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“Fermi Poker” by Novalis, Screwtape
Summary: Fermi Poker is an estimation game that combines the betting mechanics of poker with making estimates about questions like "How many dentists work in the US?"
Tags: small to large, experiment, repeatable
Note: Fermi Poker works with as few as three players (or even two), and scales to dozens or even hundreds in a tournament format. If possible, seat no more than six players per table, preferably at round tables, with enough space between them that everyone can write down their guess secretly.
Purpose: Rationality training with a bit of socializing. The game involves Fermi estimation…
The skinny
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