: fuck out of my comment section, you bitch. Uh, Everybody
• 2:18:47
  Speaker 2: go block Chandler on Twitter. Am I begging for validation?
• 2:18:51
  Speaker 2: I'm complaining because all I get is fucking people coming
• 2:18:54
  Speaker 2: into this and blasting one opinion that I have that's wrong,
• 2:18:57
  Speaker 2: and they think they know more than I do. You
• 2:18:59
  Speaker 2: don't fucking know more than I do. I don't need
• 2:19:01
  Speaker 2: any fucking validation. I have my record up on the
• 2:19:04
  Speaker 2: fucking screen every fucking show that I do. It speaks
• 2:19:07
  Speaker 2: for itself, you fucking asshole. I don't need any fucking validation.
• 2:19:12
  Speaker 2: I don't need shit. I know how good I am.
• 2:19:15
  Speaker 2: Look at this fucking shit. You cannot match me. You
• 2:19:18
  Speaker 2: can't do this. Only like 1% of betters can do
• 2:19:21
  Speaker 2: what I can do, bitch. And you're not one of them.
• 2:19:23
  Speaker 2: So get the fuck out. Never come back. Eat my asshole. Um,
• 2:19:29
  Speaker 2: Purdue is the right side in this game. Like I
• 2:19:31
  Speaker 2: was already saying, uh, you're going to come back, go ahead,
• 2:19:34
  Speaker 2: come back and make fun of me because I have
• 2:19:35
  Speaker 2: one opinion that's wrong. When Minnesota wins, you think I
• 2:19:38
  Speaker 2: give a shit? I don't. Um, Meaty, what's up, man?
• 2:19:43
  Speaker 2: Meat Cavern. I'm going to enter Chandler's mom's meat cavern.
• 2:19:49
  Speaker 2: Although it's so loose, I won't even really feel anything.
• 2:19:51
  Speaker 2: And that's not because my penis is small. Although that's
• 2:19:54
  Speaker 2: part of the reason as well. Nancy, you want to
• 2:19:58
  Speaker 2: do clips for me? I don't think I can afford
• 2:19:59
  Speaker 2: to pay you, though. Yeah, I mean, I appreciate that
• 2:20:03
  Speaker 2: if you clip it. We used to have, what happened
• 2:20:05
  Speaker 2: to Spud? Spud used to make some clips. And shout
• 2:20:09
  Speaker 2: out to Laney, who was the ultimate clip person. You
• 2:20:11
  Speaker 2: remember Spud? Spud Ruckus? She used to do some clips
• 2:20:16
  Speaker 2: of Tower Gang. Is she all right? What happened to her?
• 2:20:18
  Speaker 2: Hell yeah. All right. Anyway, yeah. It looks way too
• 2:20:24
  Speaker 2: easy to play Minnesota. Whatever. This is a low total.
• 2:20:26
  Speaker 2: All the money is on Purdue. 76% of the cash
• 2:20:29
  Speaker 2: on Purdue. Purdue was the correct side in this game
• 2:20:31
  Speaker 2: as far as I can tell. Doesn't make my card
• 2:20:36
  Speaker 2: or anything like that. Yes. Yes. All right, what else
• 2:20:40
  Speaker 2: do we have left here? Only a few games, yay.
• 2:20:44
  Speaker 2: Kansas at number 12, Utah. Utah, yeah, I mean, Utah's
• 2:20:48
  Speaker 2: a really good team, man. This is an ESPN game.
• 2:20:50
  Speaker 2: This is a late night ESPN game, 10-15. One thing
• 2:20:53
  Speaker 2: that would concern me is that Kansas going out, you know,
• 2:20:56
  Speaker 2: to a late night game like this into elevation, that
• 2:20:59
  Speaker 2: might not be the easiest spot for them dealing with
• 2:21:01
  Speaker 2: high elevation and dealing with kind of a bio clock
• 2:21:04
  Speaker 2: issue going to a Pacific Coast time game here. Utah,
• 2:21:09
  Speaker 2: they've done nothing wrong so far, although their resume isn't exactly,
• 2:21:13
  Speaker 2: you know, totally impressive yet. They blasted Arkansas, an SEC team.
• 2:21:18
  Speaker 2: It's a decent SEC team, so that's a good win.
• 2:21:21
  Speaker 2: They went onto the road. They beat Iowa State two
• 2:21:23
  Speaker 2: weeks ago. Problem for Utah is they're coming off a bye,
• 2:21:27
  Speaker 2: and again, I'm going to say it. They went into
• 2:21:28
  Speaker 2: the bye with a 4-0 record. I don't like playing
• 2:21:31
  Speaker 2: on teams that go into the bye on a good
• 2:21:33
  Speaker 2: note like that because I think you have nothing to fix.
• 2:21:35
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean? You're just rolling, so that
• 2:21:37
  Speaker 2: momentum might stop a little bit. So I don't love
• 2:21:40
  Speaker 2: Utah in this spot. However, for Kansas, they're coming off
• 2:21:45
  Speaker 2: a 55-0 win against Middle Tennessee, though. They're ass. We
• 2:21:49
  Speaker 2: know that. They're one of the worst teams in FBS
• 2:21:51
  Speaker 2: this year, probably. Kansas did play last week, but that
• 2:21:54
  Speaker 2: should at least give them some positive momentum. But it's
• 2:21:57
  Speaker 2: still kind of a weird spot. This looks like it's
• 2:21:59
  Speaker 2: actually at 8 p.m. now. Somebody's going to have to
• 2:22:01
  Speaker 2: tell me what time this is actually at. Maybe they
• 2:22:03
  Speaker 2: changed the time slot on this, so that makes it
• 2:22:06
  Speaker 2: a little bit less bad, I guess, for Kansas. Still
• 2:22:08
  Speaker 2: a night game, though. But my one concern with Kansas,
• 2:22:11
  Speaker 2: aside from the fact that Utah is actually really good,
• 2:22:14
  Speaker 2: is that Kansas has their huge rivalry game against Kansas
• 2:22:17
  Speaker 2: State next. But I don't think they're going to overlook Utah, though.
• 2:22:22
  Speaker 2: That's the thing. They're going to try to get up
• 2:22:23
  Speaker 2: for a big game against Utah like this. And, you know, Kansas,
• 2:22:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're reasonably battle-tested. They played Missouri, at least,
• 2:22:31
  Speaker 2: and fell apart late in that game. That was a
• 2:22:33
  Speaker 2: rivalry game, but whatever. What is the market saying on this?
• 2:22:36
  Speaker 2: I don't have a strong opinion on this one. Money
• 2:22:39
  Speaker 2: is coming in on Utah. 61% of tickets, 86% of
• 2:22:42
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. They're a 15-point favorite, basically. Money
• 2:22:46
  Speaker 2: kind of indicating towards Utah. I think I'd leave Kansas
• 2:22:51
  Speaker 2: plus the points slightly in this one. I don't like
• 2:22:54
  Speaker 2: laying points with a team coming out of a bye
• 2:22:56
  Speaker 2: like this, man. A bye that came at a bad time,
• 2:23:00
  Speaker 2: I'm saying. I think it could disrupt their momentum. So, yeah,
• 2:23:04
  Speaker 2: I'll probably leave Kansas slightly there. I really don't love
• 2:23:06
  Speaker 2: it at all, though. Obviously, I'm not touching that game.
• 2:23:10
  Speaker 2: Number 23, Boise at Fresno State on the CW. I
• 2:23:13
  Speaker 2: know I've had some bad things to say about Fresno. Boise...
• 2:23:18
  Speaker 2: Their resume, you know, is mediocre, I would say. I mean,
• 2:23:22
  Speaker 2: their biggest game, they played pretty well. They lost by
• 2:23:24
  Speaker 2: seven to a legitimately good Oregon team. They've won every
• 2:23:28
  Speaker 2: game since then, so they've done exactly what they need
• 2:23:31
  Speaker 2: to do. They beat Western Michigan in a blowout on
• 2:23:34
  Speaker 2: the road. That Western Michigan team that beat Michigan, or
• 2:23:37
  Speaker 2: should have. And then Boise State is coming off an
• 2:23:40
  Speaker 2: easy win over Utah State last time out. They do
• 2:23:43
  Speaker 2: have Washington State next, and that's a former Pac-12 team,
• 2:23:46
  Speaker 2: now current Pac-12 team again. But are they really going
• 2:23:49
  Speaker 2: to overlook Fresno? I don't think they will because Fresno
• 2:23:52
  Speaker 2: is the only team that's really tied with them in
• 2:23:54
  Speaker 2: the Pac-12 right now. They're both 1-0 with a 4-1 record.
• 2:23:58
  Speaker 2: So Fresno currently is actually, standing-wise, they're the biggest threat
• 2:24:02
  Speaker 2: to Boise right now. So I don't think Boise will
• 2:24:04
  Speaker 2: overlook this game. For Fresno, yeah, they're sitting at 4-1
• 2:24:08
  Speaker 2: right now. Their resume doesn't look good to me, though.
• 2:24:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, they lost to USC. They're the only team
• 2:24:14
  Speaker 2: that didn't do anything backdoor against USC. Like, USC, like
• 2:24:18
  Speaker 2: I said, they're notorious for taking their foot off the
• 2:24:20
  Speaker 2: gas late in games, and they probably did in that game, too,
• 2:24:22
  Speaker 2: and Fresno still didn't even score. That looks like a
• 2:24:26
  Speaker 2: red flag to me. And since then, Fresno's had kind
• 2:24:29
  Speaker 2: of a cakewalk, to be honest. They really have not
• 2:24:31
  Speaker 2: been battle-tested. Now they've got to step up to play Boise. Yeah,
• 2:24:35
  Speaker 2: they'll get up for this game for sure, but because
• 2:24:37
  Speaker 2: Boise's tied with Fresno, I don't really see Boise overlooking
• 2:24:40
  Speaker 2: this game. So even though normally I'd want to fade
• 2:24:44
  Speaker 2: a team like Boise, where now they're in the rankings,
• 2:24:46
  Speaker 2: they've got an extra target on their back because now
• 2:24:48
  Speaker 2: they're ranked 23rd. Were they ranked at the beginning of
• 2:24:51
  Speaker 2: the season? I don't remember. Maybe they were. I don't remember.
• 2:24:54
  Speaker 2: But a lot of times that type of team will
• 2:24:56
  Speaker 2: have a target on their back, I worry that it
• 2:24:58
  Speaker 2: looks a little bit too easy to lay only seven
• 2:25:01
  Speaker 2: with Boise here, but I don't know. I think I
• 2:25:04
  Speaker 2: kind of prefer Boise here. 76% of tickets, 91% of
• 2:25:08
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. Public side, I think maybe they
• 2:25:10
  Speaker 2: do have the actual money coming in on them. It
• 2:25:13
  Speaker 2: is a low total though, which is more helpful to
• 2:25:15
  Speaker 2: the underdog. And the fact that it's sitting at seven
• 2:25:18
  Speaker 2: and six and a half across the board here does
• 2:25:21
  Speaker 2: worry me because the books, that means they're fine just
• 2:25:24
  Speaker 2: taking all these tickets on Boise here and the money apparently.
• 2:25:27
  Speaker 2: on Boise, they're pretty much just fine with doing that.
• 2:25:30
  Speaker 2: So that would worry me a little bit. And then
• 2:25:32
  Speaker 2: Fox Sports won at 10.30 p.m. Eastern. The last game,
• 2:25:35
  Speaker 2: Hawaii at Arizona State. As I pointed out earlier in
• 2:25:39
  Speaker 2: the season, Hawaii is not good on the mainland in general,
• 2:25:44
  Speaker 2: but when they have to face power conference teams, they
• 2:25:47
  Speaker 2: do really bad. And they almost got a win in
• 2:25:49
  Speaker 2: week zero against Stanford and still did not win that game.
• 2:25:53
  Speaker 2: Stanford had blown the game and then came back and
• 2:25:55
  Speaker 2: won again anyway. Now, Hawaii, they have not won a
• 2:25:59
  Speaker 2: road game on the mainland against a power conference team,
• 2:26:02
  Speaker 2: I think, since like the 1970s or something like that
• 2:26:06
  Speaker 2: was the stat, or whatever it is, the 80s maybe.
• 2:26:09
  Speaker 2: It's been a long time, so yeah, Hawaii does not
• 2:26:11
  Speaker 2: play well against power conference teams on the road, but
• 2:26:14
  Speaker 2: that's a straight-up number. That doesn't mean that they can't
• 2:26:17
  Speaker 2: cover if they're a big underdog here. Do I think
• 2:26:20
  Speaker 2: that they will here? I don't know, man. I mean,
• 2:26:22
  Speaker 2: they should get up for this because it's a power
• 2:26:24
  Speaker 2: conference team, so it's one of their bigger games of
• 2:26:26
  Speaker 2: the season against Arizona State, although they do have New
• 2:26:29
  Speaker 2: Mexico in waiting, and New Mexico is playing well in
• 2:26:32
  Speaker 2: the Mountain West this year. I don't really see them
• 2:26:36
  Speaker 2: overlooking Arizona State. However, Arizona State is the better team here.
• 2:26:39
  Speaker 2: Arizona State's coming off an embarrassing loss to Baylor as
• 2:26:43
  Speaker 2: a home favorite, by the way. Arizona State got obliterated
• 2:26:46
  Speaker 2: in that game. I think the sentiment is going to
• 2:26:49
  Speaker 2: be low on Arizona State off of that. I think
• 2:26:52
  Speaker 2: if you're getting Arizona State as the better team here
• 2:26:54
  Speaker 2: in a spot where maybe they do bounce back because
• 2:26:56
  Speaker 2: that game was so hideous, even though they do have
• 2:26:59
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech on deck, Normally, if they had beaten Baylor
• 2:27:02
  Speaker 2: and looked really good in that game, I'd be saying
• 2:27:04
  Speaker 2: this is probably a sandwich spot for Arizona State here,
• 2:27:08
  Speaker 2: and it is still kind of a look ahead to
• 2:27:10
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech, but I don't know, man. Off of that bad,
• 2:27:14
  Speaker 2: bad-looking loss to Baylor... Arizona State might not overlook anybody
• 2:27:19
  Speaker 2: after something like that. Where are they at here on
• 2:27:22
  Speaker 2: the board here? The money's all coming in on Arizona State,
• 2:27:26
  Speaker 2: so that kind of reflects what I was just saying.
• 2:27:27
  Speaker 2: 51% of tickets on Arizona State. They're not even very
• 2:27:30
  Speaker 2: public here because you're having to lay three touchdowns with them.
• 2:27:33
  Speaker 2: 90% of the cash on them, though. They dropped a
• 2:27:36
  Speaker 2: little bit from 21.5% down to 21%. which is a
• 2:27:40
  Speaker 2: little bit of a key move, you know, off of
• 2:27:42
  Speaker 2: that hook on the key number there. But I still
• 2:27:45
  Speaker 2: think I would lay it with Arizona State if I
• 2:27:47
  Speaker 2: was going to play it. Don't really have much else
• 2:27:51
  Speaker 2: on that. That's it, man. Thanks for hanging out, everybody.
• 2:27:55
  Speaker 2: We got the card tonight. It's a shorter card for tomorrow,
• 2:27:59
  Speaker 2: but I'm being selective. We have three plays. Texas A
• 2:28:01
  Speaker 2: & M plus three and a half. Oklahoma plus seven
• 2:28:06
  Speaker 2: and a half in the Red River shootout. And the
• 2:28:10
  Speaker 2: worst one, yeah, Maryland plus 33.5 or whatever. If you
• 2:28:14
  Speaker 2: can get a better number on that, sure. I don't
• 2:28:16
  Speaker 2: think it's going to get back to 35 or anything, though.
• 2:28:18
  Speaker 2: Those are the three official Toad plays. The goal is
• 2:28:22
  Speaker 2: to go 2-1. The goal is to win. I'm going
• 2:28:24
  Speaker 2: to be back tomorrow, and we've got a baseball game
• 2:28:27
  Speaker 2: to break down. Of course, the deciding game in the
• 2:28:29
  Speaker 2: Cleveland and White Sox series where I don't even know
• 2:28:31
  Speaker 2: who's fucking pitching in that game at this point. Got
• 2:28:33
  Speaker 2: to break that down. We're going to have a big
• 2:28:35
  Speaker 2: hockey slate tomorrow where it's likely I'll have at least
• 2:28:38
  Speaker 2: one or two hockey plays. once I go in and
• 2:28:40
  Speaker 2: look at it for tomorrow. Hockey's been good so far.
• 2:28:43
  Speaker 2: I think we're 5-2 to start the hockey season. Back
• 2:28:46
  Speaker 2: on track with hockey. I'm enjoying that. Nice, easy winner
• 2:28:50
  Speaker 2: with the Ducks tonight. So there you go with that.
• 2:28:54
  Speaker 2: Being real selective again, man. And I don't know if
• 2:28:57
  Speaker 2: there's any WNBA, because they tend to have days off
• 2:28:59
  Speaker 2: between all these different games. So, you know... Like, subscribe
• 2:29:04
  Speaker 2: to the channel here. And we'll be back in the morning.
• 2:29:07
  Speaker 2: Might just be the one baseball game and hockey for tomorrow.
• 2:29:11
  Speaker 2: And I'll reiterate and do a final market read with
• 2:29:13
  Speaker 2: these football plays that I have. Learn to show it
• 2:29:17
  Speaker 2: on Twitter. Learn to show it on Instagram. You know
• 2:29:18
  Speaker 2: where to find me. Like, subscribe here, like I said already.
• 2:29:22
  Speaker 2: Listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker. We didn't have the...
• 2:29:27
  Speaker 2: The big spike for, you know, according to Spreaker, at
• 2:29:30
  Speaker 2: least we did not have a big spike this time
• 2:29:32
  Speaker 2: for the first time in a few weeks. So not
• 2:29:35
  Speaker 2: happy about that. I'm trying to get an NFL spike though.
• 2:29:38
  Speaker 2: I do. I like my NFL card this week. I'm
• 2:29:40
  Speaker 2: telling you that right now. I think I'm going to
• 2:29:42
  Speaker 2: give up three plays and I like it. So we
• 2:29:44
  Speaker 2: got to get some fucking NFL wins as well after,
• 2:29:47
  Speaker 2: I think we got kind of bullshitted the last couple
• 2:29:49
  Speaker 2: of weeks in the NFL, but this, I like these
• 2:29:52
  Speaker 2: plays a bit more than I liked. Well, I like
• 2:29:54
  Speaker 2: two weeks ago. I did like those and just didn't
• 2:29:57
  Speaker 2: come through last week. I really didn't like the board
• 2:29:59
  Speaker 2: at all, but this week I like my plays at least.
• 2:30:02
  Speaker 2: So hopefully that's going to happen. So be prepared for
• 2:30:06
  Speaker 2: that covered in you. Cause my ukulele cover channel on YouTube,
• 2:30:09
  Speaker 2: I did another cover tonight. It's not up on the
• 2:30:11
  Speaker 2: YouTube yet, but it will be up there. Patreon.com slash
• 2:30:14
  Speaker 2: learn to tote if you want to support me over there.
• 2:30:15
  Speaker 2: Get a Uke Spotify feed and requests. And a loser
• 2:30:22
  Speaker 2: cast every Tuesday because I'm a loser. As everybody knows,
• 2:30:26
  Speaker 2: that's going to do it. I appreciate it. Everybody except
• 2:30:31
  Speaker 2: for Chandler. Nancy, meet Puppet. What is your name? Meet him.
• 2:30:36
  Speaker 2: Meet Cavern. Wayne. Calvin, I appreciate it. Snoop at the
• 2:30:41
  Speaker 2: beginning of the show. Zach, don't want to miss you.
• 2:30:43
  Speaker 2: I appreciate it, everybody. Let's get enough people in here
• 2:30:47
  Speaker 2: that I don't need to even worry about it. I
• 2:30:51
  Speaker 2: love you all, except Chandler. And yes, homo on all
• 2:30:55
  Speaker 2: of that. Yes, that Chandler is a homo, but yes,
• 2:30:58
  Speaker 2: I like all the rest of everybody in the chat
• 2:31:01
  Speaker 2: in a very gay way. I'm giving out gold on
• 2:31:05
  Speaker 2: the show, baby. I'm giving out winners, as you can
• 2:31:07
  Speaker 2: see here, so... Yeah, how about you come back to
• 2:31:09
  Speaker 2: me and congratulate me on some of my wins for
• 2:31:12
  Speaker 2: once rather than only focusing on the losses. That's just
• 2:31:15
  Speaker 2: a bullshit thing to do, man. I put my time
• 2:31:17
  Speaker 2: and effort into this, and I'm giving all this shit
• 2:31:19
  Speaker 2: up for free. And if you bet my shit, you're
• 2:31:21
  Speaker 2: winning better. So, you know, where's the thanks that I
• 2:31:25
  Speaker 2: get for all this? This takes a lot out of
• 2:31:29
  Speaker 2: me for doing all this. So, peace for now.
• 2:31:34
  Speaker 1: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone. Let
• 2:31:39
  Speaker 1: somebody answer, let somebody know. You do not have.
• 2:31:45
  Speaker 3: To lose this round alone. Hold on, hold on, not tonight.
• 2:31:58
  Speaker 1: Not now Hold on, hold.
• 2:32:04
  Speaker 2: On Let me pull you.
• 2:32:08
  Speaker 1: Out That bad luck fights hard But it don't get
• 2:32:15
  Speaker 1: the crown Hold on, hold on Stay with me now.
• 2:32:26
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on You're still here now guitar solo