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The Favorites - Best Bets NFL Week 13 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites Podcast presented by Fandoel. It might be cold,
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  Speaker 1: Hope and why or text hope and why for three
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  Speaker 1: eight nine called one eight hundred five to two four
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit www dot one
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to The Favorites,
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Moman,
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: chief Contact Officer of the Action Network. I am joined
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: as I am for every episode by my co host,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre, my b F F professional Better
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Simon hundred Hello Simon, Hello John, it's going on. Brother. Listen.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: When last we spoke, the US was playing Iran, who
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: we're hoping they'd advanced in the world Up. You tried
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: to claim that this is the one time every four
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: years that Americans fall in love with soccer. I refute
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: that premise and say Americans are always sports fans, and
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: this happens to be the event that is capturing their
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: attention right now. And I think every American sports fan
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: would look for an excuse to stop working from two
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: to four pm in the middle of a Tuesday afternoon
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: in order to watch something. And I will say that
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: second half of that around US game was excruciating, Like
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: you can see why people love watching soccer so much
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: and why evokes such passion because that was fucking intense. Well,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: I always trying to explain to Americans as it's like
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: playoff baseball. It's the same kind of feeling of it's
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: always a one run game or a one nothing game,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: and you're living in dime by every touch and every
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: little thing. So um, yeah, that was like setting game.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: Now before we dive in chat, I do have a
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: bona pick with Miami Dolphin fans. Okay, let's hear it
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: all right. We did a show and usually mean Chad,
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: I'll get hate mail. I mean every day, I'll probably
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: get three to four d ms on Twitter after the show. Nothing,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: nothing out of normal. So I go to bed, I
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: wake up Wednesday morning to our show post and it's
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: multitudes of d m s from Miami Dolphin fans upset
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: it me and Chad um about us simply talking about
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins having a hard schedule coming up and the
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: fact that I haven't played that heart of its schedule.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: What the hell happened? It was a bizarre world of
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: just really nasty mean things said to me and I
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: people that have message back. Usually I don't read a
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: look at d MS. But when it's that many, I
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: had to look. I looked, told the people, if you
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: go back in August, I gave out them to win
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: that division. Like I was a Miami supporter, a Miami fan.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: If Chad wants to bring up their schedule, and I
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: agree with them, we're just talking about the matchups that
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: have going forward, and it's like, just there's just certain people.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: It's like, don't take things so serious, okay, especially when
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: you're going away. To many people, it's like you're on
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: a rock flying through space around another rock that's on
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: fire a million degrees and the void of badness, vastness
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: of the darkness of space. Don't be so upset, don't
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: be so mean. I couldn't believe it. Dolphin fans have
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: been cool this year. That is the most angry, fired
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: up I've had a fan base. Made me feel like
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Steve and a for a second, but we didn't really
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: give a take. We were simply stayed in the fact
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: of they had an easier schedule those last couple of games,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: and now that's about to get very tough. And I
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: totally agree with Chad said about the fact that it's
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: going to get tough and it will be religious to
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: see what two was made of, what kind of team
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: is and that that's me Just was funny to me though,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: how upset people got off. So I just had to
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: comment to the really angry. I would say, tend to
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: twenty fans of Miami Dolphins, I love your perspective, I
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: love your context hashtag, hashtag gratitude. Yeah, like the amount
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: of time we were we are on this earth is
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: so small. I'm just not gonna get really mad at
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: commentators who say mean things about the teams that I like,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: especially when all we're saying is that their schedule gets harder,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: and it does. The last six games they have played
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: basically bad teams at home. The next six games they
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: play good teams on the road. Those are the facts.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: People were not living in an alternative truth universe. That's
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: just what it is. We didn't say two of sucks.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: I think he's having a great year. Big fan, huge
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: fan of Mike McDaniel. I like I love watching his TikTok's.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: I think the way he communicates with his team is amazing.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: It's hilarious. He's hilarious. Big fan of everything they're doing.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Schedule was just sucking. Hard the rest of the year.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: People that now I'm getting lit up in the chat.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: See I'm soft as an he was fan. I am
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: not soft. I'm just bringing up to the forefront of
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: like please SA Savior, nasty DMS. It was just it
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: just was just so out of place, where if we
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: want to shoot on the dolphins for twenty minutes, I
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: would understood it. It It was just I feel like we
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: barely even touched on It was just us talking about
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: how hard their schedule is. Just interesting. Listen, I'm glad
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: people are listening on AMP. That's awesome. Reminder that today
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: we will try to filter down to our final five
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: for our favorite picks for Sunday. You can follow those picks.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: We will log the in the Action Network app the
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Phaves five usually do that around noon on Sunday. I'll
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: put notes in there based on where the line is
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: for our contest which locks on Wednesday, UM, versus where
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: the line is at that point? Do we still like it?
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Why are we making those decisions? Um? We will give
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: out our big balls better the week. We will find
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: a lot of scootch Roulette. Reminder, I won last week's
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: I'm in lost. Um, We'll lose some monody line around.
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: Robin also reminder foxhol for Niners minus three and a half.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I'm a little nervous about that, speaking of even though
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: all the Dolphinstock we just had, I'm still nervous that
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: line is now at four. Uh Simon says, Giants plus
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: two and a half, exact decision the e d since
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: E plus two and a half. Before we get to
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: any of it, Let's do sharp calls. Hello, who's there?
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: I'm talking somebody? Sharp calls was rough for your boy
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: this week chat. A lot of hate coming that side
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: and from a lot of the guys I bet with him,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: work with The biggest ones are on your side, by
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: semi pro friend. They love your idea on the Titans.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: There with you on the Titans. It's a lonely it's
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: a lonely feeling going against the pros and the public,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: it really is, because there's just really no one left
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: with you. And I got exactly what they're saying is
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: what you're pretty much saying. It's you're getting very able
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: to big numbers. A dog. He's been very profitable, especially
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: on the money line. You take him in these positions,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: it's been very profitable, but I was I get where
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: they're coming from. My whole view of it is we
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: saw last week what the Bangles were able to do
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: with taking Derrick Henry away and that kind of shut
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: down that whole offense and the Eagles. This week, I
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: had heard some whispers that we're supposed to get Jordan
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: Davis back and then we just saw him come off.
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: I r this week. Now it's three weeks. He could
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: come back. He doesn't have to come back this week,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: could be next week or the week after that. Um
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: So I was trying to get ahead of the number
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: for for one of one of those reasons is he's
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: the best run stop for the Eagles. Half he is
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: a game changer for that team. He eats duff doubles.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: So not surprising the pros. They love the Titans with
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: Chad the other biggest one, I know, really really smart
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: group that came in heavy on the Bengals and they
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: took a large position at two and a half on them.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: We see that number dropping out a one one and
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: a half, It doesn't surprise me. We talked about that game,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about again today. That just felt like a
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: game that the Pros would be on the public would
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: just be hammering the Chiefs that they're gonna have that
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: even though it's through zero, they're gonna be teasing that
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: number up like down whatever, plus four plus five, they're
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: gonna have their money lines. That's gonna be one of
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: the bigger pros versus shows games this week, and another
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: game that Chad's gonna feel maybe a little better now
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: they knows this. There's a really really smart group that
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: you know, I gave out that big Dallas bet. They've
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: taken a huge, huge position on this forty Niners team.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: They took a big position on in Monday, took another
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: position again Tuesday morning, and then again on Wednesday, and
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: they finally have moved it up in most books to
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: minus four. So that's gonna be another game this week
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: of the public will be all over Miami, and for
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: good reason what we talked about. They have a lot
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: of talent offense. But interesting when you hear a professional
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: group making a large position play on a four Niners team,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: that three and a halfs a key number. So uh,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: if if you if you wanted to get Miamia four,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: it sunds like it seems like all week about to
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: get that forward just because the pros are gonna be
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: better that way. Oh my god, this is so exciting.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: So on the Titans, just some context. The number opened
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: it six and a half, got it down to five
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: and a half. This morning it's at four and a half.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: I've seen some four and a half's. Yeah, down to
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: four and a half this morning. Uh, massive amount of
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the Titans in the uh Niners
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Dolphins game. To your point, Simon, majority of the money
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Dolphins, majority of the tickets coming
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: into the Dolphins. The line has moved in the other direction,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: which tells you the professionals are playing the um. And
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: then they're just betting it constantly. So they've just been
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: betting at multiple states, multiple books for four days now.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: Really interesting. Uh. And then finally the Bangles in the
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: Chiefs this is a pros Joe's game, but very close. Um.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Uh is the split and is the money on the Bengals.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: So and then the last one, just because well we're
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: gonna have to talk about just because I've I've kind
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: of flipped on it. It's the Vikings Jets. Um your
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: back of the Jets. I've heard a lot of about
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: the Jets, and I didn't want to want to do
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: it because again it's Mike went on the road. But
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: you know, I have guys that call them up. They're
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: gonna smack me around a little bit and be like,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: you fucking idiot. Look at the Jets defense, stopped looking
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: at Mike White. Look at the cornerbacks and how they're
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to stop and play against this Vikings team.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: So again it's it's trying to be humble and take
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: and listen to my elders and respect my elders and
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: kind of take their position where I just thought it
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: was a good spot for this Vikings team at home,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: catching the Jets team up. After again, Mike White played
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: or it will be a perfect game. So it could
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: be misreading it. But if if, if Chad wants to
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: talk me into taking the Jets, are probably be able
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: to be talking too, because it just seems like a
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: lot of really smart people are on that side and
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: I might be overlooking, um, just such a dominant defense
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: of this Jets team is Yeah, we'll get into it.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: I listened to Stucky and Raybond on the Action Network podcast,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: and they've always got incredible breakdowns. Um and Yon Uh
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: or was it Stuck you now, I can't remember, but
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: one of them had an incredible breakdown of the Jets. Um,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: so like supporting the Jets, supporting the Jets. Yes, it
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: seems like it was Stucky. It was Stucky Matt Mitchell. Okay,
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell says it was Stucky. So, um, let's get
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: into it. Uh, let's talk about the Jets. Let's talk
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: about the Jets right away, because, um, you know, on
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday, like we immediately thought Vikings because of the
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: perception and the blowout, but again, Vikings had another one
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: score game, probably got lucky with the hen recall on
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: the Patriots not being a touchdown. Uh. Here was something
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: really interesting that was pointed out by Stucky thirty one
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: in the NFL defending short passes Mike White's completions last week,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: we're on short passes and this I think was Raybon
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: pointed out that on paper, the Jets are a better
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: team like ninth and overall d v O A eighteenth
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: on offense, d v O A fourth on defense, d
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: v O A Vikings in those categories and by the way,
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: the Viking the Jets, we're doing all of that was
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: Zack Wilson, And I will say that people, the only
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: fear is all year the Vikings had this number and
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: they keep winning and somehow fucking coming just that stupid
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: team that way. So that was what I said that
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: the guy was just the fact that I wanted just
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: to take the Vikings at two and a half. I
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: feel like that was gonna be a nice price because
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I have this line at three. He said, well, you
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: fucking idiot, just take the Jets plus three. Then that's
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: the right side. That's a team that's better. They're they're
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: well coached, Their defense matches up really well against what
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: this Vikings team wants to do. And those are fair arguments.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: But there is magic to this Vikings team, which is
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: like one of those stupid things we can't account for
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: number wise, But I can't look at this Jets team
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: and saying myself, what what's their biggest weakness? And it's
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: my white And if this kid's playing like the way
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be played last week, there's no weakness his
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Jets team there there really are filled out really well.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Like their wide receivers wide receiver position is very very
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: very very very very balanced. Like the Zack Wilson stuff
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: that was on Zack Wilson. They have the weapons. Garret Wilson,
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: he's a great receiver. So Mike White, he got away
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: with a couple of ones last week. But I can't
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: feel like you just talked about this. This Vikings team,
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: they're just not that good. Like there, what is their
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: point differential? Plus five or something crazy like that. So
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: I know they're nine and two and it's it's really
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: incredible what they've done this year or tended to, but man,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: can they can they keep getting away with this Chad
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: at plus three? I feel like you're right that that's
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: the smart side to take. Um, it's just are we
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to take plus two and a half
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: because that's gonna probably be the choice, and you know
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: we're both pisted last week that scared us off the
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: Cardinals where you know we should have been on at
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: a plus two and a half. So it will be
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: interesting to see what we do with the contest on
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: that number. Look this number right now, it's at three,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: opened it four and a half money coming in and
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: the Jets it's probably gonna go to two and a half.
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: Will because like a sharp book, already has a two
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: and a half, so it's gonna go to two and
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: a half. It's gonna go to two and a half. Uh.
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: And I think that whoever you spoke to about the
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: Jets doesn't matter who's playing quarterback. We cannot expect Mike
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: White to do what he did in the rain against
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: a really bad barrass defense. You know, the Vikings can
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: get more pressure, right, and so they will be able
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: to get in his face. But the Jets defense is
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: just so good, right, and that I feel like that's
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: the reason you take the three. That's the reason you
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: gotta take the three. It'll be interesting to see where
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: we get in the contest. But I do like the
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Jets of plus three. Uh. Let's talk about let's revisit
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: um the Falcons right now because they are at home.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: This line has gone up. It's uh their plus one
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: right now. UM. I cannot under stand, for the life
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: of me, why anybody would take the Steelers in this spot.
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: I like Kenny Pickett. I think he's a gamer. I
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: think he's going to be a serviceable, if not better professional.
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: Been really impressed with how he's evolved from being thrown
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: into the fire to being better after the bye week. Um,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: we saw it against New Orleans, we saw it against Cincinnati,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: we saw it against the Colts. But they shouldn't be
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: real favorites. This isn't a Rob Rod Mike Tomlin spot.
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: This is a bet the Falcons who probably should be
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: playing for the division and still have a shot at it.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Why would I not at the Falcons here? Yeah, the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: Tomlin magic made sense when Pittsburgh was a dog, but
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: now that's something their favorite. It's like, this is kind
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: of when you want to get off the Tomlin and
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh train. You're right about, Kenny. This is a
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: big spot for a rookie be put in on the
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: road against an Atlanta team. Yeah, they've had some struggles here,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: but I don't expect that those struggles continue. They're they're
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: getting health here as the season's gone along. The issues
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: now is what's this offense really gonna look like? You're
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: you're down your down pits? Which I know he wasn't
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: a huge factor, but the defense started equate for that,
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: and Drake Glendon hasnt been targeted like he should be
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: for this offense. Um, So that's the questions with Atlanta
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: right now. You kind of kind of ever losing trust
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: in their offensive late, they're just they seem like they're
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: not functioning well. Um teams have been able to defend
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: them better, but it's it's it's hard to look at
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: it and just think to yourself that this Atlanta team,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: like you just said, shouldn't be closer to a field
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: goal favorite in a game against the Pittsburgh team. That
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: that's that's a big task to ask them keep winning
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: these close, hard games and how they're going up against
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: the team that just lost again. You know they probably
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: not just win, but at least cover so the public
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: to know and surprise is gonna come and have you
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh right there. They've been good, they've been good
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: to them where Atlanta since starting the season six and
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: oh a t s they've struggled. I mean they have struggled,
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: especially against the spread. So it feels like another game
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: chat where it's just gonna be me and you and
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: a couple of pros in Atlanta. The public will be
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: all over Pittsburgh in this position. You love the Giants.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: The other day, I don't know if the Falcon is
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: making into the contest though, we'll see. Yeah, it depends
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: on The number depends on the number. The truth is
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: we're not going to get better than I think one
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: and a half on the Falcons. If I had to
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: predict in the contest, we won't get better on one
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: and a half. You love the Giants two and a half.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: It was your Simon says play remind people why that is.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: I love them coming in the week. Not only is
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: this a good it's about to take a divisional matchup
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: home team. The biggest fact in this game is just
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: that the Giants have been on a slump here the
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. They have not been playing well.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: The injuries seem to have caught up to them. We're
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Washington has been going in the other direction right, They've
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: been outperforming. The bounces have been going their way. We're
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: talked about their six on one of their last seven,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: which is just insane to think about that. They've done
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: this with Heineke, an undrafted quarterback, but he's played well
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: like they've schemed it right. He's using the weapons around
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: and right. But now you're getting a Giants team that's
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: a home dog and i'd really really scrappy one at
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: that that Usually in these games, this is where you
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: wanted back a Giants team like there. What what's catching
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: up to them is the teams are kind of figuring
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: out what they want to do on offense, right these
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: naked bootlegs and getting Daniel Jones out wide and kind
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: of get him on the mood. And I agree teams
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: have figured that out, but I assume they're gonna be
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: able to counter that. And looking at this Washington team,
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: they've struggled against the rung and you're not. You're getting
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: say Quon in a good spot against the team that
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: struggled against the run. So I made the closer to
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: a pick. That's my biggest screpty in this. It's like,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: if you're getting plus two and a half plus three
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: with the Giants, you just have to take that spushing
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: divisional game. I thought you would get to the three
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: because I thought the public would come in and really
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: have you on Washington. But it seems like it's split
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: so far at this point. So, um, if you didn't
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: get the two and a half and it's down to two,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: you might better weight. I do think I'll go back
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: up to two and a half. I'm surprised that nobody,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: none of the sharps called us about this. Yeah, it
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: wasn't the one they loved. I mean again, the biggest
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: one they talked about. To me, they hated my Eagles
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: pick and they loved the Bengals pick that was in
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: the forty nine ers like those those three we really
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: talked about a lot um just the fact there's multiple
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: groups hitting it. Again, they're not making big bets every week,
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: but it is interesting when teams take that teams, when
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: different groups take positions on games. I'm the opposite of it.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: I'm just like shit the same way last week, like
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: you talked about Tennessee Bengals. When it's like, I'm with you,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: I would have loved to been all over that Bengals
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: when that was a great read. But it's like fun, man,
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: these guys, they know what they're doing. They take a
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: large position like this usually works out for him. So
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: that's that's the balance with listening to these guys and
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: trying to fight through what's what's right and what's wrong.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: So all right, so that's our take on the Giants.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Let's go back a little bit to the Bengals because
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: I love the Bengals. The other day and um, to me,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: if you're getting Jamaar Chase back, which I think you are. Yeah,
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: he'll be getting Joe. You're getting Joe Mixon back. Um.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: I understand the history with Patrick Mahomes that when he
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: is a favorite of less than three, he's generally unbeatable.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: In November and December, he literally is unbeatable winning executive games.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: M shit, But listen, that's damn now. I even think
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: that he does not lose December. Hey, we don't need
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: him to. We don't need him to lose. We just
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: need the game to be less than an extra point.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: This Bengals team has been really strong on defense, and
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: I think Joe Burrows just in his own man, he's
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: seeing it. And you know, we talked about this all
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: the time and this is Jermaine to Deshaun Watson too,
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: And you said it like last on Tuesday. We don't
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: know what we're getting with Shawn Watson because and I'm
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: going to get to the point, he hasn't played for
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: two years. Quarterbacks need training camp, they need practice, reps,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: they need a lot of those things, and then they
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: need getting reps. Joe Burrow like basically didn't play in
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: training camp and so it took him four to five
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: weeks to get where he needed to be and now
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: he's doing what exactly what we'd expect him to do.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: And I don't think Kansas City has the defense to
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: be able to pressure him in the way that he
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: needs to be pressured to be uncomfortable at home when
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: he's got a really powerful offense. Yeah, ay, if they
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: do get a little bit of pressure. We we touched
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: on the fact that the chief secondary is all young
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: and they're small, and he's got his big body and
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: Higgins and his big body and Chase on the outside.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: That's what Joe's kind of leaning on nowadays, where if
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: he's getting pressure, like you said, we'll just put up
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: to his guys down the sideline rather than you me
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: take the sack or the hit. So um, Patrick Mahomes
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: congratulations of having a baby boy. Yes, very happy for him. Uh.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: I know. It was funny the other day I was
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: watching what clip was it? It was some clip might
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: have been Brady's kid dropping back and like throwing it past,
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: and you know, Archie Manning is playing football like it.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: Just it made me think of this next generation we
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: might get of quarterbacks from all these Hall of famers.
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: It's just What a great time to be a football fan.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's amazing. So just for this game,
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know, what do you want to do it?
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: Would you want to put in our contest? Yeah? I
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: have no fear on this, all right, no fear. I
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: played with confidence? Um yeah I would. I wouldn't. I
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: would not be unable one and a half. You're cool
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: with it? No, that's what's gonna be. I guess my
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: feeling on this is and I don't know that like
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: I even looked, but I just I basically the contest
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: has been ahead of it. They usually go the sharp
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: line like they're gonna go with what they think. The
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: pros are gonna admit it too. So I'm looking at
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: a book right now that I trust it's one and
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: a half. Um, I'll pull up the one we use.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: But that that's why I feel like it's gonna be.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: It's I'll be hard for me not to take it
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Sunday because it is. It's just such a good spot
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: to back a since team that Joe is just he's
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: the same thing as my homes. Like, whoever as the
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: ball lasts is gonna win this game. And I like
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: that we're getting the point a half still in it
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: um in this matchup. But yeah, this week, like there's
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: three or four games I really like and this is
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: one of them. It'll be a good conversation on Sunday
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: another game. Have we touched on multiple games that you
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: really like so far? Like we both love since would
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: you say that you feel strongest about since Jets and
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Giants or I would say, um, since the forty Niners
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: right now? In my two favorite this week? All right,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: so that was the next game I want to talk about.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: Was Uh. The only thing that you can turns me
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: is that Kyle Shanahan in this spot as a favorite,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: he calls a different game. It's almost like he gets
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: more conservative. And I'm worried about McCaffrey being banged up.
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I'm worried about Jimmy g being banged up. I'm worried
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: that what Wattle and Tyreek Hill can do on the
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: edges is so confounding it makes it makes me nervous
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: like that. The fact that you've got a massive group
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Niners is interesting to me. Yeah,
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: it's nice and I think they're looking at it. Where
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: I go with my stuff is the D line O
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: line matchups, and that's where you can find a lot
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: of value. Um game, we didn't touch them. Ab we'll
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: talk about the end for the m fans of that
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: that builds New England game. You've seen that lot and
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: move and people are like, why is the movie so much?
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: Is that just because the professional money. It's no. There's
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: a major injury to the Bills offense of line, and
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Von Miller's out as well. So it's like, if you're
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: a left hat, you're starting left tackles out and you're
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: arguably best edge runchers out, that's gonna move a number.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: People always think it's just mainly the quarterbacks, running backs
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: or whoever gonna move it. But it's like the books
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: are smart. They understand how important offense and defensive lines are.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: That's what this matchup is all about. Here. Miami, as
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: great as they have looked these last couple of weeks,
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: look at the matchups their offensive line is going against. Defensively,
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: like what defensive line they've played against. And we've seen
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: the games that Miami struggled this year. It's begin against
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: really good defensive lines. I mean, Matt Mitchell knows oh
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: to well that game the Bills lost. Their defensive line
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: dominated Miami's offense. That Miami's offensive maybe three big players
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: against the Bills in that game. That's how they want it.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Just a wacky game. We saw that again when they
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: played the Jets. Even though he went out of the
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: game and he got banged up to in that game,
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: the Jets defensive line was absolutely dominating this Miami's offensive line.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: So I think they're betting that. Okay, that the we
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: we totally agree. I mean, I sent you that video
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: that Saint San losing his ship. We totally agree with
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: The Saints easily should have covered that game, stay outplayed them.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: They had all the opportunities to do that. Jimmy completely
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: laid an egg. That's why I feel so good about
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: taking for nature. They just had a game, they laid
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: an egg, and they got away with it. Now they're
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: not gonna be overlooking this Miami team. It made sense
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: they might have overlooked that Chan's gonna his guys ready
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: for this matchup, especially against his pupil and McDaniels. So
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: I love everything about it. Like the four, it scares
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: me a little bit. I'm hoping we can get the
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: three and app because that's what I bet a lot
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: of money on. That's what I'd rather get in the contest,
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: But I still take it afore that's what I make
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: the game. You just know I fucking hate pushes, so
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: that that would piss me off, But three and a
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: half you can still find it. I'd grab it just
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: says it's it's a matchup of how real are both
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: these teams, which you're already talking about, like this is
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be an awesome game that sense. We but we're
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: really going to figure out which team is legit from
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: this game because if Miami Ken move the ball like
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: we think they could be able to a Tyreka waddle
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: and they're alying can hold up against Bossa, and that's
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: a real key matchup to watch, and yeah, Miami's real.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: If not, it just knocked him down to peg, We're
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: just like, okay, the Bills are still the class of
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: that division and Miami has got you know, a rough
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: road against him. Like he just talked about a bunch
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: of hard games, this is one of many. Guess where
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• 30:30
  Speaker 1: we talked about a disgusting game right now that I love.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: We got three gross games. We got Colts plus eleven
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: on the road at Dallas. We got the Browns minus
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: seven on the road at Houston, which Houston is treating
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: like it's Super Bowl. The city is treating it like
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: we got the Rams there you go plus eight, actually
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: down to seven and a half because the wise guys
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: have come in on their MS. I don't know why, Sawks, dude,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: you know what we're doing right now? Big better the week,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: my friend it is. I love the Rams. When everyone
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: everyone's jumped off the ship. It's empty. Aaron Donald, he's
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: never missed the game. He's finally jumped off the ship.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: So it is the biggest balls bed maybe of the
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: year that we're gonna make. No brainer. Have to bet this,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: especially at seven and a half. Yep, what do we
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: do in the contest? I feel like this, this could
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: be a really interesting play in the contest. This is
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: some game theory here. If we want to make up ground.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: It's getting late in the year. This might be a
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: play that we got to make because I don't think
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: a lot of people take the rams likely. We've been
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: so good though. We don't even need to do that
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: bs yet because like, again, we had a bad week.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: I just like we're three backs still, so it's like
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: if we were five back or six. Maybe I started
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: doing a little bit of Game three, but with us,
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: we just gotta still just find the winners at this point.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: So seven and a half though, like no, no brainer,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: automatic play six and a half. That's when it's like,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: oh man, that yeah, that's tough. It's not gonna be
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: at six and a half. The game hasn't gone below
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: seven and a half yet. That's true, that's true. But
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: at the same time, this time last week and we
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: did the Cardinals, they were three and a half, and
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: for some reason they put them too and a half,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: like they knew that number was gonna jump down. But
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: that could have been just because they knew Kyler was
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: gonna come back us. That's what they are. Yeah. The
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: the interesting interesting game, like you just told me about
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: that Houston one was I heard a couple of guys
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: that love that. I think that they're going the same
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: thing as you. Like, not that they've been betting and
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: losing money every week on Houston, but it feels like
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: a couple of these guys have been like they're My
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: love for the Jaguars has been kind of their love
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: for Houston. Um, which I look at this line as
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: one of the fishier lines of the week in the
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: sense that, like you just said, I've seen a couple
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: of books at six and a half Houston, that means
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: you can tease down Cleveland to half a point. They
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: just need to simply win the game. So yeah, maybe
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: the books are giving us a free one there, because
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: I'm very tempted just to take that tease because it's like,
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: and what world do they not win? I can see
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: maybe not covering right. This is like a close game Watson.
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: If you watch any of the tape of him and practice,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: he's sealing balls over guys, just not in rhythm with
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: a what is the twelve weeks hasn't practiced with any
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: of these guys, So that is a big deal. Like
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: Chad was just talking about, so Housen and the Rams
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: or two games of Chad again, we have a lot
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: of games I love this week. If he came in
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: with one of them, was like, you gotta take one.
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: I would be all board this Sunday, just six and
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: a half seven. I would take Houston and the contest
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, no brain, I would take um
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: the ramps. So we'll have one of those two ugly
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: dogs in for sure. This weekend. I really I think
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks are overvalued right now, so are the Browns.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: Like you're getting such a bonus on such inflation on
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson another game. I'm narrowing down our list here.
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: You love the Raiders at plus two Matt numbers moved.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: Explain your logic. Well, the main love for by the way,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, Raiders Chargers. The main love was of the
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: matchup of this Charges defense for Raiders offense that we
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: just saw move the ball at will, running the ball
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: against the Seahawks, and the Chargers cannot stop the run.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: They have major injuries to their detach club position. That's
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: the biggest weakness. I flipped the other side of the
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Herbert effect of yeah, he might win this game, but
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: he wins him close. He's just a guy that plays
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: really close games. And now you're giving me the Raiders
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: a divisional dog at home playing against the Chargers team
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: that they're just the darling of the public. The public
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: simply loves this Chargers team, and it feels like we're
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: in the exact same scenario last year. Um, hell, it
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: might have been weak. Yeah it was Week eight tea
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: because I rememberyone bout the tie. We had the Raiders
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: versus the Chargers, and the winner got into the playoffs.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: So of course the public hammered Herbert. They love the Chargers,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: and the line just sat at three three and a
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: half all week, and the books were happy and let
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: everyone come in bet that number. One day overtime. The
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: Raiders went out right anyway. So in this same kind
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: of matchup, these teams really haven't changed that much. If anything,
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: they've both gotten slightly worse. I mean the Oakland, I
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: mean that Vegas is defense, They're terrible charges defensive shure
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: is even worse than they were last year. Um. The
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: problem is, again we talked about on Tuesday, if there's
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: no Jacobs, that's where I have paws on this, Like
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: he's the really what gets it going for this Vegas team,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Like he is their offense. We saw how Domini was.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: He's a practicing all week. I do think he's gonna
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: play like resting all week. You expect him to be back.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: If he is backchat, we're getting one and a half
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: two in the contest. Yeah, I would still take this number.
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: It's just simply just like the Giants play. It's a
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: home divisional dog team that's just being undervalued. Vegas. We
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: saw that historical thing of they had. They had three
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: different games, they're at a seventeen point leads and they
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: loss that had never happened the NFL before. So we
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: saw that early, early, early woes of this McDaniels coach
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: team earlier in the season. Now, these last couple weeks,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: they've seem like they really started figuring things out and
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: turning things around, like they know how to win. So
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: as long as Jacobs is playing this game shot, I
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: would take this. Let me ask you a question. Right now,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: I feel like we feel pretty good about the Niners.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: We feel pretty good about the Bengals. We will I'm
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: willing to bet that will bet on the Rams. Are
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: you feeling like you could play the Titans right now?
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: Like if you wanted to do what I would do
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: it just because I respect your opinion. I respect these
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: other guys opinions. So it's like I just I knew
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: I was gonna be on island with it. But I
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: just knew in my heart of hearts where I told
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: you I felt this line blindly before I ran the numbers,
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: was gonna be three or three and a half that's
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: just because it was two and al it was to
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: the week before Eagles one. Titans didn't make sense, right
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: books bump it up the three and a half three?
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: What the hell they shot it all af the six
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: and a half? It just did not make sense. And
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: like my first original and bat was grabbing the six,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: grabbing the six and a half, and the fact that
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: it didn't just drop all the way back down, which
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: I thought it should have four and a half, that
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: that started giving me more confidence of being like, Okay,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: Chad's right, this probably is the right side. But it's
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: just a fishy, fishy line. I just will never get
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: why it was so far above three three and a half.
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: And it could be the A. J. Brown effect that
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be such a revenge platform. And can
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: the Titans offense keep up with an Eagles offense that
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: it's top three points right now? They are a high powered,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: high flying offense. We haven't seen the Titans in many shootouts.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: We have not seen them really being games and our
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: shoot outs. And they're on the road against an Eagles
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: team that at home they put up points and that's
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: that's the difference to me. So it's the fear of
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: the books, know what they're doing, and they've sucking me
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: in because I told you every ounce of my body
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: screaming you have to to things. It's like the New
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: England thing. It's like you have to take new one
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: against the Bills at home here. But I'm just trying
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: to fight it off. It's just it's like a sixth sense.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: I'm just just too stinky. I don't I don't like it,
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: but I could be wrong. So if yeah, it's five
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: and a half chat and you're like, hey, assle, we're
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: putting this one in, You're you're wrong on this, I'd
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: be in because it's just if you're taking a big
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: enough stand like that, Who am I to say you're
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: wrong because I'm I'm not. I am you know. On
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. It's not one of my bigger bets of
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: the week, though. What about We haven't talked much about
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: the Lions and the Jacks. Another split game between the pros. Yeah,
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: and that light. That line has just been bouncing back
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: and forth. Jacks plus one, Jacks minus one, Lions plus one,
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Lins minus one. I'm feeling confident about the Lions. Yeah,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: I knew you liked them to where it's I agree
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: with you if it got up to the two and
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: a half three, I would have been there with you
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: in Detroit because that that that's too big of a
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: number for this Jaguars team. But oh man, it's a
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: coin flip game to me though. That's why I just
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: wouldn't feel comfortable put in the contest where it's like
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: if you if you give me a two and a
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: half or three on either side, that wouldn't be the
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: play to me. But it's the line. Is a coin
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: flip game? Yeah it is, and it should be because
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: it's like both teams have had such incredible weeks and
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: then such egg lane weeks where you really don't know
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: what you're getting week the week, and your love for
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: the Troy The only reason I want to back it
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: is they're coming off such a bad home loss. Now
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: they're at home again against the Jaguars team that I've
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: seen all the trends that they have not historically been,
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: you know, played well on the road. Doug Pearson is
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: trying to change all that, but he hasn't to this point,
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: even this year, they have not played well on the road.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: So another game chat where it comes Sunday you might
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: be able to flip me, but right now my Jack
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: Jack's homer hats on. I can't flip on Thursday Show.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: All right? Uh, is there any game you feel like
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: we're missing? I feel like we've got a lot of
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: wait and sees, like Rams Bengals and then we're a
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: wait and see on the Raiders for Josh Jacobs, We're
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: a wait and see on the Titans to see where
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: the line is. I think we're we're leaning Jets, um,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: but we don't know if we'll put it in the contest.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: I bet I'm on Jets now, Like if people all
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: in on the Jets in the contest, okay, yeah, Like
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: I'm on the three now, Okay, uh so then that's
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: four with like it looks like three or four Titans, ah,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas, maybe Atlanta. We'll see what we even talked about,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: Like another game that I could somehow be talked into,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: would be your love for the Broncos of mar popped
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: up an injury, had an injury of a quad was
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: all out of practice. That's a big deal. Um with
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: this Ravens team now like they're they're they're superstars, are
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: not practicing? Mark Andrews has not been practicing with Lamar.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: We saw him have key drops in that game in
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: the end zone. Have drops. That's big for a team
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: that just has not been healthy this year. So, um,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: you're you have a couple of buddies again, a couple
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: of pros that agree with Chad. I just I have
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: such a fear of this Broncos team, just all the negativity. Um.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: But the reason, the biggest reason I want to bet
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: on now is that stupid article you saw Ill put
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: out about half Russell Wilson's teammates coming to his birthday party.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: So now I gotta hear from every asshole wrong to
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: be like, yeah, easiest better the week, right, Ravens like
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: they're gonna shoot on that team, like they already quit
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: on Russ, And it's like fuck every every time someone
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: says that makes me want to bet the Broncos. So
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: that's another game where if Jack comes to me on Sunday,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be hard to fight him off because he's
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: just he's right what he talked about. We're getting two
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: to three free points on this Broncos team. They're just
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: they've been absolutely terrible, but it's mainly on Russ. It's
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: just week to week. We don't know what kind of
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: RUSS we're gonna get. I mean, eight and a half points.
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: Can we really can we really be comfortable going in
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: on the Rams and the Broncos and Xins like even
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: that is so so grows us. I know, no, it's
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: it feels like a good week tho to go ugly,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: Like there's some ugly games, doesn't minds do make sense
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: in these games? It really does feel like that kind
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: of week. Um, alright, So I think we've we've talked
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: enough about those games. Uh leaning towards Jets, leaning towards Rams,
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: leaning towards since he leaning towards uh Niners and then
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: sort of last in first out amongst potentially Titans, potentially Broncos,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: potentially Las Vegas if Josh Jacobs is playing. Um, yeah, okay,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: and that makes sense. Again, it's week thirteen, Like injury reports.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: At this point in the year, it's everything. So that's
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: a couple of these games. That's honestly what I'm really
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: waiting on. I just need to know who's in who's out,
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: especially for a couple of these key positions. All right,
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: I won scooch to let last week. Brother tied up,
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: tied up, we are tied on my I'm scared. Now
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: how do I not look at this point? How do
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: I not take the Titans? Wow? I thought you're gonna
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: go with your darlings. All right, I'm taking the Titans.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Give me the three and a half of Vandel, Thank you, Vandal?
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: All right, what's the best number I can what's the
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: best number that can get in the Titans right now? Oh,
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: I'll let you grab the five. Is there a five available? Yeah?
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: I mean I'm five and half of off shore, but yeah,
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: if you want to go have a five in America,
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: there's five. Well, I bet legally. Alright, Titans plus five
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: I'll take yeah, exactly, um Monderline, Ron Robin, I mean, look, Rams, Broncos, Texans, Alright,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: let's let's start over. Go Rams, who'd you like Broncos?
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: I'm sucking around. I don't know that I do have
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: an ugly dog I want to throw in there that
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: I just the whole city is behind it. Texas. We
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: have to go to Texas money line against that scumbag Watson, like,
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: gotta gotta go with gotta go with Houston, So go Houston, Giants.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: I mean I'm not gonna fight chat on because it
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: says it's one of his Darlin's Tennessee Um Jets and
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: then Rams. So two uglies, wow Texas and Rams. Yeah,
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: because I just can't see a war with the Colts win.
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: I really want to do that because that would be
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: such a classic Dallas choke spot. But we've seen this
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: cold team that their upsets have come at home. They
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: really haven't done it on the road. So I'll do
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: I'll go with the Rams and just that feels like
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: the ugliest dog you know. Again. Another money line, No
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: one's gonna bet Chad at me and you let me
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: see how many people have bet the money line here? Yeah,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: so it's on our episodes less than eighteen percent of
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: the money. No one's been that money. No, I know
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: what he is. Uh, let's see all right, So Texans Giants,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: I'm going slow so people on amp uh can hear this?
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Texans Giants, Titans, Jets, Rams for the money line round
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Robin Parlay again, scoochrow Lett Simon took the Niners plus
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: through minus three and a half. I took the Titans
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: plus five, Big Balls, Rams plus eight. This has been
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: the favorites from the Volume Podcast Network for producer Extraordinaire
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. For my bff Simon Hunter, I am Chad Melman.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Download the podcast from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: get your podcasts. Listen to the very end, people, That's
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: how would keep the rankings up. Listen, listen, listen, but
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: also engage, rate, review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I love you, m M m m