Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Lyft Earnings Miss Estimates After Global Expansion Push
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
- 0:10Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am
- 0:14Speaker 1: Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg
- 0:17Speaker 1: Business app. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts,
- 0:21Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube.
- 0:24Speaker 2: A lot of earnings flowing out here, including some of
- 0:26Speaker 2: the tech companies and some of the.
- 0:29Speaker 3: Online travel places as well.
- 0:31Speaker 2: So we want to check in with Man deep Seeing,
- 0:33Speaker 2: global tech research head for Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us here. Hey,
- 0:36Speaker 2: Mandy ip I saw we talked about Uber a day
- 0:38Speaker 2: or so ago and we had the LIFT numbers came
- 0:41Speaker 2: out at see the stock company kind of miss estimates here.
- 0:44Speaker 2: Give us a sense of what is going on operationally
- 0:48Speaker 2: with Lift. We know things are going pretty darn wall
- 0:50Speaker 2: at Uber, how about it Lyft? And where do they
- 0:52Speaker 2: fit in going forward?
- 0:53Speaker 4: Do you think.
- 0:55Speaker 5: I mean all these companies right now, I have to
- 0:59Speaker 5: look catch you know the scale of avay rides from
- 1:03Speaker 5: Ramo and how fast Wemo could you know? Go from here?
- 1:09Speaker 5: Right now they are doing five hundred thousand rides across
- 1:14Speaker 5: the US and more than ten cities, and I think
- 1:18Speaker 5: that's where you're starting to see an impact. I mean,
- 1:21Speaker 5: like Uber and Lyft still are growing double digits, but
- 1:25Speaker 5: when you look at the take rates, you're starting to
- 1:28Speaker 5: see some sort of pressure. And they've been talking about,
- 1:31Speaker 5: you know, partnerships and alliances. In the case of Lift,
- 1:35Speaker 5: they have partnered with Weamo in one city, Nashville, and
- 1:39Speaker 5: they're partnered with Baidu in London. But that's not going
- 1:44Speaker 5: to be enough if we're talking about Weamo ramping up
- 1:47Speaker 5: the way they have been. They've almost doubled their rides
- 1:51Speaker 5: over the past twelve months. So that's where you will
- 1:54Speaker 5: start to see challenges emerge when it comes to the
- 1:57Speaker 5: business models of both Uber and Lyft, which has been
- 2:01Speaker 5: asset light so far, but they have to start thinking
- 2:04Speaker 5: about how they add more av capacity on their platform
- 2:08Speaker 5: men deep.
- 2:08Speaker 6: Another thing that caught my eye is management saying premium premium, right,
- 2:11Speaker 6: they're growing thirty five percent? Is this becoming a real
- 2:14Speaker 6: margin and revenue driver for the company. All I know
- 2:17Speaker 6: is when I take Uberlyft, I pick the cheapest option,
- 2:20Speaker 6: but I guess some people take the premium ones.
- 2:23Speaker 5: Yeah. Look, they have segmented the market really well. In
- 2:26Speaker 5: the case of Uber, I would say they have done
- 2:29Speaker 5: a better job in terms of segmenting the market and
- 2:32Speaker 5: layering on subscriptions. You know, for that kind of service
- 2:37Speaker 5: where somebody wants a black suv, then you know they
- 2:40Speaker 5: prioritize the customers who is a subscription user. And in
- 2:45Speaker 5: the case of Lyft, they talked about, you know, partnering
- 2:48Speaker 5: with Chaseaphire and you know airlines to have those sort
- 2:53Speaker 5: of alliances and all that is great I think in
- 2:57Speaker 5: terms of driving engagement and sticking because for the most part,
- 3:01Speaker 5: people used to just compare prices and that's how they
- 3:05Speaker 5: were arbitrodging, you know, whichever one had the lower cost
- 3:10Speaker 5: when it comes.
- 3:11Speaker 3: Should somebody lift just particular right, should lift to sell it?
- 3:14Speaker 2: Soft mandeep. It just doesn't feel like they can scale
- 3:17Speaker 2: here visa vi uber. What do we do with this thing?
- 3:20Speaker 5: Well, I think down the line, I do expect you know,
- 3:25Speaker 5: one of the aavy platforms, whether it's Tesla or Vemo,
- 3:31Speaker 5: leveraging someone like Lyft or even a door Dash which
- 3:35Speaker 5: has an partnership right now with Lift in terms of
- 3:39Speaker 5: cross sell opportunities between food delivery and mobility. So DoorDash
- 3:45Speaker 5: is a great example of a company that has scaled
- 3:47Speaker 5: really well on their delivery side is making that pivot
- 3:51Speaker 5: to agentic AI use cases and so you know, for them,
- 3:56Speaker 5: it would make a ton of sense to expand in
- 4:00Speaker 5: to you know, ride sharing with an acquisition, as they
- 4:04Speaker 5: have done with their acquisition of delivery in the UK.
- 4:07Speaker 5: So I do think, you know, that combination makes a
- 4:10Speaker 5: ton of sense.
- 4:12Speaker 6: And we can go to Airbnb because they also raise
- 4:14Speaker 6: their full year outlook, but profits they'll miss because spending jump.
- 4:17Speaker 6: What do you make of the balance they're doing right now?
- 4:19Speaker 6: Because I know they're expanding into hotels, airport pickups and
- 4:23Speaker 6: a lot of other add on services.
- 4:25Speaker 5: I mean Airbnb's big advantage has been that they get
- 4:29Speaker 5: a lot of direct traffic and they are aware, you know,
- 4:32Speaker 5: similar to what Uber is on the ride sharing side.
- 4:35Speaker 5: So the problem they're trying to solve for is the
- 4:39Speaker 5: saturation in that alternative accommodation's market, so they had to
- 4:44Speaker 5: expand in new categories. It sounds like hotels and possibly
- 4:49Speaker 5: you know, layering on some ride sharing services or airlines
- 4:54Speaker 5: would make a ton of sense. They also have to
- 4:57Speaker 5: cater to this agent take shift that is happening. So
- 5:02Speaker 5: I think platform level, there will be some changes, but
- 5:05Speaker 5: clearly they have the stickiness when it comes to the
- 5:08Speaker 5: host they have on the platform and the inventory they
- 5:11Speaker 5: have when it comes to you know, exclusivity on Airbnb's platform.
- 5:17Speaker 2: So Airbnb, I mean, they actually boosted their sales outlook,
- 5:22Speaker 2: but Expedia had some problems. There Is that an Expedia
- 5:25Speaker 2: specific issue or is that just people doing more on
- 5:29Speaker 2: Airbnb maybe less on Expedia.
- 5:32Speaker 5: I mean they all these companies have a big catalyst
- 5:35Speaker 5: in FIFA World Cup, you know, for the second half,
- 5:38Speaker 5: and we know these big events drive a lot of
- 5:43Speaker 5: demand when it comes to you know, platforms like Airbnb,
- 5:46Speaker 5: even you know, Uber and Lyft will get a boost
- 5:50Speaker 5: during that quarter. So there's no doubt that, you know,
- 5:54Speaker 5: no matter what the macro situation is with higher gas
- 5:57Speaker 5: prices and what's going on, the FIFA World Cup will
- 6:02Speaker 5: be a big event and all these companies should do well,
- 6:05Speaker 5: you know, in terms of catering to that demand.
- 6:07Speaker 2: I mean, the Jersey Shore Mansion is only about an hour,
- 6:10Speaker 2: hour and ten minutes away from Wow MetLife Stadium.
- 6:12Speaker 6: I'd love to visit.
- 6:14Speaker 3: Y check it out.
- 6:15Speaker 6: What about Okay, So airlines and other travel companies are
- 6:18Speaker 6: warning about softer demand, but Airbnb sounds pretty optimistic. Why
- 6:22Speaker 6: do you think it's holding up when you made a
- 6:24Speaker 6: point earlier that they have direct access to these companies,
- 6:27Speaker 6: whether airlines or hotels.
- 6:31Speaker 5: Yeah, look, I think when it comes to the supply side,
- 6:35Speaker 5: Airbnb still has some exclusive supply. Like you could say,
- 6:41Speaker 5: you know, I would go across different hotel chains depending
- 6:44Speaker 5: on whoever is offering a lower price. But when it
- 6:48Speaker 5: comes to price elasticity around some of the inventory that
- 6:52Speaker 5: Airbnb has which you cannot find anywhere else, that's where
- 6:56Speaker 5: Airbnb has an advantage, and especially for larger groups. And
- 7:00Speaker 5: you know, if you're talking about big events, that certainly
- 7:03Speaker 5: should hold up much better. But you are seeing some
- 7:07Speaker 5: softness and you know travel overall, which is why you
- 7:11Speaker 5: see pressure on Expedia and you know some of the
- 7:13Speaker 5: other travel names.
- 7:15Speaker 3: Stay with us.
- 7:16Speaker 7: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 7:22Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 7:26Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Coarclay and Android
- 7:29Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 7:32Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 7:36Speaker 3: More earnings.
- 7:37Speaker 2: We got some more of the restaurant companies reporting earnings here.
- 7:42Speaker 2: We want to get to with Michael Halen, senior restaurant
- 7:44Speaker 2: and food service analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence.
- 7:46Speaker 3: Hey, Mike, let's start with a name we don't talk
- 7:48Speaker 3: about too much.
- 7:48Speaker 2: Which is the company or one of the companies that
- 7:51Speaker 2: provides the actual food for the restaurants. You see all
- 7:54Speaker 2: the trucks double parked is a deliver food to the
- 7:57Speaker 2: various restaurants in town. US Foods. Just about that company
- 8:01Speaker 2: and what did they report?
- 8:04Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, more of the same.
- 8:05Speaker 8: I mean, you know, this is one of the best
- 8:08Speaker 8: run food service distributors in the country. You know, they're
- 8:13Speaker 8: they're looking to grow sales a little bit through M
- 8:16Speaker 8: and A, but also with improved technology for their customers.
- 8:20Speaker 8: They're shifting to a one hundred percent commission based sales
- 8:23Speaker 8: plan to kind of motivate them to sell certain things,
- 8:27Speaker 8: but particularly branded products which can can boost margins. You know,
- 8:32Speaker 8: just a really well run company that's taking share slowly
- 8:36Speaker 8: and steadily in the food service business.
- 8:39Speaker 2: So, I mean, again, US Food's holding. This is a
- 8:41Speaker 2: company that I rarely look at, but I should because
- 8:44Speaker 2: I see their trucks everywhere. Nineteen billion dollar market cap.
- 8:47Speaker 2: It's got about thirty thousand employees based in Rosemont, Illinois,
- 8:51Speaker 2: but they provide a food to a lot of restaurants
- 8:54Speaker 2: around the country. Again, the stocks of fourteen percent a
- 8:58Speaker 2: year to date, up twenty percent on a trailing twelve base.
- 9:01Speaker 6: It's a great report. Actually, can you talk to us
- 9:03Speaker 6: about international growth? Is it becoming a bright spot and
- 9:07Speaker 6: can that offset some weakness they're seeing in their business?
- 9:11Speaker 8: So US Foods is one hundred percent US based, Yeah,
- 9:17Speaker 8: so they are. They've done a good job, like I said,
- 9:21Speaker 8: of taking share here in the United States. That's been
- 9:23Speaker 8: their focus. That's one of the that's one of the
- 9:27Speaker 8: you know, one reason why investors do like this name
- 9:30Speaker 8: because the US economy has been more resilient than say
- 9:34Speaker 8: a place like Europe, especially with the higher inflation that
- 9:38Speaker 8: they've seen over there. Also, this company is pretty well
- 9:43Speaker 8: positioned in market downturns, so when people tend to cut back,
- 9:48Speaker 8: you know, they have a larger percentage of their business
- 9:51Speaker 8: that's dedicated to government, education, customers, hospitals and those types
- 9:58Speaker 8: of customers have these FI and dollar cost contracts, which uh,
- 10:05Speaker 8: you know, basically our index to inflation. So as inflation
- 10:08Speaker 8: goes up, you know, margin dollars are protected and those
- 10:14Speaker 8: businesses you know that I mentioned typically don't decline when
- 10:18Speaker 8: the overall economy declined, so this tends to be a
- 10:21Speaker 8: safer bet when you know the restaurant industry falters.
- 10:26Speaker 2: We had a big debate internally here this morning on
- 10:28Speaker 2: Bloomberg Surveillance about best French Fries and Wendy's got a
- 10:31Speaker 2: lot of support here. Talk to us about the Wendy's
- 10:33Speaker 2: profit earnings release they had.
- 10:37Speaker 8: Yeah, Wendy's was a disaster. It's been a disaster all
- 10:43Speaker 8: through you know, throughout last year. There was some hopes
- 10:46Speaker 8: for a turnaround and results or maybe just you know,
- 10:50Speaker 8: from from bad to less bad, and it didn't materialize
- 10:54Speaker 8: in the quarter.
- 10:55Speaker 4: You know, they're saying the right things.
- 10:57Speaker 8: On the call, but this company has had a lot
- 11:01Speaker 8: of negative momentum. You know, Chicken was always a big
- 11:05Speaker 8: part of their offering and now everybody's in that game.
- 11:09Speaker 8: Discounting is ramping up across the industry. This is the
- 11:13Speaker 8: most aggressive I've seen McDonald's in my career. So all
- 11:18Speaker 8: of that is going to make the turnaround at Wendy's
- 11:21Speaker 8: much more difficult to execute.
- 11:23Speaker 2: I'm a big fan of the baconator too, so I
- 11:25Speaker 2: hope they pulled through here one more before we let
- 11:28Speaker 2: you go here. Texas Roadhouse. I know, listen reading your
- 11:31Speaker 2: research in the past, they're trying to strive value here,
- 11:34Speaker 2: and that seems like a pitch that would work in
- 11:36Speaker 2: today's economy.
- 11:38Speaker 4: Yes, you're right, and it does.
- 11:39Speaker 8: And you know, you know, the way we look at
- 11:42Speaker 8: value is what you get for what you pay.
- 11:45Speaker 4: And nobody offers you more value on the plate than
- 11:47Speaker 4: Texas Roadhouse.
- 11:48Speaker 8: You go there, you get unlimited bread, you get massive portions,
- 11:53Speaker 8: all for a reasonable cost.
- 11:54Speaker 4: You know.
- 11:54Speaker 8: Look, management said that they're seeing some people trade down
- 11:58Speaker 8: to cheaper cuts of beef or even to chicken and pork.
- 12:02Speaker 8: They're cutting back on drinks, but they're making it up
- 12:05Speaker 8: in traffic. People are and they go to Texas Roadhouse
- 12:09Speaker 8: because they know they're going to get a great experience,
- 12:13Speaker 8: and so they're not cutting back on their visits to
- 12:15Speaker 8: Texas Roadhouse.
- 12:16Speaker 4: Clearly in the numbers, we're.
- 12:17Speaker 8: Seeing cutbacks to Wendy's and a lot of other restaurant chains,
- 12:21Speaker 8: and maybe some trade down to the grocery store.
- 12:23Speaker 4: But if people are.
- 12:24Speaker 8: Going to a Texas Roadhouse once a quarter, once every
- 12:27Speaker 8: other month, they're not coming back on that visit.
- 12:31Speaker 3: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 12:38Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 12:42Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 12:45Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 12:48Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 12:52Speaker 7: Paul, do you go golfing regularly? Is that a weekend
- 12:55Speaker 7: thing for you?
- 12:55Speaker 4: Yes?
- 12:56Speaker 2: And I'm wearing my Canoe Brook which is my club shirt.
- 12:59Speaker 2: I got the belt from Garden City Golf Club. So
- 13:02Speaker 2: I'm all in, have been all that life, but golf's not.
- 13:05Speaker 2: Actually now kind of cool and it's growing like crazy again.
- 13:08Speaker 7: I know, before the pandemic it felt like it was
- 13:10Speaker 7: kind of dying a little bit.
- 13:11Speaker 3: And now social media is all over.
- 13:13Speaker 2: These influencers are all over the game of golf.
- 13:16Speaker 4: Really.
- 13:16Speaker 2: Oh, huge audiences here and getting huge money and the
- 13:19Speaker 2: PGA Tour notices, the Lift Tour.
- 13:21Speaker 3: Notices, although the lead tours dying, Yeah, but it was.
- 13:25Speaker 3: It was part of the Lift Tour's birth was because
- 13:27Speaker 3: of social media.
- 13:28Speaker 7: Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's a good point. All right, Well,
- 13:30Speaker 7: let's talk to someone who's capitalizing on all of that.
- 13:32Speaker 7: The rebirth of golf. He is Brian Cox. He's global
- 13:35Speaker 7: vice president of Scotch Whiskey at Bacardi, and he's here
- 13:39Speaker 7: to talk to us about why his brand and other
- 13:42Speaker 7: luxury brands are increasingly aligning themselves with golf culture. Right now, Brian,
- 13:46Speaker 7: good to speak with you. What is golf culture and
- 13:48Speaker 7: how has it changed? As Paul mentioned, it's now something
- 13:51Speaker 7: that lives on in social media. Things go viral in
- 13:53Speaker 7: a way that they didn't before.
- 13:57Speaker 9: That's billion obviously two passion of mind golf and Scotch Whiskey.
- 14:04Speaker 9: I think the luxury brand sector has really paid attention
- 14:08Speaker 9: to the evolution of golf. As you alluded to a
- 14:11Speaker 9: second ago, it was really the pandemic that grew the
- 14:15Speaker 9: built in audience of golf from around twenty four million
- 14:18Speaker 9: people that followed or played the game in the US
- 14:21Speaker 9: to about forty million today. So it's just a massive
- 14:25Speaker 9: inbuilt audience. It's also become the profile of the audiences diversified.
- 14:31Speaker 9: It's become younger, young adults, much more accessible. It's also globalized.
- 14:37Speaker 9: You're REFERRINGTVE golf for example, but Japan huge market is booming.
- 14:42Speaker 9: Also in India and these all happen with the US
- 14:45Speaker 9: to be great Scotch whiskey and also luxury goods markets.
- 14:49Speaker 9: I'd also say at the same time, the audience has
- 14:52Speaker 9: stayed fairly affluent, so that's why you're seeing luxury and
- 14:56Speaker 9: lifestyle brands really lean in the factors. Of course, as
- 15:02Speaker 9: you will well know at Garden City you've got the
- 15:04Speaker 9: famous nineteenth pole, So golf in particular goes beyond just
- 15:10Speaker 9: what happens on the course. So it's really that lifestyle
- 15:14Speaker 9: social connection moment that allows us to really have a
- 15:19Speaker 9: role in that area.
- 15:21Speaker 2: So how are you, guys a doer Scotch, how are
- 15:24Speaker 2: you kind of trying to leverage that audience.
- 15:28Speaker 9: Well, we've now in our sixth year been sponsoring the
- 15:32Speaker 9: USGA and the US Open as it's official Scotch Whiskey.
- 15:37Speaker 9: Amazing partners, great tournament, great reach, big TV audience, and
- 15:43Speaker 9: we use these kind of tempole moments as we call them,
- 15:47Speaker 9: to really build integrated marketing programs around. So we have advertising,
- 15:51Speaker 9: we have corporate hospitality, entertaining clients and influencers. You're talking
- 15:57Speaker 9: about social media a second ago, so that's a really
- 16:00Speaker 9: important the whole online digital aspect of golf nowadays and
- 16:06Speaker 9: it overlaps between the sport against again the lifestyle. We
- 16:10Speaker 9: have also some fashion collaborations. We work with Peter Millar,
- 16:15Speaker 9: We've worked in the past with other fashion brands, and
- 16:18Speaker 9: then we run our own promotions. So there's an aspect
- 16:21Speaker 9: of integrating retail and country clubs. Of course, because every
- 16:27Speaker 9: country club pretty much has a nineteenth old the famous Spa,
- 16:30Speaker 9: so that's very relevant. And every year to celebrate the
- 16:35Speaker 9: US Open, we come out with a limited edition a
- 16:38Speaker 9: nineteen year old, and then we have also some very
- 16:40Speaker 9: innovative serves and RTDs which address a slightly less traditional
- 16:45Speaker 9: you might say, audience.
- 16:47Speaker 7: How are you integrating your brand with golf in a
- 16:50Speaker 7: way that changes from what it was before the pandemic.
- 16:54Speaker 7: I mean, you know, any golf tournament has lots of
- 16:56Speaker 7: brands showing up everywhere, but what is what is Doors
- 17:02Speaker 7: doing that's different that kind of makes it look like
- 17:05Speaker 7: it's twenty twenty six as opposed to twenty sixteen.
- 17:09Speaker 9: That's a big well for starts we're about, you know,
- 17:13Speaker 9: we play a role as a social catalyst. It's you know,
- 17:18Speaker 9: we've got the heritage of Scotland behind us and so
- 17:21Speaker 9: this way of connecting with consumers of opening up the games.
- 17:26Speaker 9: We partner with organizations such as Five Iron Golf, You've
- 17:31Speaker 9: got Top Golf and so forth as well, and so
- 17:33Speaker 9: you can see how we can monomate and activate beyond
- 17:37Speaker 9: the actual course itself. We also actually promote the tournament
- 17:41Speaker 9: through our advertising, so that's about gaining I guess, broader
- 17:46Speaker 9: awareness for the actual event itself. And then we do
- 17:50Speaker 9: things like every year we have the Duo's Lemon Wedge,
- 17:54Speaker 9: which is the official cocktail of the US Open that's
- 17:58Speaker 9: served as an artea, which means ready to drink and
- 18:02Speaker 9: can we sell about seventeen well not us, but the
- 18:06Speaker 9: venues will sell about seventeen thousand of those. Per tournament
- 18:11Speaker 9: we serve around thirteen thousand cocktails. So it's a way
- 18:15Speaker 9: of expanding the use such occasions and consumptions, which is
- 18:20Speaker 9: really cocking in on and that brings in a whole
- 18:22Speaker 9: new cohort of fans.
- 18:24Speaker 2: Actually, Brian, you mentioned earlier the impact of social media influencers,
- 18:29Speaker 2: and again maybe my feed my algorithm just feeds me
- 18:33Speaker 2: these guys all the time, but there's a lot of
- 18:35Speaker 2: them doing some really great content, getting a list stars
- 18:40Speaker 2: to come on their program, whether they're having a round
- 18:43Speaker 2: of golf somewhere with Lebron James or something else.
- 18:46Speaker 3: How do you play into that?
- 18:48Speaker 9: That's sure there's I think one of the big drivers
- 18:52Speaker 9: of the popularity of golf is how other sports people
- 18:55Speaker 9: have really lent in. I think there's a huge NFL,
- 19:01Speaker 9: an NBA following of golf of players that actually, in
- 19:06Speaker 9: the time of will will participate in the game. It's
- 19:09Speaker 9: the it's their hobby, it's their passion point, and something's
- 19:12Speaker 9: clicked in this sport in the way that it's it's
- 19:15Speaker 9: very much about, as you will know, plane with or
- 19:19Speaker 9: against yourself, but it also connects you to others. So
- 19:22Speaker 9: there's a dynamic in culture here. I think that is
- 19:26Speaker 9: driving this, and it's amazing to see how other sports
- 19:30Speaker 9: folks from other disciplines are actually fueling this.
- 19:35Speaker 3: Stay with us.
- 19:36Speaker 7: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 19:41Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 19:45Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android
- 19:48Speaker 1: Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever
- 19:51Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 19:56Speaker 2: Intel up seven point seven today up to hundred twenty
- 20:00Speaker 2: percent year to date, a four hundred and sixty percent
- 20:03Speaker 2: on a trailing twelve month basis. For those of us
- 20:05Speaker 2: old enough to remember Intel in the eighties and nineties
- 20:09Speaker 2: and then.
- 20:09Speaker 3: What happened in between, that's something.
- 20:11Speaker 2: And my boy Frank Yuri, my running buddy from Salomon Brothers,
- 20:14Speaker 2: he's retiring from as chairman of the board in a
- 20:17Speaker 2: couple of days.
- 20:18Speaker 3: He's had a heck of a run here to finish
- 20:19Speaker 3: up his career.
- 20:20Speaker 2: We want to talk to Sarah Fryar Bloomberg and managing editor.
- 20:24Speaker 2: What's going on at Intel? Have they finally.
- 20:26Speaker 3: Gotten I guess the AI tailwind? It sure looks like it.
- 20:31Speaker 10: Well, there's that, but it's actually a you know, an
- 20:34Speaker 10: even bigger process by Liputan, the new CEO. He has
- 20:38Speaker 10: spent the last year talking to all of these other
- 20:43Speaker 10: major leaders in tech and in the world and getting
- 20:46Speaker 10: them on his side. Right, So he's formed an alliance
- 20:49Speaker 10: with President Donald Trump. The US is now a major
- 20:51Speaker 10: investor in Intel. He has Elon Musk saying that they're
- 20:54Speaker 10: going to partner on building factories apples. It has talked
- 20:59Speaker 10: about potentially using Intel in video and videas, Jensen Wang
- 21:05Speaker 10: has explained that they think that the CPUs that Intel
- 21:10Speaker 10: makes are going to be back in demand during the
- 21:12Speaker 10: AI boom. So all of those factors have led to
- 21:15Speaker 10: this incredible tear in Intel stock, where it's back to
- 21:19Speaker 10: the level we really haven't seen since the dot com boom.
- 21:22Speaker 7: It is truly remarkable when you look at the advances.
- 21:25Speaker 7: I mean, the gain in Intel has eclipsed the gain
- 21:28Speaker 7: in Micron. And you know, Paul, you and I have
- 21:30Speaker 7: talked about how Micron just went on this bananas hair
- 21:33Speaker 7: because of the lust for memory chips, and Intel has
- 21:36Speaker 7: surpassed all of that. You mentioned, Sarah that the US
- 21:38Speaker 7: government has a stake in Intel. It's a five and
- 21:41Speaker 7: a half percent stake right now, the third biggest shareholder
- 21:43Speaker 7: after Blackrock and Vanguard, which of course represents Index Funds.
- 21:48Speaker 7: Is the US government an activist shareholder Intel? I mean,
- 21:52Speaker 7: is there pushing by the US government towards what Intel
- 21:56Speaker 7: should be doing?
- 21:58Speaker 2: Well?
- 21:58Speaker 10: I think it definitely adds to the momentum of Intel.
- 22:02Speaker 10: I think there's there's, you know, this sense that if
- 22:05Speaker 10: you support Intel, you support American manufacturing. And Donald Trump
- 22:10Speaker 10: had certainly celebrated himself as the you know person who
- 22:15Speaker 10: who struck this deal. But what Ian King's reporting reveals
- 22:18Speaker 10: in this story is that it really took some convincing
- 22:21Speaker 10: on the part of his allies. He had people in
- 22:24Speaker 10: the industry, including Michael Dell, calling Donald Trump asking him
- 22:29Speaker 10: to give Li Blutan a chance, and then once the
- 22:31Speaker 10: two of them met, Li Blutan was able to convince
- 22:35Speaker 10: Trump to to really bet on the company in an
- 22:41Speaker 10: unusual way. I mean, this is very unprecedented. But that
- 22:44Speaker 10: led to a lot of these other stakes that helped
- 22:47Speaker 10: Intel balance sheet. Now what Ian reveals in the stories
- 22:53Speaker 10: is there's the second phase of the turnaround that needs
- 22:55Speaker 10: to happen. For all of the optimism, for all of
- 22:58Speaker 10: the work that's been done on the external perception that
- 23:02Speaker 10: Intel can achieve a place of prominence in the AI boom,
- 23:05Speaker 10: that it really can deliver on returning to prominence, there's
- 23:13Speaker 10: still a lot that needs to be fixed in terms
- 23:15Speaker 10: of the quality of its products and the quality of
- 23:17Speaker 10: its factories. And that's what happens next.
- 23:20Speaker 3: So what is the thinking out there in Silicon Valley?
- 23:22Speaker 4: Sairer?
- 23:23Speaker 2: Is this something that again one one could argue that
- 23:25Speaker 2: a lot of the stock price appreciation was kind of
- 23:28Speaker 2: by the rumor. Now the questions they have to deliver
- 23:31Speaker 2: is the expectation that they will be.
- 23:33Speaker 3: Able to do that well.
- 23:35Speaker 10: I think now that Lipichan has has these allies that
- 23:39Speaker 10: are counting on him to do it, he's well set
- 23:42Speaker 10: up to But you know, in speaking with us in
- 23:45Speaker 10: the first interview he's given as the EO to a
- 23:48Speaker 10: news outlet, he acknowledged that he still has a lot
- 23:52Speaker 10: of work to do. He still has to build eventually,
- 23:54Speaker 10: still recruiting leaders that he trusts. And what we learned
- 23:59Speaker 10: from conversations with current and former employees is the way
- 24:02Speaker 10: that he leads is very different than how Intel is
- 24:05Speaker 10: used to working. He's a high level thinker. He's not
- 24:08Speaker 10: going in on the on the detailed. He picks people
- 24:11Speaker 10: that he believes in and then backs them the same
- 24:14Speaker 10: way you might see in venture capital investing. You know,
- 24:18Speaker 10: he's on many company boards. He has a long history
- 24:20Speaker 10: with that, but that could be risky for a company
- 24:23Speaker 10: like Intel, where the devil really is in the details.
- 24:27Speaker 10: The chips need to be at the right quality to
- 24:30Speaker 10: sustain those customer deals, to even get those major customers
- 24:34Speaker 10: on board, get them to take a bet on the
- 24:36Speaker 10: company so they have a lot of work to do
- 24:38Speaker 10: in the actual manufacturing, the actual design to to not
- 24:44Speaker 10: have to outsource it as much as they've been doing,
- 24:47Speaker 10: to bring it back in house, and through that they
- 24:50Speaker 10: can that they can.
- 24:51Speaker 4: Deliver very quickly.
- 24:53Speaker 7: Sarah Liputan has only been CEO of Intel for about
- 24:56Speaker 7: one point two years, not long at all, but it
- 24:58Speaker 7: feels like a long time. How patient are investors willing
- 25:02Speaker 7: to be with him?
- 25:03Speaker 10: I think as long as what we're hearing about CPUs
- 25:08Speaker 10: in the AI boom being really necessary, if that continues,
- 25:14Speaker 10: I mean, that's going to be definitely a positive boost
- 25:17Speaker 10: for them. They just have to really get that business.
- 25:20Speaker 10: They have to get it, and they can't let it,
- 25:23Speaker 10: can't feed it to rivals, and then they'll be okay
- 25:25Speaker 10: for a little while and they'll buy him time to
- 25:28Speaker 10: get everything else right.
- 25:31Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,
- 25:35Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each
- 25:39Speaker 1: weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,
- 25:43Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app.
- 25:47Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube
- 25:50Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal